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Running Backs Don't Matter 101 (3 Viewers)

The kicker is teams can run them into the ground with no repercussions. Will never happen but really need a cap on the # of carries. Also should be able to negotiate a new contract after 2 years and change the rules for franchise tags on RBs
Why should RBs get this special treatment?

The bottom line is that position isn't nearly as valuable as it used to be (it is far more valuable to have a running game, which you can achieve through RBBC, than it is to have a stud RB), and the market has adjusted accordingly.
Because it's unjust. It's the only position where players take that type of physical abuse. And the better you are the more abuse you take. Then after 4 or 5 years they spit you out.
Unjust is subjective, but if RBs don't like it, no one is forcing them to play that position. It was obvious years ago that RBs were becoming less valuable, and the current crop all chose to stay at the position and enter the NFL and play it, so there it is.
why are you against treating labor fairly? can everyone just get a new job? the actors striking? people at UPS?
I have nothing against labor; I am merely saying that the RBs should not get special treatment from the league to make up for how the market has shifted against them. Stud RBs are not that valuable anymore. It is that simple.
The problem is that they are valuable when they're young and they don't have mileage on them. Did you notice that 2 RB's were picked in the first 12 picks this year? But they are tied to the rookie contract and then can be franchised. By that time they are 5 seasons in, usually around 27 years old, and have tons of wear and tear from overuse in many cases.
100%. The players union has no teeth though so even when they negotiate the CBA again I doubt they do anything about it
You're making the (IMO incorrect) assumption that they would want to do anything about it. Some of you seem to forget that it's basically a zero-sum game. Why would the players union, who represents the entire league, want to make it better for one position and worse for others? Do you think all of the WRs, CBs, LBs, etc. would volunteer to make less money so RBs can make more?

It's the same with the rookie wage scale- if they give rookies more money, that leaves less for veterans. Pretty sure that isn't something that the broader league or their union would support (for good reason IMO).
Agreed. I suspect players at other positions, many of whom would likely support the RBs in their current endeavor (many simply for optics), would shut down their support pretty quickly if they thought for a second that it meant less money for them. This isn't like baseball where the Yankees or Dodgers have an endless supply of money and there is no cap.
 
laughing at how some of you will try to justify how unimportant players that touch the ball 20-30x a game are.

laugh now, cry later... the elite athletes are going to run from playing RB, and it might as soon as now. the product on the field will suffer for it.

the nfl with no running game is the CFL.
Unimportant is not the right word. RBs simply do not have a lot of value at the moment, and that is being reflected in their current salaries. It is as plain as day.

You ask any GM in the league, "At what five positions do you need to have an elite player?", and I guarantee almost no one is saying RB.
 
The common theme? HoF QBs. basically all of em.
Peyton was a ghost of himself and won a SB without a high priced running game.

Nick Foles and Matt Stafford, the same.

When do you think it will change, that the best QBs are not the ones winning SBs? Its a passing league.
 
Unimportant is not the right word. RBs simply do not have a lot of value at the moment, and that is being reflected in their current salaries. It is as plain as day.
It's supply and demand - when a 26/27/28 year old RB can have 75% - 80% of their production replaced by a rookie making 10% of the price.

It is that simple...also, the NFL has been changing the rules of the game for quite some time to encourage scoring and the passing game...unless they roll back some of those changes (100% chance they do not) this is not going to change.
 
We should start to see the change in college soon. Guys are not going to put themselves through 2-4 years of banging inside if they have elite athleticism and speed. Either become a CB, Safety, or WR. RB used to be the position you choose to be seen because they get the ball a lot. That's not going to translate to dollars though in the NFL. This will leave more of the Ron Dayne types to fill the RB roll. We're going to have nothing but plodders in about 5 years at the position.
 
We should start to see the change in college soon. Guys are not going to put themselves through 2-4 years of banging inside if they have elite athleticism and speed. Either become a CB, Safety, or WR. RB used to be the position you choose to be seen because they get the ball a lot. That's not going to translate to dollars though in the NFL. This will leave more of the Ron Dayne types to fill the RB roll. We're going to have nothing but plodders in about 5 years at the position.

That sounds simple but again it is supply and demand...all these guys can go to CB but that doesn't mean there will be more CB jobs in the NFL.
 
We should start to see the change in college soon. Guys are not going to put themselves through 2-4 years of banging inside if they have elite athleticism and speed. Either become a CB, Safety, or WR. RB used to be the position you choose to be seen because they get the ball a lot. That's not going to translate to dollars though in the NFL. This will leave more of the Ron Dayne types to fill the RB roll. We're going to have nothing but plodders in about 5 years at the position.
He says with a straight face, despite RBs being drafted #8 and #12 this year. I also love how you seem to think it's so simple to just become a CB, safety, or WR. :lol:

One of the (several) reasons why RBs don't make as much money is because it is one of the easier positions to play and you don't have to have all-world athleticism to do it well. As long as the Tyler Allgeier's and Arian Foster's of the world can put up similar (or better) results to the Trent Richardson's and Christine Michael's I don't think we have to worry too much about a RB talent dearth.
 
Unimportant is not the right word. RBs simply do not have a lot of value at the moment, and that is being reflected in their current salaries. It is as plain as day.

But again, RBs value is not being reflected in their current salaries. OLD RB value is being reflected in their current salaries, because RBs are unable to negotiate a contract while they are in their prime.

If Saquon were 23 right now the Giants very likely would have paid him what he were asking or close to it. The primary problem isn't that he's a running back, the primary problem is that he's a 26 year old running back. RBs are definitely worth a lot less than they used to be, but nowhere near as little as is reflected in their salaries. Because RB salaries can't be negotiated when they are still at or near their peak value.
 
Who could have seen this coming...

Bowing out as well seeing as this thread turned into the greatest hits of ever popular false dichotomy arguments like "You don't like the USA, you should leave!" and "Don't like _______ about ______ job you are working, just quit and do something else!" The scary part is knowing some people are reading this very post nodding their head saying to themselves "Damn right!"

Probably way too deep for a fantasy football msg board, but if it makes even one person think a little deeper for even 10 seconds it's worth it IMO:

"First they came for the socialists, and I did not speak out—
Because I was not a socialist.

Then they came for the trade unionists, and I did not speak out—
Because I was not a trade unionist.

Then they came for the Jews, and I did not speak out—
Because I was not a Jew.

Then they came for me—and there was no one left to speak for me."

Food for thought on topics much more important than how many millions of dollars a football player makes, but pertinent nonetheless. Critical thinking and empathy are two traits I feel should be liberally applied with zero concern of ever "over-doing it". It's not always easy, but little worthwhile ever is.

God speed FreeBagel lol
 
Unimportant is not the right word. RBs simply do not have a lot of value at the moment, and that is being reflected in their current salaries. It is as plain as day.

But again, RBs value is not being reflected in their current salaries. OLD RB value is being reflected in their current salaries, because RBs are unable to negotiate a contract while they are in their prime.

If Saquon were 23 right now the Giants very likely would have paid him what he were asking or close to it. The primary problem isn't that he's a running back, the primary problem is that he's a 26 year old running back. RBs are definitely worth a lot less than they used to be, but nowhere near as little as is reflected in their salaries. Because RB salaries can't be negotiated when they are still at or near their peak value.
He's made ~$32 mil for the ~60 games he's played so far, he'll make over $10 mil this season, and he would have made more had he agreed to their offer. If we're being honest, you could argue that he's been underpaid for 2 seasons and overpaid for 2-3 so far.

Another part of the reason their value is lower is because they miss so much time and their careers are so short. Their "peaks" aren't as high (in terms of value) and don't last for nearly as long. It sucks for them (relatively speaking), but it comes with the territory. Even if Saquon would have been allowed to negotiate a deal at age 23 he wouldn't have gotten a big contract because he had missed so much time.

The only thing I think could help is if these guys signed short term incentive laden deals, so they were paid for performance. Of course, they don't want that, they want long term security. I get it, but unfortunately for them the position they play doesn't come with long term security.
 
Prediction: within 15 years, running back will become the first position to transition to flag football. No contact allowed other than incidental. Problem solved. 👍
 
11 of the 57 winners of the Super Bowl had a 1st team All-Pro RB in the year that they won. Marshall Faulk was the most recent - in the previous century.

Summary:
  • 1966-1999
    11/34
    32.35%

  • 2000-2022
    0/23
    0.00%
 
This one was pretty shocking.

Quarterback: 2/23

Kickers have the highest correlation of 1st team all-pro selections to Super Bowls since 2000!

Goes to show how important context can be on a lot of "gotcha" stats that get floated around.
Is that for real? Seems unbelievable, but I assume it's true.
 
This one was pretty shocking.

Quarterback: 2/23

Kickers have the highest correlation of 1st team all-pro selections to Super Bowls since 2000!

Goes to show how important context can be on a lot of "gotcha" stats that get floated around.
Interesting
 
This one was pretty shocking.

Quarterback: 2/23

Kickers have the highest correlation of 1st team all-pro selections to Super Bowls since 2000!

Goes to show how important context can be on a lot of "gotcha" stats that get floated around.
Is that for real? Seems unbelievable, but I assume it's true.
It's probably true, but it's also not as telling as it might seem if you use that all important "context". For example, last year not only did the 1st team All-Pro QB win the super bowl but the 2nd team All-Pro QB lost in the SB. The 1st and 2nd team All-Pro RBs saw their teams combine for a 13-21 record with neither even coming close to making the playoffs.

It isn't always going to be that stark obviously, but I'd wager that if you expanded it beyond just "1st team AP" (1 player) and "win Super Bowl" (also 1 team), there's a much higher correlation of high level QB play to success than RB play.
 
everything would be much simpler without the draft and without a salary cap, I don't think this would lead to RBs making much more money but overall things would be much easier.
It would lead to about half the NFL being essentially a minor league. If you got rid of those things, revenue sharing would be the next to go.

One idea I like, is that the team who wins the Super Bowl gets the #1 pick the following season, and the team who finishes last picks last. Makes the draft much more important, and makes the lesser quality teams spend money, knowing they can't just tank for the top pick, while not sacrificing parity in the long term. Also leads to interesting decisions, for example, would the 2021 Bucs have taken Trevor Lawrence to sit behind Brady for a year, or taken a skill player like Chase, or a blocker like Sewell, or traded the pick for a ransom.

ETA: I think the draft idea would likely lead to RBs at least being drafted higher as teams looked to fill needs in the draft more. Doesn't likely help with 2nd contracts at all, but helps get some guys paid sooner, while fixing some other issues.
There would need to be some sort of promotion relegation where there are things to play for other than just playoffs
 
The modern RB position does seem like it is getting antiquated. Too much wear and tear for one body to take over the course of a season. I wonder if somewhere there is a coach working on an offense that incorporates different position players into the RB role. Instead of one player getting 20 to 25 carries, split that between 4 players.
 
Instead of one player getting 20 to 25 carries, split that between 4 players

It's called a running back by committee and everybody does it but nobody commits to it like that. You've usually got three or more active backfield members on your roster, why not use them accordingly?
 
Instead of one player getting 20 to 25 carries, split that between 4 players

It's called a running back by committee and everybody does it but nobody commits to it like that. You've usually got three or more active backfield members on your roster, why not use them accordingly?
not what I am talking about. I am talking about using more WRs like Deebo is used, shifting TEs into the backfield for pass protection, and maybe having a player on the roster that runs RPO plays besides the actual QB. All of it disguised, so the TE runs the ball a few plays, more use of jet sweeps or fast WRs to get to the edge, maybe your RPO player can also catch the ball a little to run screens.
 
Instead of one player getting 20 to 25 carries, split that between 4 players

It's called a running back by committee and everybody does it but nobody commits to it like that. You've usually got three or more active backfield members on your roster, why not use them accordingly?
not what I am talking about. I am talking about using more WRs like Deebo is used, shifting TEs into the backfield for pass protection, and maybe having a player on the roster that runs RPO plays besides the actual QB. All of it disguised, so the TE runs the ball a few plays, more use of jet sweeps or fast WRs to get to the edge, maybe your RPO player can also catch the ball a little to run screens.
I would hate to see it, but that is a very good idea, logically.
 
Instead of one player getting 20 to 25 carries, split that between 4 players

It's called a running back by committee and everybody does it but nobody commits to it like that. You've usually got three or more active backfield members on your roster, why not use them accordingly?
not what I am talking about. I am talking about using more WRs like Deebo is used, shifting TEs into the backfield for pass protection, and maybe having a player on the roster that runs RPO plays besides the actual QB. All of it disguised, so the TE runs the ball a few plays, more use of jet sweeps or fast WRs to get to the edge, maybe your RPO player can also catch the ball a little to run screens.
I would hate to see it, but that is a very good idea, logically.
Instead of 4 RBs, try to fill those roster spots with a couple Tysom Hill types that don't need to be proficient like a true QB just good enough to recognize and run an RPO, a TE sized body that can bang short yardage, pass block, and run patterns out of the backfield, and another little speedy guy.
 
Unimportant is not the right word. RBs simply do not have a lot of value at the moment, and that is being reflected in their current salaries. It is as plain as day.

But again, RBs value is not being reflected in their current salaries. OLD RB value is being reflected in their current salaries, because RBs are unable to negotiate a contract while they are in their prime.

If Saquon were 23 right now the Giants very likely would have paid him what he were asking or close to it. The primary problem isn't that he's a running back, the primary problem is that he's a 26 year old running back. RBs are definitely worth a lot less than they used to be, but nowhere near as little as is reflected in their salaries. Because RB salaries can't be negotiated when they are still at or near their peak value.
This is a fair point, but I am not sure what the answer is or what the league can do. Players at all the other positions won't stand for just RBs getting a different contract situation where they are allowed to be a FA sooner, and there is no way the union would support it either as their job is to support all players, not just the RBs.

I suspect this is going to lead to a lot of holdouts by RBs. I could see some of them colluding right now to hold out this summer to stick it to their teams and convincing other RBs to do the same when they have the chance.
 
Fun question for everyone -

What level of contract do you think Bijan would have gotten if he was a FA this year and was still 21? What about Walker or Hall at 22?

Be honest. Do you still think the RB is undervalued, or the system controls the RBs prime years? Not that the system will change, but lets call a spade a spade.
 
Fun question for everyone -

What level of contract do you think Bijan would have gotten if he was a FA this year and was still 21? What about Walker or Hall at 22?

Be honest. Do you still think the RB is undervalued, or the system controls the RBs prime years? Not that the system will change, but lets call a spade a spade.
I'm not sure what you're getting at here. Can you elaborate?
 
Fun question for everyone -

What level of contract do you think Bijan would have gotten if he was a FA this year and was still 21? What about Walker or Hall at 22?

Be honest. Do you still think the RB is undervalued, or the system controls the RBs prime years? Not that the system will change, but lets call a spade a spade.
I'm not sure what you're getting at here. Can you elaborate?
Sue. The claim that runningbacks dont matter is an overstatement. The thinking that the RB market is dead is an overstatement. The RB market in its current iteration where the best backs are locked up for 4-5 years is causing the depresed market. To futher prove this, please tell me what you think Bijan, Walker or Hall would have gotten THIS SPRING if they were UFAs? Do you think they would get less than 5MM a year? 10MM 15MM 20MM? What? Would love to hear some opinions on this. If you think they would get more doesnt speak more to more about how the system is setup and less to RBs fading overall?

Just my .02$
 
Fun question for everyone -

What level of contract do you think Bijan would have gotten if he was a FA this year and was still 21? What about Walker or Hall at 22?

Be honest. Do you still think the RB is undervalued, or the system controls the RBs prime years? Not that the system will change, but lets call a spade a spade.
I'm not sure what you're getting at here. Can you elaborate?
Sue. The claim that runningbacks dont matter is an overstatement. The thinking that the RB market is dead is an overstatement. The RB market in its current iteration where the best backs are locked up for 4-5 years is causing the depresed market. To futher prove this, please tell me what you think Bijan, Walker or Hall would have gotten THIS SPRING if they were UFAs? Do you think they would get less than 5MM a year? 10MM 15MM 20MM? What? Would love to hear some opinions on this. If you think they would get more doesnt speak more to more about how the system is setup and less to RBs fading overall?

Just my .02$
Honestly, I doubt they would have gotten much more than they are scheduled to be paid. Bijan has yet to step on an NFL field and he'll be the highest paid RB in the league this year (in terms of cash). Most of the "best" RBs in the league right now aren't on their rookie contracts anyway- Henry, Chubb, McCaffrey, Ekeler, etc.

It works both ways- for every guy like Saquon that gets "screwed" (and I don't think he has considering his overall career), there's a Trent Richardson who is grossly overpaid. I'm not necessarily against shortening the contract lengths for draft picks, but I really don't think it'll "fix" the problem because IMO, it's mostly supply/demand driven. I'm not saying that RBs don't matter at all or that the market is "dead", but they certainly matter less than most positions and the market reflects that.
 
Unimportant is not the right word. RBs simply do not have a lot of value at the moment, and that is being reflected in their current salaries. It is as plain as day.

But again, RBs value is not being reflected in their current salaries. OLD RB value is being reflected in their current salaries, because RBs are unable to negotiate a contract while they are in their prime.

If Saquon were 23 right now the Giants very likely would have paid him what he were asking or close to it. The primary problem isn't that he's a running back, the primary problem is that he's a 26 year old running back. RBs are definitely worth a lot less than they used to be, but nowhere near as little as is reflected in their salaries. Because RB salaries can't be negotiated when they are still at or near their peak value.
He's made ~$32 mil for the ~60 games he's played so far, he'll make over $10 mil this season, and he would have made more had he agreed to their offer. If we're being honest, you could argue that he's been underpaid for 2 seasons and overpaid for 2-3 so far.

Another part of the reason their value is lower is because they miss so much time and their careers are so short. Their "peaks" aren't as high (in terms of value) and don't last for nearly as long. It sucks for them (relatively speaking), but it comes with the territory. Even if Saquon would have been allowed to negotiate a deal at age 23 he wouldn't have gotten a big contract because he had missed so much time.

The only thing I think could help is if these guys signed short term incentive laden deals, so they were paid for performance. Of course, they don't want that, they want long term security. I get it, but unfortunately for them the position they play doesn't come with long term security.

Saquon tore his ACL at 23. Having a 5 year deal was to his benefit.
 
I am not saying I think anything should change. I think it is unfortunate for RBs that their lifspan in the NFL is short. I just think that if there was no draft and these guys hiit the opne market at 22-23 instead of 26-27-28, the best ones would be getting paid like the best at positions ohter than QB. JMHO
 
I do think it's an arguably fair point that the rookie contract system puts RB's at a disadvantage, and possibly that shouldn't be the case.

My question is: why are rookie contracts regulated so much? I can't really find an answer. Only thing I can think of is, if rookie contracts were unregulated, it could cause a lot of awkward complications. If the highly touted rookie you just drafted isn't willing to play for the $10,000,000/year you were planning on paying him, and instead demands $25,000,000/year that you aren't willing to pay ... then what?

That seems like a good reason to restrict the deals. Is there any other reason as well?
 
I am not saying I think anything should change. I think it is unfortunate for RBs that their lifspan in the NFL is short. I just think that if there was no draft and these guys hiit the opne market at 22-23 instead of 26-27-28, the best ones would be getting paid like the best at positions ohter than QB. JMHO
Interesting. Just posted that I think they'd probably make less as I believe teams would allocate even more dollars to the priority positions in an "open market" scenario.

The draft actually helps some of these players. Barkley, McCaffrey, Robinson. The elite athletes and early picks. They're still drafting them early because of the team control. If that wasn't a factor I don't think they'd get the $30M they get when they're drafted in the top 10.
 
I do think it's an arguably fair point that the rookie contract system puts RB's at a disadvantage, and possibly that shouldn't be the case.

My question is: why are rookie contracts regulated so much? I can't really find an answer. Only thing I can think of is, if rookie contracts were unregulated, it could cause a lot of awkward complications. If the highly touted rookie you just drafted isn't willing to play for the $10,000,000/year you were planning on paying him, and instead demands $25,000,000/year that you aren't willing to pay ... then what?

That seems like a good reason to restrict the deals. Is there any other reason as well?
"Rookies had no voice in the 2011 CBA negotiation. The owners, embarrassed by the riches given to busts such as JaMarcus Russell and Ryan Leaf, were determined to change the system. And the NFLPA negotiating team, led by veterans who were frustrated with rookies entering the league and making more than proven players, was only too happy to shift funds to established guys. Of the myriad issues that were part of the negotiations, the rookie compensation system was the easiest to resolve."

 
Kill the un-American salary cap and kill the un-American draft.

Problem solved.
They'd probably make less on a true open market.

The busts would. The good players wouldn't.

If Bijan Robinson came out this year and had a Saquon-like rookie year, and then magically he were a free agent next year, he would get a huge deal. Way bigger than his rookie deal. Way bigger than Saquon is getting now at 26 coming off a great year.

Running back value is way down from the old days, sure. But it's still way higher than these contracts dictate. It's just that the contracts aren't given out until the guys are too old to get a big contract. Teams have finally figured out that if you give a RB a huge deal at age 26 that means you're still going to be paying him huge money when he's 28 and likely declined significantly as a player.
 
I do think it's an arguably fair point that the rookie contract system puts RB's at a disadvantage, and possibly that shouldn't be the case.

My question is: why are rookie contracts regulated so much? I can't really find an answer. Only thing I can think of is, if rookie contracts were unregulated, it could cause a lot of awkward complications. If the highly touted rookie you just drafted isn't willing to play for the $10,000,000/year you were planning on paying him, and instead demands $25,000,000/year that you aren't willing to pay ... then what?

That seems like a good reason to restrict the deals. Is there any other reason as well?
"Rookies had no voice in the 2011 CBA negotiation. The owners, embarrassed by the riches given to busts such as JaMarcus Russell and Ryan Leaf, were determined to change the system. And the NFLPA negotiating team, led by veterans who were frustrated with rookies entering the league and making more than proven players, was only too happy to shift funds to established guys. Of the myriad issues that were part of the negotiations, the rookie compensation system was the easiest to resolve."

Exactly. Who is negotiating for college kids? No one.
 
I do think it's an arguably fair point that the rookie contract system puts RB's at a disadvantage, and possibly that shouldn't be the case.

My question is: why are rookie contracts regulated so much? I can't really find an answer. Only thing I can think of is, if rookie contracts were unregulated, it could cause a lot of awkward complications. If the highly touted rookie you just drafted isn't willing to play for the $10,000,000/year you were planning on paying him, and instead demands $25,000,000/year that you aren't willing to pay ... then what?

That seems like a good reason to restrict the deals. Is there any other reason as well?

There wasn't a rookie wage scale until about 10-15 years ago. The problem then was that the rookies, particularly the QBs, were making TOO much money. Then franchises had to commit their whole future to these guys before they ever stepped on the field and before you knew if they were any good, so drafting a bust at QB essentially killed your franchise for 5 years because you were stuck paying Aaron Rodgers money for Christian Ponder.

Sam Bradford was kind of the face of it at the time.

So they fixed that problem but inadvertently created another one in decreasing the value of vets since rookies are so much cheaper. And that, circling back to this thread, affects RBs more than most since unlike other positions it overlaps their entire period of peak earning potential.

So now it's probably time to look at it again and adjust it. When things come up like this, they typically eventually do something to try and fix it.
 
I do think it's an arguably fair point that the rookie contract system puts RB's at a disadvantage, and possibly that shouldn't be the case.

My question is: why are rookie contracts regulated so much? I can't really find an answer. Only thing I can think of is, if rookie contracts were unregulated, it could cause a lot of awkward complications. If the highly touted rookie you just drafted isn't willing to play for the $10,000,000/year you were planning on paying him, and instead demands $25,000,000/year that you aren't willing to pay ... then what?

That seems like a good reason to restrict the deals. Is there any other reason as well?
"Rookies had no voice in the 2011 CBA negotiation. The owners, embarrassed by the riches given to busts such as JaMarcus Russell and Ryan Leaf, were determined to change the system. And the NFLPA negotiating team, led by veterans who were frustrated with rookies entering the league and making more than proven players, was only too happy to shift funds to established guys. Of the myriad issues that were part of the negotiations, the rookie compensation system was the easiest to resolve."

Exactly. Who is negotiating for college kids? No one.
was just reading a thread about a 2023 draft pick driving a lambo. how much more they need?
 

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