Stock Thread (25 Viewers)

[hooter311]

We are less than 2 months away from a bitcoin supply squeeze that almost guarantees a +40% price increase.

The 60k days are behind us.

The 80k days are behind us.

The market is not prepared to deal with a truly finite asset.

The next top 50 company that announces a btc treasury. Will send this thing nuclear. I do anticipate Microsoft to fumble their opportunity, but just bringing it to their table should be enough to entice another major player.

 

[hooter311]

There are currently 2.5 million btc on exchanges, down from 4.5 million a month ago.

Fully expect $mstr to announce a $10 billion 100,000 btc buy as early as monday. Efts are buying about 25,000 a week.

IBIT derivatives just opened up a huge influx of capital. The volatility is going to make them the most popular options play on the planet.

We are still at the beginning stages of this...

 

[hooter311]

$mstr is currently set to book a $15 billion btc gain for q1 next year. That profit will make up for previous 3 quarter losses and propel them to sp 500.

They will be priced in to QQQ at end of this month and draw about a billion in passive flows.

Next 60 days is nothing but catalysts for microstrategy.

 

[identikit]

$mstr is currently set to book a $15 billion btc gain for q1 next year. That profit will make up for previous 3 quarter losses and propel them to sp 500.

They will be priced in to QQQ at end of this month and draw about a billion in passive flows.

Next 60 days is nothing but catalysts for microstrategy.

Buckled in

 

[McBokonon]

I have no idea what $SAVA does but I’ve seen it mentioned here a lot: down 20% on news of an SEC investigation.

More than two years later but the S appears to be hitting the fan on these guys today.

$SAVA Alzheimer's Phase III trial fail. Down 84% premarket. I hope you all were out of this one.

 

[kevzilla]

I was underwater (again) on MP Materials on Wednesday afternoon. Now I'm 13% to the good. Owning this thing is like riding a Cape buffalo sometimes.

 

[Buckna]

Somehow screwed up my order for selling a Dec 165 NVDA call yesterday, but it worked out as I sold a Dec 168 call this morning for 4.25, which is more than I would have gotten for the 165 call yesterday.

I'm sure I'll get burned eventually, but the NVDA options are so expensive that I've been having good results selling a well out of the money covered call when we get an upswing, and then selling a well out of the money uncovered put when we get a downswing.

Kinda tailed you on this yesterday.
Sold 2 covered calls NVDA 11/15 ... $148 strike
Paid me $4.60
I like your idea of cashing in on the overreaction of the market when days like yesterday and today happen.
The premium is already down, I'm betting it won't hit strike, and I'll just pocket the $920 premium.
If they get called, I'm ok with that for the reasons stated above. If not called, I'll probably do it again on the next bump up.

I followed you guys on this as well. Not sure if the best route but closed out my covered call this morning, had already realized 90% gain on the premium with over 3 weeks to go to expiration (12/20). Figure I may sell another out of the money call if there is a pop in the next few days or week and start the cycle over again.

 

[JB Breakfast Club]

$mstr is currently set to book a $15 billion btc gain for q1 next year. That profit will make up for previous 3 quarter losses and propel them to sp 500.

They will be priced in to QQQ at end of this month and draw about a billion in passive flows.

Next 60 days is nothing but catalysts for microstrategy.

Buckled in

Rough waters today

 

[SFBayDuck]

$mstr is currently set to book a $15 billion btc gain for q1 next year. That profit will make up for previous 3 quarter losses and propel them to sp 500.

They will be priced in to QQQ at end of this month and draw about a billion in passive flows.

Next 60 days is nothing but catalysts for microstrategy.

Buckled in

Rough waters today

Down 35% from the recent peak in just the past couple of days. It's never boring with this one!

 

[Dr_Zaius]

Not sure if the best route but closed out my covered call this morning, had already realized 90% gain on the premium with over 3 weeks to go to expiration (12/20).

Yeah I'm still new to this and struggle with the same decision. On one hand, it seems incredibly unlikely for a 168 strike to get triggered in the next month so why spend even $30 to close it out? On the other hand, how mad will I be if the thing rips to 180 out of nowhere and the shares get called away?

Looking at the January options the prices seemed to have calmed down substantially and are a lot less attractive (on both the put and call side) than the last time I sold them. Maybe the degen options gamblers have moved on to a different stock?

 

[FreeBaGeL]

Looking at the January options the prices seemed to have calmed down substantially and are a lot less attractive (on both the put and call side) than the last time I sold them. Maybe the degen options gamblers have moved on to a different stock?

TSLA and MSTR.

 

[Dr_Zaius]

Looking at the January options the prices seemed to have calmed down substantially and are a lot less attractive (on both the put and call side) than the last time I sold them. Maybe the degen options gamblers have moved on to a different stock?

TSLA and MSTR.

You're not kidding on TSLA. Those are some big premiums.

 

[stbugs]

Looking at the January options the prices seemed to have calmed down substantially and are a lot less attractive (on both the put and call side) than the last time I sold them. Maybe the degen options gamblers have moved on to a different stock?

TSLA and MSTR.

Don’t look now but GME is above $30. Still shocks me. The business results are just plain awful and its market cap is way above the cash balance. I definitely think that there is some thought that they are similar to MSTR but the people buying have no understanding that when GME raises cash, they are diluting every share by the same amount. All of a sudden “cash” is great for a company to have and people pay a large premium to have stock with a cash balance that’s 25% of the market cap. Stuff like this does make me worried about the market overall.

I just sold 1/6 of our Amazon position to pay for a project and half of the remaining HELOC (1/3 left now) for our future lake house. Comes out to $4140 pre split!

 

[Sand]

$mstr is currently set to book a $15 billion btc gain for q1 next year. That profit will make up for previous 3 quarter losses and propel them to sp 500.

They will be priced in to QQQ at end of this month and draw about a billion in passive flows.

Next 60 days is nothing but catalysts for microstrategy.

Buckled in

Rough waters today

Down 35% from the recent peak in just the past couple of days. It's never boring with this one!

Took my cost basis out at the right time.

In other news, CEG going nuts again today. I can't believe I'm sitting on a utility that has gone up 700% in the last few years. Utilities just don't do that kind of thing.

 

[SFBayDuck]

$mstr is currently set to book a $15 billion btc gain for q1 next year. That profit will make up for previous 3 quarter losses and propel them to sp 500.

They will be priced in to QQQ at end of this month and draw about a billion in passive flows.

Next 60 days is nothing but catalysts for microstrategy.

Buckled in

Rough waters today

Down 35% from the recent peak in just the past couple of days. It's never boring with this one!

Took my cost basis out at the right time.

In other news, CEG going nuts again today. I can't believe I'm sitting on a utility that has gone up 700% in the last few years. Utilities just don't do that kind of thing.

Yup, good discipline on your part!

CEG and NRG are carrying the account I hold those in, along with our old friend OKE.

 

[FreeBaGeL]

.

Looking at the January options the prices seemed to have calmed down substantially and are a lot less attractive (on both the put and call side) than the last time I sold them. Maybe the degen options gamblers have moved on to a different stock?

TSLA and MSTR.

Don’t look now but GME is above $30. Still shocks me. The business results are just plain awful and its market cap is way above the cash balance. I definitely think that there is some thought that they are similar to MSTR but the people buying have no understanding that when GME raises cash, they are diluting every share by the same amount. All of a sudden “cash” is great for a company to have and people pay a large premium to have stock with a cash balance that’s 25% of the market cap. Stuff like this does make me worried about the market overall.

I just sold 1/6 of our Amazon position to pay for a project and half of the remaining HELOC (1/3 left now) for our future lake house. Comes out to $4140 pre split!

I'm 99% sure this i people buying in anticipation of Roaring Kitty doing something. Market conditions are ripe for it right now with crypto and meme-ish stocks running. Full risk-on.

These are the people that will be dumping on WSB etc at $60 after Roaring Kitty tweets a picture of ice cream or something.

 

[Bob Sacamano]

Looking at the January options the prices seemed to have calmed down substantially and are a lot less attractive (on both the put and call side) than the last time I sold them. Maybe the degen options gamblers have moved on to a different stock?

TSLA and MSTR.

Don’t look now but GME is above $30. Still shocks me. The business results are just plain awful and its market cap is way above the cash balance. I definitely think that there is some thought that they are similar to MSTR but the people buying have no understanding that when GME raises cash, they are diluting every share by the same amount. All of a sudden “cash” is great for a company to have and people pay a large premium to have stock with a cash balance that’s 25% of the market cap. Stuff like this does make me worried about the market overall.

I just sold 1/6 of our Amazon position to pay for a project and half of the remaining HELOC (1/3 left now) for our future lake house. Comes out to $4140 pre split!

Introduce them to FLGT

 

[Brunell4MVP]

We are less than 2 months away from a bitcoin supply squeeze that almost guarantees a +40% price increase.

The 60k days are behind us.

The 80k days are behind us.

The market is not prepared to deal with a truly finite asset.

The next top 50 company that announces a btc treasury. Will send this thing nuclear. I do anticipate Microsoft to fumble their opportunity, but just bringing it to their table should be enough to entice another major player.

I've invested in this for well over 5 years and believe in crypto despite dumping some recently. But I'll throw out that I disagree with the bolded statement The market is not only prepared, but has already dealt with BTC being finite. It did so by creating additional crypto currencies. There are thousands of them. I think BTC will be like a Ferrari where a limited supply exists and it is not only a currency, but also a store of value. ETH will kinda be the BMW. And others the Toyotas and Hondas. So while BTC is finite, crypto is not. the market for the other coins will be massive IMO.

Snagged a bunch of RIVN 3 days ago. There are so many of these around us. Nice looking vehicles. Hopefully they can get their act together and get the R2 and R3 out by 2026. Definitely a long term play against their not great financials

 

[identikit]

Snagged a bunch of RIVN 3 days ago. There are so many of these around us. Nice looking vehicles. Hopefully they can get their act together and get the R2 and R3 out by 2026. Definitely a long term play against their not great financials

Love their look....

Hope they make it

 

[steelerfan1]

anyone else having any issues logging into their vanguard account?

 

[Capella]

Target doing well since that big earnings drop @Todem

 

[Todem]

Target doing well since that big earnings drop @Todem

As expected my friend.

 

[Capella]

Target doing well since that big earnings drop @Todem

As expected my friend.

Appreciate it as always

 

[identikit]

Bought some Dow last week, hoping for a short-term recovery

Anything else right now that fits that scenario?

 

[McBokonon]

Gelsinger retiring from $INTC. Market loves it, as it should. Hopefully they go external and get a proven dumpster fire putter outer.

 

[steelerfan1]

Gelsinger retiring from $INTC. Market loves it, as it should. Hopefully they go external and get a proven dumpster fire putter outer.

Is it worth grabbing any?

 

[McBokonon]

Gelsinger retiring from $INTC. Market loves it, as it should. Hopefully they go external and get a proven dumpster fire putter outer.

Is it worth grabbing any?

Might get a bump if the street likes who they hire, like what happened to Starbucks. They’ll still have a long road ahead of them to turn things around after that, though. It’s not for me, too many other companies out there that are executing well to bother with this one.

 

[steelerfan1]

Gelsinger retiring from $INTC. Market loves it, as it should. Hopefully they go external and get a proven dumpster fire putter outer.

Is it worth grabbing any?

Might get a bump if the street likes who they hire, like what happened to Starbucks. They’ll still have a long road ahead of them to turn things around after that, though. It’s not for me, too many other companies out there that are executing well to bother with this one.

Thanks, I agree and passed.

 

[steelerfan1]

in for 2nd small batch of TMDX. down 14% today.

 

[kevzilla]

I just checked my account and saw how the market is buying MP today. Gonna take a little walk and process it.

 

[identikit]

in for 2nd small batch of TMDX. down 14% today.

Looks like a good one to hop into...

 

[General Malaise]

I just checked my account and saw how the market is buying MP today. Gonna take a little walk and process it.

News that China will ban exports of critical metals/rare earths moving some needles. Check out the move in US Antimony: UAMY

China announced Tuesday it is banning exports to the United States of gallium, germanium, antimony and other key high-tech materials with potential military applications, as a general principle, lashing back at U.S. limits on semiconductor-related exports.

 

[kevzilla]

Turns out China is halting exports of three rare earths that MP does not mine and for which we have stockpiles. A warning shot, at most.

I promised myself that when this thing saw $23, I would sell the 100 shares I bought too early. But I think that adverse geopolitical events that wind up helping this stock is a deep well.

 

[steelerfan1]

in for 2nd small batch of TMDX. down 14% today.

Looks like a good one to hop into...

I wouldn’t take my advice on anything. I went in due to @McBokonon who’s one of the ones I follow here.

 

[General Malaise]

Turns out China is halting exports of three rare earths that MP does not mine and for which we have stockpiles. A warning shot, at most.

I promised myself that when this thing saw $23, I would sell the 100 shares I bought too early. But I think that adverse geopolitical events that wind up helping this stock is a deep well.

The antimony piece is pretty big - that's a metal that's been used for military purposes since before WWI and has myriad uses from bullet casing to armor piercing amo to flame retardant to night vision. US better find domestic sources if it wants to get in a pissing match with China.

 

[kevzilla]

Turns out China is halting exports of three rare earths that MP does not mine and for which we have stockpiles. A warning shot, at most.

I promised myself that when this thing saw $23, I would sell the 100 shares I bought too early. But I think that adverse geopolitical events that wind up helping this stock is a deep well.

The antimony piece is pretty big - that's a metal that's been used for military purposes since before WWI and has myriad uses from bullet casing to armor piercing amo to flame retardant to night vision. US better find domestic sources if it wants to get in a pissing match with China.

And I should dial back the scanning speed just a bit, the article I read did not mention antimony. Doesn't hurt the bull case for MP, though. It got some love on CNBC today, so

 

[General Malaise]

Turns out China is halting exports of three rare earths that MP does not mine and for which we have stockpiles. A warning shot, at most.

I promised myself that when this thing saw $23, I would sell the 100 shares I bought too early. But I think that adverse geopolitical events that wind up helping this stock is a deep well.

The antimony piece is pretty big - that's a metal that's been used for military purposes since before WWI and has myriad uses from bullet casing to armor piercing amo to flame retardant to night vision. US better find domestic sources if it wants to get in a pissing match with China.

And I should dial back the scanning speed just a bit, the article I read did not mention antimony. Doesn't hurt the bull case for MP, though. It got some love on CNBC today, so

No, I think right now any and all "critical" metals will catch a bid with this tough tariff talk. I wouldn't try and "trade" these names - if you're long already, maybe cash some chips in but I think real fireworks are coming.

No politics, but I sure hope somebody in the swamp will let tough tariff talk guy know just how dependent our country is on the kindness of strangers for metals we rely on for, well......everything. And when it comes to a metal like Antimony, we are crippling our military absent a reliable source. Just facts. No ban.

 

[General Malaise]

And yeah, we have some of these critical elements in our country but good luck mining and refining them. The permitting process alone takes years and even if you have permits from Fed, State AND Tribal, you gotta make sure the EPA isn't sniffing around for pollution to ground waters or wildlife. All those cancer rates in the Midwest tied to mining and pollution.....yeah, those didn't get unnoticed. At least not here, which is why China controls everything. They don't give a firetruck about pollution or cancer rates. Their citizens are disposable.

Hello......like......HELLO! Are we paying attention yet?

 

[SFBayDuck]

And yeah, we have some of these critical elements in our country but good luck mining and refining them. The permitting process alone takes years and even if you have permits from Fed, State AND Tribal, you gotta make sure the EPA isn't sniffing around for pollution to ground waters or wildlife. All those cancer rates in the Midwest tied to mining and pollution.....yeah, those didn't get unnoticed. At least not here, which is why China controls everything. They don't give a firetruck about pollution or cancer rates. Their citizens are disposable.

Hello......like......HELLO! Are we paying attention yet?

Connect the dots.

 

[Bob Sacamano]

And yeah, we have some of these critical elements in our country but good luck mining and refining them. The permitting process alone takes years and even if you have permits from Fed, State AND Tribal, you gotta make sure the EPA isn't sniffing around for pollution to ground waters or wildlife. All those cancer rates in the Midwest tied to mining and pollution.....yeah, those didn't get unnoticed. At least not here, which is why China controls everything. They don't give a firetruck about pollution or cancer rates. Their citizens are disposable.

Hello......like......HELLO! Are we paying attention yet?

That'll change. Permits will fly through and the epa won't sniff anything

 

[General Malaise]

And yeah, we have some of these critical elements in our country but good luck mining and refining them. The permitting process alone takes years and even if you have permits from Fed, State AND Tribal, you gotta make sure the EPA isn't sniffing around for pollution to ground waters or wildlife. All those cancer rates in the Midwest tied to mining and pollution.....yeah, those didn't get unnoticed. At least not here, which is why China controls everything. They don't give a firetruck about pollution or cancer rates. Their citizens are disposable.

Hello......like......HELLO! Are we paying attention yet?

That'll change. Permits will fly through and the epa won't sniff anything

I admire your optimism.

 

[Bob Sacamano]

And yeah, we have some of these critical elements in our country but good luck mining and refining them. The permitting process alone takes years and even if you have permits from Fed, State AND Tribal, you gotta make sure the EPA isn't sniffing around for pollution to ground waters or wildlife. All those cancer rates in the Midwest tied to mining and pollution.....yeah, those didn't get unnoticed. At least not here, which is why China controls everything. They don't give a firetruck about pollution or cancer rates. Their citizens are disposable.

Hello......like......HELLO! Are we paying attention yet?

That'll change. Permits will fly through and the epa won't sniff anything

I admire your optimism.

That wasn't meant to be optimistic.

 

[Todem]

Bat Signal is now active for:

DOW
LYB

 

[pecorino]

I was just about to post that LYB went sub-78 this morning on no news that I could find. Pays a fat dividend, too.

 

[Capella]

Quite the year. Wow.

 

[NajehHejan]

I was just about to post that LYB went sub-78 this morning on no news that I could find. Pays a fat dividend, too.

I don’t know much about them. Saw an article that they’re closing a big refinery in Houston area. Will that be good for the stonk?

 

[Todem]

I was just about to post that LYB went sub-78 this morning on no news that I could find. Pays a fat dividend, too.

It’s all the tariff hype thats killing materials and staples.

Take advantage of high quality high yielding stocks because once that **** storm subsides you will be happy long term.

 

[FreeBaGeL]

MSTR is going to explode tomorrow.

Wish I were on that ride.

 

[SFBayDuck]

MSTR is going to explode tomorrow.

Wish I were on that ride.

Damn, looked at BTC like 2 hours ago and was thinking about how hard the sellers have been defending that $100K line...2 hours later.....

We'll see if it holds. And what happens to MSTR tomorrow.

 

[identikit]

MSTR is going to explode tomorrow.

Wish I were on that ride.

Damn, looked at BTC like 2 hours ago and was thinking about how hard the sellers have been defending that $100K line...2 hours later.....

We'll see if it holds. And what happens to MSTR tomorrow.

Buckling up...