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RB Match Ups to Exploit/Avoid Week 8 (1 Viewer)

Ministry of Pain

Footballguy
Just a reminder that I tend to highlight the players in green that I think might be slightly under the radar, or sometimes they are stud RB but I just feel they might have an explosive day that week. Red is an alert that I don't expect good things from that player. if you ever have a question about any of that, just post below and I will be glad to go a little more in depth. Cheers!

Detroit at Chicago

Kevin Jones: Has to be looked at as a potential solid play. The Bears are getting very little out of their interior DL right now, add to that their Safety Mike Brown is out for the season, and even though Urlacher is excellent, he can’t do a much when he is being blocked down on by 300 lb OL because they have clear shots at him. Will Mike Martz call Kevin Jones number enough times? I think he will. This is a big game with playoff implications…Detroit could be 5-2 after this week…scary.

Cedric Benson: On top of being ineffective, he also has been banged up a bit…he is killing FF owners this season. I wonder what Chicago is going to do long term because Benson does not seem like a good solution. Maybe the OL could block a little better but this for the most part same OL saw Thomas Jones be very effective running behind it.

Indy at Carolina

Joseph Addai: I tend to listen to Tony Dungy when he speaks and as much as I hate to write this, it seems like we have a split of sorts at RB. I still think Addai will get about 60% of the load, but the Colts are thinking about keeping Addai fresh for the playoffs, and if there is one area they are better than the Pats, it might be the fact they have a very fluid 2 back system. Even in this system, Addai is likely to put up 100 yds and a TD a week, I just think owners are going to get frustrated with seeing Keith rack up 50 yds and maybe a TD every other week. This is alos having quite an impact on the passing game as there really has been no need to sling it all over the place. The Colts can run the ball very effectively.

Kenton Keith: If you have bye week issues, this is not a bad option. The match up is not super but I expect he will get some touches. He has a different running style than Addai, fun to watch when he gets the ball.

DeShaun Foster: Watch the IR…it appears he will be a gametime decision. Either way he probably is going to split the load this week…however the Panthers may be playing from behind. The Colts passing defense is not going to allow Carr or Testaverde to get any rhythm going so expect the Panthers to try and run the ball as much as they can.

DeAngelo Williams: I like him with 6 teams all on bye weeks this week. Felx spot, I might play him. If he is starting, I definitely get him out there. ADP is not the only young back that needs to bust out…time for DWill to show what he’s got.

Cleveland at St Louis

Jamal Lewis: I expect him to play, he partially participated in Thursday’s practice. The Rams are not a great rush defense despite the fact no one RB has been able to rack 100+ yards on the ground. It’s just a matter of who will do it, but teams as a whole have been able to run on St Louis.

Steven Jackson: Says he is going to start. I am always leery of guys that have been out as long as Jackson has…like to see what they do for a week. However owners are probably desperate to get him on the field this week and when you add in 6 teams all on bye weeks…not a good situation for a lot of owners. The good news is Cleveland allows about 150 yards a game on the ground.

Oakland at Tennessee

LaMont Jordan: Be careful here. I have enjoyed the return of Jordan this season however there is a lot of rumors and rumblings that a slew of RB could be in the mix in Oakland. Let’s face it, they aren’t going anywhere and at some point they are going to try different guys in different situations to see what they want to keep. I don’t see Rhodes being a good fit in Oakland with the return of Jordan, the progression of Fargas, bush still waiting to see the field…Rhodes is older and while they did sign him, they could easily part ways with him at the end of the season. All that said, this is not a good match up as Tennessee is leading the league by allowing only 59 yards a game on the ground…YIKES!

FatDale White: Came thru great last weekend. Don’t worry about who is running behind him because the coaches are feeding White the ball a lot. He looked good and should fare well against an Oakland team that is allowing around 140 yards a game on the ground and at least a TD a week. He is a pretty strong play…although he does tend to be inconsistent.

Philly at Minnesota

Brian Westbrook: Tough match up this week but you can’t sit this guy ever. His receptions OOTB alone should get him close to 100 total yards.

Adrian Peterson: Childress says that ADP will be more involved in the offense moving forward…didn’t his 78 yd TD, 63 yd TD, and 35 yd TD all in one game the week before against the Bears…didn’t that give him some kind of clue? Philly will not allow ADP to run right through them so I hope that Childress doesn’t say after the game… “I gave him 25 carries and he just isn’t ready for a full load.” My point is I expect average numbers from ADP on Sunday no matter how many times they let him touch it, Philly is pretty strong against the run.

Pittsburgh at Cincinnati

Willie Parker: Great match up, won’t hype him up too much as he has been a bit of a disappointment at times this year, but he has a real chance at top5 numbers this week. Cinci is terrible at the run and pass really.

Rudi Johnson/Kenny Watson: I don’t like either this week. Pittsburgh lost a close game in Denver, a game they should have won but didn’t. They played poorly, I expect them to come out and hammer the Bengals on Sunday, just a good ole fashion butt kicking. And I don’t expect the Bengals to be able to run the ball much.

New York Giants at Miami

Brandon Jacobs: Zach Thomas is likely not making the trip to England, I expect Jacobs to be able to run wild on Miami…also Ward is not practicing this week so Jacobs might get 20+ carries on Sunday. Really a must start this week.

Jessie Chatman: I know owners are looking for that handout and feel they found it with Chatman. I would really caution owners this week with any Miami RB…things are not good down here folks. There is a lot of dissension in the locker room right now…even if you don’t have a link, I talk to a lot of the local beat writers and radio hosts down here in Miami and that locker room right now is not pretty. I still maintain that Cam Cameron might not be here all that long if they keep losing. This isn’t a great match up for Miami anyways…the Giants are destroying bad teams and Miami is a bad team. Chatman being in the top10 at FBG is disturbing to me.

Buffalo at NY Jets

Marshawn Lynch: Jets are allowing 138 yarda a game on the ground, 9 TD on the season, this is a great week for Lynch owners. No reason to keep this guy on your bench. The Bills are playing well right now and there is a good feeling about the team right now. All that is great for owners out there. Lynch is a top10 RB this week.

Thomas Jones: Henry, Parker, Maroney and McGahee have all had 100+ yard games on the ground. Last time these two teams met, TJ only mustered 35 on the ground. I would think he should fare better this weekend. He’s a start, probably a good middle of the pack RB2 this week.

Leon Washington: Had 8 catches on 8 targets and a rushing TD last time these 2 teams met. Probably won’t duplicate those numbers but again with bye week issues, he might not be a terrible flex option this week.

Houston at San Diego

Ahman Green: Continues to disappoint each and every week including a lot of nagging injuries. San Diego won’t be an easy team for him this week. I likely let him ride the pine in most leagues.

LaDainian Tomlinson: I hear he’s pretty good

Jacksonville at Tampa Bay

Fred Taylor: MJD did not practive Wed, partial practice on Thursday…Taylor might get more carries however I expect this game to be very low scoring and I expect the Bucs to stack the line in order to stop the Jags rushing game. Taylor is not a good play even with more potential touches.

MJD: I wouldn’t be in a hurry to get him in your lineup this week.

Earnest Graham: Did he produce for owners last week. 13 receptions really padded his numbers to go with almost 200 yards of offense. He won’t see anything close to that this week. Jax is pretty nasty on defense despite getting beat up against the Colts who are just a better team. The final scor in this game might be 10-6 or 9-7…there won’t be much scoring all the way around IMO.

Washington at New England

Clinton Portis: Did score twice last week but only managed about 40 yards on the ground, in what many felt would be his best day of the season. You can’t like the match up this week but I think Washington will stand toe to toe with new England and really give them a run for their money until the 4th quarter.

Ladell Betts: I just have a funny feeling about him this weekend…not sure why.

Laurence Maroney: Was not needed to do much in the blowout last week in Miami. I expect him to be more involved this week and should be worth a start.

Kevin Faulk: Nice guy but always proves that he has never and will never be a 20 touch type guy no matter what the circumstances.

New Orleans at San Fran

Reggie Bush: Green light for the rest of the season really. Not tearing it up but he is producing solid numbers, especially in PPR leagues where his value is top10.

Frank Gore: Had a bad week last week as I predicted and then let loose on the coaches after the game…nice. He should do much better this week as NO is middle of the road at best against the run. Gore was nicked up a bit too this week so stay on top of the IR as well.

Green Bay at Denver

DeShawn Wynn: They have named him the starter this week. I like th e move and think Wynn can have some success against Denver who is terrible at stopping the run. I wouldn’t hesitate with him as an RB2 this week.

Travis Henry: Not sure what to say…he has been very disappointing all the way around. Few to almost none in the TD department. He has not posted good numbers since the drug charges against him surfaced. I think he will have a hard time running this week assuming he is healthy. Green bay has allowed 2 rushing TD all season.

And finally I wanted to add a new song I heard this week thanks to Colin's thread in the FFA...really good rock song from the Foo Fighters, I am going to post the link in here to youtube so you can enjoy it as well. If you haven't heard it and you are a rock fan, I think you'll like it. Good way to end my post this week.

:rolleyes: The Pretender :headbang:

If you want to highlight a RB or get more in depth about a match up, please feel free to fire away and let’s discuss. Good luck to everyone!

 
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Ministry, I hear you about S Jax. The juice seems so inviting on one end - the risk/reward. This guy intriques me from here on out.

My two starting RB's are LT and Portis. Just as I think I'm going to give up on Portis he comes through - especially in a TD heavy league. This week he gets NE.

The guy sitting out there on the waiver wire is Steven Jackson. As the week evolves Portis and Jackson seem to be in a dead heat, except Portis has a higher TD possibility percentage. I'm also thinking from hear on out who's the better option. Tough call right now. Jackson looks to have a decent schedule down the stretch, barring further injury. The season could loom in this choice.

Been following your thread for as long as I can remember.

~Cheers,

Smokin'

 
Hey M.O.P., just curious to what You think Duckett's roll will be for Lions?

You don't mention anything about the RB stable rather than Jones.....Prob. for Good Reason though.

 
Yo MoP, what do you think of Najeh Davenpoop this weekend against the Bengals? I know he threw up a clunker last weekend, but I still see him getting some goal line carries. Maybe something in the range of 60+ yards and a TD... or 2? :goodposting:

 
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Ministry, I hear you about S Jax. The juice seems so inviting on one end - the risk/reward. This guy intriques me from here on out.My two starting RB's are LT and Portis. Just as I think I'm going to give up on Portis he comes through - especially in a TD heavy league. This week he gets NE.The guy sitting out there on the waiver wire is Steven Jackson. As the week evolves Portis and Jackson seem to be in a dead heat, except Portis has a higher TD possibility percentage. I'm also thinking from hear on out who's the better option. Tough call right now. Jackson looks to have a decent schedule down the stretch, barring further injury. The season could loom in this choice.Been following your thread for as long as I can remember.~Cheers,Smokin'
Thank you very much.If SJax is on your WW, run don't walk to go get him.
 
Hey M.O.P., just curious to what You think Duckett's roll will be for Lions?You don't mention anything about the RB stable rather than Jones.....Prob. for Good Reason though.
KJ is a complete back and there is no need other than to give Jones a blow for TJ Duckett to be on the field really.
 
Yo MoP, what do you think of Najeh Davenpoop this weekend against the Bengals? I know he threw up a clunker last weekend, but I still see him getting some goal line carries. Maybe something in the range of 60+ yards and a TD... or 2? :popcorn:
What'cha smoking this morning LB...Davenport will have some success for the ramiander of the season but trying to predict it is going to be hard. I guess he could see action if this is a real blowout but I don't think it will be that ugly.
 
MOP - what are your thoughts on Reggie Bush in a ppr league for the rest of the year. Does he have what it takes to be a RB#1?

 
MOP - what are your thoughts on Reggie Bush in a ppr league for the rest of the year. Does he have what it takes to be a RB#1?
Top10 already in most of my leagues...already had his bye too so he might be higher.He's a stud RB in PPR leagues when you factor in that he doesn't have to share the load with anyone.
 
Yo MoP, what do you think of Najeh Davenpoop this weekend against the Bengals? I know he threw up a clunker last weekend, but I still see him getting some goal line carries. Maybe something in the range of 60+ yards and a TD... or 2? :bag:
What'cha smoking this morning LB...Davenport will have some success for the ramiander of the season but trying to predict it is going to be hard. I guess he could see action if this is a real blowout but I don't think it will be that ugly.
Hey don't Poop on Davenpoop like that. The guy has screwed Parker out of three TDs this year. I was just joking about the two TDs, but he should be able to put up 60 total yards and a TD, because THAT'S just how Najeh rolls! :no: :D
 
Good job.

And while Lendale has been inconsistent yardage wise...he has scored in 4 of their 6 games....and he was actually involved in the passing game a little bit last week.

 
Speaking of Titan running backs.....is Chris Brown healthy, or will he be inactive this week - anyone know? I am extremely thin at rb, and took a flyer on Chris Henry, hoping he gets some looks.

 
Speaking of Titan running backs.....is Chris Brown healthy, or will he be inactive this week - anyone know? I am extremely thin at rb, and took a flyer on Chris Henry, hoping he gets some looks.
He did not practice yesterday.ETA: Brown that is...
Oct 25 Jim Wyatt, of The Nashville Tennessean, reports Tennessee Titans RB Chris Brown (ankle) did not practice Thursday, Oct. 25, and is considered questionable for Week 8.
 
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These rankings don't make me feel very good. With byes I have Watson, or F. Taylor. I may drop Taylor and pick up Wright if he plays. Thanks for the confidence.

 
MOP -- I agree with you on Brandon Jacobs this week (especially if Ward doesnt play). He's not so high on the FBG cheatsheet this week which surprised me. Any idea what they're thinking? (Im going to have to decide between FatDale and BJ this week so any thoughts are appreciated)...

BTW -- in my PPR league, in terms of FF points, Lendale has been relatively consistent the past 4-6weeks. He's practically become a lock for double digit points which isnt too bad for an RB2.

 
MOP -- I agree with you on Brandon Jacobs this week (especially if Ward doesnt play). He's not so high on the FBG cheatsheet this week which surprised me. Any idea what they're thinking? (Im going to have to decide between FatDale and BJ this week so any thoughts are appreciated)...BTW -- in my PPR league, in terms of FF points, Lendale has been relatively consistent the past 4-6weeks. He's practically become a lock for double digit points which isnt too bad for an RB2.
Brandon Jacobs is third on Bloom's cheatsheet though. Dodd's not so much. I think they just disagree. Jacobs has been inconsistent all year, banged up all year, and had the occasional yank at the goal line all year. Bloom thinks he's a stud (see the Jacobs thread). This week could be very telling. Two good weeks in a row and he could be off to the races.
 
Adrian Peterson: Childress says that ADP will be more involved in the offense moving forward…didn’t his 78 yd TD, 63 yd TD, and 35 yd TD all in one game the week before against the Bears…didn’t that give him some kind of clue? Philly will not allow ADP to run right through them so I hope that Childress doesn’t say after the game… “I gave him 25 carries and he just isn’t ready for a full load.” My point is I expect average numbers from ADP on Sunday no matter how many times they let him touch it, Philly is pretty strong against the run.
The numbers say you're right but my gut tells me that ADP goes off this week. The Eagles' run D is overrated, IMO.So far the Eagle have played GB, Wash, Det, NYG, NYJ, Chi. With the exception of the Giants, not one of those teams is running the ball well this year. Thomas Jones had his only 100 yard game of the year (130) against the Birds.

 
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MOP -- I agree with you on Brandon Jacobs this week (especially if Ward doesnt play). He's not so high on the FBG cheatsheet this week which surprised me. Any idea what they're thinking? (Im going to have to decide between FatDale and BJ this week so any thoughts are appreciated)...BTW -- in my PPR league, in terms of FF points, Lendale has been relatively consistent the past 4-6weeks. He's practically become a lock for double digit points which isnt too bad for an RB2.
Brandon Jacobs is third on Bloom's cheatsheet though. Dodd's not so much. I think they just disagree. Jacobs has been inconsistent all year, banged up all year, and had the occasional yank at the goal line all year. Bloom thinks he's a stud (see the Jacobs thread). This week could be very telling. Two good weeks in a row and he could be off to the races.
The last 3 weeks are really the only 3 games he's played and he has been very consistant. Over 100 yards and a TD in 2 of them and 83 yards in the other.
 
Adrian Peterson: Childress says that ADP will be more involved in the offense moving forward…didn’t his 78 yd TD, 63 yd TD, and 35 yd TD all in one game the week before against the Bears…didn’t that give him some kind of clue? Philly will not allow ADP to run right through them so I hope that Childress doesn’t say after the game… “I gave him 25 carries and he just isn’t ready for a full load.” My point is I expect average numbers from ADP on Sunday no matter how many times they let him touch it, Philly is pretty strong against the run.
The numbers say you're right but my gut tells me that ADP goes off this week. The Eagles' run D is overrated, IMO.So far the Eagle have played GB, Wash, Det, NYG, NYJ, Chi. With the exception of the Giants, not one of those teams is running the ball well this year. Thomas Jones had his only 100 yard game of the year (130) against the Birds.
Agreed 100%. I'm very happy with what the defense has done this year, but this game just feels like a Jacksonville or New Orleans game from last year where they just won't be able to stop the run. The offensive line of the Vikings (especially the left side) should be able to prevent the Eagles defensive line from getting a big push, and if Peterson gets to the second level, it could get ugly quick. That being said, I still don't think the Vikings will dominate the game overall, but their ground game will probably be very effective.
 
Clinton Portis: Did score twice last week but only managed about 40 yards on the ground, in what many felt would be his best day of the season. You can’t like the match up this week but I think Washington will stand toe to toe with new England and really give them a run for their money until the 4th quarter.
I don't see how Wahington can stay with New England and if they're behind I think we'll see a lot of Betts while playing catch-up/keeping Portis healthy. I'm starting KJ over Portis this weekend.
 
Clinton Portis: Did score twice last week but only managed about 40 yards on the ground, in what many felt would be his best day of the season. You can’t like the match up this week but I think Washington will stand toe to toe with new England and really give them a run for their money until the 4th quarter.
I don't see how Wahington can stay with New England and if they're behind I think we'll see a lot of Betts while playing catch-up/keeping Portis healthy. I'm starting KJ over Portis this weekend.
:blackdot: Interesting thought here. Maybe Betts makes a nice RB3/Flex option this weekend? :lmao:

 
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MOP -- I agree with you on Brandon Jacobs this week (especially if Ward doesnt play). He's not so high on the FBG cheatsheet this week which surprised me. Any idea what they're thinking? (Im going to have to decide between FatDale and BJ this week so any thoughts are appreciated)...BTW -- in my PPR league, in terms of FF points, Lendale has been relatively consistent the past 4-6weeks. He's practically become a lock for double digit points which isnt too bad for an RB2.
Brandon Jacobs is third on Bloom's cheatsheet though. Dodd's not so much. I think they just disagree. Jacobs has been inconsistent all year, banged up all year, and had the occasional yank at the goal line all year. Bloom thinks he's a stud (see the Jacobs thread). This week could be very telling. Two good weeks in a row and he could be off to the races.
The last 3 weeks are really the only 3 games he's played and he has been very consistant. Over 100 yards and a TD in 2 of them and 83 yards in the other.
All true, but in that second game he was yanked for Droughns at the critical spot and Ward picked up the TD in garbage time. Thinking this situation is anything but a RBBC is reaching, but Jacobs does appear to have the biggest upside. Perhaps it will slowly turn as AD has slowly turned Chester Taylor into a ghost. This week could tell the story. I'd like to see two weeks in a row of no shanahanigans.
 
MOP -- I agree with you on Brandon Jacobs this week (especially if Ward doesnt play). He's not so high on the FBG cheatsheet this week which surprised me. Any idea what they're thinking? (Im going to have to decide between FatDale and BJ this week so any thoughts are appreciated)...

BTW -- in my PPR league, in terms of FF points, Lendale has been relatively consistent the past 4-6weeks. He's practically become a lock for double digit points which isnt too bad for an RB2.
Brandon Jacobs is third on Bloom's cheatsheet though. Dodd's not so much. I think they just disagree. Jacobs has been inconsistent all year, banged up all year, and had the occasional yank at the goal line all year. Bloom thinks he's a stud (see the Jacobs thread). This week could be very telling. Two good weeks in a row and he could be off to the races.
The last 3 weeks are really the only 3 games he's played and he has been very consistant. Over 100 yards and a TD in 2 of them and 83 yards in the other.
All true, but in that second game he was yanked for Droughns at the critical spot and Ward picked up the TD in garbage time. Thinking this situation is anything but a RBBC is reaching, but Jacobs does appear to have the biggest upside. Perhaps it will slowly turn as AD has slowly turned Chester Taylor into a ghost. This week could tell the story. I'd like to see two weeks in a row of no shanahanigans.
This may be about to happen, but I would not go so far as to say that he has turned Taylor into a ghost. Taylor still is on the field more and has as many touches as AD. I see this changing as the year goes on, but the only reason Taylor could be considered a ghost at this point is his own lack of productivity.
 
Clinton Portis: Did score twice last week but only managed about 40 yards on the ground, in what many felt would be his best day of the season. You can’t like the match up this week but I think Washington will stand toe to toe with new England and really give them a run for their money until the 4th quarter.
I don't see how Wahington can stay with New England and if they're behind I think we'll see a lot of Betts while playing catch-up/keeping Portis healthy. I'm starting KJ over Portis this weekend.
:shrug: Interesting thought here. Maybe Betts makes a nice RB3/Flex option this weekend? :unsure:
Maybe, maybe not.Betts isn't really leaps and bounds ahead of Portis as a pass-catcher, but Portis is significantly better than Betts in pass blocking. With a messed up OL, and with the likelihood of Campbell needing to pass a good bit to try to keep up with the Pats, Portis will probably be in the game just as much as usual (maybe even more) due to him being a great asset in pass protection.

 
Ministry, I hear you about S Jax. The juice seems so inviting on one end - the risk/reward. This guy intriques me from here on out.My two starting RB's are LT and Portis. Just as I think I'm going to give up on Portis he comes through - especially in a TD heavy league. This week he gets NE.The guy sitting out there on the waiver wire is Steven Jackson. As the week evolves Portis and Jackson seem to be in a dead heat, except Portis has a higher TD possibility percentage. I'm also thinking from hear on out who's the better option. Tough call right now. Jackson looks to have a decent schedule down the stretch, barring further injury. The season could loom in this choice.Been following your thread for as long as I can remember.~Cheers,Smokin'
Thank you very much.If SJax is on your WW, run don't walk to go get him.
MOP - in our league what I mean by the waiver wire are those players we can pick up in replace of another, or drop. Team Hens dropped Jackson (#2 overall pick) after hearing the devastating news. So, what I am saying is that he is available, but I would have to drop Portis (my #48 overall pick) to pick up S Jax. That would mean Portis would go back into the pool and mostly likely someone else would snag him.So, it's really a question of who performs better the remainder of the season - Portis or S. Jackson? And I know it is always my call. Leaning toward the big home run threat in Jackson, yet still teetering. We have our own league of 12 with unique rules that has been going on for about 20 years I would say.
 
MOP, as usual you are DA man! Thanks again for indepth weekly RB analysis. We know you spend a good amount of your time putting this together and it is much appreciated

:thumbup: :( :( :thanks:

 
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Solid thread as usual, MOP. I have to disagree about ADP though.

The Eagles run D is overrated. The Eagles have played GB, Wash, Det, NYG, NYJ, Chi this year. Aside from NY, none of those are great at rushing the football.

Philly has a history of having trouble with big, physical RBs and big O-lines. Their speedy defense can contain a scatback RB, but I think a big bruiser like Peterson will give Philly problems. I think ADP has 130 yards and at least one TD this week.

Since Philly has trouble on offense right now, this game has all the signs of a 17-13 Minnesota win with about 35 carries between Peterson and Chester Taylor. I think even Taylor will have a decent #2 RB stat line if he gets enough carries.

 
Clinton Portis: Did score twice last week but only managed about 40 yards on the ground, in what many felt would be his best day of the season. You can’t like the match up this week but I think Washington will stand toe to toe with new England and really give them a run for their money until the 4th quarter.
I don't see how Wahington can stay with New England and if they're behind I think we'll see a lot of Betts while playing catch-up/keeping Portis healthy. I'm starting KJ over Portis this weekend.
Not totally disagreeing with this logic, but something tells me that if you leave Portis on your bench this week you'll regret it.I think the Skins have a really good shot at remaining competitive in this game. Also the way they will do that is to run the ball and try to keep NE defense off the field. However, imo the Skins will come out flinging it to set up the run for the rest of the game.The Skins have yet to allow any team to score 30 and only one team has broken 20 against them, NYG. A game the Skins should have won if Gibbs didn't go all Brian Billick (sp?) on that game. So that bodes really well for this game staying close. This is by far the best D the Pats have faced.Now having said that I would imagine that the Pats will stack the box and try to expose Campbell for the fraud of a QB he is, but with Moss (yes I said Moss) and Randle El, even Campbell can make the underneath throws and a few possible bombs. Enough to keep the pass rush at bay. Lots of screen passes too. Portis and Betts will be very busy.Even though, as you can tell, I basically don't like Campbell, Cleo Lemon and Derek Anderson had pretty good if not better than good games against the Pats. So I think even Campbell can get the Skins in the redzone against the Pats.Now, you're going to say that the Pats haven't allowed a single 100-yard rusher and you are exactly right, but if R. Brown didn't get hurt last week he was well on his way. And really other than LT's fluke game, the Pats have not faced any good/great RBs. (only 2 including Brown.)So I guess I'll have to call it a hunch, but the Pats are due to have a down game at some point. I think this is it. Not saying they'll lose, but I think the Skins have a better than average chance of winning and Portis will be the key to that happening.I'll just call it: 85 rushing 40 receiving 2 TDsJust my feeling on it. Also Betts will have his best game of the year.
 
Adrian Peterson: Childress says that ADP will be more involved in the offense moving forward…didn’t his 78 yd TD, 63 yd TD, and 35 yd TD all in one game the week before against the Bears…didn’t that give him some kind of clue? Philly will not allow ADP to run right through them so I hope that Childress doesn’t say after the game… “I gave him 25 carries and he just isn’t ready for a full load.” My point is I expect average numbers from ADP on Sunday no matter how many times they let him touch it, Philly is pretty strong against the run.
The numbers say you're right but my gut tells me that ADP goes off this week. The Eagles' run D is overrated, IMO.So far the Eagle have played GB, Wash, Det, NYG, NYJ, Chi. With the exception of the Giants, not one of those teams is running the ball well this year. Thomas Jones had his only 100 yard game of the year (130) against the Birds.
Agreed 100%. I'm very happy with what the defense has done this year, but this game just feels like a Jacksonville or New Orleans game from last year where they just won't be able to stop the run. The offensive line of the Vikings (especially the left side) should be able to prevent the Eagles defensive line from getting a big push, and if Peterson gets to the second level, it could get ugly quick. That being said, I still don't think the Vikings will dominate the game overall, but their ground game will probably be very effective.
:shrug: (2 good postings for that matter)... I was at the Eagles/Jets game and was able to see the holes from the endzone - Thomas Jones had a few runs where we went untouched before the second level (without much of cutbacks moves)... throw in Peterson's quickness, vision and elusiveness - and I can easily see him breaking a long one, if not a few ones... The Vikings left OLine side is very impressive... Only the thought of the Vikings being down by alot early in the ballgame would make me think twice about Peterson...

 
Ministry, I hear you about S Jax. The juice seems so inviting on one end - the risk/reward. This guy intriques me from here on out.

My two starting RB's are LT and Portis. Just as I think I'm going to give up on Portis he comes through - especially in a TD heavy league. This week he gets NE.

The guy sitting out there on the waiver wire is Steven Jackson. As the week evolves Portis and Jackson seem to be in a dead heat, except Portis has a higher TD possibility percentage. I'm also thinking from hear on out who's the better option. Tough call right now. Jackson looks to have a decent schedule down the stretch, barring further injury. The season could loom in this choice.

Been following your thread for as long as I can remember.

~Cheers,

Smokin'
Thank you very much.If SJax is on your WW, run don't walk to go get him.
I know the potential(ADP #2), and upside, but my main concern is the OL injury mess SJax didn't fare to well before he was injured w/Rams depleted OL...not to say if he was on waivers I wouldn't snag him, but meeting defensive linemen & LBs 1-5 yards deep in the backfield is a tough task for anyone!
 
jdoggydogg said:
Solid thread as usual, MOP. I have to disagree about ADP though.The Eagles run D is overrated. The Eagles have played GB, Wash, Det, NYG, NYJ, Chi this year. Aside from NY, none of those are great at rushing the football. Philly has a history of having trouble with big, physical RBs and big O-lines. Their speedy defense can contain a scatback RB, but I think a big bruiser like Peterson will give Philly problems. I think ADP has 130 yards and at least one TD this week.Since Philly has trouble on offense right now, this game has all the signs of a 17-13 Minnesota win with about 35 carries between Peterson and Chester Taylor. I think even Taylor will have a decent #2 RB stat line if he gets enough carries.
We encourage disagreement JDog...keeps the threads interesting. Nice take on the Philly run defense...I do think shutting down Washington and NY is pretty solid on the resume.
 
Marshawn Lynch: Jets are allowing 138 yarda a game on the ground, 9 TD on the season, this is a great week for Lynch owners. No reason to keep this guy on your bench. The Bills are playing well right now and there is a good feeling about the team right now. All that is great for owners out there. Lynch is a top10 RB this week.
Vilma out for the season. Give Lynch a big bump.
 
jdoggydogg said:
Solid thread as usual, MOP. I have to disagree about ADP though.The Eagles run D is overrated. The Eagles have played GB, Wash, Det, NYG, NYJ, Chi this year. Aside from NY, none of those are great at rushing the football. Philly has a history of having trouble with big, physical RBs and big O-lines. Their speedy defense can contain a scatback RB, but I think a big bruiser like Peterson will give Philly problems. I think ADP has 130 yards and at least one TD this week.Since Philly has trouble on offense right now, this game has all the signs of a 17-13 Minnesota win with about 35 carries between Peterson and Chester Taylor. I think even Taylor will have a decent #2 RB stat line if he gets enough carries.
We encourage disagreement JDog...keeps the threads interesting. Nice take on the Philly run defense...I do think shutting down Washington and NY is pretty solid on the resume.
Jacobs is solid, and Portis is good. But I think you'd agree that:ADP > Portis and JacobsMinn O line > WA and NY O lines
 
MOP, after reading your analysis on SJax and Chatman, who has the better chance of putting up solid #s in a PPR league? I have gone back and forth so many times. My only other option is AGreen but playing against a SD defense and the way he's been playing causes me to go back to either SJax or Chatman. My fear is both players splitting carries with their backups. Also, if Miami gets behind early, they will be looking to throw. Will Chatman see alot of dumpoffs if that happens?

 
MOP, after reading your analysis on SJax and Chatman, who has the better chance of putting up solid #s in a PPR league? I have gone back and forth so many times. My only other option is AGreen but playing against a SD defense and the way he's been playing causes me to go back to either SJax or Chatman. My fear is both players splitting carries with their backups. Also, if Miami gets behind early, they will be looking to throw. Will Chatman see alot of dumpoffs if that happens?
Jackson has the much better match up against the Browns. Chatman may not be able to handle the load and I won't be a bit surprised to see him split with Cobbs too. SJAX has been out a long time but he is cleared to play so you have to assume even if he gets 15 touches he will make them count. OL is a major issue for St louis but they have too much talent to keep getting beat down every week.
 
When you have 3 "green" MOP running backs and can only start two is that a good thing or a bad thing?
:thumbup:
Well, I only got 2 (KJ, Jacobs), but to me, ADP might as well be 'green'I understand what you're saying on the matchup, but I really doubt Philly ever leads this game by more that 2 possesions. With that in mind, I think they get a steady dose of ADP all game and he gets 120 total yards, 1 and possibly 2 TDs.As for Chatman, never knew you were a MIA insider. I was considering moving him after this week only bc I need KJ this week due to byes (gonna package KJ/Chat for Andre Johnson, doesn't really effect my RBs -sig- despite my high opinion on KJ here on being high as Cheech). Is the outlook really that bad for Chatman though or is that just a caution flag? I wasn't expecting much, and never will start him, but w/ the #'s Ronnie put up, Id think Chatman would get at least half that pie, no?PS: Keep it Goin' MoP :yes:
 
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MOP -- I agree with you on Brandon Jacobs this week (especially if Ward doesnt play). He's not so high on the FBG cheatsheet this week which surprised me. Any idea what they're thinking? (Im going to have to decide between FatDale and BJ this week so any thoughts are appreciated)...

BTW -- in my PPR league, in terms of FF points, Lendale has been relatively consistent the past 4-6weeks. He's practically become a lock for double digit points which isnt too bad for an RB2.
Brandon Jacobs is third on Bloom's cheatsheet though. Dodd's not so much. I think they just disagree. Jacobs has been inconsistent all year, banged up all year, and had the occasional yank at the goal line all year. Bloom thinks he's a stud (see the Jacobs thread). This week could be very telling. Two good weeks in a row and he could be off to the races.
The last 3 weeks are really the only 3 games he's played and he has been very consistant. Over 100 yards and a TD in 2 of them and 83 yards in the other.
All true, but in that second game he was yanked for Droughns at the critical spot and Ward picked up the TD in garbage time. Thinking this situation is anything but a RBBC is reaching, but Jacobs does appear to have the biggest upside. Perhaps it will slowly turn as AD has slowly turned Chester Taylor into a ghost. This week could tell the story. I'd like to see two weeks in a row of no shanahanigans.
In that game, Jacobs got a shoulder stinger on the first play. He wasn't in on any 3rd and short or inside the 10 plays, I think due to this. From what I recall, Wards run was a 3rd down. Jacobs got dinged twice in this game and I think this was mostly precautionary. Why wouldnt you run that beast at the GL?Additionally, had the game been close last week, Jacobs #'s wouldve been huge. He barely touched the ball in the second half yet had 100 and 1. Nuff said

 
MOP -- I agree with you on Brandon Jacobs this week (especially if Ward doesnt play). He's not so high on the FBG cheatsheet this week which surprised me. Any idea what they're thinking? (Im going to have to decide between FatDale and BJ this week so any thoughts are appreciated)...

BTW -- in my PPR league, in terms of FF points, Lendale has been relatively consistent the past 4-6weeks. He's practically become a lock for double digit points which isnt too bad for an RB2.
Brandon Jacobs is third on Bloom's cheatsheet though. Dodd's not so much. I think they just disagree. Jacobs has been inconsistent all year, banged up all year, and had the occasional yank at the goal line all year. Bloom thinks he's a stud (see the Jacobs thread). This week could be very telling. Two good weeks in a row and he could be off to the races.
The last 3 weeks are really the only 3 games he's played and he has been very consistant. Over 100 yards and a TD in 2 of them and 83 yards in the other.
All true, but in that second game he was yanked for Droughns at the critical spot and Ward picked up the TD in garbage time. Thinking this situation is anything but a RBBC is reaching, but Jacobs does appear to have the biggest upside. Perhaps it will slowly turn as AD has slowly turned Chester Taylor into a ghost. This week could tell the story. I'd like to see two weeks in a row of no shanahanigans.
This may be about to happen, but I would not go so far as to say that he has turned Taylor into a ghost. Taylor still is on the field more and has as many touches as AD. I see this changing as the year goes on, but the only reason Taylor could be considered a ghost at this point is his own lack of productivity.
The only reason why ADP has turned CT into a ghost is because he's made him look like a cliffhanger from week 1. CT has been effective, ADP is just on another level. His productivity pales in comparison because he lacks the ability to break long runs and isnt good in the RZ. Aside from that, he's solid. He'll be getting at least 6 carries a game from hear on out, pending game situations...and this is coming from someone who has officially declared ADP a kimodo dragon-wolverine-manbeast.

 
When you have 3 "green" MOP running backs and can only start two is that a good thing or a bad thing?
:fishing:
Well, I only got 2 (KJ, Jacobs), but to me, ADP might as well be 'green'I understand what you're saying on the matchup, but I really doubt Philly ever leads this game by more that 2 possesions. With that in mind, I think they get a steady dose of ADP all game and he gets 120 total yards, 1 and possibly 2 TDs.As for Chatman, never knew you were a MIA insider. I was considering moving him after this week only bc I need KJ this week due to byes (gonna package KJ/Chat for Andre Johnson, doesn't really effect my RBs -sig- despite my high opinion on KJ here on being high as Cheech). Is the outlook really that bad for Chatman though or is that just a caution flag? I wasn't expecting much, and never will start him, but w/ the #'s Ronnie put up, Id think Chatman would get at least half that pie, no?PS: Keep it Goin' MoP :rolleyes:
Chatman will get touches today sure, but he has never had to carry a full load throughout his career and I can't see him being able to carry the ball 20+ times for the rest of the season...I know owners are looking for a free handout and feel Chatman can be that guy...I think Cobbs is in the mix there.
 
I've got the bad draft/waiver wire team to choose.

Been suffering w/ the mess in CAR and CHI - but picked up Watson and E Graham to fill in.

Watching Bensen and Foster is pure torture. Neither player shows any explosiveness whatsoever - although at least some of Foster's trouble has been QB injuries. He can catch out of the backfield though. Bensen is just horrendous - after watching him play a few times I don't see how any talent scout could suggest he is good.

So this week Bensen finally gets a good matchup - the DET defense. While Graham has a tough matchup at home against JAX.

My thought process is as follows -

Start Watson over Foster - since he will get the bulk of the carries - and remain in the game even if Pitt smacks down the Bungles (which they usually do)

Start Graham over Bensen - again Graham can catch the ball -and the TB offense at least is functional and will generate some offense against a pretty tough Jax D. Indy moved the ball against them by mixing in the short passing game - and running hard. Garcia can definitely manage that type of game.

Bensen - 80 yds - maybe a TD (max - and ADP2 could get everything)

Foster - pretty much the same line (and DW could vulture anything)

I think both Watson and Graham will easily get the same yardage numbers - have as much chance of scoring - and have more chance of having a 'good day'

And I must say - I somehow got to 5-2 but watching Foster and Bensen is just plain torture - I want to run out there and hit them w/ a cattle prod or something.

 
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