Around 15 give or take a few spots up or down is about right. Last week I thought he looked good after the catch, very elusive and so fast. The Skins will have there ups and downs though. One week Moss will get you huge yards and a score or two. The very next week he could just as easily put up 3 for 26. He is a hot and cold WR in my short memory.
He's the kind of guy historically who will have 8 TD's, but with six of those 8 scored in 2 or 3 games over the course of the year; his yardage can work the same way. He's very volatile. This comes from two things: chronic leg problems that he seems to get (usually nagging groin and hammy problems) and the shakiness and conservatism of the Redskins passing offense in recent years. If he's healthy like he is now, and the QB can make plays like Campbell did on Sunday, then Moss should be able to put up big numbers pretty regularly. I've maintained for some time that Moss is another Steve Smith, though most people don't think that way because people for whatever reason know Smith better. He's absolutely outstanding reacting to the deep ball in the air, a lot like Smith is, and he's equally explosive in the open field. I think he's a reasonably good gamble on a buy low right now just because he's healthy and the offense seems to be improving and opening up with Zorn (though I certainly expect more growing pains). Most Moss owners will be caught up on his past, but I think he may be able to exceed expectations by putting up good numbers more consistently this year than he has in any recent year except for 2005. He's a better WR in a league that rewards big plays than he is in one that is simply PPR, however, as he's typically not a PPR monster, and Zorn's offense likes to spread the ball around.