switz,
I never said he needed to figure anything out again.
Actually, you wrote:
If you owned Bush last year, then you had a whole bunch of disappointment and "hurt" associated with the games that you are so conveniently dismissing before Reggie supposedly figured things out. You have to take the whole package.
You are asserting that those games, before he supposedly figured things out, are a VALID basis for projecting this season. I am asserting they aren't. I would also asert that anyone with an open mind would agree that using games where a player was barely used to project how they will do the next season is NOT a VALID way to do things.Or are you asserting that Bush had ZERO learning curve, and that there is another reason he suddenly started excelling the second half of the season? If that is the case, I would love to know what your reason is.
You are the one making the assertion that one can dismiss the first part of his season and reference only the tail end of the season. And further you are using this skewed sampling as a means for projecting Bush into this year.
So then, on the record - you think that games where a player is barely used, or is learning a new system provide a SOLID, VALID basis for making projections? As this is different that a player who misses a game entirely due to injury, and in essence you think the player will continue to be barely used frequently in the future.
I am stating that ppg for all RB's is the most accurate way to reference their performance. That goes for any of them. IMHO, Total Fantasy points is essentially irrelevant.
And I believe I illustrated perfectly well the flaws inherent in PPG. And let me point out I'm not stating Total Season Points is without flaws either.
If I had Kevin Jones last year for 12 games and offset him with Ron Dayne for the other 4 games as a Fantasy Owner I would have done absolutely fantastic. Jones' performance is totally undermined if you use Total Fantasy points and reference him as RB #23 instead of how he performed in each game that he played, which was RB #09.
However, that still wouldn't help you this season, as in those games played he wasn't recovering from a LisFranc sprain, nor was he competitng with Tatum Bell who the coaches love for carries. So how does that PPG help you at all, when you fail to take into account circumstance?
Furthermore it does not matter to me that Bush drops from 17th to 23rd going from Total Points to ppg, I could care less. I did not pick ppg specifically to reduce or diminish Bush.
I don't think you picked PPG to diminish Bush's value. I think you have an agenda though in how you use statistics, instead of letting the evidence dictate your point of view.
In fact it is probably my objectivity which gives you such a problem. It seems to really rankle you that your dear Reggie would be looked at in a way which detracts from your perceived greatness for him.
Actually, I don't think you are objective at all. And Reggie Bush is not near or dear to me at all. I merely thought your comments were ludicrous, and am still waiting for verifiable evidence to support your conclusion. If you continue to discount the flaws pointed out in your argument, I can't see yhow you can insist you are being objective. An objective person will use as much information as possible to reach a conclusion, instead of rejecting information that doesn't support an already drawn conclusion.
I would be very interested in seeing the scoring system that your league used which somehow has Bush as RB #8 without PPR.
1 point for every 10 yards rushed or received, but not decimals.6 points for TDs rushed or received plus 1 point for each ten yards of the length of the TD.
-3 points for a fumble.
And after reviewing, he was the #8 RB over the last 6 weeks of the season, he finished 15 overall for the entire season. The reason the 6 week average stuck in my head is because I use the last 6 weeks weighted when I do my projections, and I was surprised at how high Reggie had finished.
