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A common thing to use in statistics is the 95% confidence interval...96 wins puts it in my 95% confidence intervalThe Yanks just finished a 10-2 12 game stretch against Seattle (2 games), KC, Toronto, Boston, and Baltimore (1 game)...Doesn't seem outrageous to think they could do the same against Baltimore, Toronto and Tampa...Is it likely?Probably not, but to dismiss it out of hand seems a bit rash...
I don't think theoretical means what you think it means...I was not referring to 'theoretical'...Neither team will go 10-1, or 9-2. Sox win both tie-breakers so both teams would need to pull ahead of themRed Sox are 90-61, with 11 games left...Cleveland and Anaheim are both 88-62, with 12 games left...To "wrap up" best record the Sox would have to go either 10-1 or 11-0 (depending on tiebreakers I don't feel like researching), since Anaheim and Cleveland can both obviously get to a maximum of 100 wins...
Your confidence interval? Whew. And, here I thought statistics was an objective discipline. Good to know I have a little wiggle room to make up my analyses as I go.A common thing to use in statistics is the 95% confidence interval...96 wins puts it in my 95% confidence intervalThe Yanks just finished a 10-2 12 game stretch against Seattle (2 games), KC, Toronto, Boston, and Baltimore (1 game)...Doesn't seem outrageous to think they could do the same against Baltimore, Toronto and Tampa...how about 'statistical'If the Sox finish with 96 wins, either Cle or LAA would need to go 9-3 to overtake the lead. I don't see that happening for either team. (The Yankees would need to go 10-2 on their end, which also isn't happening). So, for me, 6 / 11 is the golden number.I don't think theoretical means what you think it means...I was not referring to 'theoretical'...Neither team will go 10-1, or 9-2. Sox win both tie-breakers so both teams would need to pull ahead of themRed Sox are 90-61, with 11 games left...
Cleveland and Anaheim are both 88-62, with 12 games left...
To "wrap up" best record the Sox would have to go either 10-1 or 11-0 (depending on tiebreakers I don't feel like researching), since Anaheim and Cleveland can both obviously get to a maximum of 100 wins...
Is it likely?
Probably not, but to dismiss it out of hand seems a bit rash...
Well, it agrees with the BP playoff odds calculator, if that works better for youYour confidence interval? Whew. And, here I thought statistics was an objective discipline. Good to know I have a little wiggle room to make up my analyses as I go.A common thing to use in statistics is the 95% confidence interval...96 wins puts it in my 95% confidence intervalThe Yanks just finished a 10-2 12 game stretch against Seattle (2 games), KC, Toronto, Boston, and Baltimore (1 game)...Doesn't seem outrageous to think they could do the same against Baltimore, Toronto and Tampa...how about 'statistical'If the Sox finish with 96 wins, either Cle or LAA would need to go 9-3 to overtake the lead. I don't see that happening for either team. (The Yankees would need to go 10-2 on their end, which also isn't happening). So, for me, 6 / 11 is the golden number.I don't think theoretical means what you think it means...I was not referring to 'theoretical'...Neither team will go 10-1, or 9-2. Sox win both tie-breakers so both teams would need to pull ahead of them
Cleveland and Anaheim are both 88-62, with 12 games left...
To "wrap up" best record the Sox would have to go either 10-1 or 11-0 (depending on tiebreakers I don't feel like researching), since Anaheim and Cleveland can both obviously get to a maximum of 100 wins...
Is it likely?
Probably not, but to dismiss it out of hand seems a bit rash...
Yeah, I'd probably reference that, instead.Well, it agrees with the BP playoff odds calculator, if that works better for youYour confidence interval? Whew. And, here I thought statistics was an objective discipline. Good to know I have a little wiggle room to make up my analyses as I go.A common thing to use in statistics is the 95% confidence interval...96 wins puts it in my 95% confidence intervalThe Yanks just finished a 10-2 12 game stretch against Seattle (2 games), KC, Toronto, Boston, and Baltimore (1 game)...Doesn't seem outrageous to think they could do the same against Baltimore, Toronto and Tampa...how about 'statistical'If the Sox finish with 96 wins, either Cle or LAA would need to go 9-3 to overtake the lead. I don't see that happening for either team. (The Yankees would need to go 10-2 on their end, which also isn't happening). So, for me, 6 / 11 is the golden number.I don't think theoretical means what you think it means...I was not referring to 'theoretical'...Neither team will go 10-1, or 9-2. Sox win both tie-breakers so both teams would need to pull ahead of them
Cleveland and Anaheim are both 88-62, with 12 games left...
To "wrap up" best record the Sox would have to go either 10-1 or 11-0 (depending on tiebreakers I don't feel like researching), since Anaheim and Cleveland can both obviously get to a maximum of 100 wins...
Is it likely?
Probably not, but to dismiss it out of hand seems a bit rash...
!!!! 
has to be the team MVP.
I hope you're not complaining under your breath here. We could probably find a post or two--or a hundred--from Sox fans infiltrating the Yanks thread to pile on over there.
not complaining...fully expectedBelieve me, I am gonna pile on right with you....haven't been this pissed in a while
We're always here.....you have to show your support for the team.
Where's that Yanks countup to 100 losses thread?
I'm glad Tito & crew are throwing games to get the more favorable matchup
LA Angels Home 52-25 Road 38-37 good thing you can fall back on the WC if you gag the division.
What happened to your "running" thread?Finless said:The Red Sox collapsing, Manny on the pine nursing some mysterious injury, unable to put up runs and the Yankees cruising.Typical Septemeber
How many pages did it get to?And I don't take the ALCS for granted, I HOPE the Yanks see you there! Two tough hills to climb, and I've seen this team hit postseason hot before and get rolled.Finless said:It got pinched. I may be in the lead for thread's pinched without a TO.Sox looking solid again tonight. I feel like I did when they limped into to the playoffs only to get swept by the White Sox. I felt like they didn't belong. If you can't go into the post season strong, you don't belong :ibtcards: Anyhow, that's how I feel. If the Yanks come back and take the division, good for them, at least they're playing with heart. Sox are ####### embarrassing right now. Before I hear the bandwagon #### this is the deal. You have 3 teams on your heels and a 4.5 game lead on your division rival and you drop 4 straight, 3 to the BJ's, scoring a total of 8 runs? The Sox are in my blood and it kills me to see them collapse. It's like having a son come home and disappoint you time and time again. Eventually it's like "I love the kid but he disgusts me". Same deal when Manning came back on the Pats in the AFC Championship game. I said "Good for him, ####in guy earned it". I hate the guy but I appreciate any one who comes out and plays with heart. I suspect Gagne has his own security team following him around.See you in the ALCS...What happened to your "running" thread?Finless said:The Red Sox collapsing, Manny on the pine nursing some mysterious injury, unable to put up runs and the Yankees cruising.Typical Septemeber
Finless said:See you in the ALCS...What happened to your "running" thread?Finless said:The Red Sox collapsing, Manny on the pine nursing some mysterious injury, unable to put up runs and the Yankees cruising.
Typical Septemeber
Fixed12 games left
The former is MUCH more likely
yea cause Rice-K has had a total of ZERO, 11K games all season and has averaged exactly half of that over his last 10 starts.
not yet, think the magic number is 4
He has hit 10 a number of times...I can see him taking it to the next level for the playoffs...But I agree with shady, most likely I will be goin to the the first game of the series
he hit 10k 3 times this season. Twice in the first 2 weeks of the season and then only once since then....not sure how he is going to step it up a notch.
It's in his 95% confidence interval, don't question it...
Absolutely.im 99% confident that he has been a huge dissapointment since the all star break. Look that up in your funking prospectus
wow, take it easy dude...it's just a baseball game...
BOS @ LAA anyone?
