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Team Reports, New Projections, ADP Data (1 Viewer)

Fantastic.

My only quibble is, I can't believe that BILLY VOLEK will pass for 3517 yards. He's brittle, they're going to give Young a shot, they could sign Kerry Collins -- it just isn't going to happen.

 
:thumbup:

FWIW i noticed the Cowboys are missing a Team Defense blurb.

Constructive Criticism: I noticed that some writeups consider the coaching changes and their fantasy impact while othes barely skim the surface. Perhaps this will be the subject of a future article? Too bad there isn't a Players lost/Players gained or 'What's changed' summary.

 
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:thumbup: FWIW i noticed the Cowboys are missing a Team Defense blurb. Constructive Criticism: I noticed that some writeups consider the coaching changes and their fantasy impact while othes barely skim the surface. Perhaps this will be the subject of a future article? Too bad there isn't a Players lost/Players gained or 'What's chaged' summary.
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We will release a coaching/philosophy changes article soon. It will be an update to the article we put in our Strategy magazine.
 
Great stuff. One thing i noticed is that on the ADP, I couldn't seem to find Brett Favre on it. Maybe an error?

 
Great Catch on the Brett Favre - Not sure what happened there. I will fix shortly.

As for westbrook, let's say I saw the light based on another thread here.

 
Detroit's WR2 will be Bradford, not Williams.
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If I was betting, I would bet Bradford right now. Nobody is a slam dunk at this point though.
 
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Detroit's WR2 will be Bradford, not Williams.
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If I was betting, I would bet Bradford right now. Nobody is a slam dunk at this point though.
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I just cant see how Mike Williams could possibly fit into the style of Offense that Martz runs. I guess we'll have to see.
 
David,

Check the BALT QB positions stats. I know Boller sucks, but cmon. :)
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He answered in his 1st projection thread that the numbers for Boller, McNair, and Volek are all based on the assumption that McNair is in Baltimore.
 
Detroit's WR2 will be Bradford, not Williams.
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If I was betting, I would bet Bradford right now. Nobody is a slam dunk at this point though.
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I just cant see how Mike Williams could possibly fit into the style of Offense that Martz runs. I guess we'll have to see.
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So, in your opinion Mike Williams is worthless next year?
 
Detroit's WR2 will be Bradford, not Williams.
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If I was betting, I would bet Bradford right now. Nobody is a slam dunk at this point though.
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I just cant see how Mike Williams could possibly fit into the style of Offense that Martz runs. I guess we'll have to see.
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So, in your opinion Mike Williams is worthless next year?
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Worthless? No. But do I expect him to be Detroits #2 WR as David projects next year? Absolutely not.

 
From Tom Kowalski's LIONS BULLETIN:

Wednesday, May 31, 2006

--- Interesting depth chart situation at receiver. Scottie Vines and Mike Williams didn't participate because of minor injuries. Roy Williams and Corey Bradford ran with the No. 1 offense, Glenn Martinez and Mike Furrey were No. 2 and Charles Rogers and Eddie Drummond were No. 3.
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Saturday, May 27, 2006

Answering your e-mail:

Ramz: Killer, Isn't it way to early to be calling BMW a bust? I think he gets a lot of undeserved crap because we are expecting him to be a bust, after C-Rog. Before he even plays an NFL game, he was being labeled as lazy because he was stuck in traffic and was late to a team meeting. You can't even blame him for not putting up good numbers last year since the entire offense was horrible. I don't think this guy is really in danger of being cut...

Tom Kowalski: ramz .... once again, I'M not saying mike williams is a bust, i'm merely telling you what i'm hearing from the lions ... if you don't like it or don't believe it, that's fine ... but i'm hearing rogers is a huge disappointment and that mike williams needs to kick it up ... i told you for weeks that bradford was considered the no. 2 receiver and that neither rogers or mike williams is being strongly considered for the no. 3 (slot) receiver role and people scoffed at me ... now martz has come out and said it himself ...

Mike: I'm reading all the press about how Martz has his system and yet might not have the players to make it work. I thought the plan was to have a coaching staff that can make work with what they have, receivers and all. If Mike Willaims is what we have, design a system that works to his strentghs. Why cut him becasue he doesn't fit the system?

Tom Kowalski: mike ... martz doesn't believe in fitting a system to fit the players ... he believes he can make players do what he wants in his offense ... some people don't agree with that approach but the positive side is that he refuses to accept a player's limitations ... but, if a guy clearly can't do what he needs done, then he'll find somebody else to do it (he's also made that perfectly clear) ...
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Friday, May 26, 2006

Clock's ticking on Charles Rogers and Mike Williams

Lions offensive coordinator Mike Martz won't talk to the local writers, but he has shown that he will chat it up with certain hand-picked members of the national media. You can't totally blame Martz for that because he's in a sticky situation with two of his receivers and it could cause some embarrassment to president Matt Millen.

During a recent online interview with Clark Judge, Martz was quoted as saying very positive things about Roy Williams and also said he views Corey Bradford as the team's No. 2 receiver.

So where does that leave recent first-round top 10 picks Charles Rogers (second overall, 2003) and Mike Williams (10th overall, 2005)? If you read between the lines of Judge's story, it leaves them near the bottom of the depth chart, if on the team at all.

First, there's Rogers, who Martz refused to discuss at all during his interview. While Martz was quoted on some other receivers, there was just this blurb by Judge himself:

"Let's assume you give him Mike Williams as someone who could be an elite performer. Now, what else is there? Charles Rogers? Yes, but he's not part of this equation. Rogers, who was suspended last year, has a long way to go before he can make an impact.

And I'm not sure he can. He hasn't in three years.''

Now, you can assume Judge dreamed that up himself, but it seems more likely that Martz led him down that path, but Martz just didn't want to be quoted on it.

And, about Mike Williams, Martz spoke highly of his physical tools, but right after that Martz says he sees Bradford as the No. 2 receiver and that Mike Furrey -- a receiver-turned-safety-turned receiver -- could fill the slot position, making him the No. 3 receiver.

And, there was this surprising nugget from Judge's story:

"There's also Glenn Martinez, and, no, I hadn't heard of him, either. He has one catch in his NFL career, yet Martz looks at him as someone who is 'tall, fast, has good hands and can get in and out of cuts.' In short, he's someone who should make this team.''

Roy Williams, Corey Bradford, Mike Furrey, Glenn Martinez and Eddie Drummond (because of his return abilities). That's five spots at a position that will likely carry six receivers. You also have to consider Scottie Vines because he contributes on special teams, which Mike Williams and Rogers do not.

I've been saying for months that Rogers is in danger of not making the final roster and that possibility appears to be getting closer to a reality. Mike Williams is also in trouble, but his situation doesn't seem as dire as Rogers'.

Martz isn't going to slam the door on either player right now because of their draft status and, on the heels of Detroit dumping the third overall pick of the 2002 draft (that would be Joey Harrington), shredding two more first-round picks wouldn't shed a real positive light on Millen's regime.

But give Millen this: he wasn't going to saddle head coach Rod Marinelli with a quarterback he didn't want and he isn't likely to the same thing with Martz and a receiver or two he doesn't want.

As I've said many times before, it's going to be a very interesting training camp.
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WOW Carson Palmer took quite the hit going from 5 to 22 huh? I guess you voted week six for his return in my poll about when he will return huh? Do you now think he wont go week one or play much at all until week six Dave?

 
Palmer out for at least the first month yet Chad Johnson penciled in for 1300+/12???
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Palmer being out for the first month is far from a sure thing right now.
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Not according to David Dodds and a few others around here. I say this after noticing he went form 5 to 22 in this latest projection update. I have think this is due to David figuring CP will not play until at least week 6? David chime in on this issue it does have some interest around here. But if you lowered him down that much you have to be on the side of he wont go till week six, right?
 
Site is hopping with new content.....

We are also putting on the finishing touches to all of the player pages and the VBD App. Both should debut tomorrow.

Team Reports

Average Draft Position

Latest Projections
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:goodposting: one question:

kurt warner projected for 18 td & 14 int, yet Leinart, his backup, is slated for just 2 tds and 4 ints?!?!?!?

so, Az Cards under Denny Green, with Fitz,Boldin, Edge et al ,will only have 20 passing tds?!?!?!? thats one of the most pass-happy offenses in the NFL!!

Am I missing something here?!

:popcorn:

 
Site is hopping with new content.....

We are also putting on the finishing touches to all of the player pages and the VBD App.  Both should debut tomorrow.

Team Reports

Average Draft Position

Latest Projections
Click to expand...
:goodposting: one question:

kurt warner projected for 18 td & 14 int, yet Leinart, his backup, is slated for just 2 tds and 4 ints?!?!?!?

so, Az Cards under Denny Green, with Fitz,Boldin, Edge et al ,will only have 20 passing tds?!?!?!? thats one of the most pass-happy offenses in the NFL!!

Am I missing something here?!

:popcorn:
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How many passing TDs did they have last year with Warner and McCown? Were they not just as pass happy, if not moreso, last year?
 
Adding that, without a strong running game, Arizona only had 21 pass TDs last year. They add Edge. How will the stats change? I do not know. But, the projections look reasonable for AZ pass TDs.

In fact, as startling as could be, with Boldin for three years and Fitz for two years, the Cardinals have yet to blow the doors off of the pass TD category. Last year's 21 pass TDs were a three year high. I think this is the reason many discount Boldin/Fitz projections because they feel Edge will eat into them.

Here are the numbers:

http://www.footballguys.com/datadom.php?pt...att%2Brsh%2Brec

 
Call me blinded, but I think Mike Williams will end up as the #2 WR in Detroit.

As for Carson Palmer, I currently think he will miss the first three weeks. If they can win some of those games, I easily could see him sitting until after the bye week. He is among the hardest to rank at this time.

 
:thumbup:

Nice adjustments from the last projections, Mr. Dodds. It's very pleasant being able to make a rational argument & see it taken as having some value. Much appreciated.

Salud!

:banned:

 
Call me blinded, but I think Mike Williams will end up as the #2 WR in Detroit.
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I accept that opinion. I just wanted you to be aware of the current evidence to the contrary. We'll all know in time how it shakes out.
 
Found an error, just thought I'd let you guys know about it...

Last year was Tait's second season with the Bears, but his first as a the team's starting LT. He played like a pro-bowler last season, without question a notch above his first season with the team.

Projected Starters: RT Fred Miller, RG Terrence Metcalf, C Olin Kreutz, LG Ruben Brown, LT John Tait

Key Backups: T John St. Clair, G Roberto Garza, G Tyler Reed (rookie)

The Bears offensive line is very good. They have perhaps the top center in the game today in Olin Kreutz who is a very smart, athletic player who hasn’t taken a holding penalty in the past four seasons. At right guard, Terrence Metcalf is a big body who is quite effective as a run blocker. He isn’t very athletic but serves well as a road-grader. Ruben Brown is 34 years old but had a very good season a year ago and should hold his starting spot at left guard although Roberto Garza may push him. Right tackle Fred Miller had perhaps his finest season as a pro last year and really helped to solidify the offensive line. He plays with a lot of heart and has a mean streak. Finally at left tackle, John Tait is a very talented lineman who struggled a little in his first season with the club. He surrendered 9 ½ sacks, took 3 holding penalties and was never able to find his ‘A’ game. Expect the Bears to have another good season out of this group and it could be exceptional if Tait rediscovers the form that made him a Pro Bowler in the past.

 
Two things I've noticed so far.....

1) Rookie RB James Harrison is missing from the Cleveland Report.

2) Rookie DE Mark Anderson is missing from Chicago's report

 
Two things I've noticed so far.....

1) Rookie RB James Harrison is missing from the Cleveland Report.

2) Rookie DE Mark Anderson is missing from Chicago's report
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Maybe Jerome Harrison?
 
Some questions about the ADP info:

1) Is this data based on standard FBG scoring?

2) Do you have any plans to post ADP data for other scoring systems? I'm specifically interested in point-per-catch ADP.

Thanks.

 
Some questions about the ADP info:

1) Is this data based on standard FBG scoring?

2) Do you have any plans to post ADP data for other scoring systems? I'm specifically interested in point-per-catch ADP.

Thanks.
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Xperts data comes mostly from survivors which don't include ppr, ants mostly come from their hp mocks, which include ppr. At least, I believe this to be the case.

 
Some questions about the ADP info:

1) Is this data based on standard FBG scoring?

2) Do you have any plans to post ADP data for other scoring systems?  I'm specifically interested in point-per-catch ADP.

Thanks.
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Xperts data comes mostly from survivors which don't include ppr, ants mostly come from their hp mocks, which include ppr. At least, I believe this to be the case.
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Oh...I hope that's not the case. PPR vs. non-PPR can obviously make a big difference in where many non-QBs will be drafted. Mixing data from different scoring systems would result in much less accurate results, wouldn't it?
 
ADP Overvalued

PK1 Neil Rackers

PK3 Mike Vanderjagt

PK5 Jay Feely

ADP Values

PK13 John Kasay

PK15 Matt Stover

PK16 Jeff Reed

 
ADP Overvalued

PK1 Neil Rackers

PK3 Mike Vanderjagt

PK5 Jay Feely

ADP Values

PK13 John Kasay

PK15 Matt Stover

PK16 Jeff Reed
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Kasay and Reed are ridiculous. Both should be top 6 kickers.Rackers will be lucky to put up 110 this year.

John Hall is also ridiculously low.

 
Just read through the first team report... wow, this is great stuff, particularly on IDPs. Great job, FBG!

 
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