The Next POTUS - Here are the odds, who is the best bet? (1 Viewer)

[cstu]

The closest most Republicans get to nuance is when a couple of uncles get married.

 

[rockaction]

The closest most Republicans get to nuance is when a couple of uncles get married.

That's ####in' righteous linguistic #### right there. Larf.

 

[Arsenal of Doom]

Understand the Biden comments, but his own party can't stand him. That isn't good for voter turnout.

Fair enough, but Eephus has a good point. What happens if Hillary has a heart attack, falls and can't get up, or gets splashed with holy water a couple of months from now? Biden is the person best positioned (IMO) to pick up the mantle, and he'd have at least a reasonable shot at winning a general election.

 

[Todd Andrews]

Vote on Webb.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Interestingly, Rubio is the odds-on favorite to win the GOP nom. Which seems to be underpinned by the belief that Trump and Carson's massive numbers are going to eventually evaporate and coalesce around a more "establishment candidate" (not sure if I buy that, obviously, as a Trump bettor), and that even then, Jeb's still in trouble.

 

[Aaron Rudnicki]

$10 each on everyone +10000 or higher, $80 down

$50 each on Trump and Biden at +2500, now up to $180.

$100 each on Walker at +900 and Sanders at +1200, $380 spent.

Good chance at at least doubling with a Walker win, or winning even more if Sanders, Trump, Biden, or the longshots take it.

Biden out. There's $50 gone.

Walker out. There's $100 gone.

Still sitting on a Sanders ticket at good odds for $100 plus some huge longshots (and Trump).

Doesn't seem like this is going to work out that well

at 5d, here are current odds:

Democrats

Hillary: -900

Bernie: +600

Republicans:

Rubio: +200

Bush: +290

Trump: +325

Carson: +800

Cruz: +1200

Fiorina: +1300

Christie: +1500

Kasich: +1800

Huckabee: +2800

Romney: +8000

Paul: +10000

Also, Hillary is -145 to win the election.

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Still think Trump to win the GOP is the play. I don't think the GOP is no longer functioning as a machine that is going to coalesce around a "party candidate" the way it's done from Romney on back, and the way that the betting markets are expecting it to. The party just seems so fractured and a lot of Republican voters seem so disenchanted with the mainstream party candidates that this is going to be the year when the whole paradigm changes.