Raiderfan32904
Footballguy
what say you SP?
... and that was when they could expect to score 30+ on the Texans. Expecting 13-20 from the Colts this week. That run D may approach all-time-bad when they don't have a lead and get to turn Mathis/Freeney loose.I think you might actually get close to 100 yards out of each guy, Ward and Tate.after all we ARE talking about the Colts here..last I checked they were a horrible ,putrid run defense.
I too have Tolbert and Foster, and am doing the same thing. Too much headache when there isn't a clear lead guy. Worth a gamble if you don't have someone to plug in, but if you have Tolbert, Fred Jackson, Reggie Bush...any sort of fringe top 25-35 option...I'd be leaning that way. Only exception is if, say, Derrick Ward's head explodes tomorrow.I have both (and Foster) and I'm pretty sure I'm going with Tolbert and just avoiding this mess for now. I at least know what Tolbert's role will be, even if he is sharing too. Visions of 09 and Slaton & Foster both disappearing from great Texans matchups without reason are still fresh in my head.
did you just say gorgeous in the shark pool?Ward is listed higher on the depth chart... I go with Tate. They will probably get close to the same amount of touches, but Tate is such a gorgeous fit for this offense, and for what its worth, he's looked really good in the pre season. I think the upside play is Tate.
Coach Gary Kubiak suggested Friday that he'll use a hot-hand situation in the backfield if Arian Foster (hamstring) doesn't play in Week 1.
"If one of them is playing well, he plays. That’s the way I believe," Kubiak said. "If I like the way a guy’s playing and he’s not tapping his head, he’s going to stay out there for a while." Kubiak also confirmed that Ward would start the game, giving him the first chance to establish the hot hand. Ben Tate is a more explosive, powerful runner and the better bet to be effective.
See, that's what I think is the decider. Whoever is the named starter is who you should want. Anything else is speculation. Everywhere I have looked, Ward is considered the start if Foster can't go. I just happen to own Ward, but if Tate were named the starter, I'd not consider Ward. I don't understand why there is so much debate to starting Tate over Ward, unless there are conflicting reports on who is starting.I think you have to start the starter if you have all 3. It's comical that the guys who have Tate are saying Tate and the guys who are saying Ward are saying start him.If Foster is out, I'd start Ward over Tate because he gets first crack at a bad run D.
Because Tate is young and talented and Ward is just a guy? In the era of RBBC, I don't think who the "starter" is matters much. Ward may end up with more touches, but it will be for other reasons (pass protection, goal line, etc).See, that's what I think is the decider. Whoever is the named starter is who you should want. Anything else is speculation. Everywhere I have looked, Ward is considered the start if Foster can't go. I just happen to own Ward, but if Tate were named the starter, I'd not consider Ward. I don't understand why there is so much debate to starting Tate over Ward, unless there are conflicting reports on who is starting.
She did.did you just say gorgeous in the shark pool?Ward is listed higher on the depth chart... I go with Tate. They will probably get close to the same amount of touches, but Tate is such a gorgeous fit for this offense, and for what its worth, he's looked really good in the pre season. I think the upside play is Tate.
I was thinking the other way. For PPR, Ward will likely see the work cause they won't trust the young pup in pass pro so Ward is more likely to get catches. He also gets 1st crack at proving he's the hot hand and with the holes Houston's line will open up against Indy it's likely he keeps on rollingTate has more upside. PPR No brainer, Tate.
What if they each get about 70 yards, but neither scores? An entirely possible outcome. Or one guy has a great day--100 and a score, say--and the other gets 30 yards. Too much risk for my blood.I still haven't decided which one to start. I'm actually considering starting both and sitting Jahvid Best.The matchup (admittedly, on paper) looks incredible. I think that one could have such a gigantic game (like Foster last year) that it could be worth it to hedge your bet with both of them. In my case, for example, I would rather get all of the Houston RB production than risk one guy going off on your bench and getting normal RB2 production from a RB2 like Best.Is anyone else considering this strategy? Is it worth it to risk a zero from one to make sure you get the huge from the other? And if they both have very good games, then you're set there as well. Am I wrong in saying that the only downside is a poor game from both, and that seems that the chances of that are a bit less than 0%?
Isn't it just as likely that whoever your RB2 and flex play is gets 70 and no score though? And if one guy has a great day - you definitely have the great day. If you start one you could be ending up with the 30 yards - that's where the risk is and what this would try to avoid.I'd really like to hear an argument that talks me out of it - but that was exceedingly poor and seems backwards to me.What if they each get about 70 yards, but neither scores? An entirely possible outcome. Or one guy has a great day--100 and a score, say--and the other gets 30 yards. Too much risk for my blood.I still haven't decided which one to start. I'm actually considering starting both and sitting Jahvid Best.The matchup (admittedly, on paper) looks incredible. I think that one could have such a gigantic game (like Foster last year) that it could be worth it to hedge your bet with both of them. In my case, for example, I would rather get all of the Houston RB production than risk one guy going off on your bench and getting normal RB2 production from a RB2 like Best.Is anyone else considering this strategy? Is it worth it to risk a zero from one to make sure you get the huge from the other? And if they both have very good games, then you're set there as well. Am I wrong in saying that the only downside is a poor game from both, and that seems that the chances of that are a bit less than 0%?
That is my exact dilemma. Don't know. For now, I am sticking with Jackson. Unless some definitive pregame report calls out Ward to be starter and workhorse, I doubt I'll switch out Jackson.start ward or f jackson?
How is it backward? You're using two roster spots to get one team's production. This is only a good play if you expect an even split and the Texans to have a superb day. By hedging your bets I'd say you're limiting your upside.I could see it if, say, you went heavy on receivers early and have weak RBs. Otherwise, you should probably have someone better on your roster already.Isn't it just as likely that whoever your RB2 and flex play is gets 70 and no score though? And if one guy has a great day - you definitely have the great day. If you start one you could be ending up with the 30 yards - that's where the risk is and what this would try to avoid.I'd really like to hear an argument that talks me out of it - but that was exceedingly poor and seems backwards to me.What if they each get about 70 yards, but neither scores? An entirely possible outcome. Or one guy has a great day--100 and a score, say--and the other gets 30 yards. Too much risk for my blood.I still haven't decided which one to start. I'm actually considering starting both and sitting Jahvid Best.The matchup (admittedly, on paper) looks incredible. I think that one could have such a gigantic game (like Foster last year) that it could be worth it to hedge your bet with both of them. In my case, for example, I would rather get all of the Houston RB production than risk one guy going off on your bench and getting normal RB2 production from a RB2 like Best.Is anyone else considering this strategy? Is it worth it to risk a zero from one to make sure you get the huge from the other? And if they both have very good games, then you're set there as well. Am I wrong in saying that the only downside is a poor game from both, and that seems that the chances of that are a bit less than 0%?
Well, I can't come up with a statistical argument to talk you out of it, but something doesn't feel right to me about this. What I guess bothers me is that you are leaving your #1 RB on the bench to minimize a potential loss. Essentially you are betting against Jahvid Best. Now if it turns out you are lukewarm on Best's prospects (for whatever reason) then this RB split makes some sense to me. However if you really feel that Best will perform as a #1 RB, then you should start him and pick whoever you like better of the pair in Houston.Isn't it just as likely that whoever your RB2 and flex play is gets 70 and no score though? And if one guy has a great day - you definitely have the great day. If you start one you could be ending up with the 30 yards - that's where the risk is and what this would try to avoid.I'd really like to hear an argument that talks me out of it - but that was exceedingly poor and seems backwards to me.What if they each get about 70 yards, but neither scores? An entirely possible outcome. Or one guy has a great day--100 and a score, say--and the other gets 30 yards. Too much risk for my blood.I still haven't decided which one to start. I'm actually considering starting both and sitting Jahvid Best.The matchup (admittedly, on paper) looks incredible. I think that one could have such a gigantic game (like Foster last year) that it could be worth it to hedge your bet with both of them. In my case, for example, I would rather get all of the Houston RB production than risk one guy going off on your bench and getting normal RB2 production from a RB2 like Best.Is anyone else considering this strategy? Is it worth it to risk a zero from one to make sure you get the huge from the other? And if they both have very good games, then you're set there as well. Am I wrong in saying that the only downside is a poor game from both, and that seems that the chances of that are a bit less than 0%?
Just wait until you see if Foster is listed as a GTD week after week with a bad hammy.Not saying he will be, but if. Pass the gun please.I drafted Ben Tate late with the purpose of only starting him in week 1 - If he gets more looks down the road - great!Yes...I know Ward is listed ahead of Tate right now - but my gut says that won't last.I don't want to think about this right now, but I really don't want to think about thinking about this at 11:45, hung over, tomorrow.
It is backward. Mu situation would have me sit RB2 Best and Flex Davone Bess instead of playing Best and one of the HOU guys. It guarantees me that the HOU big game I sincerely expect from one is playing. It's a hedge against risk. Starting Best and one HOU guy is the boom/bust play because I could start the wrong HOU guy and get nothing from him, or I could get it all and have Best.This last post you made that says I'm limiting my upside is exactly it. But your previous post said I was incurring too much risk, which is definitely backwards.Again - I don't want to turn it into a "WDIS Peronalized" thread - my situation is an example and I'll probably make my own decision anyway - but the strategy is something I felt should be discussed. It minimizes risk but also limits upside.How is it backward? You're using two roster spots to get one team's production. This is only a good play if you expect an even split and the Texans to have a superb day. By hedging your bets I'd say you're limiting your upside.I could see it if, say, you went heavy on receivers early and have weak RBs. Otherwise, you should probably have someone better on your roster already.Isn't it just as likely that whoever your RB2 and flex play is gets 70 and no score though? And if one guy has a great day - you definitely have the great day. If you start one you could be ending up with the 30 yards - that's where the risk is and what this would try to avoid.I'd really like to hear an argument that talks me out of it - but that was exceedingly poor and seems backwards to me.What if they each get about 70 yards, but neither scores? An entirely possible outcome. Or one guy has a great day--100 and a score, say--and the other gets 30 yards. Too much risk for my blood.I still haven't decided which one to start. I'm actually considering starting both and sitting Jahvid Best.The matchup (admittedly, on paper) looks incredible. I think that one could have such a gigantic game (like Foster last year) that it could be worth it to hedge your bet with both of them. In my case, for example, I would rather get all of the Houston RB production than risk one guy going off on your bench and getting normal RB2 production from a RB2 like Best.Is anyone else considering this strategy? Is it worth it to risk a zero from one to make sure you get the huge from the other? And if they both have very good games, then you're set there as well. Am I wrong in saying that the only downside is a poor game from both, and that seems that the chances of that are a bit less than 0%?
I guess my real problem is that I don't know who I like better. And thus why I am in this thread lol. I think perhaps Ward is the best play since he;s higher on the chart and he has experience, but Tate is such a nice fit for the system...Well, I can't come up with a statistical argument to talk you out of it, but something doesn't feel right to me about this. What I guess bothers me is that you are leaving your #1 RB on the bench to minimize a potential loss. Essentially you are betting against Jahvid Best. Now if it turns out you are lukewarm on Best's prospects (for whatever reason) then this RB split makes some sense to me. However if you really feel that Best will perform as a #1 RB, then you should start him and pick whoever you like better of the pair in Houston.Isn't it just as likely that whoever your RB2 and flex play is gets 70 and no score though? And if one guy has a great day - you definitely have the great day. If you start one you could be ending up with the 30 yards - that's where the risk is and what this would try to avoid.I'd really like to hear an argument that talks me out of it - but that was exceedingly poor and seems backwards to me.What if they each get about 70 yards, but neither scores? An entirely possible outcome. Or one guy has a great day--100 and a score, say--and the other gets 30 yards. Too much risk for my blood.I still haven't decided which one to start. I'm actually considering starting both and sitting Jahvid Best.The matchup (admittedly, on paper) looks incredible. I think that one could have such a gigantic game (like Foster last year) that it could be worth it to hedge your bet with both of them. In my case, for example, I would rather get all of the Houston RB production than risk one guy going off on your bench and getting normal RB2 production from a RB2 like Best.Is anyone else considering this strategy? Is it worth it to risk a zero from one to make sure you get the huge from the other? And if they both have very good games, then you're set there as well. Am I wrong in saying that the only downside is a poor game from both, and that seems that the chances of that are a bit less than 0%?
If the game is close I can see Ward getting more touches, but if the Texans have the game under control then it makes sense to see what you have in Tate. Ward if past 30 and by this point they should know what they have in him. Tate has never played an NFL down. If the Texans get control of the game I expect a heavy dose of Tate.