jurrassic said:
The Steelers are a good team but with what the Packers have overcome with injuries, the fact they beat the 1, 2, and 3 seeds in the NFC (which has happened rarely if ever), that they haven't trailed by more than 7 points all year (I believe they are only the 5th team all time to do that), etc. It's tough to bet against them. Combine that with he fact that the Steelers have only played two other teams in the top 10 in passing offense all year (Patriots and Saints) and they lost both games, losing them by being spread out, as a Packer fan I feel optimistic. This team just keeps getting it done. They should copy the Patriot's game plan and try and take advantage of an average Steeler secondary.
Interesting thoughts.By seeding, the Packers would have had the second toughest road to a championship, defeating 1, 2, 3 in their conference and a 2 in the SB. The Steelers defeated 1, 2, 3 in their conference and a 1 in the SB in the 2005 season.
For what it's worth, as impressive as both the 2005 Steelers and 2010 Packers were in just getting to the SB, what the Jets nearly accomplished would have trumped both of them. Not only would the Jets have matched the 1, 2, and 3 seed victories, but they would have done so against teams that had combined to make the previous 7 Super Bowls from the AFC, each of whom had won at least one of them. In my opinion, that far surpasses the actual competition (not the seeds) faced by GB and PITT. Alas, it wasn't to be for the Jets.
As to the Patriots and Saints spreading out the Steelers...
the Patriots dominated the Steelers, in a 39-26 game that wasn't nearly that close. The Patriots led 23-3 after the 3rd quarter. Nothing more needs to be said.
Conversely, the Saints led the Steelers 6-3 entering the fourth quarter. The Steelers offense was more responsible for that loss than the secondary of the Steelers.
As far as how "average" the Steelers secondary is, the Steelers passing defensive stats are a function mostly of being virtually impenetrable on the ground and being ahead of its opponents in most contests. When broken down in terms of average passing yards per pass attempt, the Steelers -- at least according to this web site:
http://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/oppon...er-pass-attempt -- are actually #1 in the NFL. Green Bay is #3, by the way. These statistics apparently include playoff games by each team.
So while it's very possible for Green Bay to be successful against the Steelers passing defense, and I believe the Packers are deserved favorites in this game, it's not accurate to depict the Steelers secondary as being average. It is accurate to suggest the secondary is the weakest part of the Steelers defense, but the secondary is only weak in comparison to the rest of the Steelers defense. I fully expect the Packers to attempt to throw to win, but I don't see that as anything novel either to the Packers offense or the Steelers defense.