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So who is breaking out in 2013? (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter ceo3west
- Start date
scrumptrulescent
Footballguy
2 semi-posthypes: Hosmer and Desmond Jennings could be good value.2 3B's who could end up top 5 at the position: Frazier and Middlebrooks2 breakouts: Myers from TB and Simmons in Atlanta.
Eephus
Footballguy
maybe by weight
Arsenal of Doom
Footballguy
By that measure, worth about 2 Huston Street's.
Northern Voice
Footballguy
Travis Snider? 
Notorious T.R.E.
Showdown!™ Administrator
Chris Parmelee might have $1 flyer upside potential.I like Freddie Freeman to take a decent jump this year.Dexter Fowler in obp leagues...was sneaky good last year and improving.Anthony Rizzo is the real deal, imo. 20 homers, 265+ AVG 330+ OBP floor Dayan Viciedo in AVG leegs. OBP killah though.
Billy Bats
Footballguy
Maybe a bit too soon, but I like Moustakas to take the next step.
derek245583
Footballguy
In an auction right now so I can help with how other perceive these guys...Guys I liked to breakout and took looks atTodd Frazier-- He is going for more than Brett Lawrie and 5 bucks more than David Freese...1 dollar short of Ryan ZimmermanBJ Upton-- Going for a reasonable price...below the flashy guys like Adam Jones, Jason Heyward...about the same price as michael Bourn, Sin Shoo Choo, and Desmond JenningsFreddie Freeman-- Adrian Gonzalez, Edwin Encarnacion, and Mark Trumbo are all in the same tax bracketGreg Holland-- Not on the board yetMike Moustakas-- Not on the board yetAndrelton Simmons-- Not on the board yet, but I expect to be cheapLet me know if you guys want anymore...had some keepers, so that effects things...but mostly high dollar keepers, so breakouts arent a big part of that. (Rizzo was kept though)
shadyridr
Footballguy
WTF?
derek245583
Footballguy
Thats what I said...and I laid off of him.Only thing I can think of is he has 1B/3B eligibility and the announcement of Rolen as DONE, means people are over reacting...Headley is currently on the board at 75% of his value...
And I need a 3B
Notorious T.R.E.
Showdown!™ Administrator
Is it a local league in Cincy?Thats what I said...and I laid off of him.Only thing I can think of is he has 1B/3B eligibility and the announcement of Rolen as DONE, means people are over reacting...Headley is currently on the board at 75% of his value...
Mr. Pickles
Footballguy
Yeah, that's one wacky post.
derek245583
Footballguy
Nope...me and another from Cincy...but majority are NY people I believe.Is it a local league in Cincy?Thats what I said...and I laid off of him.Only thing I can think of is he has 1B/3B eligibility and the announcement of Rolen as DONE, means people are over reacting...Headley is currently on the board at 75% of his value...
RnR
Footballguy
Perhaps he comes to mind because he broke out last season?
MAC_32
Footballguy
Room for more imho. I think he has room for more power and speed too.
MAC_32
Footballguy
Hosmer's price screams over correction. Way over valued last year and avoided accordingly. Curiously low adp this year. I am targeting him.
MAC_32
Footballguy
Co sign freeman, showed lots of growth signs as last year progressed.
RnR
Footballguy
While that's possible and up for debate, I'd still say the 166 point jump in OPS from his 2011 season to his 2012 season is going to be the "break out" that guys in this thread would be looking for. Anything he jumps from here will be modest in comparison to that breakout, especially since the draft choice he will cost this season is at an all-time high now that he's a pretty well known commodity as a five-tool guy at the top of the AL champions lineup.
MAC_32
Footballguy
He seems to be drafted about the same time as freeman, Frazier, etc
RnR
Footballguy
Ok. So what's your A Jax projection for this season?
MAC_32
Footballguy
I don't do projections, but I think he has room for another ten homers and he has 30 sb speed. He adjusted remarkably well and quickly to his new approach last year. I think this year as he enters his prime years he focuses more on the long ball and turning all singles and walks into doubles, essentially. Worst case, last year repeated. Low risk, high reward value at his current rate.
prosopis
Arizona Chupacabra
Love this guy.
Mr. Pickles
Footballguy
This is accurate. Catch a game, hit the early bird.'tommyGunZ said:
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
Sal Perez
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
I like Freeman too.I loved Frazier last year, but it seems like everyone else did too.
RaveOriole
Footballguy
I like Lucroy at catcher this year. He should go late, and he put up good numbers before he got hurt. Also Chris Davis from the Orioles should have a break out year and being at 1B he'll go late after all the big names at that position.
Chris Davis?
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
Same with AJAX and Fowler, even more so really.
MAC_32
Footballguy
It's a pretty vague word. If you want people that are drafted outside the top 150 that produce top 50 numbers probably good to specify.
RnR
Footballguy
We'll just use Merriam Webster.
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
Or the original post:
MAC_32
Footballguy
Well, I expect something closer to pre 2012 Chris Davis, so if he is anything like 2012 he will significantly outperform my expectations.I feel the total opposite about Austin Jackson. He took a big jump last year, I expect another one this year. He isn't being priced for that possibility though, so I expect him to exceed expectations...which by definition is a breakout...apparently. Looking at him similarly as I did Adam Jones and Choo last year - top 100 picks that become top 30-40 picks...and to a lesser degree Giancarlo and McCutchen too - round 2 and 3 picks that I expected to be #1's this year, and now are.So, do you want guys outside the top 150 that can get to the top 50? top 100 guys that can get to the top 30? or top 30 guys that can get to round 1? Because by definition they're all breakouts according to the above 2 posts. You fail english? That's unpossible.'Doctor Detroit said:
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
No idea what you're getting at here but by no definition of breakout should Austin Jackson be considered. He will not significantly outperform his 2012 year and he is a known quantity in baseball. I guess you are looking for the thread that talks about outperforming ADP.
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
Lonnie Chisenhall could be a good one. He will have a lot better guys hitting around him and much less pressure.
MAC_32
Footballguy
[snarky response]He is not a breakout, he is a lotto ticket[/snarky response]Real response - he's probably starting the year in the 8 or 9 hole and likely sitting vs. lefties. Last round flier, maybe, that has a strong chance of lasting less than 1 week into the season. Preferably, watch list guy you add if he has a hot streak at any point in the first month of the season.
Good Posting Judge
Footballguy
I'm going to skip over the semantics tussle and say that Curtis Granderson will out-perform his ADP/AAV.
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RaveOriole
Footballguy
I guess it comes down to the definition of "breakout". I guess you can say Chris Davis had a breakout year last year, but I understood it as someone who's under the radar and will improve. For example, Adam Jones probably had his breakout year last year. Sure people knew who he was, but last year was his best numbers and that's probably what you will see from him moving forward.
