Ten Thoughts to Digest (1 Viewer)

[shader]

1. Shonn Greene is going to have every opportunity to be a top 3-5 RB this year. I am completely unconvinced that Mark Sanchez is ready to lead an elite passing attack (or even a solid one). I think it will start this Monday night, and Rex Ryan is going to try and pound Greene into the heart of the Ravens defense and I think he will expose them. The Ravens are a very overrated team right now, and after week 1, I predict there will be a ton of question marks surrounding their defense. Greene has injury concerns, but what running back in the NFL doesn't? If he stays healthy, he will have a monstrous season.

2. Shout-out to Bill Simmons on this one..But the Cowboys are another highly overrated team. How often do we hear they are headed to the Super Bowl? They are returning a ton of starters....from a team that got destroyed in the playoffs. Dez Bryant is the next great WR that none of us have seen, and he hasn't taken a snap in a meaningful game in one year. The O-line is missing two starters...If you listen to the hype, then you probably expect the Cowboys to destroy Washington Sunday night. I have a feeling that the outcome might swing in the other direction.

3. Super Bowl team that no one is discussing: The New England Patriots. I like their young defense. Yeah, they are young. Yes, this is a concern. But guess what: They have room to make mistakes, because the offense will be elite. Brady has a ton of weapons, and might just have the 2nd best statistical season of his life this year. But if that defense can stay healthy from here on out: Watch out.

4. The Detroit Lions won 2 games last year. 2 games. But I think this is a team that not only can win 8 games, but can contend for the playoffs. Their defense is pathetic..yes. Or is it? I think their rookie Dlineman will change the very identity of that defense. Vanden Bosch is always an injury concern, but the additions of KVB and Suh will instantly give their Dline credibility. Yes, their secondary is porous, and will give up lots of yards. But trust me (I've watched Schwartz for years), after agonizing Lion fans with their soft coverage, and their bend-but-don't-break style, they'll make big plays and get big turnovers at crucial moments. And when you add in a healthy Stafford, CJ and an electric rookie in Jahvid Best...I think this is going to be an exciting team to watch in Detroit. And good for that town. They deserve it.

5. Larry Fitzgerald will end the year as the number 1 WR. All the worry, all the concern for Fitz will melt away after this season. Kurt Warner was a great QB, and deserves the HOF. But his arm was shot last season, and he was forced to keep things short all year. (amazing he still did what he did). Fitzgerald will get to catch the ball downfield for the first time in a long time. Anderson is terrible, don't get me wrong, but he knows how to hurl it, and he also knows how to lock onto a receiver (as Braylon Edwards 1300 yd, 16TD season proved).

6. Harry Douglas is the slot receiver that will take Matt Ryan to another level. From a fantasy football perspective, Tom Brady was solid, but not spectacular until Wes Welker came along. (Moss didnt' hurt either ) This season, Matt Ryan gets the check-down, slot receiver that he's been missing. Ask any Atlanta fan about "HD", and they'll get excited. The rest of the fantasy football world largely has him missing. Not only is Douglas a great value guy in PPR leagues, he is going to allow Matt Ryan to have more options, and help Ryan take his stats to another level. I look for a huge season for MR, and a deep playoff run for the under-rated Falcons.

7. A turning point for the Titans and Vince Young. As a Titans fan, I wake up one morning and think that Young and the Titans are about to become one of the most explosive offenses in the league and win the super bowl. Then the next morning, I'll wake up and think "Hey, wait a second..I've been fooled on this one before...IT'S VINCE YOUNG we're talking about!!" Well this is it for Vince. If he doesn't take the leap this season, than he never will. He's surrounded by PERHAPS the most explosive player in the history of the NFL, he's got a young WR that, while a headcase, has immense talent (Kenny Britt), he has a great Oline, and the rest of his receivers aren't bad either. I'm too close to the situation to call this one objectively.

8. Carolina and Jacksonville are two teams that could completely collapse this season. Both coaches are on the hot seat. Both teams start very unspectacular QB's..Both defenses look very shaky. Both are in improving divisions. I don't see any way the Jags don't finish in 4th. Carolina has no chance to finish better than third, but the Bucs are another team that could surprise, and so I wouldn't be surprised at all to see a completely collapse in Carolina. The one positive that both teams have is a killer running game, so that helps. But it really seems like the NFL is changing, and when your QB's stink and your defense isn't very good....your prospects aren't high. Throw in the "lame-duck coach" scenario, and both of these teams are headed for disaster in 2010.

9. The demise of the Colts? I can't shake the feeling that the Colts are about to start their crash. The defense just doesn't look scary anymore, the O-line is a potential disaster, I think the coach is in way over his head (despite his great record last year)...I think that the collapse in the super bowl is Peyton's last chance at a ring. But when you look at it in a different way, it's a passing league, Peyton is still in great form, and he has a bevy of improving receivers to throw to. We're all expecting the Colts' reign in the AFC South to end, but do we think Schaub and/or Young are ready to take it from them? One thing Peyton Manning has proven beyond a shadow of a doubt, is that he will destroy 85% of the teams in the league. As such, expect 12-14 wins for the Colts until they prove otherwise.

10. This one is reserved for the Shark Pool. Give me your last minute thoughts. I'm out of them, I'm sick of pre-season, sick of prognosticating (even though I've done it for the last 9 paragraphs) and sick of predicting. I'm ready to sit back, crack open a cold one and watch some football!

 

[GroveDiesel]

The Redskins will win their division this year. For the last 7 years, a team has gone from last to first in a division. Despite all of their problems, Washington takes advantage of a Kevin Kolb lead Eagles team and an overrated Dallas team and wins the division with the Giants coming in 2nd.

 

[bicycle_seat_sniffer]

point #2 - Dallas is the best team in that division. Oline worries aside, they still win it.

Point #3 - Patriot D is not good and already have major issues on the Dline outside of Wilfork.

Point #4 - the lions do not win more than 6 games.

For point #10 -

The Chargers will have a more balanced attack this year, without merriamn though their D will struggle to generate a rush. Oakland might push for the division but fall short

 

[CletiusMaximus]

Good, interesting comments (not that I agree with all of them).

for my #10:

The most interesting team for me is the Vikings. They could easily get all that talent on a roll and end up back in the NFC title game. On the flip side, if things start going downhill for them (possibly starting tonight), I think they could get into a tailspin that will be the most entertaining story of the season and lead to massive rolling of heads in Minnesota come February.

 

[benm3218]

I think your wrong about 1-6. But, I like your passion.

10. Who in their right mind would miss the game tonight after these 4 lonnnnng weeks of preseason? Not me. it is going to be a great one.

 

[Joe Bryant]

1. Shonn Greene is going to have every opportunity to be a top 3-5 RB this year. I am completely unconvinced that Mark Sanchez is ready to lead an elite passing attack (or even a solid one). I think it will start this Monday night, and Rex Ryan is going to try and pound Greene into the heart of the Ravens defense and I think he will expose them. The Ravens are a very overrated team right now, and after week 1, I predict there will be a ton of question marks surrounding their defense. Greene has injury concerns, but what running back in the NFL doesn't? If he stays healthy, he will have a monstrous season.2. Shout-out to Bill Simmons on this one..But the Cowboys are another highly overrated team. How often do we hear they are headed to the Super Bowl? They are returning a ton of starters....from a team that got destroyed in the playoffs. Dez Bryant is the next great WR that none of us have seen, and he hasn't taken a snap in a meaningful game in one year. The O-line is missing two starters...If you listen to the hype, then you probably expect the Cowboys to destroy Washington Sunday night. I have a feeling that the outcome might swing in the other direction.3. Super Bowl team that no one is discussing: The New England Patriots. I like their young defense. Yeah, they are young. Yes, this is a concern. But guess what: They have room to make mistakes, because the offense will be elite. Brady has a ton of weapons, and might just have the 2nd best statistical season of his life this year. But if that defense can stay healthy from here on out: Watch out. 4. The Detroit Lions won 2 games last year. 2 games. But I think this is a team that not only can win 8 games, but can contend for the playoffs. Their defense is pathetic..yes. Or is it? I think their rookie Dlineman will change the very identity of that defense. Vanden Bosch is always an injury concern, but the additions of KVB and Suh will instantly give their Dline credibility. Yes, their secondary is porous, and will give up lots of yards. But trust me (I've watched Schwartz for years), after agonizing Lion fans with their soft coverage, and their bend-but-don't-break style, they'll make big plays and get big turnovers at crucial moments. And when you add in a healthy Stafford, CJ and an electric rookie in Jahvid Best...I think this is going to be an exciting team to watch in Detroit. And good for that town. They deserve it.5. Larry Fitzgerald will end the year as the number 1 WR. All the worry, all the concern for Fitz will melt away after this season. Kurt Warner was a great QB, and deserves the HOF. But his arm was shot last season, and he was forced to keep things short all year. (amazing he still did what he did). Fitzgerald will get to catch the ball downfield for the first time in a long time. Anderson is terrible, don't get me wrong, but he knows how to hurl it, and he also knows how to lock onto a receiver (as Braylon Edwards 1300 yd, 16TD season proved). 6. Harry Douglas is the slot receiver that will take Matt Ryan to another level. From a fantasy football perspective, Tom Brady was solid, but not spectacular until Wes Welker came along. (Moss didnt' hurt either ) This season, Matt Ryan gets the check-down, slot receiver that he's been missing. Ask any Atlanta fan about "HD", and they'll get excited. The rest of the fantasy football world largely has him missing. Not only is Douglas a great value guy in PPR leagues, he is going to allow Matt Ryan to have more options, and help Ryan take his stats to another level. I look for a huge season for MR, and a deep playoff run for the under-rated Falcons.7. A turning point for the Titans and Vince Young. As a Titans fan, I wake up one morning and think that Young and the Titans are about to become one of the most explosive offenses in the league and win the super bowl. Then the next morning, I'll wake up and think "Hey, wait a second..I've been fooled on this one before...IT'S VINCE YOUNG we're talking about!!" Well this is it for Vince. If he doesn't take the leap this season, than he never will. He's surrounded by PERHAPS the most explosive player in the history of the NFL, he's got a young WR that, while a headcase, has immense talent (Kenny Britt), he has a great Oline, and the rest of his receivers aren't bad either. I'm too close to the situation to call this one objectively. 8. Carolina and Jacksonville are two teams that could completely collapse this season. Both coaches are on the hot seat. Both teams start very unspectacular QB's..Both defenses look very shaky. Both are in improving divisions. I don't see any way the Jags don't finish in 4th. Carolina has no chance to finish better than third, but the Bucs are another team that could surprise, and so I wouldn't be surprised at all to see a completely collapse in Carolina. The one positive that both teams have is a killer running game, so that helps. But it really seems like the NFL is changing, and when your QB's stink and your defense isn't very good....your prospects aren't high. Throw in the "lame-duck coach" scenario, and both of these teams are headed for disaster in 2010.9. The demise of the Colts? I can't shake the feeling that the Colts are about to start their crash. The defense just doesn't look scary anymore, the O-line is a potential disaster, I think the coach is in way over his head (despite his great record last year)...I think that the collapse in the super bowl is Peyton's last chance at a ring. But when you look at it in a different way, it's a passing league, Peyton is still in great form, and he has a bevy of improving receivers to throw to. We're all expecting the Colts' reign in the AFC South to end, but do we think Schaub and/or Young are ready to take it from them? One thing Peyton Manning has proven beyond a shadow of a doubt, is that he will destroy 85% of the teams in the league. As such, expect 12-14 wins for the Colts until they prove otherwise.10. This one is reserved for the Shark Pool. Give me your last minute thoughts. I'm out of them, I'm sick of pre-season, sick of prognosticating (even though I've done it for the last 9 paragraphs) and sick of predicting. I'm ready to sit back, crack open a cold one and watch some football!

Excellent post. This is what the Shark Pool is about. J

 

[footballsavvy]

Good, interesting comments (not that I agree with all of them).for my #10:The most interesting team for me is the Vikings. They could easily get all that talent on a roll and end up back in the NFC title game. On the flip side, if things start going downhill for them (possibly starting tonight), I think they could get into a tailspin that will be the most entertaining story of the season and lead to massive rolling of heads in Minnesota come February.

The Saints #####-slapped the Giants into a tailspin last season (week 6) and I expect them to do the same to the Vikings to start the season. It's all about exposure, and Sean Payton is good at it.

 

[Voice Of Reason]

The Green Bay Packers are the most overrated team in the NFL.

They have a terrible pass defense, and in the National Quarterback league, if you cannot somewhat defend the pass, you got no shot.

 

[John 14:6]

1. I don't know which team is more over rated, the Ravens or the Jets.

2. Along with the Cowboys, I see the Packers as a very over rated NFC team.

9. No way.

10. I think the Vikings will surprise and win tonight. Even if they don't, the early bye will be very helpful for them. I see them winning the division again and this time making it all the way to the Superbowl.

 

[[icon]]

Props to Shader on this one. Excellent post and good insightful analysis.

 

[shortbow]

Well since we are just posting thoughts I guess I should post my opinions.

1. He has the potential but I think he falls much shorter, ravens overrated? what?

2. I agree the Cowboys are overrated but there is no way they lose to the skins.

3. Im expecting new and wonderful things from the pats (check down with their new toys Gronk and Hernandez, mostly Gronk)

4. I have them at 7-9 but its most definately more than 2

5. fitgerald will finish the year 25th

6. White and Gonzo will still be the targets in atlanta

7. If he doesnt pull the trigger this year it wont happen

8. Panthers are in much better shape than the Jags

9. I wouldnt be surprised if they finished 9-7, but im expecting 10 or 11 wins

10. Saints finish the season 9-7 or worse.

 

[ScoobyDoo]

The Green Bay Packers are the most overrated team in the NFL.They have a terrible pass defense, and in the National Quarterback league, if you cannot somewhat defend the pass, you got no shot.

And they have a lackluster offensive line.Green Bay is going to have to play shootout football to win games this year against almost everyone.

 

[Voice Of Reason]

3.) New England's pass D is bad. The AFC is weak, but they probably have no answer if they play the Colts in the playoffs.

6.) Douglas is really good, and it pains me as a Saints fan that I agree with this.

7.) VY is awful. He's fast, not quick, and quickness is what makes a scrambling QB deadly, like Vick was in ATL. His passing is terrible and he's is certainly in the bottom 10 of starting QBs in the league.

9.) The Colts are going to be really good again this year. They legitimately lost 1 game all last year and the WRs are going to improve. The Colts defense is very underrated, they are certainly one of the best units in the league. They are one of only a few teams that are really good on both sides of the ball, I cannot see them collapsing.

 

[loompa17]

I like these predictions. I like the passion, I like the boldness. Most fantasy football players cannot really see things are going to change until they actually do change.

I'm sure you will be wrong about some of them, but you will probably hit the nail on the head with some of them too. That is what predictions are all about.

The two I am most in agreement with you are #4 and #6. The Lions are going in the right direction and will surprise a number of people this year. Starting this weekend. And I really like Harry Douglas and believe that Matt Ryan is going to rely on him early and often until defenses take that option away. And then the whole offense really opens up.

Edit to add: My #10 is that the Steelers implode this year. Their offensive line is bad and Mendenhall won't get anything going (he doesn't really create for himself). Hines Ward is going to fade. They will go 1-3 without Big Ben and the attitude won't be good there after their bye.

 

[MDPapi]

#1 - Funny, I think the opposite will happen. I think the Jets have been listening to the hype and I think the Ravens will come in and punch them square in the mouth. I'm not saying the Ravens are better at the end of the season, but I think Ray Lewis and company play meaner Week 1.

#10 - San Francisco. That defense is good. Alex Smith looks better and has some really good weapons. Soft division helps.

 

[shader]

1. I don't know which team is more over rated, the Ravens or the Jets.2. Along with the Cowboys, I see the Packers as a very over rated NFC team.9. No way.10. I think the Vikings will surprise and win tonight. Even if they don't, the early bye will be very helpful for them. I see them winning the division again and this time making it all the way to the Superbowl.

I do think the Jets are overrated too. The Jets were 9-7 last year. I just happen to think that they will pound the ball right down the throats of Baltimore.If you think the "Jet" hoopla is bad this week, wait until they beat the Ravens.

 

[Gopher State]

The Green Bay Packers are the most overrated team in the NFL.They have a terrible pass defense, and in the National Quarterback league, if you cannot somewhat defend the pass, you got no shot.

And they have a lackluster offensive line.Green Bay is going to have to play shootout football to win games this year against almost everyone.

very long season coming for the Packers

 

[CletiusMaximus]

The Green Bay Packers are the most overrated team in the NFL.They have a terrible pass defense, and in the National Quarterback league, if you cannot somewhat defend the pass, you got no shot.

I agree the Packers have been somewhat overrated in the football press this summer. Regarding the pass defense, however, they are returning two pro-bowlers from last season in the back 4, including the NFL defensive MVP. They showed some cracks in the armor at times, but they easily lined up the best defensive backfield in the NFC North last year and will do so again this season if/when Harris comes back healthy.

 

[Modog814]

My thoughts on yours:

1. Shonn Greene is going to have every opportunity to be a top 3-5 RB this year. I am completely unconvinced that Mark Sanchez is ready to lead an elite passing attack (or even a solid one). I think it will start this Monday night, and Rex Ryan is going to try and pound Greene into the heart of the Ravens defense and I think he will expose them. The Ravens are a very overrated team right now, and after week 1, I predict there will be a ton of question marks surrounding their defense. Greene has injury concerns, but what running back in the NFL doesn't? If he stays healthy, he will have a monstrous season.

Think you got this one backwards. Yes the Ravens are probably overrated right now, but I think the Jets are being overrated 10x worse. Baltimore's offense is way better than Jets and who you could arguably say that the ravens defense knows Rex Ryans defense way better than the Jets do. I think this gives them a big advantage in this game. Baltimore's D has regressed but let's be honest, their offense doesn't need to rely on their D only allowing 14 ppg.

On Shonn Greene, I agree that he'll be given every opportunity, but I don't think he comes close to top 3-5 RB status (real life or fantasy). I believe LT will spell him enough and steal enough TD's to prevent this from happening.

2. Shout-out to Bill Simmons on this one..But the Cowboys are another highly overrated team. How often do we hear they are headed to the Super Bowl? They are returning a ton of starters....from a team that got destroyed in the playoffs. Dez Bryant is the next great WR that none of us have seen, and he hasn't taken a snap in a meaningful game in one year. The O-line is missing two starters...If you listen to the hype, then you probably expect the Cowboys to destroy Washington Sunday night. I have a feeling that the outcome might swing in the other direction.

Yes Dallas is overrated, I think some of that is people thinking they have extra motivation to have a "home" superbowl game. Not buying it, although they are the best team in that division and should win it, although I believe it's a lost closer than people think and wouldn't be surprised if any of the 4 teams came out on top.

3. Super Bowl team that no one is discussing: The New England Patriots. I like their young defense. Yeah, they are young. Yes, this is a concern. But guess what: They have room to make mistakes, because the offense will be elite. Brady has a ton of weapons, and might just have the 2nd best statistical season of his life this year. But if that defense can stay healthy from here on out: Watch out.

Agree 100%, although I'm definitely not a Patriot fan, all the love for the Jets has me rooting for the Patriots to once again reign supreme in the AFC East. I'm not sure they have a team that is capable of hanging defensively with the other big teams and making a deep run.

4. The Detroit Lions won 2 games last year. 2 games. But I think this is a team that not only can win 8 games, but can contend for the playoffs. Their defense is pathetic..yes. Or is it? I think their rookie Dlineman will change the very identity of that defense. Vanden Bosch is always an injury concern, but the additions of KVB and Suh will instantly give their Dline credibility. Yes, their secondary is porous, and will give up lots of yards. But trust me (I've watched Schwartz for years), after agonizing Lion fans with their soft coverage, and their bend-but-don't-break style, they'll make big plays and get big turnovers at crucial moments. And when you add in a healthy Stafford, CJ and an electric rookie in Jahvid Best...I think this is going to be an exciting team to watch in Detroit. And good for that town. They deserve it.

Agree 75%. I'm not sure about playoffs though, too many other good teams, but they'll be much improved. I think next year is the year that they'll really start challenging for a playoff spot.

5. Larry Fitzgerald will end the year as the number 1 WR. All the worry, all the concern for Fitz will melt away after this season. Kurt Warner was a great QB, and deserves the HOF. But his arm was shot last season, and he was forced to keep things short all year. (amazing he still did what he did). Fitzgerald will get to catch the ball downfield for the first time in a long time. Anderson is terrible, don't get me wrong, but he knows how to hurl it, and he also knows how to lock onto a receiver (as Braylon Edwards 1300 yd, 16TD season proved).



By #1 WR are we talking fantasy or real-life? I'll admit I'm one of the people that was shying away from Fitz in my drafts and I have a feeling I just might regret it. I wouldn't be totaly shocked to see him #1, but I still believe he'll be closer to #5 than #1 (who I believe is by far and away AJ)

6. Harry Douglas is the slot receiver that will take Matt Ryan to another level. From a fantasy football perspective, Tom Brady was solid, but not spectacular until Wes Welker came along. (Moss didnt' hurt either ) This season, Matt Ryan gets the check-down, slot receiver that he's been missing. Ask any Atlanta fan about "HD", and they'll get excited. The rest of the fantasy football world largely has him missing. Not only is Douglas a great value guy in PPR leagues, he is going to allow Matt Ryan to have more options, and help Ryan take his stats to another level. I look for a huge season for MR, and a deep playoff run for the under-rated Falcons.

Eh, lot of hype going around about him, and I watched a couple of preseason game (ok, I know they're preseason) but just didn't come away impressed with him. And with Gonzo their, I don't know that you can really say that Ryan has been missing a "check-down, slot receiver", even though technically it may be true. I actually believe the Falcons are probably a little overrated and actually see them missing the playoffs this year.

7. A turning point for the Titans and Vince Young. As a Titans fan, I wake up one morning and think that Young and the Titans are about to become one of the most explosive offenses in the league and win the super bowl. Then the next morning, I'll wake up and think "Hey, wait a second..I've been fooled on this one before...IT'S VINCE YOUNG we're talking about!!" Well this is it for Vince. If he doesn't take the leap this season, than he never will. He's surrounded by PERHAPS the most explosive player in the history of the NFL, he's got a young WR that, while a headcase, has immense talent (Kenny Britt), he has a great Oline, and the rest of his receivers aren't bad either. I'm too close to the situation to call this one objectively.

I agree that Young is going to make the Titans much better, but to say he's going to make them one of the 'most explosive offenses in the league' is a bit of an overstatement. Even if Young steps forward, he's still going to be way behind the Colts, Patriots, Cowboys, Packers, Saints of the world. They'll be better, but I still don't see them much more than a top 10-15 offense.

8. Carolina and Jacksonville are two teams that could completely collapse this season. Both coaches are on the hot seat. Both teams start very unspectacular QB's..Both defenses look very shaky. Both are in improving divisions. I don't see any way the Jags don't finish in 4th. Carolina has no chance to finish better than third, but the Bucs are another team that could surprise, and so I wouldn't be surprised at all to see a completely collapse in Carolina. The one positive that both teams have is a killer running game, so that helps. But it really seems like the NFL is changing, and when your QB's stink and your defense isn't very good....your prospects aren't high. Throw in the "lame-duck coach" scenario, and both of these teams are headed for disaster in 2010.

I actually disagree with both here, and I'm probably in the minority here. I disagree more so with the Panthers. Yes they both have unspectacular QB's, but I believe they both get the job done. Jacksonville is actually in the what I think is the toughest division and believe that both Wild Card spots come from that division (Texans, Colts and Titans). I think Carolina has a great shot to finish 2nd in that division (as I said above I think the Falcons are overrated). Carolina's defense is young and look hungry, and their running games is one of the top ones in the league. And no one is going to confuse Matt Moore with Peyton, but he actually put together a good end of the last season. And I dont' think the Panthers are going to be counting on Moore winning to many games, just not to lose them.

9. The demise of the Colts? I can't shake the feeling that the Colts are about to start their crash. The defense just doesn't look scary anymore, the O-line is a potential disaster, I think the coach is in way over his head (despite his great record last year)...I think that the collapse in the super bowl is Peyton's last chance at a ring. But when you look at it in a different way, it's a passing league, Peyton is still in great form, and he has a bevy of improving receivers to throw to. We're all expecting the Colts' reign in the AFC South to end, but do we think Schaub and/or Young are ready to take it from them? One thing Peyton Manning has proven beyond a shadow of a doubt, is that he will destroy 85% of the teams in the league. As such, expect 12-14 wins for the Colts until they prove otherwise.

I agree, but it'll be slow demise, and I actually believe it started last year. I really believe that the Texans are the team to be in that division.

10. This one is reserved for the Shark Pool. Give me your last minute thoughts. I'm out of them, I'm sick of pre-season, sick of prognosticating (even though I've done it for the last 9 paragraphs) and sick of predicting. I'm ready to sit back, crack open a cold one and watch some football!

My last thought is that the most overrated team in football this year is the Green Bay Packers. They will be good and put up 11 or so wins, but the love for them is ridiculous. Their Oline is questionable (I know they gave up most of sacks last year in the first half of the year, but was that because they all of a sudden got better or because they played teams with less talented pass rushers? The only good pass rushing teams was a Sugg-less Ravens and reeling Steelers team, and gave up 1 to each. Then in the most important game of their season they give up 5 to arizona), and their D beat up on teams they should beat up on, but struggled against some of the better offenses. Sure they will score a ton, but they're going to let Rodgers take too many hits and I think there are equally good offenses out there that have a better defense.

 

[alg]

Thanks shader, great post. I'm on board with a lot of it, and the rest...I'm just hoping you are right.

10. Buffalo, Cleveland, Oakland, and KCC will not be the doormats many seem to expect. All three will move up the respectability tree, while teams like MIN, PIT, and SDC begin their decent.

 

[PatsFanCT]

1. I don't know which team is more over rated, the Ravens or the Jets.2. Along with the Cowboys, I see the Packers as a very over rated NFC team.9. No way.10. I think the Vikings will surprise and win tonight. Even if they don't, the early bye will be very helpful for them. I see them winning the division again and this time making it all the way to the Superbowl.

I do think the Jets are overrated too. The Jets were 9-7 last year. I just happen to think that they will pound the ball right down the throats of Baltimore.If you think the "Jet" hoopla is bad this week, wait until they beat the Ravens.

A generous 9-7 at that. Possibly 7-9, but should have finished no better than 8-8 and out of the playoffs. Super Bowl or bust sounds like a ridiculous mantra for that team.

 

[DaWidowMaker]

I like Harry Douglas and he is a player but he has to show that his small frame can withstand the punishment of a full NFL season.

I appreciate your insight but I don't understand # 10..are the Colts going to crash and burn or are they going to cruise to a 12-4 record? I think Peyton can keep the Colts at the top for 2-3 more years before we see an undeniable decline. 12-4 isn't crashing and burning or even starting a downward spiral in my book playa.

I do feel as though we've seen the best of the Patriots with Tom Brady at the helm. Towards the end of last year and especially in the playoffs they looked old and slow on offense. I understand Welker went down in the 1st half but to my eye they look boring, predictable and still in need of a solid running game.

 

[Voice Of Reason]

The Green Bay Packers are the most overrated team in the NFL.

They have a terrible pass defense, and in the National Quarterback league, if you cannot somewhat defend the pass, you got no shot.

I agree the Packers have been somewhat overrated in the football press this summer. Regarding the pass defense, however, they are returning two pro-bowlers from last season in the back 4, including the NFL defensive MVP. They showed some cracks in the armor at times, but they easily lined up the best defensive backfield in the NFC North last year and will do so again this season if/when Harris comes back healthy.

Best in the North is meaningless, the Vikes and Bears have terrible secondaries, but, unlike the Pack, they make up for it by having the best defensive lines in the NFL. They got probowlers due to getting turnovers, not based on ability. The fact that Woodson won DMVP is a complete joke. Anyone who did not vote for Darrelle Revis should have his vote taken away at least, appropriately he should be barred from football.

 

[DaWidowMaker]

The Green Bay Packers are the most overrated team in the NFL.

They have a terrible pass defense, and in the National Quarterback league, if you cannot somewhat defend the pass, you got no shot.

I agree the Packers have been somewhat overrated in the football press this summer. Regarding the pass defense, however, they are returning two pro-bowlers from last season in the back 4, including the NFL defensive MVP. They showed some cracks in the armor at times, but they easily lined up the best defensive backfield in the NFC North last year and will do so again this season if/when Harris comes back healthy.

Best in the North is meaningless, the Vikes and Bears have terrible secondaries, but, unlike the Pack, they make up for it by having the best defensive lines in the NFL. They got probowlers due to getting turnovers, not based on ability. The fact that Woodson won DMVP is a complete joke. Anyone who did not vote for Darrelle Revis should have his vote taken away at least, appropriately he should be barred from football.

 

[SaintsInDome2006]

1. Shonn Greene - Both Green and LT will have very good weeks and end of season totals. I just have the feeling that owners of Green and LT will be trying to figure out week to week who is the man to start that week.

2. Shout-out to Bill Simmons on this one..But the Cowboys are another highly overrated team. - I think they may win their division and make the playoffs (who would emerge from Philly, the NYG and Skins? Any? None?) but they're starting to remind me of the old Wade Phillips Bills, talented, but with key poor personnel and game day decisions that leave them unable to close the deal. Dough Flutie where are you?

3. Super Bowl team that no one is discussing: The New England Patriots. ... Watch out. ---->>>> I agree with this, though I think the team will revert to their high scoring days their defense will make games a lot more interesting.

4. The Detroit Lions won 2 games last year. 2 games. But I think this is a team that not only can win 8 games, but can contend for the playoffs. ---- Can someone explain to me what changes have been made to the Lions' offensive line? This seems to me to have been their greatest weakness last year, above the poor defense and myriad of other problems.

5. Larry Fitzgerald will end the year as the number 1 WR. --- He's a great player, but don't you think Max Hall comes in at some point? And that Anderson has control problems? And that Doucet and Breaston don't soak up the same coverage that Boldin used to?

6. Harry Douglas is the slot receiver that will take Matt Ryan to another level. -- Ugh, as a Saints fan I think you're right.

7. A turning point for the Titans and Vince Young. --- Can they beat Houston and Indy 3 of 4 times?

8. Carolina and Jacksonville are two teams that could completely collapse this season. --- Well someone will be at the bottom of the heap. Maybe DET, StL, KC and Oakland finally emerge from teh depths?

9. The demise of the Colts? --- No, I don't agree with this one. I kind of maybe thought it might happen last year. I think Mudd is finally gone right? He must be because he paid a "consulting" visit to Saints camp this summer *underrreported factoid there). If so I think that's the greatest loss they are looking at.

http://www.nola.com/saints/index.ssf/2010/...ach_howard.html

10. This one is reserved for the Shark Pool. Give me your last minute thoughts. ---- OK; I think the Vikes will struggle, and Green Bay will rise as the new power in the NFC - Saints & Pack in the Dome in an NFCC classic. Tonight, WE FINALLY GET SOME FOOTBALL!!!

Thanks for the great post.

 

[shader]

The Green Bay Packers are the most overrated team in the NFL.They have a terrible pass defense, and in the National Quarterback league, if you cannot somewhat defend the pass, you got no shot.

And they have a lackluster offensive line.Green Bay is going to have to play shootout football to win games this year against almost everyone.

very long season coming for the Packers

Really? I see the Packers as close to unstoppable on offense. I do agree that their season will be long, though..as in possibly 19 games long.

 

[Clifford]

1. Shonn Greene is going to have every opportunity to be a top 3-5 RB this year. 2. Shout-out to Bill Simmons on this one..But the Cowboys are another highly overrated team. 3. Super Bowl team that no one is discussing: The New England Patriots. 4. The Detroit Lions won 2 games last year. 2 games. But I think this is a team that not only can win 8 games, but can contend for the playoffs. 5. Larry Fitzgerald will end the year as the number 1 WR. 6. Harry Douglas is the slot receiver that will take Matt Ryan to another level. 7. A turning point for the Titans and Vince Young. 8. Carolina and Jacksonville are two teams that could completely collapse this season. 9. The demise of the Colts? 10. This one is reserved for the Shark Pool. Give me your last minute thoughts.

My thoughts on your thoughts1. A weak passing attack doesn't really help a run game, but I agree he'll get plenty of opportunity. Doubt he plays 16 games.2. Maybe if they were playing a decent team that had a playmaker who was actually relevant in 2009, but they're playing the Skins3. People are sick of discussing the freaking Patriots. They've been a superbowl contender for so long it's gotten boring4. I agree. So does everyone.5. Anderson played for the Browns last year too. He sucks. Max Hall starts week 5.6. HD is intriguing but I see opportunity, not all-world talent. After White and Gonzo and a heavy emphasis on the run, I think there no upside in ATL beyond a WR3-47. Young showed me he belongs last year. I don't think he ever becomes a 4k-yard passer but the team doesn't need that. 8. Yep9. Nope10. Things I expect to see this yearWelker deliver 3rd round valueSpiller deliver 2nd round valueBest deliver 2nd round valueAlex Smith get benched by week7, but Niners still make playoffsFreeman struggle for 1st half, has great 2nd halfFavre (I hate this) has yet another 4k+ 25TD season (but with 16 INTs)At least one player on the Vikings get into a physical altercation with ChildressRaiders still suck, everyone officially closes book on McFaddenSchaub finish as QB1, Rivers as QB3Kolb will struggleTurner leads all RBs in TDs, D-Will second, AP thirdDez Bryant finishes season with around 700 yards and 3 scores

 

[shader]

1. I don't know which team is more over rated, the Ravens or the Jets.2. Along with the Cowboys, I see the Packers as a very over rated NFC team.9. No way.10. I think the Vikings will surprise and win tonight. Even if they don't, the early bye will be very helpful for them. I see them winning the division again and this time making it all the way to the Superbowl.

I do think the Jets are overrated too. The Jets were 9-7 last year. I just happen to think that they will pound the ball right down the throats of Baltimore.If you think the "Jet" hoopla is bad this week, wait until they beat the Ravens.

A generous 9-7 at that. Possibly 7-9, but should have finished no better than 8-8 and out of the playoffs. Super Bowl or bust sounds like a ridiculous mantra for that team.

I totally agree that the "super bowl or bust" mantra is outrageous. Just making it to the conference championship again will be a successful year.Sometimes I think teams get too caught up in the "have to win a super bowl" mentality. I mean, yes, ultimately everyone wants a ring...But let's face it, there are a number of teams that just have no chance to win the super bowl. Right now, in this day and age, if you don't have a great QB, you aren't winning the super bowl unless you have an unbelievable defense...and I mean UNBELIEVABLE.

 

[bicycle_seat_sniffer]

1. I don't know which team is more over rated, the Ravens or the Jets.

2. Along with the Cowboys, I see the Packers as a very over rated NFC team.

9. No way.

10. I think the Vikings will surprise and win tonight. Even if they don't, the early bye will be very helpful for them. I see them winning the division again and this time making it all the way to the Superbowl.

I do think the Jets are overrated too. The Jets were 9-7 last year. I just happen to think that they will pound the ball right down the throats of Baltimore.

If you think the "Jet" hoopla is bad this week, wait until they beat the Ravens.

A generous 9-7 at that. Possibly 7-9, but should have finished no better than 8-8 and out of the playoffs. Super Bowl or bust sounds like a ridiculous mantra for that team.

I totally agree that the "super bowl or bust" mantra is outrageous. Just making it to the conference championship again will be a successful year.Sometimes I think teams get too caught up in the "have to win a super bowl" mentality. I mean, yes, ultimately everyone wants a ring...

But let's face it, there are a number of teams that just have no chance to win the super bowl. Right now, in this day and age, if you don't have a great QB, you aren't winning the super bowl unless you have an unbelievable defense...and I mean UNBELIEVABLE.

BOLDED = been that way the entire superbowl era of the league

 

[Modog814]

The Green Bay Packers are the most overrated team in the NFL.They have a terrible pass defense, and in the National Quarterback league, if you cannot somewhat defend the pass, you got no shot.

And they have a lackluster offensive line.Green Bay is going to have to play shootout football to win games this year against almost everyone.

very long season coming for the Packers

Really? I see the Packers as close to unstoppable on offense. I do agree that their season will be long, though..as in possibly 19 games long.

Eh, I'd say there's about half a dozen or so offenses in the league that are on par with GB if not better. And most of them have better defenses too.

 

[Modog814]

1. I don't know which team is more over rated, the Ravens or the Jets.2. Along with the Cowboys, I see the Packers as a very over rated NFC team.9. No way.10. I think the Vikings will surprise and win tonight. Even if they don't, the early bye will be very helpful for them. I see them winning the division again and this time making it all the way to the Superbowl.

I do think the Jets are overrated too. The Jets were 9-7 last year. I just happen to think that they will pound the ball right down the throats of Baltimore.If you think the "Jet" hoopla is bad this week, wait until they beat the Ravens.

A generous 9-7 at that. Possibly 7-9, but should have finished no better than 8-8 and out of the playoffs. Super Bowl or bust sounds like a ridiculous mantra for that team.

I totally agree that the "super bowl or bust" mantra is outrageous. Just making it to the conference championship again will be a successful year.Sometimes I think teams get too caught up in the "have to win a super bowl" mentality. I mean, yes, ultimately everyone wants a ring...But let's face it, there are a number of teams that just have no chance to win the super bowl. Right now, in this day and age, if you don't have a great QB, you aren't winning the super bowl unless you have an unbelievable defense...and I mean UNBELIEVABLE.

Well put.

 

[shader]

I like Harry Douglas and he is a player but he has to show that his small frame can withstand the punishment of a full NFL season.I appreciate your insight but I don't understand # 10..are the Colts going to crash and burn or are they going to cruise to a 12-4 record? I think Peyton can keep the Colts at the top for 2-3 more years before we see an undeniable decline. 12-4 isn't crashing and burning or even starting a downward spiral in my book playa.I do feel as though we've seen the best of the Patriots with Tom Brady at the helm. Towards the end of last year and especially in the playoffs they looked old and slow on offense. I understand Welker went down in the 1st half but to my eye they look boring, predictable and still in need of a solid running game.

I may have written that one in a way that causes confusion. My point is that there seems to be a sentiment that the Texans are on the rise, and that the Super Bowl loss might be the start of a slow decline for the Colts. I've read that alot this off-season, and I know Titan and Texan fans all think this. I don't necessarily mind that argument, and I HOPE it's true (as I detest the Colts).But at this point, you have to continue to pencil them in for 12-14 wins as long as Peyton and that passing game are in Indy, so I'll continue to pick the Colts until they prove me wrong.

 

[JAA]

The Redskins will win their division this year. For the last 7 years, a team has gone from last to first in a division. Despite all of their problems, Washington takes advantage of a Kevin Kolb lead Eagles team and an overrated Dallas team and wins the division with the Giants coming in 2nd.

... I believe that team will be Buffalo

 

[GloryDaze]

10. We all kick ourselves for dumping on Kolb during the preseason. We should know a talented QB spending a few years holding a clipboard behind a great vet, with an above average receiving crew, and suspect OL can vastly outperform expectations when his time comes.

 

[Kitrick Taylor]

The Green Bay Packers are the most overrated team in the NFL.They have a terrible pass defense, and in the National Quarterback league, if you cannot somewhat defend the pass, you got no shot.

And they have a lackluster offensive line.Green Bay is going to have to play shootout football to win games this year against almost everyone.

very long season coming for the Packers

Really? I see the Packers as close to unstoppable on offense. I do agree that their season will be long, though..as in possibly 19 games long.

Don't underestimate the blind hatred Viking fans have for all things Packers. The Packers have Charles Woodson (MVP), Nick Collins (Pro Bowler) in their secondary. Tramon Williams has proven himself a capable CB, and new starting safety Morgan Burnett looks pretty darn good already. They are weak at nickel back and dime back, but in reality, how many teams are really good there?

 

[Insein]

Tampa Bay Bucs finish the season 9-7 and make it in as the Wild Card. No analysis. Call it gut instinct.

 

[David Yudkin]

Solid analysis over all. But these rubbed me the wrong way.

3) Tom Brady had his second best statistical season last year. And how'd that turn out? The Pats are always in the mix, almost always make the playoffs, but IMO elite team discussions start at the 12 win mark. I don't see them at that point. They should have another high scoring season but their flaws will be exploited in the playoffs just like last year.

5) The stats will back up the fact that Kurt Warner made Fitzgerald FAR more productive than with any other QB. Like 20-25% more productive. Take a quarter of his production away and he falls from Top 3 to Top 10 in terms of fantsy production.

6) I don't see any way Douglas can be an impact player when 1) Turner if healthy is a 1500 yards a year guy, 2) White is a 1200 yard receiver, and most importantly 3) Tony Gonzalex is a 900-1000 yard TE. I don't see how a guy that is the 4th option on a team with someone else roaming the underneath, middle of the field will get to Wes Welker levels.

Using the Pats as an example, Moss and Welker are 1a and 1b in terms of the offense. But at worst Welker is the #2 cog in the offense. Douglas would be the 4th option. The numbers don't add up for Douglas and the other guys to all be mega-productive. And the Falcons are a heavy running team on top of it.

 

[shortbow]

Solid analysis over all. But these rubbed me the wrong way.

3) Tom Brady had his second best statistical season last year. And how'd that turn out? The Pats are always in the mix, almost always make the playoffs, but IMO elite team discussions start at the 12 win mark. I don't see them at that point. They should have another high scoring season but their flaws will be exploited in the playoffs just like last year.

Not having Wes Welker?

 

[David Yudkin]

Solid analysis over all. But these rubbed me the wrong way.

3) Tom Brady had his second best statistical season last year. And how'd that turn out? The Pats are always in the mix, almost always make the playoffs, but IMO elite team discussions start at the 12 win mark. I don't see them at that point. They should have another high scoring season but their flaws will be exploited in the playoffs just like last year.

Not having Wes Welker?

They could have had a $60 million robotic Wes Welker against the Ravens and it would have made no difference.But since you brought up the passing game. I saw an interesting stat the other day involving Tom Brady. I forget the exact situational parameters, but I believe it had to do with close games (within 7 points) and the 4th quarter. Brady had a shockingly low 4.7 YPA in that situation, the WORST in the league out of 32 starting QBs. The Pats will be doomed to fail if that happens again.

 

[jwinston2]

Turner leads all RBs in TDs, D-Will second, AP third

I hope you are right about this, considering I was able to get Turner and D-Will for my FFPC team this year.

 

[gsmayes]

The Lions will win 5, maybe 6 games this season.

And the defense IS horrible. Probably the second and third best players on defense, Delmas and Levy, are gimpy coming into the season and questionable for this week. The linebacking corps has little to no depth, even if Levy was healthy. The secondary is the worst in the league. This defense will give up 500 points this year, bank it.

Yes, the offense should be very good and the Lions will actually be fun to watch for a change. But this isn't a team that's going to win a lot of games.

 

[SYMPHONY X]

The Redskins will win their division this year. For the last 7 years, a team has gone from last to first in a division. Despite all of their problems, Washington takes advantage of a Kevin Kolb lead Eagles team and an overrated Dallas team and wins the division with the Giants coming in 2nd.

I just looked at the Skins schedule..I counted a minimum of 8 losses. Does 8-8 win the division? Perhaps. But with the NFC East playing against the NFC North and AFC South this year, their ain't a whole lot of cupcakes on the schedule for any of the NFC East teams, so 9-7 could win the division, 10-6 probably for sure. Gonna be a brutal blood-bath, as usual, in the NFC East..gotta love that division! I disagree with the demise of the Cowboys, assuming that Romo doesn't completely melt down under pressure. The 2 linemen they are missing are not out for the year, and may be back by week 2 or 3 from what I have read. Yes, they may be a little over-rated, but they are also LOADED.Also disagree about the Patriots..too many injuries already, still no Logan Mankins, and still no consistent ground game. They will be fun to watch, but will, as one other poster stated, be exposed in the playoffs.

 

[Sam Quentin]

Bengals are underrated. They swept the Ravens last year and have reloaded.

 

[Sam Quentin]

The additions of Peppers and Suh to the division add extra risk to Rodgers

 

[jurb26]

3. Super Bowl team that no one is discussing: The New England Patriots. I like their young defense. Yeah, they are young. Yes, this is a concern. But guess what: They have room to make mistakes, because the offense will be elite. Brady has a ton of weapons, and might just have the 2nd best statistical season of his life this year. But if that defense can stay healthy from here on out: Watch out. 5. Larry Fitzgerald will end the year as the number 1 WR. All the worry, all the concern for Fitz will melt away after this season. Kurt Warner was a great QB, and deserves the HOF. But his arm was shot last season, and he was forced to keep things short all year. (amazing he still did what he did). Fitzgerald will get to catch the ball downfield for the first time in a long time. Anderson is terrible, don't get me wrong, but he knows how to hurl it, and he also knows how to lock onto a receiver (as Braylon Edwards 1300 yd, 16TD season proved).

I find these 2 points to be a bit of a contradiction. If Brady has the 2nd best statistical season of his life then Moss will be a near lock for WR1 and probably even a top 5 player overall.

 

[TC]

#10 from Cannonville.. RB Turner ATL will be a MVP canidate, as he has a wonderful Sept/Oct and the Falcons become an 'exciting' NFL power - at least for a single season.

 

[shader]

Solid analysis over all. But these rubbed me the wrong way.3) Tom Brady had his second best statistical season last year. And how'd that turn out? The Pats are always in the mix, almost always make the playoffs, but IMO elite team discussions start at the 12 win mark. I don't see them at that point. They should have another high scoring season but their flaws will be exploited in the playoffs just like last year.5) The stats will back up the fact that Kurt Warner made Fitzgerald FAR more productive than with any other QB. Like 20-25% more productive. Take a quarter of his production away and he falls from Top 3 to Top 10 in terms of fantsy production.6) I don't see any way Douglas can be an impact player when 1) Turner if healthy is a 1500 yards a year guy, 2) White is a 1200 yard receiver, and most importantly 3) Tony Gonzalex is a 900-1000 yard TE. I don't see how a guy that is the 4th option on a team with someone else roaming the underneath, middle of the field will get to Wes Welker levels.Using the Pats as an example, Moss and Welker are 1a and 1b in terms of the offense. But at worst Welker is the #2 cog in the offense. Douglas would be the 4th option. The numbers don't add up for Douglas and the other guys to all be mega-productive. And the Falcons are a heavy running team on top of it.

A couple counter-points:1. When I say his 2nd best year, I mean an offense resembling the 07 juggernaut. Maybe not QUITE as explosive, but pretty close. I've learned to respect your opinion on the Pats, though. So I do appreciate the thoughts. I just feel that the Pats are in for a big year, as Brady will have a ton of weapons to throw to OUTSIDE of Moss and Welker.2. I don't think Douglas will get to Wes Welker levels by any stretch of the imagination. I'm not expecting those types of numbers at all. What I said though, is that the added dimension of Douglas will take MATT RYAN'S game to another level. I do think Douglas is still going at a lower ADP than he should, but I don't think he's a superstar in 2010. I think the real superstar in 2010 is Matt Ryan, but we'll see.3. We'll have to agree to disagree on Fitz.

 

[iMobile]

Solid analysis over all. But these rubbed me the wrong way.

3) Tom Brady had his second best statistical season last year. And how'd that turn out? The Pats are always in the mix, almost always make the playoffs, but IMO elite team discussions start at the 12 win mark. I don't see them at that point. They should have another high scoring season but their flaws will be exploited in the playoffs just like last year.

Not having Wes Welker?

They could have had a $60 million robotic Wes Welker against the Ravens and it would have made no difference.But since you brought up the passing game. I saw an interesting stat the other day involving Tom Brady. I forget the exact situational parameters, but I believe it had to do with close games (within 7 points) and the 4th quarter. Brady had a shockingly low 4.7 YPA in that situation, the WORST in the league out of 32 starting QBs. The Pats will be doomed to fail if that happens again.

This does not surprise me. W/out a viable running game they resort to dink and dunk to faulk, welker, et al to move down the field.I'm sorry, while Brady and Co will be forced to put up serious points to stay in games, that defense is freakin horrible! They threw out the vets to start over and it is NOT working as of now, and it won't work this year either. I'm putting 10 wins max on this 2010 Pats team, and a 1st game loss in the playoffs.

Oh and...

1. No he won't. LT will steal way too much for Green to finish better than 10-ish, I actually expect more like 15-ish.

2. Boys are SO overrated, can't wait for them to implode! But yes, I am very biased, so take it for what you feel that's worth.

3. see above

4. Improved yes, 8-8 I don't think so. 5-6 wins would be a very successful season.

5. No, not happenin. Fitz is great enough to get top10 still, but he cannot overcome the epic fail that is derek anderson. Max Hall will not save him.

6. I like HD, I do, but that is not what's gonna take Ryan to the next level. He'll have to do that with White/Gonzo with a very improved running game. I agree HD will be a nice sleeper to play in a pinch.

7. VY will never be great, he just won't. But he could lead this particular team deep into playoffs, and it doesnt' have to be RIGHT NOW. CJ is young too, and Britt will not be developed yet (if ever). Way too many young QBs just need several years to fully mature.

8. agree completely

9. No, Indy breaks the Super Bowl loser jinx this year. The OLine is a concern, but Peyton has dealt w/ that before, and has more weapons than ever. The D is not nearly as bad as you say, and they just seem to rise to the occasion. This is a team that knows how to win.

10. Somebody beat me to it, Pittsburgh will implode this year.

 

[shader]

3. Super Bowl team that no one is discussing: The New England Patriots. I like their young defense. Yeah, they are young. Yes, this is a concern. But guess what: They have room to make mistakes, because the offense will be elite. Brady has a ton of weapons, and might just have the 2nd best statistical season of his life this year. But if that defense can stay healthy from here on out: Watch out. 5. Larry Fitzgerald will end the year as the number 1 WR. All the worry, all the concern for Fitz will melt away after this season. Kurt Warner was a great QB, and deserves the HOF. But his arm was shot last season, and he was forced to keep things short all year. (amazing he still did what he did). Fitzgerald will get to catch the ball downfield for the first time in a long time. Anderson is terrible, don't get me wrong, but he knows how to hurl it, and he also knows how to lock onto a receiver (as Braylon Edwards 1300 yd, 16TD season proved).

I find these 2 points to be a bit of a contradiction. If Brady has the 2nd best statistical season of his life then Moss will be a near lock for WR1 and probably even a top 5 player overall.

Hernandez, Gronkowski, Tate, Edelman....I see alot more guys for Brady to throw the ball to this year. We'll see Sunday against the Bengals whether these guys will get meaninful production in the regular season, or if we go back to the "dink and dunk to Wes and throw it deep to Randy" show.

 

[Stinkin Ref]

Final thoughts by position from a fantasy perspective:

QB: I think Romo owners that passed on Rivers will regret it......and I think Kolb out produces him as well.....by week 3 I think Cutler starts putting up crazy numbers and not as many picks as people think........Orton top 10 easily.....Vince Young makes us remember why he almost quit football..

RB: Best will be a top 4 pick next year.....Carolina running game disappoints big time......Bradshaw and Jacobs both produce, cause I think Jacobs wants to send a message when he does get the ball, I would hate to try and tackle him right now......Rashad Jennings may end up being a fantasy difference maker this year.....

WR: Fitz and Austin disappoint.....and there ends up being less difference between WR 1 and WR 20 than ever before....make it WR 25 for that matter.....guys like Gaffney and Floyd become must starts

TE: Daniels does not get back anywhere close to what we saw pre injury as far as stats go.......the rook TE's in NE put up crazy combined numbers and cause defenses a lot of trouble......Finley, aww, nevermind