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***TNF on Prime Video - San Francisco 2-3 at Seattle 3-2*** (+3.5, 49) 8:15 (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter Ministry of Pain
- Start date
Ministry of Pain
Footballguy
Options tonight
QB: Brock Purdy and Geno Smith, some of you might have both of them
Both defenses are middle of the road when it comes to giving up FF to opposing QBs, I don't expect either to have amazing nights this evening
But Vegas is calling for 7 TDs, that would make one guess at least one of them is likely to put up 2-3 TDs this evening, Division rivalry for 1st place
Smith 7th overall and Purdy checks in 14th, one would think Smith is the play if you are going to start either one of them.
Purdy is steady and once every few games makes a Top 5-10 appearance
RB: Mason fumbled last week, keep an eye on him. Kenny Walker III has been great coming off an early season injury
WR: Metcalf is a must start but what about Jaxon Smith ? He has 19 targets in 2 weeks, what are the chances Seattle isn't throwing the football tonight?
Jauan Jennings ironically is 13th overall at WR and yet you likely will not start him tonight. Aiyuk 8/147 last week, is he back to form?
CB Riq Woolen is OUT in Seattle secondary, Deebo Samuel is a tough start but you have to think he will be more involved tonight and more like what we saw Weeks 1 and 2, yes/no?
TE: Kittle for SF and I can't see many wanting to wheel out Noah Fant tonight
PK: Moody is OUT! Make sure you drop him and get another kicker, he has a high ankle sprain, you can pick him back up later
Def/ST: Is either of them a good start this evening?
QB: Brock Purdy and Geno Smith, some of you might have both of them
Both defenses are middle of the road when it comes to giving up FF to opposing QBs, I don't expect either to have amazing nights this evening
But Vegas is calling for 7 TDs, that would make one guess at least one of them is likely to put up 2-3 TDs this evening, Division rivalry for 1st place
Smith 7th overall and Purdy checks in 14th, one would think Smith is the play if you are going to start either one of them.
Purdy is steady and once every few games makes a Top 5-10 appearance
RB: Mason fumbled last week, keep an eye on him. Kenny Walker III has been great coming off an early season injury
WR: Metcalf is a must start but what about Jaxon Smith ? He has 19 targets in 2 weeks, what are the chances Seattle isn't throwing the football tonight?
Jauan Jennings ironically is 13th overall at WR and yet you likely will not start him tonight. Aiyuk 8/147 last week, is he back to form?
CB Riq Woolen is OUT in Seattle secondary, Deebo Samuel is a tough start but you have to think he will be more involved tonight and more like what we saw Weeks 1 and 2, yes/no?
TE: Kittle for SF and I can't see many wanting to wheel out Noah Fant tonight
PK: Moody is OUT! Make sure you drop him and get another kicker, he has a high ankle sprain, you can pick him back up later
Def/ST: Is either of them a good start this evening?
Ministry of Pain
Footballguy
Seahawks were trying to make people believe Weeks 1, 2 and 3 but a couple of those wins were less than impressive especially in hindsight
The Niners haven't been playing that well either after they ripped apart the Jets week 1
Feels like the Niners just haven't found their groove and have been overcoming injuries and off field things like holdouts running up to Week 1
You want to pick SF in a convincing win much like what Detroit did to Seattle but for some reason it has that feel of a 1 score football game
I think the Seahawks drop their 3rd straight game and go 3-3
SanFran 28 (no field goals)
Seattle 24
The Niners haven't been playing that well either after they ripped apart the Jets week 1
Feels like the Niners just haven't found their groove and have been overcoming injuries and off field things like holdouts running up to Week 1
You want to pick SF in a convincing win much like what Detroit did to Seattle but for some reason it has that feel of a 1 score football game
I think the Seahawks drop their 3rd straight game and go 3-3
SanFran 28 (no field goals)
Seattle 24
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doeseatplace
Footballguy
This is the 3rd year in a row that the 9ers have played a TNF game in Seattle, bringing a 2-0 record straight up and ATS.
Geno Smith is 3-7 in night games as a Seahawk-tuah and Purdy is 6-2 under the lights.
This year, Sea has hit the overs 4 times and SF 3, but SF games have only exceeded 49 twice and Sea only once (with one push)
The last two season TNF totals in this matchup have been 44 and 34.
There's been a lot of discussion about Seattle's recent collapse, but the 49ers have only beaten the Jets and Pats and have lost two division games to teams that are not projected to make the playoffs.
Moody's absence is a problem for a team that has the 2nd worst special teams DVOA (altho' Seattle is below average as well)
I'll take Seattle at +3.5 and Under a big, big 49.0.
Clearing the decks from last week, Costanza betting netted me an 0-3-1 record (two OT losses!) through the 1 pm games, so I basically threw in the towel on the rest of the games.
On the year, I'm a putrid 17-22-1, so if anyone needs their lawn mowed, I could use some extra cash.
Good luck everyone!
Geno Smith is 3-7 in night games as a Seahawk-tuah and Purdy is 6-2 under the lights.
This year, Sea has hit the overs 4 times and SF 3, but SF games have only exceeded 49 twice and Sea only once (with one push)
The last two season TNF totals in this matchup have been 44 and 34.
There's been a lot of discussion about Seattle's recent collapse, but the 49ers have only beaten the Jets and Pats and have lost two division games to teams that are not projected to make the playoffs.
Moody's absence is a problem for a team that has the 2nd worst special teams DVOA (altho' Seattle is below average as well)
I'll take Seattle at +3.5 and Under a big, big 49.0.
Clearing the decks from last week, Costanza betting netted me an 0-3-1 record (two OT losses!) through the 1 pm games, so I basically threw in the towel on the rest of the games.
On the year, I'm a putrid 17-22-1, so if anyone needs their lawn mowed, I could use some extra cash.
Good luck everyone!
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I thought The Seahawks were better than I thought they were
Until they weren't
I think the Niners have been pretty much who I thought they were given their injury situation.
Mason is a pretty good running back but San Fran misses CMC big time.
Seahawks not to intimidating at home right now.
I think The Niners are feeling a sense of urgency after last week and will bounce back in Prime Time...
The City By The Bay- 27
The Emerald City- 23
Until they weren't
I think the Niners have been pretty much who I thought they were given their injury situation.
Mason is a pretty good running back but San Fran misses CMC big time.
Seahawks not to intimidating at home right now.
I think The Niners are feeling a sense of urgency after last week and will bounce back in Prime Time...
The City By The Bay- 27
The Emerald City- 23
Jaxon has fewer yards than Lockett. JSN is a good possession WR, but isn't making the year 2 jump many expected. And Lockett is still good, FWIW a higher pff grade than either Metcalf or JSN!
Runnyb
Footballguy
I just want to say thanks for these threads and everyone that contributes to them. I value the analysis and opinions and it helps me finalize my decisions what bets I place. I am down to 1 league and fantasy has taken a slight backseat to DK the past few years.
Anyways, I appreciate you all and I lurk this thread before each game. Keep em coming MoP!
Anyways, I appreciate you all and I lurk this thread before each game. Keep em coming MoP!
Runnyb
Footballguy
Wish I had solid analysis to add, but I would just be regurgitating things I've read which seems useless.
This has me thinking very hard about trying a Costanza bet, but I been a roll the last 2 weeks (and probably just jinxed myself saying it out loud here).
I came to this thread thinking injuries would help it get close to 49 (so I'd buy it lower) and Seattle is embarrassed losing to the Giants at home. So buying points here, I was leaning Seattle +7 and over 40.
SF 14 Sea 27 in my humble uneducated opinion.
need2know
Footballguy
This year? My whole life
BoltNlava
Footballguy
Heeeeeerrrreeeess Deebo!
I'll pick the slight upset and say Seattle wins 31-24, and we start asking some real questions about SF's defense.
I think Kenneth Walker has a monster game and is featured early after last weeks 5 carry debacle. I could see 5 carries on the first drive. I also think Tyler Lockett is a sneaky good start with all the injuries around the league. Could do a lot worse as a WR3 or flex guy.
For SF. I think this was the Deebo buy low week. He's gonna be more expensive after this game. I also think Aiyuk gets his. I think Purdy is a top-10 QB this week. Might be a slower week again for Mason if he doesn't see the endzone.
The matchup to watch is Stone Forsythe (former 6th round pick) vs Nick Bosa. If anything sinks Seattle's offense it'll be that.
I think Kenneth Walker has a monster game and is featured early after last weeks 5 carry debacle. I could see 5 carries on the first drive. I also think Tyler Lockett is a sneaky good start with all the injuries around the league. Could do a lot worse as a WR3 or flex guy.
For SF. I think this was the Deebo buy low week. He's gonna be more expensive after this game. I also think Aiyuk gets his. I think Purdy is a top-10 QB this week. Might be a slower week again for Mason if he doesn't see the endzone.
The matchup to watch is Stone Forsythe (former 6th round pick) vs Nick Bosa. If anything sinks Seattle's offense it'll be that.
doeseatplace
Footballguy
0-3 in the division with KC and Dallas next up. Yikes!
irish eyes
Footballguy
Never should have went away from those, sharp.
doeseatplace
Footballguy
First of 9 games this week with a home dog!
karl.Racki
Footballguy
Sam Howell time soon...
ProstheticRGK
Footballguy
Big INT by the backup S
The RT for Seattle needs help.
ProstheticRGK
Footballguy
Deebo schemed wiiiiide open
ohio#1eaglesfan
Footballguy
Mason!!!!
ProstheticRGK
Footballguy
Is it my imagination, or does Purdy look like he has happy feet tonight? He looks like he’s bailing from the pocket before pressure’s actually there.
VikingFrog
Footballguy
A little. But he also has the uncanny knack to settle back into the pocket after looking like his going to run or exit.
Not something I see from a lot of qbs.
Ministry of Pain
Footballguy
Worst wobbly short FG I've ever seen
I thought if the Niners have to try a FG outside of 40 yards tonight, they're in trouble
I thought if the Niners have to try a FG outside of 40 yards tonight, they're in trouble
ProstheticRGK
Footballguy
Yeah, he has uncommonly good pocket awareness. Which is why I was wondering what he was sensing.
ShamrockPride
Footballguy
Michaels just have a stroke?
ohio#1eaglesfan
Footballguy
He’s been playing like that all year. Recipe for a disaster imo. I could see him taking a big hit running around too much
ProstheticRGK
Footballguy
This is the 1st 9er game I’m watching start to finish this year. It struck me from the first snap.
ohio#1eaglesfan
Footballguy
Hopefully I made the right decision benching JSN tonight. So far so good
karl.Racki
Footballguy
Geno is such trash
Cowboysfan8
Footballguy
And now Metcalf. Letting them play so far
Cowboysfan8
Footballguy
“That’s what I look like??”
ohio#1eaglesfan
Footballguy
He’s been playing great but I’d hate to see him get hurt trying to extend the play and taking off too much
ProstheticRGK
Footballguy
I’m gonna go out on a limb and predict a huge game for Mason.
Cowboysfan8
Footballguy
:no jinx:I’m gonna go out on a limb and predict a huge game for Mason.
ohio#1eaglesfan
Footballguy
Real sturdy limb! Insert Chubs from Happy Gilmore gifI’m gonna go out on a limb and predict a huge game for Mason.
Long Ball Larry
Footballguy
Big fan of some of the 80s and 90s throwbacks lately, though that also makes me realize how old I am that those are considered throwbacks now…
rockaction
Footballguy
Fred Warner. My God.
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