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The Psychology Behind Trading (1 Viewer)

I also hate the owner that doesn't know what he has and when you inquire about that guy he immediately wants multiple 1st rounders mainly because I am showing interest in the guy. He probably cuts the guy next week but now that I want him he is an all pro.
I also hate when an owner replies with “ counter?” after their trade was rejected. Just because I didn’t like an offer doesn’t mean it automatically requires me to go look at your roster and come up with a counter. I may be inclined to if I feel like it, but I never frown on it if my offer is rejected without a counter. Nor should it require one.
 
They are in a constant state of rebuilding and don't seem to care about winning. Now that is a problem !!
I call this "always playing for next year". Problem is when you do that every year you are never playing for this year and it makes it really impossible to ever win. I think there is always at least one guy in every dynasty league that does this.
 
Or worse than constant roster churning, at least for commissioners, are those that join dynasty leagues and play with a redraft mentality. They join and trade all their picks for aging players, then bail on the league when they’ve bled it for all it will produce. Then I have to find another owner, sometimes giving a discount or additional picks. Now those are the worst dynasty players.
I'm not a dynasty guy. For those with the redraft mentality, it seems like one of the easy fixes for a commish would be to demand full payment up front for any season in which you are offering future picks. An owner should never be allowed to give up something that wasn't theirs. And it's not theirs if they bail.
We do this. You have to pay for one full year in advance and always have that on account. We have actually used that when an owner unexpectantly left last minute with a bad roster. Someone got that year for free because we didn't give back his reserve.
 
Or worse than constant roster churning, at least for commissioners, are those that join dynasty leagues and play with a redraft mentality. They join and trade all their picks for aging players, then bail on the league when they’ve bled it for all it will produce. Then I have to find another owner, sometimes giving a discount or additional picks. Now those are the worst dynasty players.
I'm not a dynasty guy. For those with the redraft mentality, it seems like one of the easy fixes for a commish would be to demand full payment up front for any season in which you are offering future picks. An owner should never be allowed to give up something that wasn't theirs. And it's not theirs if they bail.
We do this. You have to pay for one full year in advance and always have that on account. We have actually used that when an owner unexpectantly left last minute with a bad roster. Someone got that year for free because we didn't give back his reserve.
But what if someone trades away picks 2 years into the future? Do they have to pay 2 years ahead? I think this should be a must.
 
Or worse than constant roster churning, at least for commissioners, are those that join dynasty leagues and play with a redraft mentality. They join and trade all their picks for aging players, then bail on the league when they’ve bled it for all it will produce. Then I have to find another owner, sometimes giving a discount or additional picks. Now those are the worst dynasty players.
I'm not a dynasty guy. For those with the redraft mentality, it seems like one of the easy fixes for a commish would be to demand full payment up front for any season in which you are offering future picks. An owner should never be allowed to give up something that wasn't theirs. And it's not theirs if they bail.
We do this. You have to pay for one full year in advance and always have that on account. We have actually used that when an owner unexpectantly left last minute with a bad roster. Someone got that year for free because we didn't give back his reserve.
But what if someone trades away picks 2 years into the future? Do they have to pay 2 years ahead? I think this should be a must.
Yes. Our reserve is two years of franchise fees.
 
I also hate the owner that doesn't know what he has and when you inquire about that guy he immediately wants multiple 1st rounders mainly because I am showing interest in the guy. He probably cuts the guy next week but now that I want him he is an all pro.
I also hate when an owner replies with “ counter?” after their trade was rejected. Just because I didn’t like an offer doesn’t mean it automatically requires me to go look at your roster and come up with a counter. I may be inclined to if I feel like it, but I never frown on it if my offer is rejected without a counter. Nor should it require one.
The more I think about what I posted, regarding those requesting a counter, are usually those that never intended on making a serious offer, but instead made the offer for the sole purpose of you making the first serious offer. This goes back to what I talked about in the OP and other posts. Some people are incapable of making a great offer out of the gate and would much rather you did. Not all have this intention, but some do. You can usually tell.
 
I will give an owner 1 or 2 chances when they send ridiculously rip off bad offers, after that i will make comments and almost never trade with them
I have never understood this mentality. I have seen many comments like this where a bad offer and people cross off that owners as a trade offer forever. Why limit your options like that?
Almost never is what I said

But i get sick of offers from owners who consistently propose rip offs/ greatly lopsided. 98% of the time i just delete, 1% reject with a brutal offer back with comments and the other 1% maybe make a serious counter.
I have told owners in my leagues dont waste me time with haggling or brutal offers, just send me an offer , if it makes sense i will accept or make a counter to make the trade happen.
 
I also hate the owner that doesn't know what he has and when you inquire about that guy he immediately wants multiple 1st rounders mainly because I am showing interest in the guy. He probably cuts the guy next week but now that I want him he is an all pro.
I also hate when an owner replies with “ counter?” after their trade was rejected. Just because I didn’t like an offer doesn’t mean it automatically requires me to go look at your roster and come up with a counter. I may be inclined to if I feel like it, but I never frown on it if my offer is rejected without a counter. Nor should it require one.
The more I think about what I posted, regarding those requesting a counter, are usually those that never intended on making a serious offer, but instead made the offer for the sole purpose of you making the first serious offer. This goes back to what I talked about in the OP and other posts. Some people are incapable of making a great offer out of the gate and would much rather you did, even if they were tho one interested in trading. Not all have this intention, but some do. You can usually tell.
One thing I do is to make an offer listing players I have interest in. I don't include anything on my side but will put a note asking the other owner to give me an idea of players/picks off my roster that he has interest in or likes. I don't want them to make an offer. I just want them to narrow down my options so that when I do make an offer it has meaning and will include things the other guy wants. This helps a lot otherwise I am just guessing and that can be an issue in itself.

I know some on this forum have said this kind of thing is worthy of never trading with me. If that's the case so be it. I just want to cut to the chase and give you offers of things you might want. I not afraid to make the first offer. I just want it to be in the ballpark.
 
I will give an owner 1 or 2 chances when they send ridiculously rip off bad offers, after that i will make comments and almost never trade with them
I have never understood this mentality. I have seen many comments like this where a bad offer and people cross off that owners as a trade offer forever. Why limit your options like that?
Almost never is what I said

But i get sick of offers from owners who consistently propose rip offs/ greatly lopsided. 98% of the time i just delete, 1% reject with a brutal offer back with comments and the other 1% maybe make a serious counter.
I have told owners in my leagues dont waste me time with haggling or brutal offers, just send me an offer , if it makes sense i will accept or make a counter to make the trade happen.
This goes back to my last post before this one.
 
I think relying on trade calculators such as KTC and others to make your trade decisions is another way to NOT make trades. Or worse, try and use it as a bargaining tool when negotiating.
 
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Has trading while drinking ever brought you regret? Has anyone ever made a trade offer to you and you accept, then 15 minutes later they say it was a mistake? Has the same person ever done this more than once? Have you ever done it because of buyers remorse rather than it being a mistake, but said it was a mistake? I don’t expect anyone to answer that last one truthfully. We have a time limit for when someone can do this. Whenever it happens I just laugh and shake my head.
 
Are you one of these people who approach every trade as a must haggle mentality? Or do you ever make your first offer your best offer? I find myself doing the latter more and more, and believe it or not, make more trades by making a great first offer.

My first offer may not be my best offer, but it will be pretty close.

This is an interesting question, because I'm in a lot of FFPC leagues, and there clearly are some people who adopt the same philosophy as spammers or telemarketers, where you send out 100 crappy trade offers a week, and if one of them is accepted, you've profited. (There's that initial elation when you see the notification that you've gotten a trade offer, and then immediate dread when you see which team it's from.) There are a couple guys in FFPC leagues who will send the crappiest offer with a comment like, "Hey, I really hope you're doing well! Was taking a look at your roster and I really think this could help both of us. Have a great day!"

Then there are guys whose first offer is always, always horrible, but if you're patient, you can work out a deal that's actually acceptable to both sides. (And sometimes they'll accept a deal that's actually lopsided in my favor.)

Are you a low baller on purpose? If yes, why would you believe this is a good thing? I know we sometimes do this by accident if our views on player value differ greatly from others.

Almost all of offers I make relate to my view of the other team. There are some guys who know their stuff, and I know they'll accept a deal if it's fair and aligns perfectly with team needs. There are other guys who are constantly win-now or constantly rebuilding. I will make offers where I knowingly am overvaluing a vet or a draft pick simply because I know they might do the same. Then there are guys who are known for making bad trades. I will low-ball these guys because I don't care if they think worse of me.
 
Are you one of these people who approach every trade as a must haggle mentality? Or do you ever make your first offer your best offer? I find myself doing the latter more and more, and believe it or not, make more trades by making a great first offer.

My first offer may not be my best offer, but it will be pretty close.

This is an interesting question, because I'm in a lot of FFPC leagues, and there clearly are some people who adopt the same philosophy as spammers or telemarketers, where you send out 100 crappy trade offers a week, and if one of them is accepted, you've profited. (There's that initial elation when you see the notification that you've gotten a trade offer, and then immediate dread when you see which team it's from.) There are a couple guys in FFPC leagues who will send the crappiest offer with a comment like, "Hey, I really hope you're doing well! Was taking a look at your roster and I really think this could help both of us. Have a great day!"

Then there are guys whose first offer is always, always horrible, but if you're patient, you can work out a deal that's actually acceptable to both sides. (And sometimes they'll accept a deal that's actually lopsided in my favor.)

Are you a low baller on purpose? If yes, why would you believe this is a good thing? I know we sometimes do this by accident if our views on player value differ greatly from others.

Almost all of offers I make relate to my view of the other team. There are some guys who know their stuff, and I know they'll accept a deal if it's fair and aligns perfectly with team needs. There are other guys who are constantly win-now or constantly rebuilding. I will make offers where I knowingly am overvaluing a vet or a draft pick simply because I know they might do the same. Then there are guys who are known for making bad trades. I will low-ball these guys because I don't care if they think worse of me.
The last sentence is bad for dynasty leagues. Also, dynasty owners that never improve are bad for dynasty leagues. Everyone makes bad trades, but if you don’t improve, everyone suffers eventually. League competency is the cornerstone of any league.
 
I typically attempt to address needs, or upgrade starting roster positions if i have no glaring needs/holes in my lineup.

My process is pretty straightforward:
• post my assets on the block. Note— I have never received a good offer as a result of OTB. Generally I receive offers as though I hate that player and am desperate to jettison them from my team, which is annoying.

• either comb the rosters of teams I’ve traded with in the past, or comb the rankings of that position then check who has the ones I’m interested in. I then check to see if they’re in need at positions where I’m deep.

• from there I generally reach out to the owner on GroupMe DM, asking if they’re interested in moving the player I’m interested in, and go from there. If they are, I’ll float an intro offer. I try to be fair in my initial offer, while holding back a bit for a counter. I don’t lowball, but I don’t mind coming in ~15% below value. Sometimes if I really want to get something done I’ll even come in with an overpay.

• always thank prospective trade partner for their time, even if we don’t get something done. I want to leave the impression that I’m a quality trade partner, and someone they enjoy negotiating with. I win some deals and I lose some - I don’t want to alienate anyone, or worse, have them cringe when they see an offer from me pop up in their inbox. There are a couple dudes where I see the email & knee-jerk think, “of FFS, can’t wait to see this hot nonsense.”

I never want to be that guy.
 
Most people value their players higher than the actual value and your players less than market.
I think this is a built in aspect and human nature. I mean you have the players on your team because you liked them enough to draft or acquire them. The other guy has players on his team that he likes for the same reason.

Because of this I think it is logical that you overvalue your players and vice versa. It's not really that either of you are truly overvaluing the guys it's just you liked them more than others in the first place otherwise you probably wouldn't have them on your team. It's a large mental obstacle to overcome sometimes.
Agreed.

I know this forum generally frowns upon trade calcs and/or value charts, but this is one arena where they can be extremely useful.

If I hit a snag like the one described, I might suggest to the other owner, “looking at draft sharks value chart, (for example) — I have it as a fair deal, but I’m still interested in X player(s) if I need to sweeten the pot a little with a pick or something”.

It often results in that prospective partner checking & making a reasonable counter. Only occasionally does someone say “I don’t care what the value charts say”

It helps to find a neutral middle ground where it’s not about my opinion or their’s.

Where you can work that to an advantage is when you value the player you’re looking for more than consensus.

I‘ll also typically kick it back to them with a “please feel free to send a counter offer” - make them do a little legwork. Sometimes they’ll send you a better offer than what you’d originally asked for. Other times you’re just too far apart on value & that’s ok too. Thank them & move on.
 
Are you one of these people who approach every trade as a must haggle mentality? Or do you ever make your first offer your best offer? I find myself doing the latter more and more, and believe it or not, make more trades by making a great first offer.

My first offer may not be my best offer, but it will be pretty close.

This is an interesting question, because I'm in a lot of FFPC leagues, and there clearly are some people who adopt the same philosophy as spammers or telemarketers, where you send out 100 crappy trade offers a week, and if one of them is accepted, you've profited. (There's that initial elation when you see the notification that you've gotten a trade offer, and then immediate dread when you see which team it's from.) There are a couple guys in FFPC leagues who will send the crappiest offer with a comment like, "Hey, I really hope you're doing well! Was taking a look at your roster and I really think this could help both of us. Have a great day!"

Then there are guys whose first offer is always, always horrible, but if you're patient, you can work out a deal that's actually acceptable to both sides. (And sometimes they'll accept a deal that's actually lopsided in my favor.)

Are you a low baller on purpose? If yes, why would you believe this is a good thing? I know we sometimes do this by accident if our views on player value differ greatly from others.

Almost all of offers I make relate to my view of the other team. There are some guys who know their stuff, and I know they'll accept a deal if it's fair and aligns perfectly with team needs. There are other guys who are constantly win-now or constantly rebuilding. I will make offers where I knowingly am overvaluing a vet or a draft pick simply because I know they might do the same. Then there are guys who are known for making bad trades. I will low-ball these guys because I don't care if they think worse of me.
The last sentence is bad for dynasty leagues. Also, dynasty owners that never improve are bad for dynasty leagues. Everyone makes bad trades, but if you don’t improve, everyone suffers eventually. League competency is the cornerstone of any league.

I should clarify that these are FFPC leagues, where most people are essentially anonymous. My default with anyone I don't know is to try to make as fair a trade as possible. But if you continually try to trade in bad faith, I'm not going to waste time coming up with something that's fair for both of us, when I don't receive the same courtesy. (In long-time local leagues where I know most of the other guys, I don't make low-ball offers, but, also, I don't make nearly as many trades in those leagues as I do in FFPC, mainly because the local leagues aren't that active year-round.)
 
I also hate the owner that doesn't know what he has and when you inquire about that guy he immediately wants multiple 1st rounders mainly because I am showing interest in the guy. He probably cuts the guy next week but now that I want him he is an all pro.
I also hate when an owner replies with “ counter?” after their trade was rejected. Just because I didn’t like an offer doesn’t mean it automatically requires me to go look at your roster and come up with a counter. I may be inclined to if I feel like it, but I never frown on it if my offer is rejected without a counter. Nor should it require one.
That's his way of telling you he knows he lowballed you and he wants you to do all the work so he can get what he wants. Instant delete for me.
 
But what if someone trades away picks 2 years into the future? Do they have to pay 2 years ahead? I think this should be a must.
Yes. Pay for any year you trade the picks. MFL, at least the way we have it set up only goes two years out in my main league (treasurer, able to help the commish when needed).
In my other league, SF, we can trade 3 years out. So I traded Sam Darnold for a 2027 1st a year ago. In that league, the team doesn’t have to pay in advance so there’s risk there.

I’ve both used the trade bait feature fairly often and make out of the blue offers. Sometimes I don’t want to haggle, so I send the best offer I’m willing to make. Most of the time that’s because I’m trying to fill a hole vs just getting better. For example, I really need a TE in one league and not many owners are active right now. One guy just made a waiver move so he was obviously paying attention, so I offered a 2nd + a startable IDP I didn’t really need for I likely in hopes of filling that need. He accepted that day, easy peasy. The funny thing is in that league I’ve been told I value my players “crazy high” but I’ve made more trades than almost anyone. :shrug:

Sometimes that works, sometimes they counter and we don’t trade. Other times I’ll make an offer which is ok but I expect to be countered. When I can remember, this tactic depends on the other owner. Some always want just a bit more and to feel like they negotiated a good deal. I’ve also been that person.

Ultimately, tactics vary with the mood and need.
 
Only play redraft, and I'm so used to unfair trade offers that trading seems like a waste of time. But when I do offer a trade, I only make great offers that I feel the other team will accept. Particularly, when my team isn't very good, I will trade safer, more established players for younger players with more upside.

For instance, two seasons ago, I got off to a 1 - 3 start, and my team didn't have much "punch". I identified Breece as the perfect buy low, high upside target. He looked explosive even though he averaged around 5 PPR points to start the season coming off an ACL injury. I was also very high on Aiyuk, so I traded Deebo and Rhamondre for Aiyuk and Breece. At the time of the trade, I was absolutely considered the loser. Judging by preseason ADP, Deebo/Rhamondre were more valuable than Aiyuk/Breece. But that trade saved my season.

Because it's seems so difficult to make a fair trade, that's realistically the only time I will look to trade - when my team sucks and I need to inject upside into my roster.
 
I think relying on trade calculators such as KTC and others to make your trade decisions is another the way to NOT make trades. Or worse, try and use it as a bargaining tool when negotiating.
after years of laughing at people that would not negotiate with me because the "trade calculator" said not to, I just started poking around with a couple recently since I joined my 1st dynasty league. I guess it is an OK place to try to get an idea, but so far can't say they've helped get anything done. I do like the lists of recent trades involving the players as that can get my creative juices flowing, but that too has yet to end with a successful trade.
 
Has trading while drinking ever brought you regret? Has anyone ever made a trade offer to you and you accept, then 15 minutes later they say it was a mistake? Has the same person ever done this more than once? Have you ever done it because of buyers remorse rather than it being a mistake, but said it was a mistake? I don’t expect anyone to answer that last one truthfully. We have a time limit for when someone can do this. Whenever it happens I just laugh and shake my head.
yes. the week after Shaun Alexander took over the starting RB job for the Seahawks I got black out drunk and traded him for Az Hakim (at best a top bench option for my team) and some RB from the Browns (no idea what I was thinking here as he was barely rosterable). I had no idea I had sent the offer until I saw the email for the completed trade and then a few minutes after that the commissioner called me to see what I was thinking.

but I learned my lesson and would only trade while drinking with the other person. I've either won all of those or at least broken even and it was a good trade for both sides.
 
From a dynasty perspective because I either don't play re-draft in a sport or I refuse to trade in re-draft in a given sport.

I'll occasionally make offers that I think are fair and work for both teams. In my experience across leagues and sports, that's kind of a waste of time. Those are getting rejected at an extremely high clip. Which kind of makes sense. By and large managers roster players because they like that player. Getting a counteroffer or message for negotiation is the real win there. I find that I'm rarely getting an auto accept.

But in dynasty people are playing across different time horizons or with different goals. For me the best sort of offer to make is one that if it's posted on social media or a trade thread like we have, everyone will say I lose. I don't care about that. I want you to think I'm losing.

Those threads and social media posts are not at all reality. I hesitate to call them worthless, but they are very close to that. I'm trying to help my team in the specific context in which it exists. It's more likely that I get an acceptance by throwing out an offer where I "lose." That's fine by me if it gets me where I want to go.

Is my calibration always right? Certainly not. I'm sure I've ended up in a "bad offers" post somewhere. But my plan going into a trade is to either send equal perceived value or to lose on perceived value. Because perceived value isn't all that meaningful.

Edit: as I'm reading through the thread. I've never had anyone send me an offer with any sort of explanation where the offer was anywhere close to something I would do. Trade offers are like jokes. You shouldn't have to explain it. Heavy agree with the players who are saying the don't do that.
 
Most people value their players higher than the actual value and your players less than market.
I think this is a built in aspect and human nature. I mean you have the players on your team because you liked them enough to draft or acquire them. The other guy has players on his team that he likes for the same reason.

Because of this I think it is logical that you overvalue your players and vice versa. It's not really that either of you are truly overvaluing the guys it's just you liked them more than others in the first place otherwise you probably wouldn't have them on your team. It's a large mental obstacle to overcome sometimes.

Sellers are always biased on the value of their assets, whether selling a house, a car or a business. It is absolutely human nature which we’ve all experienced. The added difficulty with player trades in fantasy football is twofold. First, there’s no accepted valuation resource like a blue book or an independent appraisal and even if there were, we know that fantasy assets can have dramatically different values to different buyers based on their roster needs. Secondly, this isn’t a sale for cash but a trade of one asset for another, so you have a value bias problem on both sides.
 
Going to echo many comments here.

Most of my trades are done with reasonable owners that have a plan for what they want to do and are willing to discuss things out. We don't always come to an agreement but those are owners I know I can go back to with additional ideas later.

Owners that send clear lowballs get ignored. I don't mean something that could be misinterpreted I am talking something just stupid where I know they want a counter that becomes the first real offer. No thanks. I've never had good experiences with these type of people. Some in this thread would say I am cutting off potential partners but that owner is cutting off a potential partner too. It goes both ways. Come in good faith.

My initial offer is close to my best offer. I will certainly negotiate some but if the other owner comes into it like he's buying a car and asks for something stupid in return, I usually just move on. Again, come in good faith.

If the trading partner wants to milk every last value out of something, I usually just move on. I'm talking the guy who is getting a fair deal for what he wants but then wants me to add a 3rd or 4th round pick. Get greedy and often lose out. Then when you come begging back to me, you've played your hand you really want my player and that's when I might ask for the extra pick. Come in good faith and you get a good deal. Act like a car salesman and you get what you get (no offense if any of you sell cars lol).

When I send an offer, I might peak at something like DLF to confirm I'm sending something in the ballpark. But I never look at that when evaluating offers I get. I am 100% willing to trade based on my evaluations and do not mind "losing" a trade if I am getting what I want.

I will use the Trade Bait at MFL but I hate it. It's usually an invitation for lowball offers because the other guys think I'm just trying to dump a player for anything. Most of the time, I put someone out there to see who is interested and if someone pings me will look at their roster and send an offer. A good example of this is I had a non-playoff team I am rebuilding and own Mixon. I put him out there last week because he will be retired before I'm a championship contender. No one was interested at all. Then I sent some offers to the playoff teams that I thought were clearly giving them a good deal and none of them even responded. Not sure if that says something about my offer, the other owners, or Mixon.

As others have said, as soon as you start selling me on a trade then I'm certain you're full of crap. I might engage those guys but do so with little confidence. If you send me an offer with Chris Godwin and tell me he was the #2 overall WR last year before his injury but he will be healthy this year so I should trade you 1.05, then I'm going to reject and say I wouldnt' want to cheat you out of a great WR.
 
I will give an owner 1 or 2 chances when they send ridiculously rip off bad offers, after that i will make comments and almost never trade with them
I have never understood this mentality. I have seen many comments like this where a bad offer and people cross off that owners as a trade offer forever. Why limit your options like that?
Same reason people turn down most offers less than $50 in the I offer, you accept or deny experiment.

I give you $100 and you can decide how much you get and how much the second person gets. The second person can they say "yes," or "no," to your offered split and if they say no neither of you gets anything.

The optimal choice is for the offeror to offer a $99/$1 split, and the recipient should accept anything above zero.

But people are weird animals. There's a large swath that would rather have nothing than let the other person have more, so anything less than 50/50 gets rejected surprisingly frequently.


Same concept here. People get all offended and then just hurt themselves forever. Optimal approach would be to ignore who is sending any given offer and evaluate it on its merits every time.
 
They are in a constant state of rebuilding and don't seem to care about winning. Now that is a problem !!
I call this "always playing for next year". Problem is when you do that every year you are never playing for this year and it makes it really impossible to ever win. I think there is always at least one guy in every dynasty league that does this.
I try to target that personality constantly.

It's a win win - they always enjoy having youth and potential, and I always enjoy getting what is functionally a guarantees great second rounder every year.
 
My question is: where's the line on this "selling a trade" where so many of the replies seem to take offense, vs "explaining what I did" so that maybe you do see a counter that could benefit us both?

For instance, I had sent an offer to someone for Davante Adams recently. His team is not competitive, but he has a good foundation (2 QB, TEP, fairly deep rosters) with guys like Harrison Jr, Maye, Caleb W, Penix, Puka, and 3 first round picks this year.

I included a note with an offer of the 2.03 for Adams "Hey - idk where you're at on Adams, but I'm trying to make a title run so if I can send something that adds him to my lineup without losing another starter, I'd be interested. Figured you're building for next year pretty well, maybe this is the extra capital?"

So would y'all have said "f this guy trying to sell me a deal" or would you take a look and see something like "Actually, I like Blake Corum and I see a lot of potential in Iosivas, what about those two for Adams" (put whatever players you want, I just tried to toss some in that I would trade for if I had the other roster, you get the point).

I tend to find it valuable - somebody right now is trying to get Tyjae Spears from me and is basically like "hey I see him as a better than normal flier to get some work away from Pollard and be a good bye week guy - saw you have a lot of RB depth, interested in some slrt of future pick or WR swap?" I'm not really, but I'm weak at TE there and he has Kincaid on the block so now the discussion is what he needs and what I'm willing to add to Spears to get Kincaid.

If I just reject his offer of a 3rd for Spears and don't reply, there's no chance we help each other.
 
My question is: where's the line on this "selling a trade" where so many of the replies seem to take offense, vs "explaining what I did" so that maybe you do see a counter that could benefit us both?

For instance, I had sent an offer to someone for Davante Adams recently. His team is not competitive, but he has a good foundation (2 QB, TEP, fairly deep rosters) with guys like Harrison Jr, Maye, Caleb W, Penix, Puka, and 3 first round picks this year.

I included a note with an offer of the 2.03 for Adams "Hey - idk where you're at on Adams, but I'm trying to make a title run so if I can send something that adds him to my lineup without losing another starter, I'd be interested. Figured you're building for next year pretty well, maybe this is the extra capital?"
No, I think that's fair and starts a discussion. If you offered him a 4th and told him Adams sucks, went to a worse situation, and 30+ year old WR always stink so he should sell him for your 4th that's where I would laugh at you and ignore you.
 
They are in a constant state of rebuilding and don't seem to care about winning. Now that is a problem !!
I call this "always playing for next year". Problem is when you do that every year you are never playing for this year and it makes it really impossible to ever win. I think there is always at least one guy in every dynasty league that does this.
I try to target that personality constantly.

It's a win win - they always enjoy having youth and potential, and I always enjoy getting what is functionally a guarantees great second rounder every year.
This is why they call it the shark pool :shark:
 
I tend to find it valuable - somebody right now is trying to get Tyjae Spears from me and is basically like "hey I see him as a better than normal flier to get some work away from Pollard and be a good bye week guy - saw you have a lot of RB depth, interested in some slrt of future pick or WR swap?" I'm not really, but I'm weak at TE there and he has Kincaid on the block so now the discussion is what he needs and what I'm willing to add to Spears to get Kincaid.

If I just reject his offer of a 3rd for Spears and don't reply, there's no chance we help each other.
Again, fair comment to start a discussion. He's not misrepresenting Spears to you like you're an idiot and clearly stating what he wants. I don't know his initial offer to you but if you want Kincaid, then totally fair and smart to shoot something over with Spears and Kincaid. Not that you asked but I don't see a lot of difference between the two.
 
after years of laughing at people that would not negotiate with me because the "trade calculator" said not to, I just started poking around with a couple recently since I joined my 1st dynasty league. I guess it is an OK place to try to get an idea, but so far can't say they've helped get anything done. I do like the lists of recent trades involving the players as that can get my creative juices flowing, but that too has yet to end with a successful trade.
I use several to get a ballpark of whether my initial salvo is “fair” or reasonable.

Of course fair is in the eye of the beholder, but by running a trade framework through 3-4 calcs, and checking the value math against value charts, it’s a very effective way to avoid insulting prospective trade partners.

I’ve never used a calc to make a deal. But I do use calcs and charts to sketch out ideas for deals, and I’ve found them to be extremely helpful to that end.
 
My question is: where's the line on this "selling a trade" where so many of the replies seem to take offense, vs "explaining what I did" so that maybe you do see a counter that could benefit us both?

For instance, I had sent an offer to someone for Davante Adams recently. His team is not competitive, but he has a good foundation (2 QB, TEP, fairly deep rosters) with guys like Harrison Jr, Maye, Caleb W, Penix, Puka, and 3 first round picks this year.

I included a note with an offer of the 2.03 for Adams "Hey - idk where you're at on Adams, but I'm trying to make a title run so if I can send something that adds him to my lineup without losing another starter, I'd be interested. Figured you're building for next year pretty well, maybe this is the extra capital?"
No, I think that's fair and starts a discussion. If you offered him a 4th and told him Adams sucks, went to a worse situation, and 30+ year old WR always stink so he should sell him for your 4th that's where I would laugh at you and ignore you.
The better way, in my opinion, is to reach out directly without the offer.

Have a chat. Start a conversation. “Any interest in moving Adams? I’m in the market for a veteran, and have [picks / players] to move.”

Sometimes peppering people with offers is wasted effort because you don’t even know if they want to sell the player you’re interested in.

I’m reminded of John Cleese in Meaning of Life. “What’s wrong with a kiss, boy?”

It sometimes helps to not go leaping to the offer. Just start a conversation & sniff out interest. Sometimes you get a better/more advantageous deal worked out by having a polite exchange.
 
years ago, in the league I've been in the longest, this real character in the league got me to the point that I wouldn't even acknowledge him when he would send offers.

he would spam offers. make offer, immediately revoke it. make slightly different offer. immediately revoke it. When I talked to him about it he said that was his way of telling me he was interested in trading. I asked him to stop doing this as I was getting tired of all the emails and instead to get ahold of me and talk it out first before sending a real offer. He refused and kept doing his method.

He also would make really bad rapey offers. and wouldn't negotiate.

one thing that really bugs me is people using the trade comments to tell me obvious stuff. like their stats. or their role in the offense. he did this the worst of anyone I've ever played with. I told him he needs to stop telling me all the basic stats for a player as I already know them or can get them within 2 clicks. He actually took that request as motivation to do it more and even worse.

so, after several years of this I told him that not only would I not trade with him, I would never even look at any offers he sent me.
Good. Ignorance is bliss sometimes. How does this guy do in your league? Does he treat other owners the same way? I wonder if he makes a point to get under others' skin and sees it as a competitive advantage.
I might think of playing elsewhere.
 
Do you send out offers after posting your players on the block? Or are you just waiting for offers from others?
I send out lots of offers. I keep my trading blocks up to date and often include details like "looking for WR" or "looking for 2:1 player deals" or one of my absolutely personal favorites - "I have room to take on one or two of your roster cuts and can provide a 2:1 or 3:1"

I'm a strong believer in the idea that it helps to know that a market exists for player x, y or z, or if an owner is willing to move draft picks. Sooooo many trades I've been involved in have occurred because at some point we had either already chatted about a given asset or I had advertised as such (or the other owner did). How many times have we all seen a completed trade that we hated and said something like "if I had known you were selling that player"

I think some owners hate the idea of tipping their hand. Like putting someone on your block means you're a hater of that player. If I have three luxury fancy expensive cars but only room for two in my driveway/garage, I might decide to shop them around. Doesn't mean I hate them. I often get lowball offers on premier players I've posted and after I reject without a counter (RNC) they're like well what do you want for him then? And maybe I respond maybe I don't. It also definitely does not mean that I'm going to undersell my Rolls Royce just because I have two more in stock.

Depending on how much time I've got in the moment I will sometimes just update my trade block from one league to the next, usually post a message board post as well (because tons and tons and tons and tons of owners don't see the trade block updates but *might* see the message board) and then move on with other tasks of my day. But if I have a bit more time I try to throw out some offers. I'll often post specific prices for specific players. "First 4th gets player x". I am more concerned about making roster clearing deals in certain instances than I am about max value. I often don't feel like I have time to mess around and there are tons and tons and tons and tons of owners that seemingly need you to hold their hand through the entire process of a trade deal. That is why I will sometimes just be blatantly honest about my price. Means I want to make a deal like today. The FFPC roster size restrictions that we've talked about at great length drive much of this.
Would you say that you make 90+% of the first trade offers in trades you do make? For some reason I very seldom make a trade where someone makes me an offer first and I make a lot of trades. Sometimes I may get a counter that I accept, but the first offer almost always comes from me. That tells me that people may want to trade, but don't like to make the first offer.
Yeah same here. Probably not 90% for me but maybe 70%. My experience is that most owners are too stingy and I'm too cheap to put up with it most of the time. And what that means is that most of the deals I make are ones where I have made a strong first offer (and often too strong) or a very strong counter offer after I had made an initial offer, partner countered and then I re-countered. The deals I make where my partner initiated the trade are usually so lopsided in my favor IMO that I "run to the keyboard" as they say. Which is funny because that's usually where I already am.

The vast vast vast majority of the offers I get from others are pure garbage.
Are you one of these people who approach every trade as a must haggle mentality? Or do you ever make your first offer your best offer? I find myself doing the latter more and more, and believe it or not, make more trades by making a great first offer.
I definitely don't approach it that way and it's one of the biggest reasons I have soured on dynasty. Super stingy and super crappy managers that are bent on haggling don't make good trade partners. I don't ever try to make my first offer my best offer but I always try to make it good. Except if I think the owner might be dumb enough to do something dumb, I will lowball and throw garbage against the wall with zero regard for my reputation. Ask my fellow SP leaguemates from a $250 FFPC 1QB Dynasty league we've been in for a few years now about how I hit up every single OTC owner with something just maybe sort of almost on par with the value point. Not because they're dumb, quite the contrary, but because I am a lowballer for sure. If I can gut you I will.

But I also really really DGAF if I lose some paper value on some trade. I never let that haggling mentality get in the way of something that I think is good for my team. I do NOT care about "winning" the trade and am more than happy to do win-win stuff. But if I can gut you I will.
Are you greedy?
Yes. For fantasy points and the dollars that can come with them. But not for players and draft picks.
Do you fear making a bad trade?
Not really. I trust my process and I definitely believe in the notion that if you're not "losing" a trade once in a while then you aren't making enough of them.
Do you make a conscious effort to evaluate a roster to see possible needs before sending an offer?
I'm not even sure how someone might go about doing it any other way.
Are you a low baller on purpose? If yes, why would you believe this is a good thing? I know we sometimes do this by accident if our views on player value differ greatly from others.
See above. My poker background overlaps a lot of my FF strategies.
Some people complain about never making trades in their league and some of it can be fixed IMO by taking a look at some of these things. Of course some are never happy and expect every dynasty league to have trades all the time, which may be an unrealistic expectation.
I wrote an article a few years back that showed a correlation between the number of trades in a league and *my* success. It is harder to dominate in less active leagues. It is much much much harder to rebuild. And it's often because of many of the reasons you brought up.

A note on the lowballing. Obviously I understand that you don't want to alienate league mates from future offers because you're always throwing garbage out there. There must be some balance. I also like grease the wheels types of trades. Small ball cheap stuff that might go more in the other person's interest but breaks the ice so to speak. I don't even mind making a sub-optimum deal to "appear" weak and or agreeable. Kind of a poker concept but I do actually get a fair amount of completed trades that occur because, IMO, my partner has pegged me as a fish and "dumps off" a perceived falling asset but because I'm not a fish I have this player as primed for a breakout and end up getting what is a great price.

Presenting an image of being willing and able to work on deals and to not be the rigid stingy haggler will go A LONG WAYS but it also counteracts the lowballing habits IMO. I also make more trades then anyone in my leagues by a fairly big margin most of the time and am highly successful. So it's kind of hard for someone to complain about the general nature of my offers.

In most dynasty leagues, in my experience, the owners who are the most risk averse are the ones taking the biggest risk. With much much lower promise of payoff.
 
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a lot of ppl get a thrill out of it and simply cannot accept an offer without countering. Can somebody explain this psycology to me?
You answered your own question. They get a thrill out of it and simply can't do it without countering. My suspicion is they are so terribly afraid of losing a deal, or of looking like a beta, that like you said they simply can't.

"A real man would counter" - I swear it's that simple. Male fragility. IDK.
 
Another team may not be offering a deal because they don't think you would be willing to let certain players go.
This is such a bigger deal than most owners realize. It absolutely helps to advertise. It's really important. Especially with studs.

The idea is if you hand out 100 flyers to your show and only 2 people pay for tickets you've profited. BUT ONLY BECAUSE THEY RECEIVED THE FLYER. You can't let the 98 that threw them away or had prior plans make you think it isn't worth it.
 
Instead of placing a player on the trading block, how about you initiate an offer?
Optimally, teams do both but the trade block is a great way to stir up additional interest. A lot of times, I look through rosters for a beneficial trade for both teams and can't really find anything, but that doesn't mean there is no deal. Another team may not be offering a deal because they don't think you would be willing to let certain players go.

I love to trade which is why I am heavily adding to my dynasty leagues this year. Always tweaking my teams. Sometimes it works and sometimes it doesn't but it's fun either way. Playing in a dynasty league with little action isn't my bag. I know some take a different view and that's fine.
Yeah, I like to trade too and see some teams that don't trade which tweaked a thought in my head, can you win in dynasty without trading? I'm trying to look at my various leagues over the years and most teams that win or are always near the top do trade.
I wrote an article a few years back that correlated (my) success with overall completed trade volume from league to league.
 
There can be a little bit of a fine line between someone explaining their offer(which is perfectly good) vs someone trying to sell you on why the trade makes sense for you(which I find insulting). These lines can get a little blurry but for the most part you know the difference when you see it and the team constantly trying to sell you and offer is usually winning the trade.
I am interested in how you can tell the difference.
Maybe something similar to the difference in being told that this car you're being offered costs $25,000, has less than 5,000 miles on it and you'll need $2000 down and monthly payments will be $400 a month... compared to being told "don't you want to look good when you're driving around town? what's that car you're driving now? A 1993 Toyota Camry? Pfffft You need to take this deal"

Basic poker psychology once again - if the deal was so darned good for you they wouldn't be offering it. If they're telling you that you should love player x then they hate him. If they're trying really hard to sell you on them then they're full of **** and people who negotiate in bad faith are the worst. At least I expect my lowball offers might actually get accepted. Because sometimes they do.
 
Most people value their players higher than the actual value and your players less than market.
I think this is a built in aspect and human nature. I mean you have the players on your team because you liked them enough to draft or acquire them. The other guy has players on his team that he likes for the same reason.

Because of this I think it is logical that you overvalue your players and vice versa. It's not really that either of you are truly overvaluing the guys it's just you liked them more than others in the first place otherwise you probably wouldn't have them on your team. It's a large mental obstacle to overcome sometimes.
this is also why taking over an orphan is a fascinating experience if you haven't done it
 
I'm trying to find the article I mentioned above but here is the text of another one I wrote around the same time that is entitled Dynasty Trading Psychology: It Pays To Advertise (behind paywall):

Some graphics are edited out on this post due to formatting

***********
Trading is the lifeblood of Dynasty Fantasy Football. Most of us would prefer to be in a league full of active and attentive owners where lots of trades go down. Unfortunately, that is often not the case, and even in some of the best leagues, there are usually at least one or two owners that are hard to reach (for any number of reasons) and that are hard to make deals with. I don’t know if I have ever gone through a startup draft or a rookie draft where there wasn’t at least one instance of someone reaching out to me and saying:

“Sorry, I didn’t see your offer and already made my pick. I would have taken it, though.”

Check your dang email. Check your dang settings and make sure you’re getting the right notifications in the right manner you would prefer. And never, ever make a pick OTC without at least checking to see if you have offers. There are lots of owners, and I am one of them, that will often not make an offer for a pick until it is actually OTC. But a lot of times owners get excited when it is their turn and just click on their guy.

That is just one example of a thousand ways deals can fail to get done. I’d like to dive deeper into the psychological mechanics that go into trading because there are a thousand creative ways that deals can get done, and I’d like to share some of those insights.

In short bench leagues, like FFPC, where we cut to 16 at the end of March, roster spots can be very valuable. Clearing room can be almost as important as the pieces involved in the trade. I will often include players coming back to me in a trade that I have no intention of keeping. It offers the partner some value, though, because they get to clear a spot.

We are all looking to consolidate but there are always teams willing to add players. Find them.

Some of the cut decisions we have to make in short bench leagues come down to difficult judgment calls on players that might fall into one of several different buckets.

***see trading table at link below***
https://x.com/Ship_Chaser/status/1559193160844161024



How do we matchup our thoughts on a player or draft pick with potential trade partners?


On top of everything else, there is the matter of “what kind of a trading partner is team A, B, or C in my league?”

Well, there are all types of courses. Loose, tight, aggressive, risk-tolerant, risk-averse. Looking to build long term. Looking to compete short term. Good about responding. Terrible about responding. Easily insulted. Amicable. Friendly. Dirtbag. I like to compare FF trading partners to poker opponents. A lot of the same personality traits and strategies can be seen in FF negotiations and interactions.

In my opinion, short bench dynasty leagues punish the risk-averse. The most risk-averse owners are the ones taking the biggest risk. The risk is inaction and collecting roster cloggers that plummet in value. You have to take all these factors (and so much more) when trying to get a trade done. That is why such a high proportion of offers get rejected (or just sit there).

I always try to find mutually beneficial deals and cater to my partner’s needs, whether perceived or actually communicated. If I can gut them, I will, though. I am a cold-blooded killer professional poker player in that sense. But it is absolutely not a prerequisite for me to win a trade on paper to get it done. Yet we know there are those owners who won’t do a deal unless they know you know they are getting you over the barrel.

Sometimes I will try to sell a bluff and tell them why they would be winning the proposed trade, but typically I hate it when people do that to me and I think a lot of owners agree. But still, there are owners that you need to hold their hand and walk across the street. Last year at this time I offered a fairly complicated package. We had gone back and forth where I was targeting Juju. Long story short he told me that he didn’t like my pieces as much as I thought he did.

When all was said and done I ended up selling the three pieces I had in three separate deals with him over a few weeks and profited far greater than if he had accepted my original offer in aggregate. And I got Juju.

The moral of the story is to communicate with your league-mates and find out what they need and find matches for your own. You can find angles to improve your team that you didn’t know existed.
 
I have a guy in one of my leagues who likes to send me a text saying "I want to trade, make me an offer" every week or two.

I've had a handful of times where I've had to cut off negotiations because it's clear we value players differently. Occasionally this isn't handled well by the other party.

As to if I initiate... It's a tale of two leagues. My one league is stupidly complex, so people are hesitant to trade so they don't have future salary and roster cap issues. Generally I'm the one who is initiating. My other league is a bunch of friends from way back that I took over an orphan, and those guys will literally hold you captive on the phone talking trades.

I try to look at rosters before making any trades. In fact if I can't see myself making any offer to a team because of the roster construction I don't bother reaching out to an owner period.

Generally I try to be equal, but I admit to falling into the mindset of "winning". Been trying to think more in the sense of "who cares if I win or not as long as it makes my roster better" and have stressed much less about throwing later picks or flex players into a trade to entice someone.
 

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