I tried. FJax owners and not going for his current value, almost like they don't buy Spiller. Then I realize he's 31 coming off of two knee injuries with a better RB on the team so idc. I really want to make a blockbuster trade with Spiller, the Bills are one team that would do something as stupid as putting Spiller back on the bench for FJax. Hell he's been there for two years and they did the same with Lynch. I wouldn't give more than a Leshoure or Pierre Thomas type right now for FJax.
And herein lies the problem. Spiller owners are "overvalueing" Spiller and "undervalueing" Jackson. Jackson owners are "overvalueing" Jackson and "undervalueing" Spiller. There is risk on both sides. Jackson produced at high RB1 rate when he was healthy. No telling what Buffalo will do when he comes back or how long it will take him to get to 100%. Buffalo could continue play Spiller; move Jackson back to the lead role; or split carries. Depending on what they do, the value of these backs in a redraft will vary dramatically.
Isn't that most always the case though? That's inherently why one person owns one guy over another...they value him more, so they used a higher draft pick, etc. I'm a Jackson owner (drafted with pick 3-12), but with that said, if Jackson was back tomorrow, and the Spiller owner offered me Spiller for Jackson straight-up, I'd take it. But...that'll never happen, and for me, the price I'd have to pay to get Spiller is just too high. And the offer I'd likely get for Jackson is too low. So we're stuck, and I'd bet it's that way in many leagues.
That said, I think Jackson still has a good bit of value here. To be clear, he hasn't had two knee injuries (correct me if I'm wrong). He broke his leg last year, which, in reality, should have no long-term effects, and isn't knee related. This injury, while a knee injury,
isn't like a torn ligament or anything either. I also don't think one can tag him as "injury prone" yet as he had 3 straight healthy seasons prior to these last 2 issues. Now if he comes back from this one and gets hurt again...I might change my mind, but if he hadn't broken his leg last year, nobody would be saying anything about this sprain.
The last thing I think Jackson has going in his favor is that he's an excellent blocker.
He was the best pass blocker in pass blocking efficiency last year. That's very key. Spiller may do more with the ball in his hands, but one could easily argue that Jackson is more beneficial to the team as a whole.
Time will tell, but I think this will end up being much more RBBC than either one winning out going forward.
