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The article you must READ this preseason (1 Viewer)

no comments?

at least tell me you liked Sigmund and Matt's parts. I have wanted to do this article for awhile now. I let Matt and Sigmund choose their guys first. Most were on my list too. I then filled in the gaps with guys I have been targeting late as well.

My new Perfect Draft in two easy steps:

1. Take quality players in rounds 1-9 in known situations on great offenses or average offenses with easy schedules. Get fair or better value based on expectation vs average draft position.

2. Round out your weak positions by swing for the fences from round 10 on.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
sjdogs said:
approx when will from the gut articles be postethanks
Click to expand...
QB Gut is 80% done. It should be done within an hour I think. The RB article is very raw. It probably won't get released until Monday because I want to finish two more perfect draft articles first.Today and tomorrow I am writing for the majority of the day. I am looking to knock a bunch of these out.
 
:thumbdown: This is exactly the kind of material I subscribe for. Great to see more of this stuff being released this year - breakout articles, player roundtables, deep sleepers, etc. These things are so much more valuable than rankings & lists, and it's not going unnoticed. Keep up the good work. Another thing I love is the fact that you guys are innovative and have always been a step ahead of everyone else. Funny to see ESPN talking about VBD and Yahoo! coming out with a QBBC article this year.
 
Just glanced over it, haven't read it in depth yet, but definite :lmao: Glad to see I wasn't crazy targeting some of these guys late. Definitely love seeing these more in depth and possible sleeper articles.

 
DD,

Great stuff. Agree on all the QBs and RBs, especially Ringer who if Johnson ends up taking a week or two off steps into top20 territory almost instyantly, maybe higher. Much better to have him than something like Buckhalter wasting space on your roster. Bernard Scott was another. At WR I would add Bernard Berrian and would love to hear your thoughts on him.

Thanks,

MOP

 
I think I speak for all subscribers when I say thank you, DD, for setting aside the day-trading to crank this stuff out during the preseason. :lmao:

 
I think you should re-consider Rodgers and Brees and their value. RB is much deeper this year after the first 6-7 players. I have no problem getting Rodgers or Brees if I'm picking late 1st/early 2nd. Those guys are consistent, valuable studs and Rodgers looks like he could Nintendo on the league.

 
David (and staff),

Stuff like this is why I subscribe and keep coming back. Tons of sites do rankings and projections, but I can always count on quality discussions from Footballguys.

 
This is to a certain extent what I was asking for here

There is a lot of good dynasty info and rankings here (obviously). What I see a dearth of, and that a lot of people play in by the discussions on teh forums, is content/rankings etc related to keeper leagues. By this i mean not the deepest roster guys, but how players ranking in production this year and next year largely. How should you choose who to keep. for e.g I myself am debating keeping MSW at 10 vs C benson at 6 vs J stewart at 7 vs deangelo williams at 2 vs j charles at 12 vs jermichael at 16. There are arguments the can be made for all of them (though i really can keep only 3). Having some of the infamous DD/FBG algorithms on historical data (ie rbs vs wrs vs tes etc) would be sweet. So would a list of "rb/wrs that u can grab in the 16-22 round, who could be good next year (or maybe the following ). Possible strategy articles would be to maybe draft Def?K/TE early (in the mid rounds) so that you leave all of your late picks for a slew of potential studs.

TIA
Click to expand...
 
I loved the article, guys.

Hopefully great minds think alike because I had my draft yesterday before the article came out, and, trying not to give away any subscriber content, as you can see from the team in my signature, I drafted 6 of the players listed in the article.

 
Great stuff as usual DD. I've got a number of those guys on my list so let's hope they work out. The only one that I didn't see on the list that I would add on the WR front is Gaffney. Someone's gotta catch all those balls there and Orton isn't horrible.

 
Loved this one. I read it last night and there were a few guys I already had on my end-game list so it helped validate my thoughts. Thanks, fellas.

 
David Dodds said:
no comments?

at least tell me you liked Sigmund and Matt's parts. I have wanted to do this article for awhile now. I let Matt and Sigmund choose their guys first. Most were on my list too. I then filled in the gaps with guys I have been targeting late as well.

My new Perfect Draft in two easy steps:

1. Take quality players in rounds 1-9 in known situations on great offenses or average offenses with easy schedules. Get fair or better value based on expectation vs average draft position.

2. Round out your weak positions by swing for the fences from round 10 on.
Click to expand...
This is kind of what I've always done for the most part besides picking up your defenses and kickers which are obviously in rounds 10 and on too.Let me ask you this because I didn't see it mentioned in this particular article. With the swinging for the fences idea, where do handcuffs fit in. I absolutely love B. Scott as a sleeper of mine so if you take Benson, the B. Scott handcuff fits both here and I guess the same with Chris Johnson but what about other situations. Would you recommend not taking a handcuff in those other situations and swinging for the fences with these guys instead?

Solid work, I believe in the idea 100 percent. It almost fits in with the other article that S. Bloom wrote about drafting some guys and if they don't work out, you can cut them without hurting your roster due to where you drafted them (sorry, can't remember the fancy title but that's the concept) and it's the same here. Even if these guys don't work out, you can waive them later in the season and it shouldn't kill your season because by round 10 you would have hoped to have built the core of your team, you're trying now to put the icing on the cake, a little seperation so to speak.

 
mjm3773 said:
I loved the article, guys. Hopefully great minds think alike because I had my draft yesterday before the article came out, and, trying not to give away any subscriber content, as you can see from the team in my signature, I drafted 6 of the players listed in the article.
Click to expand...
Not a subscriber this year, but I would guess Ringer, Stafford, Jones, M Thomas, D Bryant, Hernandez....not that hard to figure out.These are just pure freaks of nature that stand above the rest and are in good positions to excel if the chips fall right.
 
David,

I hope you guys will consider handling this kind of information in Draft Dominator in the future.

Draft Dominator is great for dealing with starters and primary backups, whose value is tied to the "most likely" projected fantasy points.

But it's very lacking when it comes to the latter part of a draft when we're drafting less on "most likely points" and more on "what would this player score if he takes over the starting job due to starter injury/being benched?" When I get to that part of the draft I have to completely ignore the rankings order in Draft Dominator, and manually scan the list and try to rerank everything in my head. At that point it's usefulness as a tool is simply giving me an unsorted list of players with ADP and bye week.

I think there's a lot of improvement that can be made in customizing the handling of deeper backups in Draft Dominator. For draft-based leagues, being able to have FBG and user-defined cutoffs of where in the player list you stop drafting by projection and where you draft on potential, and being able to rank those players appropriately, would be very helpful. If I can have a sorted list of backups I can more easily make decisions about which position is likely to be depleted of players I'm interested in, etc.

It may not be easy to combine these potential-based players into the Overall tab... to do so we'd probably need a projection of their upside and something on how likely they really are to get the opportunity. But even if you just punted and didn't try to provide that value comparison to other positions for deeper backups, I still think just being able to have an accurately sorted list within a position would give us more than we have right now. Even just removing those backups from the Overall tab who really shouldn't be drafted based on those numbers would probably help some people who use the tool too literally.

 
Deuce said:
mjm3773 said:
I loved the article, guys. Hopefully great minds think alike because I had my draft yesterday before the article came out, and, trying not to give away any subscriber content, as you can see from the team in my signature, I drafted 6 of the players listed in the article.
Click to expand...
Not a subscriber this year, but I would guess Ringer, Stafford, Jones, M Thomas, D Bryant, Hernandez....not that hard to figure out.These are just pure freaks of nature that stand above the rest and are in good positions to excel if the chips fall right.
Click to expand...
5 out of 6 ain't bad
 
GregR said:
David,I hope you guys will consider handling this kind of information in Draft Dominator in the future.Draft Dominator is great for dealing with starters and primary backups, whose value is tied to the "most likely" projected fantasy points. But it's very lacking when it comes to the latter part of a draft when we're drafting less on "most likely points" and more on "what would this player score if he takes over the starting job due to starter injury/being benched?" When I get to that part of the draft I have to completely ignore the rankings order in Draft Dominator, and manually scan the list and try to rerank everything in my head. At that point it's usefulness as a tool is simply giving me an unsorted list of players with ADP and bye week.I think there's a lot of improvement that can be made in customizing the handling of deeper backups in Draft Dominator. For draft-based leagues, being able to have FBG and user-defined cutoffs of where in the player list you stop drafting by projection and where you draft on potential, and being able to rank those players appropriately, would be very helpful. If I can have a sorted list of backups I can more easily make decisions about which position is likely to be depleted of players I'm interested in, etc.It may not be easy to combine these potential-based players into the Overall tab... to do so we'd probably need a projection of their upside and something on how likely they really are to get the opportunity. But even if you just punted and didn't try to provide that value comparison to other positions for deeper backups, I still think just being able to have an accurately sorted list within a position would give us more than we have right now. Even just removing those backups from the Overall tab who really shouldn't be drafted based on those numbers would probably help some people who use the tool too literally.
Click to expand...
:thumbup: :goodposting: :goodposting: :goodposting: :goodposting: :goodposting: :goodposting:
 
NE TE Hernandez also caught my eye last Thursday night against Atlanta. Kind of the way rookie Gates did for me a handful of seasons ago....

 
David Dodds said:
at least tell me you liked Sigmund and Matt's parts.
Click to expand...
I do.You guys made a very smart decision by increasing the amount of quality content... makes it unnecessary to go anywhere else. I barely can keep up with the FBG stuff that I don't subscribe anywhere else, so smart move to lock in subscribers by giving so much good stuff. In fact, places like 87.7fm should thank you guys cuz if it wasn't for The Audible, I'd never know there was a new radio station in my own home town.Also, this is my first year, so the Draft Dominator is new to me... what a great resource that is.Keep flooding guys like me with good content and I'll never even know if any of your competition is doing stuff too.
 
On most websites, they have a little printer icon so you can open a printer ready format of the article.

I looked at my print preview from Firefox right now, and it has the FBG in the upper right corner of page 1, part of the article on page 2, and page 3 is completely blank.

Would make bathroom reading so much easier if I didn't have to copy and paste it into notepad to print off...

 
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