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Kudlow is a Rush Limbaugh clone but on a financial channel.  Also, it's still in the bill.
Have you seen if it made it through the vote? Assume it did. I sold a SBUX lot  to today for a gain of about $2600. Shares bought a few months ago with plan to sell around $58.
Under the FIFO law, I'd be forced to sell shares from 2012 for a gain of around $15k. Trade wouldn't make sense since the tax would well exceed the gain. 

 
If Christie wins his sports gambling case in the Supreme Court, what stock(s) are poised to benefit the most? Traditional casino types like LVS or MGM? Or The Stars Group (fomerly Amaya, FFA board darling)? I see Churchill Downs as a possibility. Any tech companies that stand to be the main drivers? It's only a matter of time.

 
If Christie wins his sports gambling case in the Supreme Court, what stock(s) are poised to benefit the most? Traditional casino types like LVS or MGM? Or The Stars Group (fomerly Amaya, FFA board darling)? I see Churchill Downs as a possibility. Any tech companies that stand to be the main drivers? It's only a matter of time.
I would assume that the time to get in would have been when the supreme court announced the decision to hear it, which was over the summer. I'd imagine that it's already factored in the stock price.

But to more direclty answer your question, it would appear to me that racetracks can implement this pretty fast, where it will take the traditional casinos a lot longer to just based on space available on the casino floors. :shrug:

 
Also, to put it in perspective, in the month of October, here's the breakdown of casino winnings in Nevada (in millions)

Craps $29.3

Sports $31.4

Roulette $33.2

Baccarat $87.7

BJ - $89.3

Penny slots $289.6

 
Have you seen if it made it through the vote? Assume it did. I sold a SBUX lot  to today for a gain of about $2600. Shares bought a few months ago with plan to sell around $58.
Under the FIFO law, I'd be forced to sell shares from 2012 for a gain of around $15k. Trade wouldn't make sense since the tax would well exceed the gain. 
I'm not sure anyone has seen the whole bill but would also assume it's still in there.

 
I'm not sure anyone has seen the whole bill but would also assume it's still in there.
Positive development-- almost 40 GOP House members signed a letter to send to leadership tomorrow asking them to remove the FIFO restriction. That should at least get it active consideration vs simply getting lost in the shuffle. Plus, since it doesn't raise much money, it could be something the Senate is more willing to give up to the House.

 
Yea, FIFO is all I'm following right now. If they remove FIFO, we see Santa and I think the rally continues, if FIFO stays in, we get some selling for tax purposes and shed some gains into the EOY. If it stays in, I'm selling almost everything and buying back at close on the last trading day of the year. 

 
Anybody here holding GDX or GLD? I've had a fair amount of shares for about a year, but am considering bailing with a small loss. I like a small portion long term, but see short term decay a real possibility. i.e. being able to buy 5-10% lower in a few months.

 
Yea, FIFO is all I'm following right now. If they remove FIFO, we see Santa and I think the rally continues, if FIFO stays in, we get some selling for tax purposes and shed some gains into the EOY. If it stays in, I'm selling almost everything and buying back at close on the last trading day of the year. 
:blackdot:

 
I would assume that the time to get in would have been when the supreme court announced the decision to hear it, which was over the summer. I'd imagine that it's already factored in the stock price.

But to more direclty answer your question, it would appear to me that racetracks can implement this pretty fast, where it will take the traditional casinos a lot longer to just based on space available on the casino floors. :shrug:
I didn't realize that William Hill was public (believe they are only traded on the London Stock Exchange), but they provide bookmaking services to a lot of casinos.  They're likely the immediate benificiaries, but again, probably already priced in to an extent.

 
Thought this was high level enough to justify posting here, from the WSJ:

The Breakfast Briefing

A summary of markets this year requires only two words: Low volatility.

Stocks climbed to repeated record highs at such a leisurely pace that 2017 may be among the least choppy years in history. The Cboe Volatility Index, the market's so-called “fear gauge,” hit an all-time low and the S&P 500 observed its longest streak without falling more than 0.5% in five decades. There have been zero daily 2% price swings; last year, there were eight.

When U.S. stocks did fall, they were bought lustily by investors -- and fast.

After such anomalous trading, strategists are reluctant to wager on a surge in volatility. Topsy-turvy trading will only follow major changes by central banks, says Pam Finelli, a strategist at Deutsche Bank.

Easy-money policies from the Federal Reserve pinned down interest rates, drove investors into risky assets like stocks and encouraged the buy-the-dip mindset. While asset prices have gained, loose financial conditions have not stoked the higher inflation that is a precursor for central bankers to tighten their monetary spigots in earnest.

Headed into 2018, a surprise spike in inflation is the most obvious catalyst for a sustained increase in stock market volatility, Ms. Finelli says. She calls for the Volatility Index, or VIX, to average between 12 and 14 in the first three months of next year, scarcely higher than Wednesday’s reading of 11. The long-term average for the VIX is near 20.

Benjamin Bowler, a derivatives strategist at Bank of America, agrees that unexpectedly hot inflation is the “big risk for low vol.” Even so, he notes that it could take a long time for VIX readings to revert back to persistently higher levels.

“The belief that risk doesn't exist is a collective psychology," he wrote, "and it may take a significant shock to make [central banks’] waning support visible.”

 
If Christie wins his sports gambling case in the Supreme Court, what stock(s) are poised to benefit the most? Traditional casino types like LVS or MGM? Or The Stars Group (fomerly Amaya, FFA board darling)? I see Churchill Downs as a possibility. Any tech companies that stand to be the main drivers? It's only a matter of time.
:ph34r:

 
When you have a minute: What's the deal with CSEAF?  It's one I never bought, but I keep an eye on some of the names thrown around a lot in here, and it's certainly cheap relative to what it was last time it was mentioned in here.

 
When you have a minute: What's the deal with CSEAF?  It's one I never bought, but I keep an eye on some of the names thrown around a lot in here, and it's certainly cheap relative to what it was last time it was mentioned in here.
I still own it but am sitting on a massive loss.  It's one I just leave alone because long term, I think it's a winner and it pays a decent dividend.  Fallen on hard times with clam prices collapsing and losing their monopoly in the Atlantic waters.  Insiders are buying and I think it's really cheap here.  Also think it could be a candidate for a takeover.  Also, since 85% of their business is exporting seafood, the exchange rate hasn't worked in their favor.  I'd add to it here if I had cash, but all my cash went somewhere else. :ninja:

 
So, if I follow this correctly, they're selling shares at a 5% discount from current pricing to buy physical cobalt at a 10% premium to current pricing.
We're trying to figure this out right now.  

as in, why?  Seems like there's something bigger brewing.

 
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We're trying to figure this out right now.  

as in, why?  Seems like there's something bigger brewing.
My sideline analysis based on the one article I read.  They have option to buy a volume of cobalt that they don't think they'll get in the future, and are willing to pay a 10% premium on it.  They don't have the cash to do so, thus are selling shares at a discount.

:shrug:

 
My sideline analysis based on the one article I read.  They have option to buy a volume of cobalt that they don't think they'll get in the future, and are willing to pay a 10% premium on it.  They don't have the cash to do so, thus are selling shares at a discount.

:shrug:
Story checks out.  Still have some cash on hand for.......somethimg. 

 
What are you guys watching into 2018?

I think inflation is top of mind for me, it's been stubborn for a while, starting to uptick - the backdrop for growth is still firm right now, but once we really see an uptick there, I think it'll be time sell. 

 
What are you guys watching into 2018?

I think inflation is top of mind for me, it's been stubborn for a while, starting to uptick - the backdrop for growth is still firm right now, but once we really see an uptick there, I think it'll be time sell. 
I've been wondering this too, but feel to frozen to act. Everything just seems so top heavy with valuations. Everything I dip my toe into seems to turn to ####, and my hedges against a correction all end up decaying with this unreal bull market we're in.

I was looking into CSEAF as it's valuation is great, then read a read a report from CFRA and the rest was negative. So, I think I'll end up parking most of my $ on the sidelines, and miss any upside, but protect myself from the inevitable correction. It's gotta happen sometime next year, right?! 

What I wouldn't give for a ultra safe 3%...

 
I've been wondering this too, but feel to frozen to act. Everything just seems so top heavy with valuations. Everything I dip my toe into seems to turn to ####, and my hedges against a correction all end up decaying with this unreal bull market we're in.

I was looking into CSEAF as it's valuation is great, then read a read a report from CFRA and the rest was negative. So, I think I'll end up parking most of my $ on the sidelines, and miss any upside, but protect myself from the inevitable correction. It's gotta happen sometime next year, right?! 

What I wouldn't give for a ultra safe 3%...
Define ultra safe

 
As long as you don't sell...
Yeah, this is fundamentally true. I don't trust myself though, when you see a 10% scalp off of the top, to not run to the hills and sell, thus baking in the loss. Then trying to get back in at the bottom. Yeah, cause timing the market always works... :loco:

 
Yeah, this is fundamentally true. I don't trust myself though, when you see a 10% scalp off of the top, to not run to the hills and sell, thus baking in the loss. Then trying to get back in at the bottom. Yeah, cause timing the market always works... :loco:
@Dentistwould tell you there are reasonably safe preferreds where you can earn >3% with little chance of losing your investment.  Assuming you don't panic and sell when it dips 10%.

 
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@Dentistwould tell you there are reasonably safe preferreds where you can earn >3% with little chance of losing your investment.  Assuming you don't panic and sell when it dips 10%.
This is true, my preferred stocks have done rather well, though with the meteoric rise in stocks they have been a weak performer in my portfolio by comparison

 
Thoughts on OSTK in here?  Missed this last dip, but with Morgan Stanley having skin in the game...

?
I'm terrified of it, but it seems like one of the equities to play if you want to ride the crypto wave without doing it directly. The premiums on the options look pretty crazy, so that might be an option if you're into trading a little.

Or, you an sell puts if you want to own it long-term.

Example - it's trading at $55 and change right now. You can sell the $55.00 strike for January for about $1900 right now. That leaves a lot of wiggle room. 

You can also buy 100 shares now for around $5500 and sell a January 70 call for $1300-$1400. So, if you want to own it, you buy the shares, collect $1300 for a month and 2nd worst case scenario (other than the stock completely imploding in 30 days) is it rockets past $70 and you only make $3000 for a one month, $5500 investment.

 

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