Ronnie Brown has been pretty consistent his first two years (900-1000 yards, 4-5 TDs, mid 200s receiving yards).
All of the FBGs projections have him significantly improving on his stats from the first two years....WHY? I just don't see a good reason why he would significantly improve this year. They did sign Trent Green for QB, but I don't think that is a great reason for bumping Ronnie Brown's numbers and the projections for Trent Green isn't much different from what Culpepper and Harrington did last year. The O-line is still way below average, and they lost two receiving options in Welker and McMichael, so defenses should be able to focus even more on the run.
McGahee on the other hand is further down on their RB ranking, but has previously produced better than Ronnie Brown (last year Brown actually had slightly better numbers, so Browns best year is close to the same as McGahee's worst). Now McGahee moves to Baltimore which may no longer be one of the better running teams in the league, but in my opinion is a better situation than Miami's.
These two running backs have a similar ADP, but FBG values Ronnie Brown over McGahee by a lot....what am I missing here?
All of the FBGs projections have him significantly improving on his stats from the first two years....WHY? I just don't see a good reason why he would significantly improve this year. They did sign Trent Green for QB, but I don't think that is a great reason for bumping Ronnie Brown's numbers and the projections for Trent Green isn't much different from what Culpepper and Harrington did last year. The O-line is still way below average, and they lost two receiving options in Welker and McMichael, so defenses should be able to focus even more on the run.
McGahee on the other hand is further down on their RB ranking, but has previously produced better than Ronnie Brown (last year Brown actually had slightly better numbers, so Browns best year is close to the same as McGahee's worst). Now McGahee moves to Baltimore which may no longer be one of the better running teams in the league, but in my opinion is a better situation than Miami's.
These two running backs have a similar ADP, but FBG values Ronnie Brown over McGahee by a lot....what am I missing here?