Ministry of Pain
Footballguy
Hey everyone,
Not much to shout about, so let’s jump to the games.
Chicago at Atlanta
Matt Forte: You have to start him this week. The Falcons give up between 100-150 yds to opposing RBs on a weekly basis. They also have allowed 5 rushing TDs. I see at least 100+ total yds and a TD for the rookie sensation this week.
Michael Turner: The Bears are going to come after and stack the box to stop Turner. They have the defense to do it and I expect a very average day from Turner. He has had a great game, then a bad game, a good game, bad game, good game…time for a stinker I’m afraid.
Jerious Norwood: I just don’t see it, but he is always a threat to rip a big one from anywhere on the field(that doesn’t sound right).
Final Score: Chicago 23…Atlanta 16
St Louis at Washington
Steven Jackson: The Skins defense early in the season had some challenges stopping the run…but they did contain Dallas and Philly the past two weeks. I have some issue with it though as I think the play calling by Garrett in the Dallas game lead to MB III only getting about 8 carries. Jackson is going to touch the ball 20-25 times a game, as an owner you love that. He might only avg 3.5-4.0 ypc but he will see catches and I expect the St Louis offense to make an appearance this week.
Clinton Portis: On paper he should rack up a ton of points this week. Jacobs/Bradshaw/Ward combined for about 200/TD, Julius and TJ Duckett ran for about 220/3TDs, Lynch/Jackson put up 100/TD…Portis should light it up this week.
Final Score: Washington 28…St Louis 21
Carolina at Tampa Bay
DeAngelo Williams: Will not repeat what he did a week ago. Only Forte has really done anything to their rush defense, Monte Kiffin is perhaps the best scheming D/C in the entire NFL…and his teams rarely get taken to the woodshed on rush defense. No RB has cleared the 100 yard mark rushing and the Bucs have allowed zero TDs against the run so far this season. DeWill should be on DeBench this week.
JStew: I would usually say it’s a good idea to play him as he gets the ball near the goal line but he is far form certain in this contest. Buyer beware against the Bucs on the road this week.
Earnest Graham: The Panthers kept LT in check in week 1, then followed that up with a good effort against the ever increasing monster of Matt Forte, then they completely shut down ADP, Turner, and Larry Johnson…I can’t green light the Bucs RB this week.
Warrick Dunn: See above
Final Score: Carolina 17…Tampa Bay 13
Cincinnati at NY Jets
Chris Perry: It was pointed out to me a couple weeks back form one of the board members that the Jets are not terrible against the run, and he was right in his post, but there is room for points here. The only thing positive for opposing RBs is that they give up about 1-2 TD a week on the ground, so far they have given up 6 in 4 games. So while I think Perry will have a somewhat quiet day in terms of real yards, the probability of him scoring on the ground is pretty good.
Cedric Benson: no way
Thomas Jones: Chris Johnson is the only Rb to go over 100 ards rushing, but the Bengals do give up yards on the ground and TJ should have a decent game this week. 75 yards and a possible TD should be in play for him this week.
Leon Washington: If the Jets get ahead, and that is no sure thing, but if they do, I would expect Washington to get more carries in the 3rd and 4th quarter. But overall he has doen nothing this season.
Final Score: NY Jets 20…Cincinnati 17
Oakland at New Orleans
Fargas/DMac/Bush: I don’t really like any of them this week. I feel the Saints will get up in this one and not give the game away again. You have a pie being split 3 ways, and then a hungry New Orleans team, and the Raiders are just a mess.
Reggie Bush: Uhhhhh, start him? Likely going top3 in most of the U.S 2nd rounds tonight and tomorrow, he is a must play right now.
Deuce McAllister: I like him to find the end zone at some point in this game.
Final Score: New Orleans 30…Oakland 16
Detroit at Minnesota
Rudi and Kevin: Neither will get much going in this contest. The Vikes are too good at stopping the ru…everyone saw what Bush did but a lot of it was on punt returns.
Adrian Peterson: Has a chance for 200 yards on Sunday.
Chester Taylor: Could knock in some points as I expect a Viking blowout.
Final Score: Minnesota 33…Detroit 13
Baltimore at Indianapolis
Willis McGahee: This week I think we will see the real McGahee. He has been splitting time, nursing an injury, I fully expect him to get a big workload against the Colts who allow a lot of yard per week on the ground.
LeMac: Much reduced role this week.
Joseph Addai: Tough game for him, but he will get touches. I think he will make most of his scoring OOTB, and maybe that is his value this week.
Final Score: Indy 17…Baltimore 14
Miami at Houston
Ronnie Brown: Should have a big game this week. Texans have yielded 7 rushing TDs so far this season in just 4 games. Chance of a Ronnie Brown TD…75%?
Ricky Williams: Worht a look but as I said last week, clearly the 2ns banana on that team.
Steve Slaton: Tough game for him this week. He catches the ball enough to merit a start but I don’t see top 10 numbers from him this week.
Final Score: Houston 24…Miami 17…look for Houston to get pass happy.
Jax at Denver
MJD and Taylor: The problem with this match up, is that even though on paper the Denver Broncos have been struggling, do the Jags have the horses to get the job done on the ground? And I say they don’t. I believe that you will see Garrard finally take this team on his back this week and throw the ball all over the place. He has to or the Jags season is going to get away from them. I realize this is no what some of you want to read but I am just basing it on what I see on the field.
Michael Pittman: Young is out, I would expect Pittman to get a few more carries but ultimately this game will boil down to Cutler and Marshall.
Final Score: Jacksonville 24…Denver 23
Green Bay at Seattle
Ryan Grant: Had close to about 80 yds on the ground last week, he still is way underperforming for his draft slot. The Seadogs at home are very tough, I would not expect big numbers this week form the GB rushing game.
Julius Jones: ADP, MB III, Graham, and Turner all rushed for well over 100 yards. JJ is no sure thing but at home I expect he will get penty of carries as the Seadogs will be in this game the whole way, and I would look for a strong game from him, possibly a sneaky top10 play this week.
Final Score: Seattle 27…Green Bay 24
Philadelphia at San Fran
Brian Westbrook: I think unless you are sure that you might want to sit him this week. Broken ribs are painful and I would not expect him to do well even if he took the field.
Buckhalter: Did sqaw-doosh last week. But the previous 2 weeks he had good solid games. I expect him to start and have respectable numbers but nothing close to what Westbrook can do.
Final Score: San Fran 24…Philly 20
Arizona at Dallas
Edge: Will not have a great game in Dallas this week. He seems to splitting up the TDs now with Hightower.
Tim Hightower: Only missed the end zone once in the first 5 weeks. Has close to the same amount of points overall in FF as Edge with a lot less carries.
MB III: Should return to finding the end zone this week.
Felix Jones: I like him to see action on Sunday, but again you can never bank on it.
Final Score: Dallas 34…Arizona 17
New England at San Diego
Maroney/Morris/Jordan/Faulk: If you can tell me what you think will happen, I’m all ears. Wannabee Professors need to sometimes step back and admit they have no idea what to expect…and this is one of those times.
LaDainian Tomlinson: This guy is getting no respect right now. I understand the toe injury, but he still is always a threat for 100+ yds and multiple TDs…and with Chambers nursing a high ankle sprain, I believe the passing game may be just a bit off. I see them coming out and running right at the Chargers. He has a chip on his shoulder going back to the NFC Divisional game 2 years ago, and the AFC Championship game last season.
Final Score: San Diego 20…New England 13
NY Giants at Cleveland
Brandon Jacobs: Should have another strong game this week. The Browns are not a good football team, and I expect some short field for Eli and the Giants Offense on MNF. Can’t see a reason to bench him right now.
Jamal Lewis: Hopefully the bye week helps, but I can’t see him rushing for a ton of yards in this game, especially when the Browns fall behind.
And one final note on the Giants. They are the World Champs, they are 5-0, they are finding ways to pummel teams with their cornucopia of WR including Plax, Toomer, Smith, and now Hixon plus Moss…they deserve some serious respect, and I just wanted to put that out there for the fans of the New York Giants. They rarely ##### and moan on the boards, they know football and understand their team, and they right now have a chance to put together a potential dynasty IMO. The fact they have to compete against the Skins, Cowboys, and Eagles only makes them stronger. Now that I have said this, look for New York to freefall…haha.
Final Score: New York 28...Cleveland 13
Good Luck this weekend and also remember that the Ultimate Survivor Round II will begin tonight and carry over thru tomorrow. There were 144 of us selected to compete, we are now down to 48 which will filter down to 12 over the next 5 weeks. Look for a complete team by team analysis form me for my conference/league, and if possible I will try and do the other 3 conferences as well, even if it is brief. Some of you are also asking why I didn't green light or red light anyone...I think based on my comments that you can assume who I think is strong and who isn't. If you need anything cleared up, either post it or drop me a PM.
Please please please...I love helping you guys but I am not good at trade scenarios...I had a bunch of them in my mailbox last week and I simply did not respond, I apologize for that. If you want trade advice, I suggest you seek out Jeff Tefertiller(Wannabee), he simply is about the best on this subject...I compete agianst him in several dynasty leagues and that guy always seems to be able to get it done and make everyone happy in the process. If you cannot reach him, I would send a PM to Jeff Pasquino who also is a very strong trader in dynasty and redraft leagues.
Not much to shout about, so let’s jump to the games.
Chicago at Atlanta
Matt Forte: You have to start him this week. The Falcons give up between 100-150 yds to opposing RBs on a weekly basis. They also have allowed 5 rushing TDs. I see at least 100+ total yds and a TD for the rookie sensation this week.
Michael Turner: The Bears are going to come after and stack the box to stop Turner. They have the defense to do it and I expect a very average day from Turner. He has had a great game, then a bad game, a good game, bad game, good game…time for a stinker I’m afraid.
Jerious Norwood: I just don’t see it, but he is always a threat to rip a big one from anywhere on the field(that doesn’t sound right).
Final Score: Chicago 23…Atlanta 16
St Louis at Washington
Steven Jackson: The Skins defense early in the season had some challenges stopping the run…but they did contain Dallas and Philly the past two weeks. I have some issue with it though as I think the play calling by Garrett in the Dallas game lead to MB III only getting about 8 carries. Jackson is going to touch the ball 20-25 times a game, as an owner you love that. He might only avg 3.5-4.0 ypc but he will see catches and I expect the St Louis offense to make an appearance this week.
Clinton Portis: On paper he should rack up a ton of points this week. Jacobs/Bradshaw/Ward combined for about 200/TD, Julius and TJ Duckett ran for about 220/3TDs, Lynch/Jackson put up 100/TD…Portis should light it up this week.
Final Score: Washington 28…St Louis 21
Carolina at Tampa Bay
DeAngelo Williams: Will not repeat what he did a week ago. Only Forte has really done anything to their rush defense, Monte Kiffin is perhaps the best scheming D/C in the entire NFL…and his teams rarely get taken to the woodshed on rush defense. No RB has cleared the 100 yard mark rushing and the Bucs have allowed zero TDs against the run so far this season. DeWill should be on DeBench this week.
JStew: I would usually say it’s a good idea to play him as he gets the ball near the goal line but he is far form certain in this contest. Buyer beware against the Bucs on the road this week.
Earnest Graham: The Panthers kept LT in check in week 1, then followed that up with a good effort against the ever increasing monster of Matt Forte, then they completely shut down ADP, Turner, and Larry Johnson…I can’t green light the Bucs RB this week.
Warrick Dunn: See above
Final Score: Carolina 17…Tampa Bay 13
Cincinnati at NY Jets
Chris Perry: It was pointed out to me a couple weeks back form one of the board members that the Jets are not terrible against the run, and he was right in his post, but there is room for points here. The only thing positive for opposing RBs is that they give up about 1-2 TD a week on the ground, so far they have given up 6 in 4 games. So while I think Perry will have a somewhat quiet day in terms of real yards, the probability of him scoring on the ground is pretty good.
Cedric Benson: no way
Thomas Jones: Chris Johnson is the only Rb to go over 100 ards rushing, but the Bengals do give up yards on the ground and TJ should have a decent game this week. 75 yards and a possible TD should be in play for him this week.
Leon Washington: If the Jets get ahead, and that is no sure thing, but if they do, I would expect Washington to get more carries in the 3rd and 4th quarter. But overall he has doen nothing this season.
Final Score: NY Jets 20…Cincinnati 17
Oakland at New Orleans
Fargas/DMac/Bush: I don’t really like any of them this week. I feel the Saints will get up in this one and not give the game away again. You have a pie being split 3 ways, and then a hungry New Orleans team, and the Raiders are just a mess.
Reggie Bush: Uhhhhh, start him? Likely going top3 in most of the U.S 2nd rounds tonight and tomorrow, he is a must play right now.
Deuce McAllister: I like him to find the end zone at some point in this game.
Final Score: New Orleans 30…Oakland 16
Detroit at Minnesota
Rudi and Kevin: Neither will get much going in this contest. The Vikes are too good at stopping the ru…everyone saw what Bush did but a lot of it was on punt returns.
Adrian Peterson: Has a chance for 200 yards on Sunday.
Chester Taylor: Could knock in some points as I expect a Viking blowout.
Final Score: Minnesota 33…Detroit 13
Baltimore at Indianapolis
Willis McGahee: This week I think we will see the real McGahee. He has been splitting time, nursing an injury, I fully expect him to get a big workload against the Colts who allow a lot of yard per week on the ground.
LeMac: Much reduced role this week.
Joseph Addai: Tough game for him, but he will get touches. I think he will make most of his scoring OOTB, and maybe that is his value this week.
Final Score: Indy 17…Baltimore 14
Miami at Houston
Ronnie Brown: Should have a big game this week. Texans have yielded 7 rushing TDs so far this season in just 4 games. Chance of a Ronnie Brown TD…75%?
Ricky Williams: Worht a look but as I said last week, clearly the 2ns banana on that team.
Steve Slaton: Tough game for him this week. He catches the ball enough to merit a start but I don’t see top 10 numbers from him this week.
Final Score: Houston 24…Miami 17…look for Houston to get pass happy.
Jax at Denver
MJD and Taylor: The problem with this match up, is that even though on paper the Denver Broncos have been struggling, do the Jags have the horses to get the job done on the ground? And I say they don’t. I believe that you will see Garrard finally take this team on his back this week and throw the ball all over the place. He has to or the Jags season is going to get away from them. I realize this is no what some of you want to read but I am just basing it on what I see on the field.
Michael Pittman: Young is out, I would expect Pittman to get a few more carries but ultimately this game will boil down to Cutler and Marshall.
Final Score: Jacksonville 24…Denver 23
Green Bay at Seattle
Ryan Grant: Had close to about 80 yds on the ground last week, he still is way underperforming for his draft slot. The Seadogs at home are very tough, I would not expect big numbers this week form the GB rushing game.
Julius Jones: ADP, MB III, Graham, and Turner all rushed for well over 100 yards. JJ is no sure thing but at home I expect he will get penty of carries as the Seadogs will be in this game the whole way, and I would look for a strong game from him, possibly a sneaky top10 play this week.
Final Score: Seattle 27…Green Bay 24
Philadelphia at San Fran
Brian Westbrook: I think unless you are sure that you might want to sit him this week. Broken ribs are painful and I would not expect him to do well even if he took the field.
Buckhalter: Did sqaw-doosh last week. But the previous 2 weeks he had good solid games. I expect him to start and have respectable numbers but nothing close to what Westbrook can do.
Final Score: San Fran 24…Philly 20
Arizona at Dallas
Edge: Will not have a great game in Dallas this week. He seems to splitting up the TDs now with Hightower.
Tim Hightower: Only missed the end zone once in the first 5 weeks. Has close to the same amount of points overall in FF as Edge with a lot less carries.
MB III: Should return to finding the end zone this week.
Felix Jones: I like him to see action on Sunday, but again you can never bank on it.
Final Score: Dallas 34…Arizona 17
New England at San Diego
Maroney/Morris/Jordan/Faulk: If you can tell me what you think will happen, I’m all ears. Wannabee Professors need to sometimes step back and admit they have no idea what to expect…and this is one of those times.
LaDainian Tomlinson: This guy is getting no respect right now. I understand the toe injury, but he still is always a threat for 100+ yds and multiple TDs…and with Chambers nursing a high ankle sprain, I believe the passing game may be just a bit off. I see them coming out and running right at the Chargers. He has a chip on his shoulder going back to the NFC Divisional game 2 years ago, and the AFC Championship game last season.
Final Score: San Diego 20…New England 13
NY Giants at Cleveland
Brandon Jacobs: Should have another strong game this week. The Browns are not a good football team, and I expect some short field for Eli and the Giants Offense on MNF. Can’t see a reason to bench him right now.
Jamal Lewis: Hopefully the bye week helps, but I can’t see him rushing for a ton of yards in this game, especially when the Browns fall behind.
And one final note on the Giants. They are the World Champs, they are 5-0, they are finding ways to pummel teams with their cornucopia of WR including Plax, Toomer, Smith, and now Hixon plus Moss…they deserve some serious respect, and I just wanted to put that out there for the fans of the New York Giants. They rarely ##### and moan on the boards, they know football and understand their team, and they right now have a chance to put together a potential dynasty IMO. The fact they have to compete against the Skins, Cowboys, and Eagles only makes them stronger. Now that I have said this, look for New York to freefall…haha.
Final Score: New York 28...Cleveland 13
Good Luck this weekend and also remember that the Ultimate Survivor Round II will begin tonight and carry over thru tomorrow. There were 144 of us selected to compete, we are now down to 48 which will filter down to 12 over the next 5 weeks. Look for a complete team by team analysis form me for my conference/league, and if possible I will try and do the other 3 conferences as well, even if it is brief. Some of you are also asking why I didn't green light or red light anyone...I think based on my comments that you can assume who I think is strong and who isn't. If you need anything cleared up, either post it or drop me a PM.
Please please please...I love helping you guys but I am not good at trade scenarios...I had a bunch of them in my mailbox last week and I simply did not respond, I apologize for that. If you want trade advice, I suggest you seek out Jeff Tefertiller(Wannabee), he simply is about the best on this subject...I compete agianst him in several dynasty leagues and that guy always seems to be able to get it done and make everyone happy in the process. If you cannot reach him, I would send a PM to Jeff Pasquino who also is a very strong trader in dynasty and redraft leagues.
Not so sure about the last line, though! 
Just kidding. I'm done now for sure, karma's a biotch.Thanks for the thread MOP.
Are we talking PPR? I like what Brown is doing and the consistency...he went 1.01 in the US II redraft last night as a point of reference.
