Cardinals RB Kenyan Drake at Giants (+2.5)
Total: o/u 45 | 73% Started
The best thing we can say about Kenyan Drake’s 2020 is that the Cardinals have never lost faith in him. Drake has not been efficient or explosive, and currently grades out as PFF’s No. 50 RB for the 2020 season. Yet somehow, Drake is one of the most trusted players in the league inside the red zone and 10-yard line, seeing 42 red zone carries this season and 27 inside the 10-yard line (including seven opportunities against the Patriots two weeks ago), leading to seven touchdowns. Taking that one step further, the Cardinals have claimed 11 carries inside the 5-yard line over the last three games - Drake handled nine of them.
Why? We know the Cardinals and Kyler Murray claim the QB’s shoulder is not an issue. From the outside looking in, it sure seems to be a factor in Murray’s collapsing rushing production. That is compounded by defenses forcing Murray to handoff in the red zone, as we’ve repeatedly seen defenders having zero shot of bringing down Murray in 1-on-1 situations. Again, Drake is the beneficiary.
So why is he on this list? High value opportunities still win, but Drake’s average of 16.5 fantasy points over the last three weeks are rooted in touchdowns. The Giants Defense is really rounding into form at just the right time, and their strength is a wall of a defensive line. If they are able to keep the Cardinals out of the situations where they typically rely on Drake, then the RB’s impact likely will be minimal. Over the last four games, the Giants have allowed an average of 73 rushing yards to opposing backfields - including keeping Chris Carson to 65 yards and Antonio Gibson to 20 yards. Opposing backs do have success in the passing game against the Giants, and while Drake has been more involved in this area than before (10 receptions in four games) it still is not a significant part of his game.
Prediction: 14 carries for 40 yards, 3 catches for 20 yards