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RB Derrius Guice, Free Agent (1 Viewer)

I have him and McLaurin and feel really good about it 🤷‍♂️
Why do you feel good about it? 

I own them both too. 

Afraid horrible coaching, bad supporting cast, bad QB play, a minor procedure turning into endless infections, etc are not making me feel good about it.  Players on really bad teams usually don't produce, especially RBs. 

 
Why do you feel good about it? 

I own them both too. 

Afraid horrible coaching, bad supporting cast, bad QB play, a minor procedure turning into endless infections, etc are not making me feel good about it.  Players on really bad teams usually don't produce, especially RBs. 
Guice is young, looks good to me and is getting more and more reps. IF he makes it through the rest of this season without any injuries that require rehab I’ll feel even better. He’s just 22 and they’re giving him 3rd down work too. Obviously I’ll wait to see who they get as a HC though. 

Yes they are bad this year but things in the NFL turn around quickly. Our division (I’m an Eagles fan) is also very bad. They can compete as soon as next season. 

McLaurin is going to be really good. Wouldn’t shock me if he enters top 10 PPR as soon as next season. 

 
From a dynasty perspective, he has to be a hold unless you are desperate to get _anything_ for him ahead of your league's trading deadline.  In that case, you're probably only looking at a future 2nd or someone else's broken parts.

 
Guice is young, looks good to me and is getting more and more reps. IF he makes it through the rest of this season without any injuries that require rehab I’ll feel even better. He’s just 22 and they’re giving him 3rd down work too. Obviously I’ll wait to see who they get as a HC though. 

Yes they are bad this year but things in the NFL turn around quickly. Our division (I’m an Eagles fan) is also very bad. They can compete as soon as next season. 

McLaurin is going to be really good. Wouldn’t shock me if he enters top 10 PPR as soon as next season. 
This

And yet that's the hardest call for me this week. If I thought guice would get another ten snaps or so it might be an easy call. But right now I need to pick between him, Bo, and Hyde at rb2, then those guys, Gage or diontae at flex 🤔😕

 
Guice is young, looks good to me and is getting more and more reps. IF he makes it through the rest of this season without any injuries that require rehab I’ll feel even better. He’s just 22 and they’re giving him 3rd down work too. Obviously I’ll wait to see who they get as a HC though. 

Yes they are bad this year but things in the NFL turn around quickly. Our division (I’m an Eagles fan) is also very bad. They can compete as soon as next season. 

McLaurin is going to be really good. Wouldn’t shock me if he enters top 10 PPR as soon as next season. 
the odds are stacked against him pretty significantly 

 
Derrius Guice rushed 10 times for 129 yards and two touchdowns in the Redskins' Week 13 win over the Panthers.

Guice was phenomenal against a porous Panthers run defense. He showed a ton of strength while running through arm tackles and had enough wiggle in space to create big plays. Guice's two touchdowns were both at the goal-line, which is a good sign that he's getting those looks over Adrian Peterson. AP was also fantastic today, rushing for 99 yards and a score on a team-high 13 carries. This is still a committee backfield and will be hard to fully trust given what we've seen from the offense. Guice will be a boom-or-bust flex play in Green Back next week. Expect him to handle 8-14 touches then.

 
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Was sooo close to dropping him.

Legit flex now. Gotta think this performance gives the staff more incentive to give him more touches.

Haskins also looking a little more competent as well and the D isn't a pushover.

 
might be able to actually trade him for something this offseason
You'll absolutely be able to flip him if you need to improve your team elsewhere.  The question is do you really want to?  At a minimum I'd hold until you know who the next coach will be.  Me, I've been holding since last year and will continue to do so in belief he takes over the backfield in 2020.  

 
You'll absolutely be able to flip him if you need to improve your team elsewhere.  The question is do you really want to?  At a minimum I'd hold until you know who the next coach will be.  Me, I've been holding since last year and will continue to do so in belief he takes over the backfield in 2020.  
I have long term concerns. if he ends the season as good as he played today then he is a hold, but I have health concerns 

 
I have long term concerns. if he ends the season as good as he played today then he is a hold, but I have health concerns 
It seems like you already made up your mind despite mounting evidence that he may be a strong hold.

On 31 touches over the last three games he has gains of 60, 45 & that 37 yard monster. He has scored three TDs, two of which were at the goal line and he has been used regularly in the passing game.  Injury concerns or not you shouldn't make a move until after the season at the earliest and probably best served if you wait until after the draft.

 
Forget week 16...If Cousins gets me what I need tonight and I make the playoffs, I am very strongly considering marching Guice out there instead of Kamara (CMC is my #1 rb).  I'm sick of hearing about Kamara's upside.  Please talk me off the ledge.

 
For this year ROS, do we actually think they start giving Guice the reins a little more?

I don't think so -- even with the argument that they need to see what they have in Guice as a featured back, I don't see why from both a risk and potential impact standpoint the team doesn't simply continue to split carries between Guice and ADP.

Add a healthy Chris Thompson back into the mix, and despite a good match up or two down the stretch, and despite his obvious talent, I am not sure Guice has the volume to trust as a flex option in the playoffs this year.

 
For this year ROS, do we actually think they start giving Guice the reins a little more?

I don't think so -- even with the argument that they need to see what they have in Guice as a featured back, I don't see why from both a risk and potential impact standpoint the team doesn't simply continue to split carries between Guice and ADP.

Add a healthy Chris Thompson back into the mix, and despite a good match up or two down the stretch, and despite his obvious talent, I am not sure Guice has the volume to trust as a flex option in the playoffs this year.
Agreed on all fronts. As long as ADP is productive and healthy there is no compelling reason to kick him to the curb. 13/99/1 is pretty productive.

Plus Callahan is auditioning for the HC job...he'll field whatever team he thinks is going to get him the "W"...not just to get guys on tape.

 
For this year ROS, do we actually think they start giving Guice the reins a little more?

I don't think so -- even with the argument that they need to see what they have in Guice as a featured back, I don't see why from both a risk and potential impact standpoint the team doesn't simply continue to split carries between Guice and ADP.

Add a healthy Chris Thompson back into the mix, and despite a good match up or two down the stretch, and despite his obvious talent, I am not sure Guice has the volume to trust as a flex option in the playoffs this year.
I wish I knew how that committee was going to work.   I don't think Guice becomes the feature back.    Doesn't seem worth the ris for the Redskins.   Add Thompson to the mix and Guice is probably getting 35-40% of the touches IMO.   

 
Forget week 16...If Cousins gets me what I need tonight and I make the playoffs, I am very strongly considering marching Guice out there instead of Kamara (CMC is my #1 rb).  I'm sick of hearing about Kamara's upside.  Please talk me off the ledge.
I have both and it has never even crossed my mind to bench Kamara (zeke is my #2).  He just came off back to back 20 point weeks.  
 

That said I’ll probably start Guice in my redraft league next week over the Steelers scrubs I’ve been starting.  

 
Over the last three games Guice has three carries from the one yard line (2 TDs), Peterson has zero.

I think he is flex worthy on his 10 or so carries and 2-3 targets/game going forward.  I don't see Chris Thompson impacting his market share in the least.

 
Over the last three games Guice has three carries from the one yard line (2 TDs), Peterson has zero.

I think he is flex worthy on his 10 or so carries and 2-3 targets/game going forward.  I don't see Chris Thompson impacting his market share in the least.
He's also had 3 explosive plays in the last two games.

What other RBs can say that?

 
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He's also had 3 explosive plays in the last two games.

What other RBs can say that?
How do you define explosive? Rush yards after hand-off on a given play (e.g. longest run)?

I don't think using Guice's 60 yard rip as a yardstick is fair as that is a truly rare event.

But just last week, a bunch of starting backs had really solid longs of ~25+ yards -- Kamara (24), Singletary (26), Elliott (30), Henry (34), Jacobs (35) -- and while I didn't look up their previous weeks, I imagine a few of them had similar rips over the last few games.

Love the explosion I see from Guice, but I don't think he's unique or even an outlier in this regard. 

 
I am giving very serious thought to riding him throughout the playoffs. The positives are undeniable. Since firing dumb #### Gruden the Redskins are balanced (if not heavy run lean) offense. The defense is starting to play better (which should result in better time of possession) And Guice has fresh legs and is showing a lot of juice. As previously mentioned, he also is getting all the goal line carries and it seems they are quick to throw to him out of the backfield (and correct me if I'm wrong but I don't think he's had a single drop has he?) In PPR leagues I honestly believe he's on his way to being a #1 RB. And assuming AP does ride off into the sunset, I think you've got all the makings of a top 10 RB, or better. And I have noticed people are grilling Haskins in his thread but I think that's absurd. He barely played in college. He has shown massive improvement IMO, and he's only had a handful of starts. So as he improves, the offense will improve. They will obviously address the left tackle position this offseason and that too will help. I am glad I own him in about 5 dynasty leagues and I wouldn't trade him for anything less than a top 2 or 3 pick, and I won't be even shopping him for that. The situation just looks too good. And good lord, the NFC East defense are awful, always a plus there too. 

 
Over the last three games Guice has three carries from the one yard line (2 TDs), Peterson has zero.

I think he is flex worthy on his 10 or so carries and 2-3 targets/game going forward.  I don't see Chris Thompson impacting his market share in the least.
Agreed. He and Reed won't be with the team in a few months. Its Guice and AP from here on out, and I hope more and more carries for Guice. 

 
Agreed. He and Reed won't be with the team in a few months. Its Guice and AP from here on out, and I hope more and more carries for Guice. 
Yup. Thompson will have no effect whatsoever.

Week 13 snap counts:

A. Peterson - 23 (36%)

C. Thompson - 23 (36%)

D. Guice - 19 - (30%)

 
and how productive was Thompson compared to Guice and AP? I am pretty sure coaches review tape. Plus I was talking about long term too. Thompson will NOT be resigned. He and Reed have collected paychecks while injured for the majority of their careers in DC

 
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I will most likely be keeping Guice as my RB in a two keeper league.  My previous keeper was DJ..... 

Guice looked pretty damn good week 13, could be a monster next year if they hand him the reigns.

 
Yup. Thompson will have no effect whatsoever.

Week 13 snap counts:

A. Peterson - 23 (36%)

C. Thompson - 23 (36%)

D. Guice - 19 - (30%)
Guice had 31% in week 11 & 41% in week 12. He had 9, 11 & 13 rushes+targets.

He has put up 244 yards and 3 TDs.

In week 13 Thompson had 5 opportunities (his season low) for 29 yards. And, Guice had his season high in opportunities with impressive results.

No, I don't expect Thompson's presence to have any impact in Guice. If anything Guice is going to impact Thompson's opportunities.

 
Guice had 31% in week 11 & 41% in week 12. He had 9, 11 & 13 rushes+targets.

He has put up 244 yards and 3 TDs.

In week 13 Thompson had 5 opportunities (his season low) for 29 yards. And, Guice had his season high in opportunities with impressive results.

No, I don't expect Thompson's presence to have any impact in Guice. If anything Guice is going to impact Thompson's opportunities.
Thompson got most of his Wk 13 opportunities in the 2-min drill right before halftime. If the Redskins get significantly behind there's easily a scenario where Thompson gets a disproportionate share.

You seem to think Guice will continue to put up huge numbers ROS even though there is likely to be a pretty firm ceiling on his touches. Ok.

 
PhantomJB said:
Thompson got most of his Wk 13 opportunities in the 2-min drill right before halftime. If the Redskins get significantly behind there's easily a scenario where Thompson gets a disproportionate share.

You seem to think Guice will continue to put up huge numbers ROS even though there is likely to be a pretty firm ceiling on his touches. Ok.
Oh goodness no. I never said that or anything close to that. I was very clear that I think he is a 10-13 opportunity guy, who can be explosive and gets GL opps, which makes him a flex play RoS. 

But he can easily put up a 7 for 23 game just like many other 10-13 opportunity guys. The difference is Guice has shown more upside than most of the other guys that I think you could plug in at this stage of the season.

 
PhantomJB said:
Thompson got most of his Wk 13 opportunities in the 2-min drill right before halftime. If the Redskins get significantly behind there's easily a scenario where Thompson gets a disproportionate share.
I don't know about disproportionate share but agree with the general take.

Tompson won't impact Guice at all from a rush attempt standpoint. But it may still be that Guice may lose looks in the passing game in game script situations where WAS gets behind and they need to throw to keep up. Thompson is a proven vet in passing downs and his pass pro is serviceable.

That said, Guice definitely looks to be a hold through the season, with the only cap on value, and what hesitates me from starting him, is that his volume is capped. ADP isn't going away.

This next game will be interesting to see if they do give Guice more of the lion's share of carries, which would change my opinion of his startability through the playoffs considerably.

 
I don't know about disproportionate share but agree with the general take.

Tompson won't impact Guice at all from a rush attempt standpoint. But it may still be that Guice may lose looks in the passing game in game script situations where WAS gets behind and they need to throw to keep up. Thompson is a proven vet in passing downs and his pass pro is serviceable.

That said, Guice definitely looks to be a hold through the season, with the only cap on value, and what hesitates me from starting him, is that his volume is capped. ADP isn't going away.

This next game will be interesting to see if they do give Guice more of the lion's share of carries, which would change my opinion of his startability through the playoffs considerably.
RoS what looks is Guice losing in the passing game? He's getting two targets per game, I doubt that changes under any game script. Peterson is the biggest threat to Guice's touches, not Thompson. And Peterson has been virtually splitting opportunities 50:50 with Guice over the last three games.

 
Derrius Guice left Week 14 against the Packers with a knee injury

Guice went down at the end of a 23-yard run. He walked off under his own power, but the Redskins ruled him out in the second half. Any knee injury is a concern with Guice given his history. Adrian Peterson will handle all early-down work in his absence.

Dec 8, 2019, 2:07 PM ET

 
NFL Network's Tom Pelissero reports Derrius Guice suffered an MCL sprain in Week 14 against the Packers.

It's another tough break for Guice, who had a pair of knee surgeries over the last two years. An MCL injury isn't the worst news, but with only three games remaining and Guice's extensive history it's possible he'll be shut down. Barring setbacks, Guice should have a normal offseason, but it's going to be hard for the Redskins to count on his durability going forward. With Guice sidelined, Adrian Peterson should return to a workhorse role.

SOURCE: Tom Pelissero on Twitter

Dec 8, 2019, 7:08 PM ET

 
It's a bummer for a lot of reasons.  He looks really good on the field and had another explosive play on only 5 touches.  Hope he comes back strong.

 
Droppable in redraft.   
I figure that's the case but it would be good to get more confirmation out of today's MRI. WAS plays the Giants this year and that could be a solid match up if a miracle happens and he can recover and play. Grade 1 sprains are way less onerous than grade 2 tears.

That said, it looked bad. Was Darnell Savage penalized or fined for that? Seemed like an intentional and highly dangerous chop block that wasn't anywhere near the legal zone (along LOS and within 3-4 yards of where the ball is snapped). 

 
NFL Network's Ian Rapoport reports Derrius Guice (knee) was diagnosed with an MCL sprain.

This reaffirms Tom Pelissero's initial report. Rapoport adds the ACL was intact — a sigh of relief since Guice spent the entire offseason and a handful of games mid-season rehabbing from separate knee injuries. Coach Bill Callahan already ruled out Guice for Week 15, but this news likely sidelines the second-year runner for Washington's final two regular season games, too. The team will move forward with Adrian Peterson on early downs and Chris Thompson being treated as their primary pass-catching option.

SOURCE: Ian Rapoport on Twitter

Dec 10, 2019, 8:19 AM ET
 
Redskins placed RB Derrius Guice on injured reserve with a sprained MCL, ending his season.

Guice's latest knee issue will cost him the final three games of his sophomore campaign after he missed his entire rookie year. Guice confirmed his upside this year, averaging a top-flight 5.8 yards per carry in one of the league's worst offenses, but also his downside, as he simply can't stay on the field. Still only 22, Guice did enough this year to keep himself in the running for lead-back duties in 2020, but his health should be at the forefront of both the Redskins and dynasty players' minds.

Dec 10, 2019, 5:03 PM ET

 
best thing for him IMO. allows him to fully regain his strength for 2020
Why not just be really really safe and hold him out til 2021 to regain his strength. I guess one of my 2 IR slots in dynasty is already spoken for next year. 

 

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