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**Streaming Defense** Weeks 14-16 FF Playoffs (3 Viewers)

I didn't realize how good the streaming strategy has worked out this year.  I am tied for 1st for defensive points in my league with the guy who has Denver.  The giants the last couple weeks helped.  And now they go back to the wire.

It makes me think the matchup is so much more important then the DST.  The first half of the season was hard to predict but once we got to see a track record it got a lot easier.  I just kept picking up whoever was facing Cleveland, Jax or Chicago.

Now I am trying to lock up my playoff DSTs.  I already have Houston (Jax wk 15).  I am hoping to get San Diego for week 16 (Cleveland).  In the off chance the owner drops the Bills I will pick them up instead of Houston since they play Cleveland wk 15.

 
Looking ahead to weeks 15/16 (for streamers)

who are the targets?

Chargers play Browns in week 16.  If they are available they should be #1 picked up.  IMO

Miami plays Jets week 15.  Green Bay plays Bears.  Bills play Browns. 

 
Can't trust Philly anymore. If they can't even win at home, they have nothing. 

Thinking Cincy since playoffs are clinched. Week 14 is the Browns.

 
Bengals, Bills and Chargers are all available in one of my leagues.  They are Cleveland's opponents in weeks 14-16.  Am I crazy for thinking about scooping up all of them and riding the anti-CLE train through the playoffs?
Not if you have room. Can drop Cincy after week 14 for someone and than do the same with Buffalo. 

I couldn't get Bills but will be rostering 3 D's for the next two weeks.

Bengals week 14 @ cleveland

Houston week 15 vs Jacksonville

Chargers week 16 @ cleveland

 
Green Bay this week. Wouldn't have thought this a week ago.

Biggest reason: Offense is unstopable and they are killing the clock a la Dallas. Philly as moving the ball last night but you could tell there was pressure on Wentz because they knew they had limited posessions.

Putting pressure on the QB as well with Mathews back.

And of course, HOU is inept on offense.

 
Green Bay this week. Wouldn't have thought this a week ago.

Biggest reason: Offense is unstopable and they are killing the clock a la Dallas. Philly as moving the ball last night but you could tell there was pressure on Wentz because they knew they had limited posessions.

Putting pressure on the QB as well with Mathews back.

And of course, HOU is inept on offense.
In case anyone didn't see the game last night, Clay took a nasty hit and sat out for a couple of series with what was reported as a "shoulder" injury. Initially he was reported as questionable to return, though he did come back in the game. It was a blindside hit on a run. Probably prudent to monitor his situation, if there is a situation, just in case.

http://www.packersnews.com/story/sports/nfl/packers/2016/11/29/matthews-hurting-after-big-hit-injures-shoulder/94586072/

PHILADELPHIA — Green Bay Packers linebacker Clay Matthews suffered a shoulder injury during the first quarter of Monday's win over the Philadelphia Eagles. And while nothing was broken, Matthews was visibly hurting after the game.

"I landed on my shoulder and I think I messed up my AC joint," Matthews said. "I’m in a little bit of pain, but that’s all right."

The injury occurred when the Eagles ran a reverse on their first possession of the game. Quarterback Carson Wentz handed the ball to wide receiver Bryce Treggs on a play that moved from left to right. Matthews, who started at inside linebacker with Jake Ryan inactive, had his eyes on Treggs while tracking the play across the field.

That's when offensive lineman Allen Barbre, a former Packer, leveled him with a vicious — but completely legal — blind-side block.

Matthews immediately jogged off the field and was checked by the Packers' medical staff. He was taken to the locker room for X-rays which, according to Matthews, came back negative. He returned to the field shortly thereafter.

"It’s up to the player to go back in (the game)," Matthews said. "We came in here and made sure nothing was broken. Fortunately I was able to go out there and finish the game. But it is what it is."

Though Matthews was not wearing a sling, he held the injured arm at a 90-degree angle during his time in the locker room and gingerly packed his personal items into a travel bag. When general manager Ted Thompson passed through, Matthews assured him that everything would be fine.

"There are a lot of things that happen over the course of a game: adjustments, guys going in and out, Clay coming back from his injury and so forth," coach Mike McCarthy said. "You just have to keep fighting through those things."

For Matthews the fighting began during the week when coaches informed him that he would be moving back to inside linebacker. Injuries to Ryan and rookie Blake Martinez, the two starters, left the Packers with only Joe Thomas and Carl Bradford to choose from.

The better decision for McCarthy and defensive coordinator Dom Capers was to shift Matthews from outside to inside, the position he played for the second half of 2014 and all of 2015.

"It felt natural going back in there," Matthews said. "Obviously picking up the defense and some of the new terminology was difficult with a week’s notice. But I thought for the most part it was business as usual. Fortunately we got a lead early enough in the game where they could bring me a little bit more (on pass rushes) and didn’t have to kind of sit there and play a true, traditional inside backer.

"I think that’s when I’m at my best at the inside (when they can use me as a rusher). I played it for a year and a half, so going back inside there was a little rust but for the most part I felt like I read my keys, was at where I needed to and if it wasn’t for the shoulder I felt like I probably would have been a little more involved in some plays later in the game."

Matthews finished four tackles and recorded a 10-yard sack of Wentz.

 
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I have Seattle, and while it's been a steady 6+ pts / week, I'd love to get some cheap extra points with a TD or extra sacks. Seattle's not really doing it. Looking at Chargers, Raven and Bucs as top 3 DST's for the season. Anyone think these three would be better bet for ROS?

 
I've been scouring the waiver wire in my 12 team league trying to find a second D (have Panthers D) to carry on our deep rosters for the stretch run.  I could not find a good schedule with a team playing mostly at home which has been trending up a bit.  Then I looked at the Packers schedule through the playoffs, cognizant of the fact that their home games are likely to be in very cold weather the rest of the way which I believe increases the odds of turnovers, kick returns, and D/ST TD's.

Week 13:  Vs Texans and Osweiler at Lambeau.

Week 14:  Vs Seahawks, whose OL is in shambles, at Lambeau.

Week 15: On the road, unfortunately, but at Chicago against the Bears' qbs.

Week 16 (our title week): Vs Vikings at Lambeau.

  That is the best there is available IML FWIW.  Hopefully Clay Matthews' shoulder is okay.

 
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Eagles are available on wire as owner cut bait, but Packers...gulp, nervous taking a bad fantasy defense with good matchups.....look to be best schedule for 13, 15 and 16 if I can only roster 1 defense

 
BUF traveling across the country to play a team who allows the 2nd fewest points to opposing defense? No thanks. Not to mention, BUF's defense hasn't been doing much in general lately. I don't think you can play them this week or the next.

 
Rolling with GB and then seeing if I want to play them in the playoffs vs Seattle next week.

If not I can always toss them back for Week 14 options (Cinci @ Cle)  Det vs Chicago etc.

 
I have Seattle, and while it's been a steady 6+ pts / week, I'd love to get some cheap extra points with a TD or extra sacks. Seattle's not really doing it. Looking at Chargers, Raven and Bucs as top 3 DST's for the season. Anyone think these three would be better bet for ROS?
I am in a similar boat using NE D most weeks.  They are not great but at least keep scores low in most weeks.  I am considering dropping Dallas as my second D after this week since their schedule after the Vikes this week is not pretty.  I too have considered the Bucs as my second D but think I am going to go with GB.  I like the Bucs D more than GB but I like GBs schedule in weeks 14-16.

 
I have Seattle, and while it's been a steady 6+ pts / week, I'd love to get some cheap extra points with a TD or extra sacks. Seattle's not really doing it. Looking at Chargers, Raven and Bucs as top 3 DST's for the season. Anyone think these three would be better bet for ROS?
Picked up GB but think that's getting cute over SEA. You know the second you bench SEA they get a couple defensive TDs. Also, would think E. Thomas and M. Bennett are possibly back. And Cam is a get sacked machine lately.

 
For better or for worse, have both SD and MIA on the roster now, and will be playing one of either from here on out. Momentum and combined schedule are solid, and while there may be other Ds week to week who may outscore them, I think these two Ds will provide a reliable enough floor every week to contribute to my push to playoffs and beyond.

 
I'm going roll with Philly this weekend, as that's the best option I have. Picked up Cincy for week 14.  The plan is to drop Philly next week to pick up Bills for week 15.

This all assumes I make the playoffs this weekend.  

 
Picked up the Bengals (@Cle wk 14) and the Chargers (vs Cle wk 16). Problem is neither team looks playable in week 15, Cincy vs Pit and Chargers vs Oak, and I realize now I can't carry 3 defenses. Texans look like a better pairing with the Chargers, they are @Indy week 14 and vs Jax week 15. going to try and pick up Houston in place of Cincy and i think I'm set for the playoffs. this week is essentially a bye week for me, it just so happens the team I'm against is the same team I'll face in week 14 in the first round of playoffs.

Of all these teams, chargers are the only ones who have scored a decent amount of points throughout the season.

 
For better or for worse, have both SD and MIA on the roster now, and will be playing one of either from here on out. Momentum and combined schedule are solid, and while there may be other Ds week to week who may outscore them, I think these two Ds will provide a reliable enough floor every week to contribute to my push to playoffs and beyond.
That's where I'm at SD & MIA-- what are your thoughts this week?  Flacco good for a pick or two and a few sacks, but SD at home tempting too --though TB is controlling the ball well lately

 
Many of you are looking forward to fading the Browns throughout the coming weeks.  Are you only encouraged by the thought that RGIII could be at the helm?  Because the situation will definitely be a different one with him back there.

 
For better or for worse, have both SD and MIA on the roster now, and will be playing one of either from here on out. Momentum and combined schedule are solid, and while there may be other Ds week to week who may outscore them, I think these two Ds will provide a reliable enough floor every week to contribute to my push to playoffs and beyond.
Rolling with the SD and MIA pairing in one league as well.  
Week 13 is kinda meh, using SD vs TB.  
Week 14 MIA vs. ARI, SD vs CAR - leaning MIA there
Week 15 MIA vs. NYJ
Week 16 SD vs. CLE

In another league I have SD and have already locked up the 1 seed, so this week means nothing and I'll have a bye in Week 14, so I'm going to go ahead today and pick up Buffalo:
Week 15 BUF vs. CLE
Week 16 SD vs. CLE

 
Many of you are looking forward to fading the Browns throughout the coming weeks.  Are you only encouraged by the thought that RGIII could be at the helm?  Because the situation will definitely be a different one with him back there.
The way the Browns QBs have been dropping this year I wouldn't count on any specific QB being in the lineup in any given week.

But I would think that a healthy RGIII represents the biggest offensive threat to streaming defenses.  Not enough to mitigate starting any and all defenses against them.

 
JIslander said:
That's where I'm at SD & MIA-- what are your thoughts this week?  Flacco good for a pick or two and a few sacks, but SD at home tempting too --though TB is controlling the ball well lately
Honestly think it's a coinflip between these two, as they are likely to allow similar points and yardage. I am going with MIA for the following reasons:

1) Winston is much better than Brock both in terms of using his feet to make plays and protecting the ball, two things that helped SD win against the Texans last week. TB is on an upsurge, and have demonstrated their ability to beat good Ds with both the run and the pass. SD is very opportunistic and would imagine playing at home coming off a win bodes well. Likely they are the consensus pick of the two.

However, TB is also coming off a win against a very tough D, and I think the SD D is inferior in both run and pass to the SEA D, so I think TB actually believes they can bring the juice they showed on the road against a beatable opponent.

2) MIA was actually having a fairly good defensive game against the Niners until the 4th quarter in terms of points allowed. They started having trouble when Kaep exploited the areas left open by m2m coverage. I think MIA's corners also got beat a few times in m2m as well, but their run D was held to a middling day by the guys in the trenches and Alonzo. Having seen BAL play last week, they won more because CIN sucked as opposed to great things they did on offense.

Flacco doesn't have the same mobility as Kaep, and their WR corp doesn't scare me to the point that MIA's m2m coverage can't handle it. If they can limit Dixon and West's receiving ability (which is where Hyde and Droughns did their damage), I think MIA could pull off a solid day.

TL;DR: WHile SD may be favored in most rankings, I'll take MIA against what I see as a weaker O than SD against a team who has upswing and momentum, even if they're at home.

 
Rodrigo Duterte said:
Many of you are looking forward to fading the Browns throughout the coming weeks.  Are you only encouraged by the thought that RGIII could be at the helm?  Because the situation will definitely be a different one with him back there.
RG3 is terrible

 
wlwiles said:
Rolling with the SD and MIA pairing in one league as well.  
Week 13 is kinda meh, using SD vs TB.  
Week 14 MIA vs. ARI, SD vs CAR - leaning MIA there
Week 15 MIA vs. NYJ
Week 16 SD vs. CLE

In another league I have SD and have already locked up the 1 seed, so this week means nothing and I'll have a bye in Week 14, so I'm going to go ahead today and pick up Buffalo:
Week 15 BUF vs. CLE
Week 16 SD vs. CLE
My plan:

WK 13: MIA @ BAL (vs SD v TB) -- TB is more potent on offense even if they are playing on the road

WK 14: MIA v ARI (vs SD @ CAR) -- will take MIA at home against a flustered and banged up ARI O than face Cam at home

WK 15: MIA @ NYJ (vs SD v OAK) -- both are tough divisional games, I just think the Raiders present much more to fear offensively than the Jets.

WK 16: SD @ CLE (vs SD @ BUF) -- perfect championship matchup

Not perfect, but I like my chances with this plan over gambling on the few remaining Ds and their comparative matchups ROS (GB, NO, WAS, even LA whose only real juicy matchup is SF in WK 16).

 
Honestly think it's a coinflip between these two, as they are likely to allow similar points and yardage. I am going with MIA for the following reasons:

1) Winston is much better than Brock both in terms of using his feet to make plays and protecting the ball, two things that helped SD win against the Texans last week. TB is on an upsurge, and have demonstrated their ability to beat good Ds with both the run and the pass. SD is very opportunistic and would imagine playing at home coming off a win bodes well. Likely they are the consensus pick of the two.

However, TB is also coming off a win against a very tough D, and I think the SD D is inferior in both run and pass to the SEA D, so I think TB actually believes they can bring the juice they showed on the road against a beatable opponent.

2) MIA was actually having a fairly good defensive game against the Niners until the 4th quarter in terms of points allowed. They started having trouble when Kaep exploited the areas left open by m2m coverage. I think MIA's corners also got beat a few times in m2m as well, but their run D was held to a middling day by the guys in the trenches and Alonzo. Having seen BAL play last week, they won more because CIN sucked as opposed to great things they did on offense.

Flacco doesn't have the same mobility as Kaep, and their WR corp doesn't scare me to the point that MIA's m2m coverage can't handle it. If they can limit Dixon and West's receiving ability (which is where Hyde and Droughns did their damage), I think MIA could pull off a solid day.

TL;DR: WHile SD may be favored in most rankings, I'll take MIA against what I see as a weaker O than SD against a team who has upswing and momentum, even if they're at home.
Yeah, very good points --my yahoo league has MIA with 9 and SD with 8, matching your analysis -  another good reason for going MIA is the OU is lowest of all games-

 
Rodrigo Duterte said:
Many of you are looking forward to fading the Browns throughout the coming weeks.  Are you only encouraged by the thought that RGIII could be at the helm?  Because the situation will definitely be a different one with him back there.
RGIII was horrible in week 1.  Coming back off of injury?  Doesn't worry me too much.  Especially when he gets injured in the 2nd quarter of his first game back.

 
SD and MIA do seem like good options down the stretch... unfortunately they're not options in my league.

In one 14-teamer I'm sitting on Philly with not much else on the wire.  However, this week @CIN isn't scary to me...

Philly's upcoming schedule -- not so awesome.  Washington, @ Baltimore, NYG

Of the bottom barrel options on my wire, Atlanta is marginally intriguing.  Dan Quinn is starting to build that Seattle defense in Atlanta.  They play KC this week, which probably isn't the best time to roll them out (though I think they'll hold their own).  Then @LA and home to SF are pretty solid matchups back to back for the Falcons.  That at least gets you to week 16, where they're @CAR.  Not ideal at all... but if the OL is still in shambles, could be worse.

Gotta get to the dance anyway... then sort things out there.

ETA - Washington gets Chicago week 16.  Again, not ideal, but could be worse.  Jeffery should be back by then, but any defense against Matt Barkley can't be that bad.  Other options include Cinci @HOU and SF @LA

 
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I have SD and MN currently but I'm actually thinking about dropping SD to pick up the Bucs D. They might be a sneaky better play, especially if Tyrell doesn't suit up and I think the Bucs are going to win the game.

 
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It's still up in the air as to whether or not I get a first round bye in a couple leagues so I'm obviously preparing for week 14.

Thoughts on DET at home vs. CHI and CAR at home vs. SD? If CAR gets Kuechly back that later seems like a no-brainer. Is it silly that CAR is even available?

 
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It's still up in the air as to whether or not I get a first round bye in a couple leagues so I'm obviously preparing for week 14.

Thoughts on DET at home vs. CHI and CAR at home vs. SD? If CAR gets Kuechly back that later seems like a no-brainer. Is it silly that CAR is even available?
They're available in my league and I'm thinking of dropping SD for CAR vs SEA as well. 

 
Grabbed Cincy for week 14 and playing them this week as the Eagles offense has been yielding decent scores the last 5 weeks.

Week 15 I'm eyeing New Orleans. Arizona is letting up a lot of fantasy points recently also and NO has been scoring them. Most will not grab them either so you could wait to get them if you ein your first round playoff. 

 
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Carolina isn't playing Jets in week 14, or ever, ROS. Jets are @SF if that's who you looked up. FWIW Carolina is available in my league also.
Yeah, my bad I realized the mistake right away. Of course NYJ would be a better match-up but SD has been quite generous to DSTs as well. CAR has been really good at home and weren't even awful on the road vs. OAK (allowing 2nd fewest to DSTs) without Kuechly. 

 
It's still up in the air as to whether or not I get a first round bye in a couple leagues so I'm obviously preparing for week 14.

Thoughts on DET at home vs. CHI and CAR at home vs. SD? If CAR gets Kuechly back that later seems like a no-brainer. Is it silly that CAR is even available?
Not silly... they're missing the all-world MLB, they're also without their best pass rusher in Addision, and the secondary, while learning, is still filled with rookies prone to mistakes.

 
It's still up in the air as to whether or not I get a first round bye in a couple leagues so I'm obviously preparing for week 14.

Thoughts on DET at home vs. CHI and CAR at home vs. SD? If CAR gets Kuechly back that later seems like a no-brainer. Is it silly that CAR is even available?
I like Detroit vs Chicago.  San Diego has a far more potent offense than Chicago.  Plus I always favor teams with something to play for and Detroit needs that game because the rest of their schedule is pretty tough (NO, NYG, DAL, GB).

 
It's still up in the air as to whether or not I get a first round bye in a couple leagues so I'm obviously preparing for week 14.

Thoughts on DET at home vs. CHI and CAR at home vs. SD? If CAR gets Kuechly back that later seems like a no-brainer. Is it silly that CAR is even available?
Not silly at all. Their schedule since two weeks ago was atrocious

 
Surprised nobody's talking about Atlanta.  That schedule is sweet and they should be playing with some leads; possibly big ones.
Great schedule but they are a horrible defense with zero playmakers after losing trufant for the year. They only scored 4 pts vs Arizona who bleed points to defenses.

 
Trying to decide if I should go with GB or Dallas. Dallas isn't great but facing Sam Bradford and the Vikes. Green Bay is brutal but it's Brock Osweiler... i need a D with the highest ceiling, and i kinda think that's GB.

 
Taking a chance on GB or MIA. Crummy rain, mud, cold and potential snow showers in GB. Know that MIA might have better play makers but HOU has Brock and the game might tilt into forcing him to pass.

 
what are people's thoughts on Dallas this week? Thu night which usually = low scoring. Min offense which = low scoring... I'm torn between taking them or Miami. 

Heck, i have MIN and am tempted to bench them and snag DAL or SD in one of my leagues. 

 
what are people's thoughts on Dallas this week? Thu night which usually = low scoring. Min offense which = low scoring... I'm torn between taking them or Miami. 

Heck, i have MIN and am tempted to bench them and snag DAL or SD in one of my leagues. 
I like Dallas this week.  I have gone back and forth but for now I have Dallas in this week over NE.  NE is not a great FF D but they are facing the Rams at home. 

 
i secured the bye and preparing for weeks 15 and 16.  Was I crazy to drop Tampa and Tenn for SAN FRAN AND DETROIT'S DEFENSE FOR DETROIT AGAINST THE GIANTS WEEK 15 AND SAN FRAN AGAINST SAINT LOUIS IN WEEK 16.  TENN IS JUST AWFUL ON DEF AND TAMPA IS PLAYING DAL AND NO. ALSO PITT JUST GOT DROPPED IS PITT BETTER THAN EITHER OF THOSE?

WHAT SAY YOU?

 
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BUF traveling across the country to play a team who allows the 2nd fewest points to opposing defense? No thanks. Not to mention, BUF's defense hasn't been doing much in general lately. I don't think you can play them this week or the next.
My problem exactly. I don't post here too often but I am in a pinch this week. I have the Bills and Panthers DEF. I agree with Same SongNDance about Buffalo traveling across the country against the Raiders. Carolina, on the other hand, has been getting torched recently. I want to keep the Bills for the Browns game but what should I do this week? Options are very limited. This is the first week of playoffs for me. We play 2 weeks total points win this week and next. I already have Baldwin. Should I play the Panthers def anyway? On the waiver I have slim pickings. Jets, Redskins both playing teams that give up a lot of sacks BUT neither of these defenses have done much in the way of fantasy points. The Cowboys are playing the Vikings tonight. (Zimmer had emergency eye surgery last night and won't be on the sideline tonight). Does that even make a difference? Cowboys defense is not great against the pass and the Vikings can't run anyway. I wanted to pick up the Bucs defense but I have Rivers AND Tyrell Williams. I also have Daulton which is why I have to start Rivers.  What to do? Anybody have a good "gut" feeling about this?

 
I've had the Vikings D all year and it's been great not having to stream but I feel I need to this week.  It's the first round of my playoffs and I need to put up big points against a guy I'm 0-3 against.  The Bengals and Bucs seem to be my best options this week.  I think I'd rather start the Bengals.

 

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