Ministry of Pain
Footballguy
Chicago at Washington
Adrian Peterson: 22 carries for 67 yards last week only reinforces that the OL in Chicago cannot run block worth a spit. His 12 catches however for 123 yards over the last 2 weeks from 14 targets is something to take note of. The Skins allow on average about 6 catches a week OOTB for opposing RB, however they only allow about 8 yard avg and have not allowed a RB outside of Brian Westbrook to score a receiving TD all season…
Clinton Portis: 12/36 against Dallas, 20/68 against the Bucs, 25/50 against Buffalo, did manage a TD. This guy just continues to underwhelm me. Maybe it’s the OL but there really is not a huge upside to him on a weekly basis. He doesn’t seem that bad beause it has been a down year overall for RB.
Tampa Bay at Houston
Earnest Graham: Start Him…The Texans have allowed 11 rushing TD on the season, there is better than a 50% chance that Graham will score this week. Graham has scored 4 weeks in a row. TB may have found a good compliment to Cadillac when he returns next season. Graham should make a push for top10 this week.
Ron Dayne: Tampa has not allowed a 100 yard rusher since Kenton Keith in week 5, and they have not allowed a rushing TD since Edge in week 9…he only had 9/15 yards in that game to boot. The Bucs are starting to get it together, Garcia’s return would help but Luke McCown looked great last week. Back to Ron Dayne…I don’t like his upside this week.
Oakland at Green Bay
Justin Fargas: Hard to gauge what the mindset of the Pack is going to be, only allowed 3 rushing TD for the entire season so Fargas is no automatic to do anything this week. Fargas however has had some really big games this season. 22/179 Miami, 23/104/TD Houston, 22/139/TD KC, 33/146/TD Denver…OK he has run well on some of the worst run stopping defenses in the league…but he still has been able to do it. How many RB do we pimp as having potentially big weeks and end up rolling snake eyes?
Ryan Grant: Start him…The Raiders are allowing a lot of yards and TD to opposing RB this season. 19 rushing TD on the season…Grant might be able to score twice on Sunday…LT, Chester, Kolby Smith, and Travis Henry have all had multiple TD days on Oakland, and also they have racked up some hefty yardage totals. Don’t know where FBG has him, but I see top10 this week, maybe top5.
Dallas at Detroit
MB III: The Lions were abused by ADP and Chester Taylor last week. You have to like this match up for Barber. Sure, the passing game will probably gobble up a lot of the points but it probably is prone to a blowout and they will use Barber and Jones to run the clock out in the 2nd half.
Kevin Jones: Follows up a 20/93/TD and 2/27 rec performance against GB with a 3/1 yard performance last week…that’s not a typo folks. He also had 4 carries for -4 yards back in week 10 against Arizona. I think Jones is a gamble and Dallas is operating on all cylinders now. The Cowboy shave not allowed a 100 yard rusher yet this season, they have allowed 7 rushing TD…Jones is probably a fringe top20 at best this week.
St Louis at Cincinnati
Steven Jackson: Start him…The guy has 22/76/TD, 23/92, 23/90/TD, and 20/96/TD and 4/71 rec last week, all of this since he came back from his knee injury. He should do very well against Cinci…do be aware there is a chance that Brock Berlin will start this week…that would put a lot of pressure on Jackson but ensures he will get a lot of touches as well.
Rudi Johnson: Start him…10 rushing TD St Louis has allowed on the season but not a single 100 yard rusher yet. Johnson had 25 carries 2 weeks ago and he did manage to find the end zone last week against Pittsburgh. I like his match up this week and think he can be a fringe top10 play.
Miami at Buffalo
Jess Chatman: I am not sure of the health of this guy so I am hesitant to endorse him one or the other. We will need to see the IR later in the week and see if he practices.
Lorenzo Booker: Saw his 1st touches last week, not sure if they will run him some this week but he had a great day OOTB last week.
Fred Jackson/Marshawn Lynch: Need to see the IR, but either of them are good plays against the Miami Dolphins this week.
San Diego at Tennessee
LT: Had a really strong game last week. Lucky for people that have to face LT in week 1 of the playoffs that Albert Haynesworth is lining up to stop him. LT is always capable of a big game but the percentages are not with him this week.
LenDale White: Had a TD last week, seems to be reliable again. I think we will see a 60/40 split with Brown for the time being. If you have other options certainly explore them but White has been pretty good for much of the season till late.
NY Giants at Philly
Derrick Ward: OUT FOR THE SEASON. Has 154 and a TD last week and breaks his leg on the last carry of his day…terrible.
Brandon Jacobs: Barber and Jones both rushed for 50+ and a TD in week 9, Portis racked up 137 rushing in week 10, Chatman had 72 in week 11, Maroney scored in week 12, Alexander and Morris combined for 125 and 2 TD last week. Jacobs should have some mild success on Sunday.
Reuben Droughns: If Jacobs couldn’t start, you would at least have to look at him.
Brian Westbrook: Start as usual.
Carolina at Jacksonville
DeShaun/DeAngelo: Tough match up for either of them. I bench both of them this week.
Fred Taylor: Back to Back 100+ yard weeks, that will come to an end this week.
MJD: TD 4 weeks in a row…8 for the season, might hit 10-12 yet. Better flex option than anything. Carolina has been tough the past 3 weeks on the ground. I expect this to be a low scoring affair.
Arizona at Seattle
Edge: Not a lot of upside right now with him. In 4 of the last 6 weeks in non PPR leagues he has had 8 points or less. The other 2 games were 11 and 12…he has not had much wow factor all season. I don’t think that will change on the road in Seattle.
Shaun Alexander: They say he is going to continue to split carries. 75 yards and a TD? That might be his upside right now. His alst 100 yard game was week 3, and Shaun only has 3 TD on the season…this is a guy that had 27, 2-3 years ago.
Minnesota at San Fran
ADP: Must start at this point. I still think the combo of him and Chester could pay off for owners.
Chester Taylor: Will not be surprised if he has a big hand in them winning on Sunday. They will likely roll the Niners who have Trent Dilfer at QB. That alone could put them in the hole 10-14 points. They have not been great against the run so there are plenty of points to be had.
Frank Gore: A bad bad bad match up. The Vikes are tough tough tough up the gut. Plan on a very ho hum game for Gore and the Niners on Sunday.
Cleveland at NY Jets
Jamal Lewis: Start him…he is beginning the start of a very soft run schedule down the stretch here. Anyone that has had this guy as an RB3 for most of the season…now is the time to find room for him as your starter. The browns lost a close one this past week and desperately need to win to keep advancing towards the playoffs this year. I like them to use Lewis as battering ram as the game progresses on Sunday. The Jets are not that good at stopping the run despite what they did against the 0-12 Dolphins last week.
Thomas Jones: Start him…the Browns defense is pretty shaky. 9 different RB have rushed for over 100 yards on them…surprising ly though they have only allowed 3 rushing TD on the season.
Kansas City at Denver
Kolby Smith: Start him…ride the gravy train while you can. The Broncos are not a juggernaut on rush defense, and KC is mediocre at best in passing the ball. I look for Smith to get 25 ccarries and be a top10 play this week.
Travis Henry: Start him…had 2 rushing TD last week. I think he will find success against KC and the charges against him and the suspension have gone away. He really bucked the trend. Dynasty owners must be counting their lucky stars with this guy. The
Pittsburgh at New England
FWP: Gonna be tough afternoon for him. I don’t expect him to have great stats, however McGahee showed that NE has not had to shut down the run in the 4th quarter much this season. I do expect Pittsburgh to fight hard against NE, Parker could be OK if he gets enough touches and the Steelers hang in there till the 4th quarter.
Laurence Maroney: Did have a couple of nice catches last week. 2 TD in the last 3 games…just cannot bank on this guy for much. I doubt NE is going to line up and ram it at Pittsburgh.
Heath Evans: Back to Back rushing TD the last 2 weeks…in TD only leagues if those still exist, he is worth a look.
Indy at Baltimore
Joseph Addai: I would say this is a terrible match up but the Ravens left everything they had on the field this past week. I really don’t expect them to lock down Addai all night long.
Willis McGahee: TD in 7 straight games. I see him running for #8 this week. He is a top5 RB on the season by default but he would still be a likely top10-12 play most other years. He was drafted as a lot of peoples RB2, and he has surpassed those expectations.
New Orleans at Atlanta
Reggie Bush: Sort of so so in a lot of leagues the past 4 weeks. With Deuce out of the way, he has shown he really can’t handle a full load of rushes. Maybe they should make him a slot WR like Eric Metcalf and call it a day. NO is a team that assuming Deuce is done at this point…they might have to draft a RB next season. Seriously!!!
Warrick Dunn: Well he had as many or more carries as Norwood last week but he sure didn’t post the same stats. He is a shaky start at best right now.
Jerious Norwood: 84 yards on 9 carries? Might want to give that guy the ball a little more. 69/442 on the season…Reggie Bush only has about 550 on the ground to put it in perspective here. That is a 6.4 yard average which is what he ran for the year before. He also has 23 rec for 183. 625 yards of offense for a very part time player…maybe they should utilize the guy a little more, wadda you think?
Good luck to everyone this weekend. I wanted to get the thread up early, look for changes based on the IR later in the week.
Adrian Peterson: 22 carries for 67 yards last week only reinforces that the OL in Chicago cannot run block worth a spit. His 12 catches however for 123 yards over the last 2 weeks from 14 targets is something to take note of. The Skins allow on average about 6 catches a week OOTB for opposing RB, however they only allow about 8 yard avg and have not allowed a RB outside of Brian Westbrook to score a receiving TD all season…
Clinton Portis: 12/36 against Dallas, 20/68 against the Bucs, 25/50 against Buffalo, did manage a TD. This guy just continues to underwhelm me. Maybe it’s the OL but there really is not a huge upside to him on a weekly basis. He doesn’t seem that bad beause it has been a down year overall for RB.
Tampa Bay at Houston
Earnest Graham: Start Him…The Texans have allowed 11 rushing TD on the season, there is better than a 50% chance that Graham will score this week. Graham has scored 4 weeks in a row. TB may have found a good compliment to Cadillac when he returns next season. Graham should make a push for top10 this week.
Ron Dayne: Tampa has not allowed a 100 yard rusher since Kenton Keith in week 5, and they have not allowed a rushing TD since Edge in week 9…he only had 9/15 yards in that game to boot. The Bucs are starting to get it together, Garcia’s return would help but Luke McCown looked great last week. Back to Ron Dayne…I don’t like his upside this week.
Oakland at Green Bay
Justin Fargas: Hard to gauge what the mindset of the Pack is going to be, only allowed 3 rushing TD for the entire season so Fargas is no automatic to do anything this week. Fargas however has had some really big games this season. 22/179 Miami, 23/104/TD Houston, 22/139/TD KC, 33/146/TD Denver…OK he has run well on some of the worst run stopping defenses in the league…but he still has been able to do it. How many RB do we pimp as having potentially big weeks and end up rolling snake eyes?
Ryan Grant: Start him…The Raiders are allowing a lot of yards and TD to opposing RB this season. 19 rushing TD on the season…Grant might be able to score twice on Sunday…LT, Chester, Kolby Smith, and Travis Henry have all had multiple TD days on Oakland, and also they have racked up some hefty yardage totals. Don’t know where FBG has him, but I see top10 this week, maybe top5.
Dallas at Detroit
MB III: The Lions were abused by ADP and Chester Taylor last week. You have to like this match up for Barber. Sure, the passing game will probably gobble up a lot of the points but it probably is prone to a blowout and they will use Barber and Jones to run the clock out in the 2nd half.
Kevin Jones: Follows up a 20/93/TD and 2/27 rec performance against GB with a 3/1 yard performance last week…that’s not a typo folks. He also had 4 carries for -4 yards back in week 10 against Arizona. I think Jones is a gamble and Dallas is operating on all cylinders now. The Cowboy shave not allowed a 100 yard rusher yet this season, they have allowed 7 rushing TD…Jones is probably a fringe top20 at best this week.
St Louis at Cincinnati
Steven Jackson: Start him…The guy has 22/76/TD, 23/92, 23/90/TD, and 20/96/TD and 4/71 rec last week, all of this since he came back from his knee injury. He should do very well against Cinci…do be aware there is a chance that Brock Berlin will start this week…that would put a lot of pressure on Jackson but ensures he will get a lot of touches as well.
Rudi Johnson: Start him…10 rushing TD St Louis has allowed on the season but not a single 100 yard rusher yet. Johnson had 25 carries 2 weeks ago and he did manage to find the end zone last week against Pittsburgh. I like his match up this week and think he can be a fringe top10 play.
Miami at Buffalo
Jess Chatman: I am not sure of the health of this guy so I am hesitant to endorse him one or the other. We will need to see the IR later in the week and see if he practices.
Lorenzo Booker: Saw his 1st touches last week, not sure if they will run him some this week but he had a great day OOTB last week.
Fred Jackson/Marshawn Lynch: Need to see the IR, but either of them are good plays against the Miami Dolphins this week.
San Diego at Tennessee
LT: Had a really strong game last week. Lucky for people that have to face LT in week 1 of the playoffs that Albert Haynesworth is lining up to stop him. LT is always capable of a big game but the percentages are not with him this week.
LenDale White: Had a TD last week, seems to be reliable again. I think we will see a 60/40 split with Brown for the time being. If you have other options certainly explore them but White has been pretty good for much of the season till late.
NY Giants at Philly
Derrick Ward: OUT FOR THE SEASON. Has 154 and a TD last week and breaks his leg on the last carry of his day…terrible.
Brandon Jacobs: Barber and Jones both rushed for 50+ and a TD in week 9, Portis racked up 137 rushing in week 10, Chatman had 72 in week 11, Maroney scored in week 12, Alexander and Morris combined for 125 and 2 TD last week. Jacobs should have some mild success on Sunday.
Reuben Droughns: If Jacobs couldn’t start, you would at least have to look at him.
Brian Westbrook: Start as usual.
Carolina at Jacksonville
DeShaun/DeAngelo: Tough match up for either of them. I bench both of them this week.
Fred Taylor: Back to Back 100+ yard weeks, that will come to an end this week.
MJD: TD 4 weeks in a row…8 for the season, might hit 10-12 yet. Better flex option than anything. Carolina has been tough the past 3 weeks on the ground. I expect this to be a low scoring affair.
Arizona at Seattle
Edge: Not a lot of upside right now with him. In 4 of the last 6 weeks in non PPR leagues he has had 8 points or less. The other 2 games were 11 and 12…he has not had much wow factor all season. I don’t think that will change on the road in Seattle.
Shaun Alexander: They say he is going to continue to split carries. 75 yards and a TD? That might be his upside right now. His alst 100 yard game was week 3, and Shaun only has 3 TD on the season…this is a guy that had 27, 2-3 years ago.
Minnesota at San Fran
ADP: Must start at this point. I still think the combo of him and Chester could pay off for owners.
Chester Taylor: Will not be surprised if he has a big hand in them winning on Sunday. They will likely roll the Niners who have Trent Dilfer at QB. That alone could put them in the hole 10-14 points. They have not been great against the run so there are plenty of points to be had.
Frank Gore: A bad bad bad match up. The Vikes are tough tough tough up the gut. Plan on a very ho hum game for Gore and the Niners on Sunday.
Cleveland at NY Jets
Jamal Lewis: Start him…he is beginning the start of a very soft run schedule down the stretch here. Anyone that has had this guy as an RB3 for most of the season…now is the time to find room for him as your starter. The browns lost a close one this past week and desperately need to win to keep advancing towards the playoffs this year. I like them to use Lewis as battering ram as the game progresses on Sunday. The Jets are not that good at stopping the run despite what they did against the 0-12 Dolphins last week.
Thomas Jones: Start him…the Browns defense is pretty shaky. 9 different RB have rushed for over 100 yards on them…surprising ly though they have only allowed 3 rushing TD on the season.
Kansas City at Denver
Kolby Smith: Start him…ride the gravy train while you can. The Broncos are not a juggernaut on rush defense, and KC is mediocre at best in passing the ball. I look for Smith to get 25 ccarries and be a top10 play this week.
Travis Henry: Start him…had 2 rushing TD last week. I think he will find success against KC and the charges against him and the suspension have gone away. He really bucked the trend. Dynasty owners must be counting their lucky stars with this guy. The
Pittsburgh at New England
FWP: Gonna be tough afternoon for him. I don’t expect him to have great stats, however McGahee showed that NE has not had to shut down the run in the 4th quarter much this season. I do expect Pittsburgh to fight hard against NE, Parker could be OK if he gets enough touches and the Steelers hang in there till the 4th quarter.
Laurence Maroney: Did have a couple of nice catches last week. 2 TD in the last 3 games…just cannot bank on this guy for much. I doubt NE is going to line up and ram it at Pittsburgh.
Heath Evans: Back to Back rushing TD the last 2 weeks…in TD only leagues if those still exist, he is worth a look.
Indy at Baltimore
Joseph Addai: I would say this is a terrible match up but the Ravens left everything they had on the field this past week. I really don’t expect them to lock down Addai all night long.
Willis McGahee: TD in 7 straight games. I see him running for #8 this week. He is a top5 RB on the season by default but he would still be a likely top10-12 play most other years. He was drafted as a lot of peoples RB2, and he has surpassed those expectations.
New Orleans at Atlanta
Reggie Bush: Sort of so so in a lot of leagues the past 4 weeks. With Deuce out of the way, he has shown he really can’t handle a full load of rushes. Maybe they should make him a slot WR like Eric Metcalf and call it a day. NO is a team that assuming Deuce is done at this point…they might have to draft a RB next season. Seriously!!!
Warrick Dunn: Well he had as many or more carries as Norwood last week but he sure didn’t post the same stats. He is a shaky start at best right now.
Jerious Norwood: 84 yards on 9 carries? Might want to give that guy the ball a little more. 69/442 on the season…Reggie Bush only has about 550 on the ground to put it in perspective here. That is a 6.4 yard average which is what he ran for the year before. He also has 23 rec for 183. 625 yards of offense for a very part time player…maybe they should utilize the guy a little more, wadda you think?
Good luck to everyone this weekend. I wanted to get the thread up early, look for changes based on the IR later in the week.
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