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Stock Thread (201 Viewers)

Picked up 1500 shares of UWTI at $31.14

3.5 Million decline, 25k barrel fall in production

This report might get us towards testing $50

 
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fantasycurse42 said:
Nice 35% tank in a few weeks, thing is a powerhouse... Luckily I didn't overextend and we're just getting near where I originally bought in. I'm holding this one boom or bust.
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SGYP, probably the ####tiest thing I own. Luckily only 2k shares, could've cashed in on a close to $10k profit, got greedy and I'm currently down $3k on the thing. I really hate this company. I'm going down with the ship.

 
fantasycurse42 said:
SGYP, probably the ####tiest thing I own. Luckily only 2k shares, could've cashed in on a close to $10k profit, got greedy and I'm currently down $3k on the thing. I really hate this company. I'm going down with the ship.
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I'm going down as well FC.  I'm so tired of owning this stock.  They have good science, good trial results, ####ty management.

 
St. Louis Bob said:
AAPL just broke the $92 support, where it will stop, NOBODY KNOWS!!

I'll be looking to back the truck up though. :coffee:
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Starting nibbling in again. 20% upside over next 8-12 months. Take that all day. Right now...no catalyst. But you can collect a (growing) 2.5% yield at this level while you wait.

AGN and GILD as well. Huge value. The bio-pharma sector is a huge value and a great long term play at these levels IMO (best in class names like GILD, AGN, BIIB ABBV, AMGN). They have not participated at all in the March April rally. Average in....summer will be crazy volatility and after the election I expect the sector to take off long term again.

Energy....I actually got out of many names even...and some at a small loss after the recent rally (was time to just wave the flag and find better value). Stayed in the big ones like CVX and XOM as well as OXY and still waiting for COP to recover more.  Oil will come back around...but it is taking time. Short term....more volatility indeed.

 
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Anyone have any thoughts on Whole Foods (WFM)?  It is down about 33% over the past year, but as a shopper there, I do think they are a good company and I feel like there is a fair chance for them to rebound.  The wife brought it up today because she is interested in investing somewhere, but has always been adverse to the stock market (or investing in anything that the she doesn't really "believe in".)

http://seekingalpha.com/article/3959830-stock-week-whole-foods-market

http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2016/04/20/better-buy-whole-foods-market-inc-vs-costco.aspx

As competition continues to heat up, investors are concerned the company won't be able to sustain its impressive 3.4% net margin. And investors are probably right; this net margin will almost certainly come down.

But worries about competition have helped create a buying opportunity. The stock is down 36% during the past twelve months and the stock's price-to-earnings ratio of 21 is fairly low when viewed next to the company's growth and its long-term prospects. Over the long haul, the company's comparatively faster revenue growth than Costco's should help Whole Foods return to EPS growth -- even if its net margin is pressured.

If management is right about Whole Foods' growth potential, there's significant runway ahead. Whole Foods currently has just over 400 stores. But management believes there's potential to nearly triple this store count -- and this doesn't even include its new 365-branded store format, which the company had already signed five leases for when it reported first-quarter results earlier this year.

Investors who buy amid these challenging times for Whole Foods -- and before it returns to its historical precedent of prudent capital allocation and EPS growth -- could see market-beating returns.

In light of its more conservative valuation, I think Whole Foods stock is a better buy than Costco.
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Whole Foods Markets, Inc. Fiscal Year 2016 Outlook*

The company remains focused on the metrics it believes are key to the long-term health of its business and is targeting:

  • Sales growth of 3% to 5%
  • Approximately 30 new stores, including three 365 stores and two to three relocations
  • Square footage growth of 7% or greater
  • EBITDA margin of approximately 8.5%
  • Capital expenditures of 5% of sales
  • ROIC greater than 13.5%
 
*Released by WFM via Q1 2016 press release

During Q2 2015, Whole Foods Markets, Inc. announced they would open up a new chain of smaller stores (30,000 sq.ft vs the 39,000 sq ft Whole Foods) whereby they will be targeting millennials who are more price sensitive all the while keeping the same high quality standards. What remains to be seen is whether or not these stores WFM later revealed to be called "365" can be successful and not significantly cannibalize their existing store sales.


Highlight Technicals


Whole Foods Markets, Inc. has been tumbling since its high of approximately $65.00 in 2013. While the stock did rebound in late 2014 and early 2015, since then it has gone back to 2007 levels.

From a technical perspective, WFM is currently in a $28 and $35 range. While at the same time we've seen that the support levels of 2014 have become resistance. If we see WFM break out of the $35 range and sustained price action, there would be a good chance of $35 becoming support again. Otherwise we will see a roll over below $28. We are in a long-term downtrend.
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I made almost 2k on MGT last 2 days. 

Tomorrow might also be another great opportunity if starts up at open and then dips. Just buy when it starts moving back up. 

 
I'm not sure on the stock value Larry.  I do shop there, but mainly for high end meat and that's about it.  So much of it is overpriced using marketing buzz words.  It seems a lot of people just haven't figured that out yet (or don't care).  Here in Virginia, we have a Wegmans about to pop up next door (Hallelujah!!!!), and so I'll be moving to Wegmans for pretty much all of my needs at that point.

 
St. Louis Bob said:
AAPL just broke the $92 support, where it will stop, NOBODY KNOWS!!

I'll be looking to back the truck up though. :coffee:
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One thing I don't like about Apple is they missed the early boat on Virtual Reality. You can't use Mac to run VR because Apple does not support any compatible, high-end GPUs. And on the iOS side, they aren't there yet with mobile VR either, which isn't true VR anyway. They reportedly have a secret team working on it, have patents, and have made several hires. But I think the timing is a big miss for Apple and they won't be able to fall back on their strategy of being late to market with a solution and pretending it's something new and groundbreaking. Google, FB, and several others are already well on their way to handing them a beating in this new and growing VR market that will be worth hundreds of billions. And from an R&D standpoint, they all have a big head start over Apple and there are products that have launched. People also actually have a reason now to upgrade the GPU on their Windows PC or buy a new PC that is VR capable. This is driving new sales for NVDA and AMD and the respective PC manufacturers. Apple is currently getting none of these sales. And they don't have a content story yet because their hardware doesn't support it.  And ultimately content is where the big money will be made. 

 
Needed some safe yield, so bought some GGZ-PA on Friday for just over $25.  5.3% yield with an investment grade preferred.  These issues have been skyrocketing right now, so this is about as safe as it gets right now.

Back to the AAPL talk (yes, I'm thinking of buying more, but think it will dip somewhat this summer before the 7 comes out).  Interesting stat - AAPL and GOOG have just about the same market cap, yet AAPL has roughly the same amount of revenue in a quarter that GOOG has all year.  If we see a general market dip and AAPL participates I'm looking to double/triple my stake.

 
Long Ball Larry said:
Anyone have any thoughts on Whole Foods (WFM)?  It is down about 33% over the past year, but as a shopper there, I do think they are a good company and I feel like there is a fair chance for them to rebound.  The wife brought it up today because she is interested in investing somewhere, but has always been adverse to the stock market (or investing in anything that the she doesn't really "believe in".)

http://seekingalpha.com/article/3959830-stock-week-whole-foods-market

http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2016/04/20/better-buy-whole-foods-market-inc-vs-costco.aspx
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Whole Foods was a pioneer in providing healthy (organic argue about the health benefits later) food to people that wanted a better option than the over processed crap we were eating for years.  Now everybody (Walmart, Target, Aldi's) is doing this.  So they are losing business and their ability to price things at a premium level.  Plus they have straight up copy cats in places like Fresh Thyme etc.

 
Sand said:
Needed some safe yield, so bought some GGZ-PA on Friday for just over $25.  5.3% yield with an investment grade preferred.  These issues have been skyrocketing right now, so this is about as safe as it gets right now.

Back to the AAPL talk (yes, I'm thinking of buying more, but think it will dip somewhat this summer before the 7 comes out).  Interesting stat - AAPL and GOOG have just about the same market cap, yet AAPL has roughly the same amount of revenue in a quarter that GOOG has all year.  If we see a general market dip and AAPL participates I'm looking to double/triple my stake.
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Warren B disclosed a big buy today. ****. <_<   Really was hoping for a buy in the $80's.

 
Bought a ton more AAPL on the 90 dip and pretty happy this morning.

Also enjoying both my UCO and UWTI positions quite a bit this morning.  

I won't hurt my harm patting myself on the back though.

 
Sand said:
Needed some safe yield, so bought some GGZ-PA on Friday for just over $25.  5.3% yield with an investment grade preferred.  These issues have been skyrocketing right now, so this is about as safe as it gets right now.

Back to the AAPL talk (yes, I'm thinking of buying more, but think it will dip somewhat this summer before the 7 comes out).  Interesting stat - AAPL and GOOG have just about the same market cap, yet AAPL has roughly the same amount of revenue in a quarter that GOOG has all year.  If we see a general market dip and AAPL participates I'm looking to double/triple my stake.
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I read somewhere that due to the low trading volume of these issues, it's better to do limit orders rather than market.  I set modest limits two weeks ago and none of them tripped. Cost me 4%in two weeks.  Booooo

 
NREC34 said:
Hope some of you guys got on the MGT train. 
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Is this from like a penny stock newsletter or something? Curious where someone finds a company worth under $30M that runs 6x in 5 days. The profits are undeniable, just feels like a pump and dump where people will be left holding a bag.

Where did you find this one?

 
Brony said:
I read somewhere that due to the low trading volume of these issues, it's better to do limit orders rather than market.  I set modest limits two weeks ago and none of them tripped. Cost me 4%in two weeks.  Booooo
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Depends on the issue.  Most issues absolutely you need to use limit orders.  In the first couple days of GGZ-A with 100k+ shares traded it was probably safe to do a market order.  But I'd thoroughly agree that most of the time you need limit orders in this space.

 
fantasycurse42 said:
Is this from like a penny stock newsletter or something? Curious where someone finds a company worth under $30M that runs 6x in 5 days. The profits are undeniable, just feels like a pump and dump where people will be left holding a bag.

Where did you find this one?
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@WinningTrades4U... Twitter and StockTwits. Guy seems to know his stuff. It has to crash pretty hard soon. Probably today. 

 
:lmao:  MGT is up another 46%... At this stage in my life, I don't mess with any of these kinda things, but it is fun to watch. 

There will be a painful crash at some point, hopefully you've already collected your payday NREC.

 
Reading the Stocktwits for MGT is pure gold. I've never seen such a more clueless group of people...

"Just keep buying, it is going to $40"

"It has support at $4"

"No way this can go down"

"This company is going to replace Google" 

:lmao:

 
Not retiring early. Only made a couple of grand. I had 7500 shares and sold it Friday for 1.59. Feel pretty dumb now. 

 
NREC34 said:
Not retiring early. Only made a couple of grand. I had 7500 shares and sold it Friday for 1.59. Feel pretty dumb now. 
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No dude, that was smart. You basically picked up some free money - you don't want to overextend on something like this and get caught on the wrong side.

 
Wait this is John McAfee? The guy who was suspiciously involved in some murders in Mexico or South America or something like that? Isn't this guy a maniac? 

Yea, this will end well. 

 
I need to clear my calendar this afternoon to watch Stocktwits when this turns... I can guarantee some gold!

"The shorts are manipulating, don't let them steal your shares for cheap"

"I lost my life savings"

"BUY THE DIP!!"

"Nooooooooooo!!!!"

"Great time to buy"

 
fantasycurse42 said:
I need to clear my calendar this afternoon to watch Stocktwits when this turns... I can guarantee some gold!

"The shorts are manipulating, don't let them steal your shares for cheap"

"I lost my life savings"

"BUY THE DIP!!"

"Nooooooooooo!!!!"

"Great time to buy"
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They think it's going to 20...

 
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