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Stock Thread (20 Viewers)
- Thread starter St. Louis Bob
- Start date
Otis
Footballguy
I only have a Merril Edge account. It wouldn’t let me buy whatever you posted, not sure why. I admit I didn’t spend much time investigating it. Seems I should have — I’d have been good for $10k at least.
The General
Footballguy
Broke through $1 per share just now. Almost a four-bagger.I sold my CYDY. I got too nervous making that much profit that fast
Enjoy the rocket ship everyone else. I’ll probably jump back in again and jinx it for you all.
Thanks again @chet
The General
Footballguy
chet
Footballguy
I’ve got 5000 shares at cost basis zero and a big bag of popcorn. I’m not going anywhere.
Just heard one of the Najarian brothers pimping SPCE, the recently offered Virgin Galactic. He said that there's buzz that's pushing option buyers to load up on January calls. He sort of gave a wink that some news or a launch or something is going to drop in time for those calls to appreciate. I dipped my toes by buying a few. He suggested the $11 calls but they were already in the money and pretty expensive by the time I shopped them so I took the cheaper route by buying $12.50 calls for January 17.
Also, on a safer note and a long-term, investment, two separate analysts were pushing INTC for 2020. Looking at their numbers, I like it too and will add it in my 401k. Good luck to all.
Also, on a safer note and a long-term, investment, two separate analysts were pushing INTC for 2020. Looking at their numbers, I like it too and will add it in my 401k. Good luck to all.
Only sold 30% at 1.00 to get my investment back. Bought in at 0.28 and will keep the remaining 70% for now. Let’s roll.
GoBirds
Footballguy
Bossman
Footballguy
OrtonToOlsen
Footballguy
Looooong story but...
Anyone here have their money in Dean Witter?
If so, opinions?
Anyone here have their money in Dean Witter?
If so, opinions?
fantasycurse42
Footballguy Jr.
Holy #### @chet
Woke up this morning to review some positions and analyze allocations heading into 2020, CYDY was something I figured I throw a few dollars at and forget about. I made two buys at .295 & .515 and now it’s worth almost $5k. Wish I would’ve bought more.
Debating selling my .295 tranche and free rolling here, IDK... what are your long term prospects on this? Is it possible this turns into a $3 or $4 stock in a year or two?
ETA:
Oh, and thanks again!!! One of the best calls in the history of this thread!
Woke up this morning to review some positions and analyze allocations heading into 2020, CYDY was something I figured I throw a few dollars at and forget about. I made two buys at .295 & .515 and now it’s worth almost $5k. Wish I would’ve bought more.
Debating selling my .295 tranche and free rolling here, IDK... what are your long term prospects on this? Is it possible this turns into a $3 or $4 stock in a year or two?
ETA:
Oh, and thanks again!!! One of the best calls in the history of this thread!
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fantasycurse42
Footballguy Jr.
I know I’m one of the thread pessimists, but does anyone feel we’re currently in a melt-up?
While anecdotal, over the holiday break so far, I’m yet to hear anything outside of euphoria in every conversation I’ve had. To me that’s a giant red flag! It’s basically impossible to have missed right now. Everything is up. I’m severely hedged with gold, so the expectation would be for someone like me to have missed out, but gold has been killing it too. If the market is so amazing, why is a hedge like gold having its best year in almost a decade?
I’m not selling any of my gold unless the 10 year cracks 3%, and we saw what happened to the market last time it went over 3%, there’s too much debt to even withstand that. The Fed (and every central bank) are filled with idiots. They have no tools left except printing and buying assets (hence my stance on gold), what was “unconventional” just 10 years ago is now the norm. With earnings more or less flat this year, and forecasts moderate at best for next year (these earnings forecasts are typically rosy to begin with), we’ve basically had a 25% P/E expansion, those are the gains.
As no shock to anyone, my conclusion right now was preservation after a deep dive this morning, I’m not selling any of my gold.
This conclusion is based on a few things, almost all Fed related:
1) They can’t raise rates to anything meaningful, it’ll spell doom, they know it, everyone knows it. With no yield anywhere, gold isn’t at a major risk of a sell-off. Our deficit during this “boom” is now running and will continue to run at over $1T, these rates needs to stay low. If they go up, it’s systemic risk, thanks Washington DC.
2) Balance sheet, they’re already running QE 4 right now, disguised as a correction to the repo market. Their balance sheet will easily exceed $10T during our next downturn, it was around $1T in 2007. Eventually that will end badly.
3) Putting 1 & 2 together, we will see unprecedented printing this decade, devaluing paper, gold will be one of the only places to preserve money.
Outside of gold, while I do believe real estate will get hurt in our next downturn (nothing like 2008 though), I like it as an asset class as well for preservation. While I won’t be surprised to see P/E to continue to expand, I stand pat with gold/real estate to preserve wealth.
While anecdotal, over the holiday break so far, I’m yet to hear anything outside of euphoria in every conversation I’ve had. To me that’s a giant red flag! It’s basically impossible to have missed right now. Everything is up. I’m severely hedged with gold, so the expectation would be for someone like me to have missed out, but gold has been killing it too. If the market is so amazing, why is a hedge like gold having its best year in almost a decade?
I’m not selling any of my gold unless the 10 year cracks 3%, and we saw what happened to the market last time it went over 3%, there’s too much debt to even withstand that. The Fed (and every central bank) are filled with idiots. They have no tools left except printing and buying assets (hence my stance on gold), what was “unconventional” just 10 years ago is now the norm. With earnings more or less flat this year, and forecasts moderate at best for next year (these earnings forecasts are typically rosy to begin with), we’ve basically had a 25% P/E expansion, those are the gains.
As no shock to anyone, my conclusion right now was preservation after a deep dive this morning, I’m not selling any of my gold.
This conclusion is based on a few things, almost all Fed related:
1) They can’t raise rates to anything meaningful, it’ll spell doom, they know it, everyone knows it. With no yield anywhere, gold isn’t at a major risk of a sell-off. Our deficit during this “boom” is now running and will continue to run at over $1T, these rates needs to stay low. If they go up, it’s systemic risk, thanks Washington DC.
2) Balance sheet, they’re already running QE 4 right now, disguised as a correction to the repo market. Their balance sheet will easily exceed $10T during our next downturn, it was around $1T in 2007. Eventually that will end badly.
3) Putting 1 & 2 together, we will see unprecedented printing this decade, devaluing paper, gold will be one of the only places to preserve money.
Outside of gold, while I do believe real estate will get hurt in our next downturn (nothing like 2008 though), I like it as an asset class as well for preservation. While I won’t be surprised to see P/E to continue to expand, I stand pat with gold/real estate to preserve wealth.
chet
Footballguy
Hold and add on weakness. Although I've posted a link to this article before, I will post it again. Since I posted it the first time however, I noticed that CYDY actually paid for it to be published so it's obviously not objective. It does lay out a very bullish scenario and it's not out of the realm of possibility that their drug becomes an absolute blockbuster. If that happens, watch out. BLA submission and "Break Through Designation" filing are both on the near horizon and either will be positive for the stock. There's still room @Otis--don't be afraid to win.
Why would you ever sell the low cost basis lot before the high cost basis stock?
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eaganwildcats
Footballguy
The General
Footballguy
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Sand
Footballguy
Cool stats - stock returns by decade in the first table in here. Broken down by it's components, which is pretty cool to see. Not nearly as much P/E growth lately as I would have thought.
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Taxguy
Footballguy
I’m in for about 62,000 shares. Half in Roth IRA, other portion split between 401k and taxable account. FYI Schwab allows for purchasing.
dkp993
Footballguy
Outside of my 401K and my stock exchange through my work, I don't do any personal stocks. I want to change that in 2020.
When you say to go with low cost funds like Vanguard, can you explain that? I was thinking of buy 'x' number of shares, but are you suggesting a different approach?
cosjobs
Footballguy
What do y'all think of physical gold and silver?
I think Kramer recommends 10% of your assets.
Mario Kart
Footballguy
I was going to buy into CYDY but Vanguard doesn’t allow it or I am doing something wrong. Any ideas?
TripItUp
Footballguy
Mario Kart
Footballguy
I was going to put in $400 when it was in the $.30's... was that Monday... or buy in the $.40's on Thursday... or something like that. I would have had 500 shares or so. Oh well, it's only money.
I had an ETC on gold, but the commission for „storage“ annoyed me. If you’re expecting doomsday, then physical gold should be your way to go.
But I don’t and I enjoy the added leverage that mining companies bring. Hence my investments in FNV, GOLD, and NEM.
GoBirds
Footballguy
Just low cost in the sense that the fees they charge on their funds are extremely low....I believe others like Schwab and Fidelity are also very low.
For example check out VTSAX, the expense ratio is .04% for the fund which is very low compared to some other funds that can get close to 1%. It's not exciting or sexy but saves alot over time.
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GoBirds
Footballguy
Yes, it provides exposure to essentially all equity funds and one share is currently about $79. Here's a link and research other info online, may be an option worth considering.
https://investor.vanguard.com/mutual-funds/profile/overview/vtsax
chet
Footballguy
Seeking Alpha piece on the value of an FDA "breakthrough designation". He addresses CYDY toward the bottom. @Otis there's still room to make money. The really easy money is gone and now we are onto the easy money.
Maybe dumb questions, but I'll ask. This company has been around for at least a decade and their price got to about 3.30 in 2011, but hasn't been close since then.
You've been sharing a lot of recent news about good news to come in Q1 2020, but what is your level of confidence in this stock (1 being the lowest, 10 being the highest)? If you had to guess-estimate, where you do see this country in a year?
NajehHejan
Footballguy
Fbg dumping day? 
Bought some CYDY initially today at 1.09 then just got more at .93 to average down
am under water 10% but hoping for good things ahead. Did a lot of research and feel good long term. My timing for entry just sucks
Bought some CYDY initially today at 1.09 then just got more at .93 to average down
am under water 10% but hoping for good things ahead. Did a lot of research and feel good long term. My timing for entry just sucks
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Rattle and Hum
Footballguy
And suddenly NIO doesn't sux so bad.
chet
Footballguy
No dumping here. I've added in the high 50s (last week) and the high 90s (yesterday).Fbg dumping day?
Bought some CYDY initially today at 1.09 then just got more at .93 to average down
am under water 10% but hoping for good things ahead. Did a lot of research and feel good long term. My timing for entry just sucks
The Big Donkey
Footballguy
AMD is running again. Took profits on 20% of my longs.
Hey Chet,
Not sure if you have seen my earlier questions, but thought I'd run them by you again.
Good luck!
chet
Footballguy
I have a lot of confidence in the stock but that doesn't mean it is without risk. As I said above, I am considering selling my most valuable asset to them for more shares. If they execute, CYDY will be much higher in 12 months barring some external event.
