steelerfan1
Footballguy
silver and black, i feel your pain man. tough choices as i have deuce, julius, k.jones, and dunn.i trust deuce for nothing. think i'm starting the jones' and hope for the best.
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The RB matchups to exploit/avoid this week (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter Arm Chair Express
- Start date
roadeyes
Footballguy
Interesting take. I have :McAllisterJ. JonesPortisWestbrook Have to start two.I think Portis is an easy start against SF, but I've thought that before. I honestly think the other three are a complete tossup.McAllister-I think the best of the three, but NO is such a mess, I have no faith. at TB could be tough.Jones-he has still only played a few games. And it's possible Philly runs up a big early lead, limiting Jones.Westbrook- how much will he play? will he get the TD's? Best matchup.Right now I'm leaning towards Portis and Jones. Jones because I think he has the best chance of actually being a part of the O for the entire game, blowout or not. I can see NO getting blown out early and Brooks/Horn scoring big late. I can see Westbrook sitting the entire second half if Philly has nothing to play for.
what happened to Urlacher?I think Tomlinson will have a monster game against the Brownies. I am not so thrilled to play Julius this week, as I think the Eagles D will dominate the Cowboys....also, I wouldn't be optomistic to play Dunn against the Panthers...the Panther D is much improved over the past several weeks.
Loomba
Footballguy
I am torn. I have Edge, Jamal, KJones and LJohnson.Edge is a stud and hard to bench, but he could easily be held out of the end zone against Balt.Jamal would normally be a no brainer against the Indy DT. But there is no guarantee he will see as many carries as Billick is suggesting now. It is always hard to predict which game will be a player's first real game back from injury.KJones could have a huge day against Minny.LJohnson has just been huge the last few weeks.I think I will start KJones for sure and flip a coin between Jamal and Edge. Any others in a similar predicament? 
I have Dillon, Edge and KJones, and I'm leaning toward going with Dillon and KJ.In my league 2, I will go with Edge, then have to decide between SJax, LJ and Blaylock. If either Vermeil or Martz, come out and say one of these guys is starting I'll go with that. In order, if they are all starting, I'll go Edge, LJ, SJax.
Is that official? Last I have seen was this from the blogger:Urlacher to Have MRI on HamstringCan you tell...my opponent has DD this weekend.
grabnmcbutt
Footballguy
Well nobody here has helped me at all 
I have A greenj lewisj jonesK jonesMcGaheeI will start 3 or maybe 4 depending on what I do with the flex postion. T holt, C johnson and R moss. I'm think about waiting one more week on Moss in which case I would have the 4 Rb's. McGahee and k Jones are certian. I'm thinking maybe j jones and A green.
I have A greenj lewisj jonesK jonesMcGaheeI will start 3 or maybe 4 depending on what I do with the flex postion. T holt, C johnson and R moss. I'm think about waiting one more week on Moss in which case I would have the 4 Rb's. McGahee and k Jones are certian. I'm thinking maybe j jones and A green.
Nigel Tufnel
Footballguy
Are you the only owner in your league? That's a pretty nice roster.Well nobody here has helped me at all
JohnnyU
Footballguy
Maybe it's a dynasty league that was built by drafting these guys? In which case it wouldn't be unusual for those guys to reside on 1 team a 14 team league. I am amazed at how many people make posts like the one you made, not really knowing the league format.Are you the only owner in your league? That's a pretty nice roster.Well nobody here has helped me at all
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Nemesis
Footballguy
I'm surprised nobody has mentioned Goings vs ATL?.......getting 30 carries a game AND goal line carriesATL gave up over 120 yards on the ground to Oakland's piss poor RB attack last wkend.........all Oak RBs had >4.0 ypcI've got to choose 2 between:Goings vs ATLA.Green vs JAX.............really don't know how to read this game yet.TJones vs Hous.............I actually think that TJ might have a decent gameCB / A.Smith(......and I'm the poor fool that has to play against LT AND PORTIS......and oh, Manning 
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CowboysFromHell
Footballguy
I am in a similar predicament:S. Alexander @ NY JetsM. Pittman vs NOK. Jones vs MinnHave to start 2 and bench 1.I am torn. I have Edge, Jamal, KJones and LJohnson.Edge is a stud and hard to bench, but he could easily be held out of the end zone against Balt.Jamal would normally be a no brainer against the Indy DT. But there is no guarantee he will see as many carries as Billick is suggesting now. It is always hard to predict which game will be a player's first real game back from injury.KJones could have a huge day against Minny.LJohnson has just been huge the last few weeks.I think I will start KJones for sure and flip a coin between Jamal and Edge. Any others in a similar predicament?
Nigel Tufnel
Footballguy
I was complimenting the guy's team. Relax.Maybe it's a dynasty league that was built by drafting these guys? In which case it wouldn't be unusual for those guys to reside on 1 team a 14 team league. I am amazed at how many people make posts like the one you made, not really knowing the league format.Are you the only owner in your league? That's a pretty nice roster.Well nobody here has helped me at all
Chitown Mole
Footballguy
Dom Davis is a strong play this week because of the Bears scheme. Any time the Texans face the cover-2 and Dom is healthy he will get most of the passes and will put up huge combo yards.
JohnnyU
Footballguy
I'm sure you were complimenting his team, but I was referring to the "Are you the only owner in your league?" comment. Nothing against you, but dynasty owners hate to read these types of comments, because players are usually obtained before they become studs or they are drafted by dynasty teams while rookies.I was complimenting the guy's team. Relax.Maybe it's a dynasty league that was built by drafting these guys? In which case it wouldn't be unusual for those guys to reside on 1 team a 14 team league. I am amazed at how many people make posts like the one you made, not really knowing the league format.Are you the only owner in your league? That's a pretty nice roster.Well nobody here has helped me at all
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RRaptors
Footballguy
Interesting E. James stats against teams with few TD's allowed:James scored in 6 games so far. 3 of them against teams that are above average against the rush TD:Week 3 - Packers - 8 TDs allowed - James = 1 (62 yards)Week 4 - Jags - 6 TD's allowed - James = 1 (83 yards)Week 11 - Bears - 7 TDs allowed - James = 1 (204 yards)Ravens - 7 TDs allowedI think James has a decent chance of getting at least 1 TD. I don't know if it's the play calling or if he just goes and gets it as a personal challenge against teams that are better against the rushing TD but I think he has an okay shot at getting one TD. Colts want to win and they must know that the Ravens are hyped about stopping the pass. Giants, Jets, Browns, Patriots, Chiefs have gotten in on the ground, why not Indy. They could still get the pass record and one on the ground.I think 80 - 90 yards rushing, 15-20 yards receiving and 1 TDI might be crazy, but that's my 
Yes, I'm a hopeful E James owner with Droughns, Bell and LJohnson on my bench deciding on my #2RB for this week.
Yes, I'm a hopeful E James owner with Droughns, Bell and LJohnson on my bench deciding on my #2RB for this week.
glock
"Don't grumble, give a whistle!"
I got myself to the playoffs this year in spite of my running game...(see below)
What I WAS sure of was setting myself up RB's with good playoff schedules and that hopefully will get me to our championship game.
I'm counting on Pittman to continue his yeoman like efforts, and hoping Freddie gets fed the rock as much as the Jags said they were going to commit to...
What I WAS sure of was setting myself up RB's with good playoff schedules and that hopefully will get me to our championship game.
I'm counting on Pittman to continue his yeoman like efforts, and hoping Freddie gets fed the rock as much as the Jags said they were going to commit to...
Big Score
Footballguy
Going with Dunn @ Home, on the Carpet, against Carolina.
My thinking on Dunn is the Falcons are trying to keep up with les Jonse's (Read Eagles) for Play-Off seeding, are at home on the Carpet (Advantage Dunn) and are most definitely a running team. Lastly, no Duckett / Griffith = more Dunn.
Portis @ 49er's.
Don't have to say anything here do I?
Benching Green - vs - Jacksonville D.
Sorry, I don't buy the sweep hype. Jacksonville pretty much shut down both Staley & Bettis on sweeps and up the gut run play calls. Don't see Green doing much better & Pooper Boy is always around to water down the # of Green's carries.
+ in my League, we get points per recpt. Tony Fisher has been getting a lot of the 3rd down pass play calls to the RB, that in years past were all Green's.
My thinking on Dunn is the Falcons are trying to keep up with les Jonse's (Read Eagles) for Play-Off seeding, are at home on the Carpet (Advantage Dunn) and are most definitely a running team. Lastly, no Duckett / Griffith = more Dunn.
Portis @ 49er's.
Don't have to say anything here do I?
Benching Green - vs - Jacksonville D.
Sorry, I don't buy the sweep hype. Jacksonville pretty much shut down both Staley & Bettis on sweeps and up the gut run play calls. Don't see Green doing much better & Pooper Boy is always around to water down the # of Green's carries.
+ in my League, we get points per recpt. Tony Fisher has been getting a lot of the 3rd down pass play calls to the RB, that in years past were all Green's.
I'm debating whether or not to play Westbrook too. What are people's opinions on what Reid is going to do with his starters? Do they have home field wrapped up yet? With TO being dinged up I have to assume he won't play the entire game. That could give Westbrook more opportunities...or less since Dallas won't have to worry about TO anymore.Hrm...well that was a useless post.
commisholio
Come out with your pants down!
He was. Backup FB is Stanley Pritchett, formerly with MIA, PHI, and CHI. Shouldn't be too much of a dropoff in blocking duties, IMO.
Big Score
Footballguy
Stanley Pritchett their back up FB, replaces Giffith and they've just signed FB Fred McCrary as insurance.Also, if you watched the Falcons this year, you'd have seen that they run a lot of single back sets, with just Dunn or Duckett in there.Now with Duckett out, when they go to the single back set, it will be 100% Dunn.
Family Matters
Footballguy
Odd how things work out. In 1 league I couldn't find 2 starting RB's and lost in the first round. In another I have soo many I can't decide. This is not a WDIS but you gotta see this
ittman v Saints-#1 for RB in my leagueDunn v Panthers-#2Portis v 49ers-#6Goings v Falcons #11Jackson v Cards-#18J. Jones v Eagles-#19I'm pretty sure I can find 3 to start. Now if I can just win and get this week 16 for the championship!
ittman v Saints-#1 for RB in my leagueDunn v Panthers-#2Portis v 49ers-#6Goings v Falcons #11Jackson v Cards-#18J. Jones v Eagles-#19I'm pretty sure I can find 3 to start. Now if I can just win and get this week 16 for the championship!
roadeyes
Footballguy
Not useless at all. Even if this is all more or less WDIS, at least we are hashing it all out. The frustrating part is that with all the info in the world, it's still impossible to know who is the best start.All I'm looking for in these threads is some sort of common reasoning for or against a particular player. I imagine I'll be checking this thread right up until Sunday am.
I have this problem as well. I have to start 2 of these 3:S. AlexanderC. DillonK. JonesI have been riding Alexander and Dillon all year. My gut say's stay with this, but damn Kevin has been tearing it up and Minn can be run on bigtime. On the otherhand the Jets are tough against the run.I am in a similar predicament:S. Alexander @ NY JetsM. Pittman vs NOK. Jones vs MinnHave to start 2 and bench 1.I am torn. I have Edge, Jamal, KJones and LJohnson.Edge is a stud and hard to bench, but he could easily be held out of the end zone against Balt.Jamal would normally be a no brainer against the Indy DT. But there is no guarantee he will see as many carries as Billick is suggesting now. It is always hard to predict which game will be a player's first real game back from injury.KJones could have a huge day against Minny.LJohnson has just been huge the last few weeks.I think I will start KJones for sure and flip a coin between Jamal and Edge. Any others in a similar predicament?
CowboysFromHell
Footballguy
I still haven't decided, but here's some info I dug up in case it helps anyone else:Alexander - He's basically had 3 bad games all year (low yardage and no scores). Week 2 at Tampa when his knee was bothering him. And, Seattle losses in Week 7 at Arizona and Week 12 vs Buffalo. In both cases, Seattle was behind most of the game and couldn't get anything going on offense - result 12-13 carries for Alexander. I think the big question here is, will Seattle be behind and/or lose to the Jets?K. Jones - One of my concerns was I had an impression that he didn't get featured as much in the 2nd half. When I looked at the numbers, this isn't really true. I think Mooch is feeding this guy just fine. Sure, when they were way down against Indy, he disappeared, but so would any running game (Detroit lost 41-9). And, he didn't do much in the 2nd half against Minnesota the first time - when you look at the game log, Minnesota had 2 really long, clock-killing drives in the 2nd half (came from behind and beat Detroit 22-19). So, he is being featured, but did the Vikings figure something out about the Lions in that 2nd half and does that spell trouble for Jones this week?Pittman - He puts up nice stat lines, but he does it in the weirdest ways. One week, its his rushing numbers, the next, his receiving. Why is that? Cause Gruden just loves this guy and does whatever he can to get him touches. He had a bad week last week against a tough defense, but now he gets a cupcake. In fact his 3 "bad" games (looking only at the last 7) came against San Diego and Atlanta twice. He seems to struggle against solid defenses and "go off" against weak ones. Enter the Saints...Bottom line, all of these guys get the touches to produce and have the skills to take advantage. The flow of the games this week will determine a lot.Still thinking....I have this problem as well. I have to start 2 of these 3:S. AlexanderC. DillonK. JonesI have been riding Alexander and Dillon all year. My gut say's stay with this, but damn Kevin has been tearing it up and Minn can be run on bigtime. On the otherhand the Jets are tough against the run.I am in a similar predicament:S. Alexander @ NY JetsM. Pittman vs NOK. Jones vs MinnHave to start 2 and bench 1.I am torn. I have Edge, Jamal, KJones and LJohnson.Edge is a stud and hard to bench, but he could easily be held out of the end zone against Balt.Jamal would normally be a no brainer against the Indy DT. But there is no guarantee he will see as many carries as Billick is suggesting now. It is always hard to predict which game will be a player's first real game back from injury.KJones could have a huge day against Minny.LJohnson has just been huge the last few weeks.I think I will start KJones for sure and flip a coin between Jamal and Edge. Any others in a similar predicament?
broadcaster
Footballguy
I'm trying to decide between (I have to start 2 RBs):McGaheeDeuceKJonesTJonesI'm leaning toward going with McGahee and KJones.It's hard to sit Deuce, but I like KJones' matchup more.
PhatNastyCat
Footballguy
For those trying to decide on Alexander this week, here is some info to consider. I think you have to look at the matchups the Jets defense has faced in terms of the caliber of starting RB's. Leonard Henry, Sammy Morris, Lee Suggs, William Green, Larry Croom are not going to scare any defense or put up big rush numbers. WK1: Rudi Johnson 24 carries 70yds 1TDWK2: Ladainain Tomlinson: 19 carries 87yds 1TD, 3rec 76ydsWK4: Leonard Henry: 18 carries 85yds, 3rec 12ydsWK5: Travis Henry: 12 carries 33yds/Willis McGahee 8 carries 42ydsWK6: Kevan Barlow: 21 carries 79yds 1TDWK7: Corey Dillon: 22 carries 115ydsWK8: Sammy Morris: 11 carries 48ydsWK9: Willis McGahee: 37 carries 132yds, 2rec 11ydsWK10: Jamal Lewis: 30 carries 71ydsWK11: Lee Suggs: 17 carries 62yds, 3rec 15yds/Willie Green 8 carries 32ydsWK12: Larry Croom: 10 carries 25ydsWK13: Domanick Davis: 17 carries 52yds 1TDWK14: Jerome Bettis: 10 carries 57yds 1TD/Duce Staley: 16 carries 51ydsThe Jets have faced only three RB's in the top 10 in rushing this year: Tomlinson, Dillon, and Rudi J. Those three RB's rushed for a combined avg of 90yds and 1.5TD's. LT had 163 total yards and McGahee dropped in 143 total yards on them. Barlow and Dom Davis also found the endzone on them. My point to this is that you can't just look at team stats and declare this a bench-deserving matchup for Alexander. Look at who the defense has faced and what other RB's of Alexander's FF status have accomplished. Also, while the Jets are ranked higher in rush defense, they are in the bottom half in pass defense. This is key as Hass is on a hot streak. If Hass can continue to throw the ball well, Alexander will find room to run. Yes, I was disppointed in him last week, but was he really needed when Minny couldn't stop the Seattle passing attack?I think you have to ride the horse that got you into the playoffs. If you lose with Alexander at least you know you played your best RB. If you lose with Alexander on your bench and he has a solid game, then you'll really be second guessing yourself. And second guessing is what gets most FF owners in trouble. Now if you are looking for the matchup of the week to exploit the answer it Ladainian Tomlinson. Cleveland has given up 100+yds and two rushing TD's in 3 straight games: Rudi Johnson(202yds 2TD), Dillon(100yds 2TD), McGahee(105 2TD). -PNC
Meat
Footballguy
To kind of go back to the original thread topic... now it appears LJ will be starting aginst Denver this weekend. I'm not sure if he's a good play or not. Obviously he was fantastic in limited time Monday night, and has been impressive the last 2-3 weeks, but what kind of numbers could we expect against Denver? (That is, if Blaylock is hurt and unable to play, per CBS & the News blogger)
lennysmalls
Footballguy
I also have numerous choices but must make the right ones. Play in a 6pt/td, 1pt/10 yds league, start 2 RBs.Martin vs SeattlePittman vs NO (Alstotts back)LJ/Blaylock vs Denver (Blaylock out or limited?)Dunn vs Carolina (Duckett out)Droughns/Bell @ KC (Bell status?)Seems like the safest bet is Martin and Pittman. Although I doubt that combo will prove to yield the highest pt totals the risk/reward seems good. Presumably its primarily people in the playoffs chatting now. How many roll the dice in this type situation vs going with the best match-ups on paper. I'm not shy about playing the upside but have serious reservations about the other choices.Obviously the situation has changed for Dunn since he would now appear to be the man, but Carolina is starting to gel a bit. Don't know why, but I wouldn't rest easy starting him.Even though KC is swiss-cheese I think skeletor has lost all faith in Droughns. They will probably pass much more than risk giving it to him. Bell, no need to start a guy with a bad shoulder.LJ seems like the only one worth considering and then only if Blaylock is ruled out.
Arm Chair Express
Footballguy
Don't bank on it. Plummer has been making his own mistakes and the fans are letting him know about it, Hence the finger he threw up last game to the fans. I don't necessarily think Shanny has lost faith, I think its more Droughns is wearing down. He has been a workhorse seeing 25-30 carries a game. This was his first time as a starter so he's not used to carrying that kind of load week after week. He got a break last week, so maybe he'll be on fresher legs. The problem here is which one will start?
Sonny Lubick Blowup Doll
Footballguy
:rotflmao:
Kovax
Footballguy
I have to choose between JLewis, CBrown, ASmith and JJones. Talk about a toss up. It isn't so much which player will do better as much as which player will play the most...I think Lewis is going to get between 18 and 25 carries, depending on both the ankle and if the Colts are ahead early.I think JJones is going to get between 20 and 30 carries depending on close they can keep the game.I don't see either of those backs putting up huge numbers or getting more than 1 or 2 meaningless receptions.With Smith and Brown, it is just a waiting game to see how Brown is feeling. Oddly enough, I think that he could have the best week of all while only playing a half.
I'm sure I'll figure it out :gang:
grabnmcbutt
Footballguy
I got lucky with a few trades... Drafted Green, lewis, Q Griffin, brown and suggs.After week one I traded Griffin for holt. When Suggs was playing and Mcgahee was on the bench I traded suggs for Mcgahee. When K Jones was hurt he was dropped and I picked him up along with j jones. Traded C. brown for moss after week moss got hurt hoping to have him for the playoffs. Drafted C JohnsonAre you the only owner in your league? That's a pretty nice roster.Well nobody here has helped me at all
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Tough week coming up for me. I get to play the point leader. His top 5 are going to be hard to beat. Pepper,Tiki,Maritn,Harrison and Horn.At RB I going to Counter with Mcallister and J. Jones. Benching C. Brown and T. Jones. I will also be starting Walker and Boldin over Ward. QB is still in the air Greise vs Green. His weakness on paper is TE,K,Def Diger,Wilkins,NYG vs My 3 Gates,JBrown and Pitt. All and all with Eli Manning at the helm I think I have fair shot.
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kingmalaki
Footballguy
I gotta decide between
euceJ.JonesPittmanBellI'm scared to start Deuce. He has already sold me up the river twice this year (but he came through big last week). I'm thinking of going with Pittman and J.Jones...
euceJ.JonesPittmanBellI'm scared to start Deuce. He has already sold me up the river twice this year (but he came through big last week). I'm thinking of going with Pittman and J.Jones...Only when somebody gets put on IR or gets signed or activated from the practice squad, confusing matters more.
I'm going to go out on a limb, and say Garrison Hearst is the man this week for Denver, since we now have a clear 2 pronged dilemma with both choices possibly being wrong.
Meat
Footballguy
Yea, I'm absolutely avoiding that whole situation this weekend... luckily I seem to have an overflow of RBs to choose from this weekend:McGaheeJamalMcAllisterLJBellOnly when somebody gets put on IR or gets signed or activated from the practice squad, confusing matters more.
Thorpe
Footballguy
It would be more difficult to get hose players in dynasty. J Jones and McGahee could have been picked up in FA this year, depending on roster size. Assuming no trades, Lewis and Green were probably taken at the end of round 1 ans start of round 2. K Jones could have been a 4th round pick.I'm sure you were complimenting his team, but I was referring to the "Are you the only owner in your league?" comment. Nothing against you, but dynasty owners hate to read these types of comments, because players are usually obtained before they become studs or they are drafted by dynasty teams while rookies.I was complimenting the guy's team. Relax.Maybe it's a dynasty league that was built by drafting these guys? In which case it wouldn't be unusual for those guys to reside on 1 team a 14 team league. I am amazed at how many people make posts like the one you made, not really knowing the league format.Are you the only owner in your league? That's a pretty nice roster.Well nobody here has helped me at all
JohnnyU
Footballguy
That's true too. I disagree with you those players are hard to obtain in a dynasty league, especially if the league has been around for years. Portis actually went in the 2nd rd of one of our dynasty ROOKIE drafts the year he was drafted by Denver. I emphasize "OUR DYNASTY ROOKIE DRAFT", not mixed with the veteran draft.It would be more difficult to get hose players in dynasty. J Jones and McGahee could have been picked up in FA this year, depending on roster size. Assuming no trades, Lewis and Green were probably taken at the end of round 1 ans start of round 2. K Jones could have been a 4th round pick.I'm sure you were complimenting his team, but I was referring to the "Are you the only owner in your league?" comment. Nothing against you, but dynasty owners hate to read these types of comments, because players are usually obtained before they become studs or they are drafted by dynasty teams while rookies.I was complimenting the guy's team. Relax.Maybe it's a dynasty league that was built by drafting these guys? In which case it wouldn't be unusual for those guys to reside on 1 team a 14 team league. I am amazed at how many people make posts like the one you made, not really knowing the league format.Are you the only owner in your league? That's a pretty nice roster.Well nobody here has helped me at all
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clubber lang
Footballguy
per NFL.comJets pass defense = #8, 187.3 yds per game - 14tds (ceded) - 16 INTsJets rush defense = #6, 101.3 yds per game - 7tds (ceded)
