Six teams that won't make the playoffs (1 Viewer)

[Ignoratio Elenchi]

Pittsburgh - Missed the playoffs after last 2 Superbowl appearances. Might as well make it 3Dallas - Close, but not quite.San Diego- KC improving every day. SD not so muchIndy - The decline will be greatPhilly - The signing of Vince Young will be regrettedDetroit - They get 10 wins and just miss eta forgot 6th team

Doesn't this belong in the "bold predictions" thread?

maybe. i could give the same 6 boring picks everyone else made

 

[bonesman]

ClevelandCincyOaklandJaxMiamiWashingtonbingo

So far only Washington is looking like they might make me pay.

I meant Oakland.

 

[SWC]

indy

minnesota

washington

st louse

jacksonville

tampa bay

 

[Fensalk]

Did ANYONE get this clearly right? I'm scrolling through the first page and seeing lots of picks in jeopardy due to picking Oakland, Cincinnati, and Houston.

 

[Assani Fisher]

Where'd you ever get the idea for this bet from???

 

[Chicago Hooligan]

Magic probably.

 

[Tony Reali]

colts

rams

cardinals

seahawks

redskins

panthers

what do i win

 

[apalmer]

coltsramscardinalsseahawksredskinspantherswhat do i win

An alarm clock so you can make your picks in a timely manner.

 

[skillz]

I feel comfortable with these:

5. Denver - If they go with Orton all year then maybe - but I see them using Tebow and losing a lot of games. This was the toughest call to make.

This is what makes the NFL great though. Every year there are teams that surprise so a fan always has some degree of hope that their team can make a playoff run.

 

[bucsbaby]

Fun thread!Buffalo -- Not enough talent on either side of the ball, won't outplay NE or NYJCleveland -- Lack of passing offense, won't outplay Pitt or BaltCarolina -- Qb will be an issue, won't outplay NO or AtlOakland -- Lost some good players in free agency, won't outplay SD or KCWashington -- Trainwreck, won't outplay Phil or NYGSt Louis -- Some brightspots, but still not a good team, won't outplay Ariz or SFAlso: Jacksonville -- D needs major work, won't outplay Ind or HouMiami -- QB will be an issue, won't outplay NE or NYJTennessee -- QB will be an issue, won't outplay Ind or HouDetroit -- A team on the rise, but not there yet, won't outplay GB or ChiTampa -- A team on the rise, but not there yet, won't outplay NO or AtlSeattle -- QB will be an issue, won't outplay Ariz or SF

Hmmm...SD is letting me down here Hopefully someone can keep Oak from winning that division, but it doesn't look good :(From list B, Tenn has an outside shot at making the playoffs, but I don't think they'll get there. Detroit looks like they could get a wildcard spot, but they might not if they keep losing.

 

[jonboltz]

Did ANYONE get this clearly right? I'm scrolling through the first page and seeing lots of picks in jeopardy due to picking Oakland, Cincinnati, and Houston.

Post #31 is solid...

BuffaloMiamiCarolinaKansas CityClevelandWashington

 

[Leroy Hoard]

I think this is definitely not as easy as people seem to think. There's always some turnover from year to year, and this year, with all the condensed player movement and short offseason it's probably even harder to predict than usual.What I'd look for are teams that are both (a) bad and (b) in a good division. I wouldn't take Arizona, for example, because even if they're terrible they could still end up winning their division. I don't want that risk at all. With that said, I think I'll take:CarolinaBuffaloWashingtonMinnesotaJacksonvilleCleveland

looking good.

 

[FUBAR]

Dolphins

Bengals

Raiders

Redskins

Panthers

Titans

now to get bold with 6 more:

Bills

Giants

Browns

Lions

Jaguars

Vikings

Right now, I'm wrong on two but I think those teams won't make it in the end.

 

[ditka...mike ditka]

How about the locks for playoffs, and a pool of potential wild card?

Locks - SF, GB, NO; NE, Bal, Hou

In the mix - NYG, Dal, Phi, Det, Atl, TB; NYJ, Pit, SD, Oak

Outside shot - Ari, Was; Buf, Ten

No chance - Sea, StL, Chi, Min, Car; Mia, Cle, Cin, Jax, Ind, Den, KC

hmmmm

 

[QuizGuy66]

Did ANYONE get this clearly right? I'm scrolling through the first page and seeing lots of picks in jeopardy due to picking Oakland, Cincinnati, and Houston.

Iggy is on track still I think.-QG

 

[Chase Stuart]

My six:Buffalo: very uninspiring off-season. Difficult division/conference. No way the AFC East sends three teams to the playoffs, and I'm having a hard time seeing the Bills finishing 1st or 2nd in that division.Seattle: This team is horrible.San Francisco: Has any team been more hurt by the lockout? They're trying to install a new timing based offense, but lost a bunch of practice time. They lost Manny Lawson, David Baas, Takeo Spikes, Nate Clements, Travis Laboy and Aubrayo Franklin. It's obviously dangerous picking two NFCW teams, but SF wasn't very good beforehand and seems to have taken some steps back. Harbaugh is going to have his hands full.Washington: Are they not the clear worst team in the division? I have a hard time seeing them not land in the cellar, much less make the playoffs. Really ugly situation in D.C. with the Giants, Eagles and Cowboys all looking tough.Cincinnati: the Buffalo of the AFC North. Such an uninspiring off-season; this team needs a jolt of something in the worst way.I want to stay away from the AFC South because it's so tight. Ditto the AFC West, just because I could see the Broncos surprising people and I'm not picking a team that swept their own division last year. Therefore...Minnesota: Frazier's doing some good things, and maybe McNabb/Peterson/Harvin form a special sort of triplets. But this team seems awfully thin at WR, I don't love McNabb, and I think Minny's awful season went a bit beyond Favre last year. The whole stadium issue isn't helping matters, either.

Couldn't have been more wrong on San Francisco. Harbaugh's the obvious COtY because I never saw this coming. Seattle is actually not horrible, but won't make the playoffs. Buffalo and Minnesota won't, either. Washington might not end up being the worst team in the division but they're far from a playoff team. Cincinnati? We'll know more about them in a few weeks, too early to say. Looks like Dalton and Green were quite the jolt, though.

 

[Mr. Know-It-All]

How about the locks for playoffs, and a pool of potential wild card?Locks - SF, GB, NO; NE, Bal, HouIn the mix - NYG, Dal, Phi, Det, Atl, TB; NYJ, Pit, SD, Oak Outside shot - Ari, Was; Buf, TenNo chance - Sea, StL, Chi, Min, Car; Mia, Cle, Cin, Jax, Ind, Den, KC

bombed on Philly and Tampa being in the mix. Undervalued most of the AFC West. My locks still look good.

 

[FF Ninja]

How about the locks for playoffs, and a pool of potential wild card?Locks - SF, GB, NO; NE, Bal, HouIn the mix - NYG, Dal, Phi, Det, Atl, TB; NYJ, Pit, SD, Oak Outside shot - Ari, Was; Buf, TenNo chance - Sea, StL, Chi, Min, Car; Mia, Cle, Cin, Jax, Ind, Den, KC

bombed on Philly and Tampa being in the mix. Undervalued most of the AFC West. My locks still look good.

Props on calling SF a playoff lock.

 

[nxmehta]

Bravo the OP- this is indeed an exercise in being proven wrong. It's what make the NFL so awesome.

 

[Ignoratio Elenchi]

How about the locks for playoffs, and a pool of potential wild card?Locks - SF, GB, NO; NE, Bal, HouIn the mix - NYG, Dal, Phi, Det, Atl, TB; NYJ, Pit, SD, Oak Outside shot - Ari, Was; Buf, TenNo chance - Sea, StL, Chi, Min, Car; Mia, Cle, Cin, Jax, Ind, Den, KC

bombed on Philly and Tampa being in the mix. Undervalued most of the AFC West. My locks still look good.

Props on calling SF a playoff lock.

Note when he posted it.

 

[FF Ninja]

Note when he posted it.

Ah. Much less impressive.

 

[Leroy Hoard]

Bravo the OP- this is indeed an exercise in being proven wrong. It's what make the NFL so awesome.

I'm going to offer people this bet in the off-season.

 

[Mr. Know-It-All]

How about the locks for playoffs, and a pool of potential wild card?Locks - SF, GB, NO; NE, Bal, HouIn the mix - NYG, Dal, Phi, Det, Atl, TB; NYJ, Pit, SD, Oak Outside shot - Ari, Was; Buf, TenNo chance - Sea, StL, Chi, Min, Car; Mia, Cle, Cin, Jax, Ind, Den, KC

bombed on Philly and Tampa being in the mix. Undervalued most of the AFC West. My locks still look good.

Props on calling SF a playoff lock.

Note when he posted it.

Shoot Oct 3...I believe I was mocked a little for calling them a lock. That was two months ago.But thanks for being a buzzkill.

 

[bucsbaby]

Fun thread!Buffalo -- Not enough talent on either side of the ball, won't outplay NE or NYJCleveland -- Lack of passing offense, won't outplay Pitt or BaltCarolina -- Qb will be an issue, won't outplay NO or AtlOakland -- Lost some good players in free agency, won't outplay SD or KCWashington -- Trainwreck, won't outplay Phil or NYGSt Louis -- Some brightspots, but still not a good team, won't outplay Ariz or SFAlso: Jacksonville -- D needs major work, won't outplay Ind or HouMiami -- QB will be an issue, won't outplay NE or NYJTennessee -- QB will be an issue, won't outplay Ind or HouDetroit -- A team on the rise, but not there yet, won't outplay GB or ChiTampa -- A team on the rise, but not there yet, won't outplay NO or AtlSeattle -- QB will be an issue, won't outplay Ariz or SF

6/6 and 11/12 ain't bad Looks like Cinn and SF hurt a lot of predictions

 

[QuizGuy66]

Here's my 6.Buffalo. Extremely tough division and a brutal schedule. If I were to pick one team to miss the playoffs this would be the one.Carolina. Another team in a very tough division. Hard to see them improving by the 7-8 wins they would need to when largely they've been resigning guys more than adding new guys.Washington. A tougher pick, especially in the sense that I think that while Philly looks tough I am much less sold on Dallas or the Giants. They also get to play all the NFC West teams. Not the most inspiring QB choices.Cleveland. A tougher call as the AFC North teams have a softer schedule.San Francisco. It's really tough to pick any NFC West team, given how awful the division was last year. Still, this is a team that's lost more than they've won in the free-agency derby.Oakland. Lost Nnamdi and losing other folks because of the salary cap issues. Doesn't look like they've had an offseason that says they are stepping forward.--------------------Honorable mention:Cincinnati. While as a Bengals fan, I think we're in store for a horrible year, it's tough to totally bury my beloved Who-Deys for three reasons. One: They have a track record of coming out of nowhere and surprising (see 2009) which makes them potentially lethal on a list like this Two: The schedule is very forgiving - only one team outside the division had a winning record last year.Denver. Tempted to put them in the Oakland spot. Think this new regime can't be worse than McDaniels was though.Seattle. Like the 49ers they seem to be racing headlong in the quest for Andrew Luck, but I think they're in a little better shape.So there you go.-QG

My list of 6 looks good except for that whole San Francisco is getting Andrew Luck thing -QG

 

[QuizGuy66]

I think this is definitely not as easy as people seem to think. There's always some turnover from year to year, and this year, with all the condensed player movement and short offseason it's probably even harder to predict than usual.What I'd look for are teams that are both (a) bad and (b) in a good division. I wouldn't take Arizona, for example, because even if they're terrible they could still end up winning their division. I don't want that risk at all. With that said, I think I'll take:CarolinaBuffaloWashingtonMinnesotaJacksonvilleCleveland

Based on how the teams ended up doing, Iggy had just about the perfect entry. Buffalo contended early and then blew up. Washington had a good start the first couple of weeks. The rest never really got a sniff.-QG

 

[NorrisB]

My 6 in no particular order:- Carolina- San Francisco- Tennessee- Cincinnati- Detroit- DallasBiased against teams with new HC/OC/QBs...

I see the Bengals will screw up this list quite a bit

 

[Tom Servo]

Picking 6 teams that won't make the playoffs is a sucker's bet. Try it with me; bet you'll lose with me.

1) Buffalo

2) Carolina

3) Jacksonville

4) Washington

5) Cincinnati

6) San Francisco

You picked 4 of 6 and nearly missed on #5. I'm calling reverse jinx.

 

[Chicago Hooligan]

The point is how difficult it is to pick six, not four or five! I didn't check all the lists, but only about 3 people on the first page were right. Good job.

 

[Godsbrother]

By my count only 6 of those making a prediction before October got this right. The boldest was the "Ghost of Bill Walsh" who had the stones to say the Jets would not make the playoffs.

 

[gigantor]

Pittsburgh - Missed the playoffs after last 2 Superbowl appearances. Might as well make it 3Dallas - Close, but not quite.San Diego- KC improving every day. SD not so muchIndy - The decline will be greatPhilly - The signing of Vince Young will be regrettedDetroit - They get 10 wins and just miss eta forgot 6th team

I thought I'd take bigger risks, and turned out pretty well. Was wrong about Pitt, should have looked closer at that weak schedule.Detroit I was right about the wins, wrong about them not making it.

 

[runner06]

WashingtonCincinnatiClevelandMiamiCarolinaOaklandA very weak NFC West makes me afraid to pick anyone from that division.

5/6 not bad. Not great. The NFC West didn't end up being quite as bad as I thought. I think it was a poor call by most to predict anyone from that division wouldn't make the playoffs though. There were just to many unknowns regarding that division.

 

[Leroy Hoard]

By my count only 6 of those making a prediction before October got this right.

6 out of how many? I need to know to set up approx. odds for next year.

 

[jon_mx]

Going back over the last 10 years, it is pretty consistent that about half the teams that made the playoffs the year before make it the next year. So if you just randomly pick a team that did not make the playoffs the year before, there is a 70 percent (14 out of 20) of them not making it the next year. So a chimp throwing darts would likely get 4 or 5 right.

 

[Dr. Octopus]

BuffaloMiamiCarolinaKansas CityClevelandWashington

6 out of 6, but it wasn't like I exactly went out on a limb with my picks. Only KC was a playoff team the year before and a lot of people saw them taking a step backwards.

 

[Reepicheep]

By my count only 6 of those making a prediction before October got this right.

6 out of how many? I need to know to set up approx. odds for next year.

I counted six too but didn't count how many predictions were made. At least 30 if I had to guess.Number one prediction killer was easily Cincy, Lions and 49ers seemed to be about tied for second, maybe a slight edge to the 49ers. Denver was probably 4th. Interesting game, I'll be sure to play next year.

 

[Leroy Hoard]

By my count only 6 of those making a prediction before October got this right.

6 out of how many? I need to know to set up approx. odds for next year.

I counted six too but didn't count how many predictions were made. At least 30 if I had to guess.Number one prediction killer was easily Cincy, Lions and 49ers seemed to be about tied for second, maybe a slight edge to the 49ers. Denver was probably 4th. Interesting game, I'll be sure to play next year.

OK using thirty, 24 > 6 = 4/1 "real odds". If you can get even money from everybody you should clean up.