Man of Zen
Footballguy
Platypi? Stupid Latin.
The point is that just because a guy WAS a stud doesn't mean he will always be a stud, or that he is still just a stud. Situation and age DO matter, and if you just say "He's Tom Brady, start him," without considering his age, and his situation, that doesn't make sense, FF speaking.The fact that Brady has put up numbers for 10 years, can actually be a point against him, because it means he's not in his prime anymore.So when Dan Marino was 36, and his top receivers were OJ McDuffie and Troy Drayton, you didn't overanalyze the quality of his targets, and trusted your stud QB? How did Marinos 3800 yards and 16 TDs work out for you that year?socrates said:Tom Brady continues to produce, season after season, regardless of who lines up at receiver. I learned many years ago, as a former Dan Marino fantasy owner, not to overanalyze the quality of the targets, and just trust your stud QB. Tom Brady will be just fine. If you are fortunate enough to have him leading your fantasy team, just set him in your lineup, and forget about it.When Dan Marino was 36, he was coming off two injury plagued seasons, the most recent of which saw him light up the scoreboard for 2800/17, and was going undrafted in fantasy drafts.
Apples to Platypuses.
IT'S ONE GAME!!!! And after one game, Brady is on track to have a 4608/32 season. Amendola will be out this week, but odds are that he should be back next week and perhaps Gronk as well. You guys are way overthinking this.That's my point. I did draft him there, but I saw the upside for more (based on pre-season reports about Thompkins, Sudfeld, Vereen, Amendola, etc). Since Thompkins and Sudfeld underwhelmed in game 1, and Vereen and Amendola are hurt, I don't necessarily see the upside.Let's assume we are talking about a mid-low level QB1 not named "Tom Brady." If this hypothetical QB lost two of his top receivers in the 1st game, would it not make sense to consider replacing him with a back-up QB? Is it just the fact that his name is "Tom Brady" that is sparking such outrage?You should of drafted him as a mid level starter qb6ish. He will be that but dont expect him to carry your team.
I have been seriously considering that in one league where I really don't have a shot at winning this week anyway. Pryor outscored him by 7 points and is facing the inept Jags. Dicey, but figuring that I might as well swing for the fences.Benching Tom Brady this week for Terrelle Pryor.![]()
dead serious.
The rules 16 years ago are not what they are now. It's a pass friendly league now.So when Dan Marino was 36, and his top receivers were OJ McDuffie and Troy Drayton, you didn't overanalyze the quality of his targets, and trusted your stud QB? How did Marinos 3800 yards and 16 TDs work out for you that year?socrates said:Tom Brady continues to produce, season after season, regardless of who lines up at receiver. I learned many years ago, as a former Dan Marino fantasy owner, not to overanalyze the quality of the targets, and just trust your stud QB. Tom Brady will be just fine. If you are fortunate enough to have him leading your fantasy team, just set him in your lineup, and forget about it.
Swinging for the fences would be starting Brady. Just so ya know.I have been seriously considering that in one league where I really don't have a shot at winning this week anyway. Pryor outscored him by 7 points and is facing the inept Jags. Dicey, but figuring that I might as well swing for the fences.Benching Tom Brady this week for Terrelle Pryor.![]()
dead serious.
I wasn't complaining about his ONE GAME, or the stats he put up in it. I was asking a question about the injuries NE receivers suffered, if it was time to look at other QB options.IT'S ONE GAME!!!! And after one game, Brady is on track to have a 4608/32 season. Amendola will be out this week, but odds are that he should be back next week and perhaps Gronk as well. You guys are way overthinking this.That's my point. I did draft him there, but I saw the upside for more (based on pre-season reports about Thompkins, Sudfeld, Vereen, Amendola, etc). Since Thompkins and Sudfeld underwhelmed in game 1, and Vereen and Amendola are hurt, I don't necessarily see the upside.Let's assume we are talking about a mid-low level QB1 not named "Tom Brady." If this hypothetical QB lost two of his top receivers in the 1st game, would it not make sense to consider replacing him with a back-up QB? Is it just the fact that his name is "Tom Brady" that is sparking such outrage?You should of drafted him as a mid level starter qb6ish. He will be that but dont expect him to carry your team.
I know the NFL is different now. In a "typical" league, Marino was QB11 that year. I don't know why anyone would say "I have QB11, I'll just plug him into my lineup and forget it." Typically if you have the last startable position player (or 2nd to last), you'd play matchups, and/or look to upgrade. But evidently if you consider that with Marino or Brady, you are bashing them.The rules 16 years ago are not what they are now. It's a pass friendly league now.So when Dan Marino was 36, and his top receivers were OJ McDuffie and Troy Drayton, you didn't overanalyze the quality of his targets, and trusted your stud QB? How did Marinos 3800 yards and 16 TDs work out for you that year?socrates said:Tom Brady continues to produce, season after season, regardless of who lines up at receiver. I learned many years ago, as a former Dan Marino fantasy owner, not to overanalyze the quality of the targets, and just trust your stud QB. Tom Brady will be just fine. If you are fortunate enough to have him leading your fantasy team, just set him in your lineup, and forget about it.
Also, that year, Marino was 1st in the league for completions, 3rd in passing yards, and only 3 TD's shy of 10th place there.
I think it worked out pretty well for him that year.
No such reasons?I don't want to dissuade anybody from starting Pryor. I think he's an exciting option.
I was just advising somebody who started a thread purportedly asking whether there were good reasons to jump ship on Brady. There are no such reasons, but it turns out it was just meant as a Brady bashing thread.
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Whatever. I like both players this weekend. GL to all, no matter their choices.
i wouldnt of expected to much upside until gronk came back. now i would be worried. i think middle of the pack is his upside now. i wouldnt flush him for cutler right now but a few more under whelming weeks and i wouldnt be afraid to either. agree u cant get caught up in the name.That's my point. I did draft him there, but I saw the upside for more (based on pre-season reports about Thompkins, Sudfeld, Vereen, Amendola, etc). Since Thompkins and Sudfeld underwhelmed in game 1, and Vereen and Amendola are hurt, I don't necessarily see the upside.Let's assume we are talking about a mid-low level QB1 not named "Tom Brady." If this hypothetical QB lost two of his top receivers in the 1st game, would it not make sense to consider replacing him with a back-up QB? Is it just the fact that his name is "Tom Brady" that is sparking such outrage?You should of drafted him as a mid level starter qb6ish. He will be that but dont expect him to carry your team.
Do people fully realize what they are complaining about? Brady botched a snap and easily could have run in or passed for a TD (they needed one foot). Similarly, if Ridley doesn't cough up the ball for a TD return, NE most likely gets at least 3 more points. With the change of two plays which were atypical to NE, they would have scored their usual 33 points, Brady would have had around 300/3, and no one would even be talking about this.i wouldnt of expected to much upside until gronk came back. now i would be worried. i think middle of the pack is his upside now. i wouldnt flush him for cutler right now but a few more under whelming weeks and i wouldnt be afraid to either. agree u cant get caught up in the name.That's my point. I did draft him there, but I saw the upside for more (based on pre-season reports about Thompkins, Sudfeld, Vereen, Amendola, etc). Since Thompkins and Sudfeld underwhelmed in game 1, and Vereen and Amendola are hurt, I don't necessarily see the upside.Let's assume we are talking about a mid-low level QB1 not named "Tom Brady." If this hypothetical QB lost two of his top receivers in the 1st game, would it not make sense to consider replacing him with a back-up QB? Is it just the fact that his name is "Tom Brady" that is sparking such outrage?You should of drafted him as a mid level starter qb6ish. He will be that but dont expect him to carry your team.
I'd be pretty shocked if they scored 10 points.Do people fully realize what they are complaining about? Brady botched a snap and easily could have run in or passed for a TD (they needed one foot). Similarly, if Ridley doesn't cough up the ball for a TD return, NE most likely gets at least 3 more points. With the change of two plays which were atypical to NE, they would have scored their usual 33 points, Brady would have had around 300/3, and no one would even be talking about this.i wouldnt of expected to much upside until gronk came back. now i would be worried. i think middle of the pack is his upside now. i wouldnt flush him for cutler right now but a few more under whelming weeks and i wouldnt be afraid to either. agree u cant get caught up in the name.That's my point. I did draft him there, but I saw the upside for more (based on pre-season reports about Thompkins, Sudfeld, Vereen, Amendola, etc). Since Thompkins and Sudfeld underwhelmed in game 1, and Vereen and Amendola are hurt, I don't necessarily see the upside.Let's assume we are talking about a mid-low level QB1 not named "Tom Brady." If this hypothetical QB lost two of his top receivers in the 1st game, would it not make sense to consider replacing him with a back-up QB? Is it just the fact that his name is "Tom Brady" that is sparking such outrage?You should of drafted him as a mid level starter qb6ish. He will be that but dont expect him to carry your team.
Lost in all this is how the defense played. They gave up 7 points. The offense allowed 14. Yet somehow the sky is falling and Brady and the Pats are done and the offense is in a free fall.
Yes, THIS WEEK on a short week and Amendola out, Brady might not have a huge week. It would not shock me if the Pats scored 10 points . . . or 40 points. With Brady playing and the OL healthy you never know.
Well come on, they'll score 10 points accidentally.Do people fully realize what they are complaining about? Brady botched a snap and easily could have run in or passed for a TD (they needed one foot). Similarly, if Ridley doesn't cough up the ball for a TD return, NE most likely gets at least 3 more points. With the change of two plays which were atypical to NE, they would have scored their usual 33 points, Brady would have had around 300/3, and no one would even be talking about this.i wouldnt of expected to much upside until gronk came back. now i would be worried. i think middle of the pack is his upside now. i wouldnt flush him for cutler right now but a few more under whelming weeks and i wouldnt be afraid to either. agree u cant get caught up in the name.That's my point. I did draft him there, but I saw the upside for more (based on pre-season reports about Thompkins, Sudfeld, Vereen, Amendola, etc). Since Thompkins and Sudfeld underwhelmed in game 1, and Vereen and Amendola are hurt, I don't necessarily see the upside.Let's assume we are talking about a mid-low level QB1 not named "Tom Brady." If this hypothetical QB lost two of his top receivers in the 1st game, would it not make sense to consider replacing him with a back-up QB? Is it just the fact that his name is "Tom Brady" that is sparking such outrage?You should of drafted him as a mid level starter qb6ish. He will be that but dont expect him to carry your team.
Lost in all this is how the defense played. They gave up 7 points. The offense allowed 14. Yet somehow the sky is falling and Brady and the Pats are done and the offense is in a free fall.
Yes, THIS WEEK on a short week and Amendola out, Brady might not have a huge week. It would not shock me if the Pats scored 10 points . . . or 40 points. With Brady playing and the OL healthy you never know.
Again, knock yourself out.No such reasons?I don't want to dissuade anybody from starting Pryor. I think he's an exciting option.
I was just advising somebody who started a thread purportedly asking whether there were good reasons to jump ship on Brady. There are no such reasons, but it turns out it was just meant as a Brady bashing thread.
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Whatever. I like both players this weekend. GL to all, no matter their choices.
1-top 4 receivers from last year are not currently available
2-2 of the top receiving options from this year are now out (one indefinitely, one for over 2 months)
3-two of the rookie receiving options who looked good in the preseason, looked bad in week 1
That's 3 reasons. Perhaps you think they aren't enough to doubt Brady, but that doesn't mean they don't exist.
Really? Then why am I starting him over my backup options this week? If I was "writing his obit," I wouldn't start him, would I?Again, knock yourself out.No such reasons?I don't want to dissuade anybody from starting Pryor. I think he's an exciting option.
I was just advising somebody who started a thread purportedly asking whether there were good reasons to jump ship on Brady. There are no such reasons, but it turns out it was just meant as a Brady bashing thread.
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Whatever. I like both players this weekend. GL to all, no matter their choices.
1-top 4 receivers from last year are not currently available
2-2 of the top receiving options from this year are now out (one indefinitely, one for over 2 months)
3-two of the rookie receiving options who looked good in the preseason, looked bad in week 1
That's 3 reasons. Perhaps you think they aren't enough to doubt Brady, but that doesn't mean they don't exist.
I'm done "arguing" because I didn't come to argue. You presented this as a question, and when presented with answers, you didn't bother to consider or weigh or even suggest counterpoints to your thesis might be interesting.
You did what you quite obviously came here to do: write Brady's obit. Which, if you want to, again, that's fine. My problem isn't with the thread or the POV. It's with you. If your opinion is that Brady sucks, start a topic called "Brady sucks." Don't ask for goodwill input when you have no intention of listening to it, but are really just here to hear yourself spew.![]()
So to recap:Brady-under 50% completions, under 200 yards, 1 TD, visibly upset with his young receivers, reports Amendola might miss 6 weeks.Really? Then why am I starting him over my backup options this week? If I was "writing his obit," I wouldn't start him, would I?You said I was presented with answers; but I don't consider "He's Brady," "He's been doing it for a decade," "Dan Marino did it," and "always start your studs" answer, at least not logical ones.Again, knock yourself out.I'm done "arguing" because I didn't come to argue. You presented this as a question, and when presented with answers, you didn't bother to consider or weigh or even suggest counterpoints to your thesis might be interesting.No such reasons?1-top 4 receivers from last year are not currently availableI don't want to dissuade anybody from starting Pryor. I think he's an exciting option.
I was just advising somebody who started a thread purportedly asking whether there were good reasons to jump ship on Brady. There are no such reasons, but it turns out it was just meant as a Brady bashing thread.
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Whatever. I like both players this weekend. GL to all, no matter their choices.
2-2 of the top receiving options from this year are now out (one indefinitely, one for over 2 months)
3-two of the rookie receiving options who looked good in the preseason, looked bad in week 1
That's 3 reasons. Perhaps you think they aren't enough to doubt Brady, but that doesn't mean they don't exist.
You did what you quite obviously came here to do: write Brady's obit. Which, if you want to, again, that's fine. My problem isn't with the thread or the POV. It's with you. If your opinion is that Brady sucks, start a topic called "Brady sucks." Don't ask for goodwill input when you have no intention of listening to it, but are really just here to hear yourself spew.![]()
And I don't think Brady sucks, I just think with his lack of receiving weapons, he is a bottom tier QB1 (posted this several times in this thread, NEVER posted "Brady sucks), and as such, other options should be considered depending on matchups.
You seem to be the one wanting to spew "Brady is a must start," despite many things pointing to a different conclusion, for the time being.
This 100% correct. Dola and Gronk come back. And the young WRs will improve. There is nothing I see to suggest that Brady's skills are eroding. His WRs makes a couple of more catches - like if he Thompkins catch wasn't called back and his line would look a lot better. He is still a top 5 QB every week when Gronk et al returnIT'S ONE GAME!!!! And after one game, Brady is on track to have a 4608/32 season. Amendola will be out this week, but odds are that he should be back next week and perhaps Gronk as well. You guys are way overthinking this.
Similar to what I think.To answer the question of the original post, I think Brady's numbers would be fine if he has the following guys all healthy on the field at the same time: Gronk, Vereen, Amendola, Edelman, Ridley, and Thompkins. If people want to say that could be never, I won't fault you for taking that position. Dobson was a good news bad news situation. The good news was he got open a lot, the bad news was he couldn't catch the ball. I doubt Boyce does much this year, as it looks pretty clear that he is raw, is having a tough time picking up the offense, and if ever he were going to play a bigger role it would have been last night.
And for all the people saying BB's arrogance made this situation the way it is, people are quick to forget the timeline of what happened. When the half-hearted negotiations were going on with Welker, the Pats were thinking they had a healthy Gronk (who went on to go have back surgery), Hernandez was goping to play a bigger role (but went on to star in the sequel to The Longest Yard), and they were still hopeful they would have Lloyd back at a reduced salary. I am sure they were hopeful that one of the rookie WRS might chip in here and there. Combine those guys with Amendola, Edelman, Ridley, Vereen, etc. and having Welker depart to DEN did not seem as big a deal as it has become. However, with the personnel losses and injuries, they have now thrust the rookie crop into the linelight, which I don't think they ever were planning to have to do en masse.
So I would agree that until Gronk and Amendola get back, Brady might not be the best fantasy option out there. However, I am not ready to declare that the sky is falling for the entire season just yet.
I'm sort of the wrong one to ask as I didn't follow him much in college. However, I did see some college highlight reel catches and there were some claims that he played his final season without dropping a pass (although I believed that was debunked).Similar to what I think.To answer the question of the original post, I think Brady's numbers would be fine if he has the following guys all healthy on the field at the same time: Gronk, Vereen, Amendola, Edelman, Ridley, and Thompkins. If people want to say that could be never, I won't fault you for taking that position. Dobson was a good news bad news situation. The good news was he got open a lot, the bad news was he couldn't catch the ball. I doubt Boyce does much this year, as it looks pretty clear that he is raw, is having a tough time picking up the offense, and if ever he were going to play a bigger role it would have been last night.
And for all the people saying BB's arrogance made this situation the way it is, people are quick to forget the timeline of what happened. When the half-hearted negotiations were going on with Welker, the Pats were thinking they had a healthy Gronk (who went on to go have back surgery), Hernandez was goping to play a bigger role (but went on to star in the sequel to The Longest Yard), and they were still hopeful they would have Lloyd back at a reduced salary. I am sure they were hopeful that one of the rookie WRS might chip in here and there. Combine those guys with Amendola, Edelman, Ridley, Vereen, etc. and having Welker depart to DEN did not seem as big a deal as it has become. However, with the personnel losses and injuries, they have now thrust the rookie crop into the linelight, which I don't think they ever were planning to have to do en masse.
So I would agree that until Gronk and Amendola get back, Brady might not be the best fantasy option out there. However, I am not ready to declare that the sky is falling for the entire season just yet.
With regards to Dobson, were hands a question for him prior to last night, or does that seem like a case of a rookie's first NFL game being in prime-time, and perhaps a case of nerves.
From what I saw, he looked like a legitimate threat to the deeper parts of the field, and if D's have to respect that (which they really haven't had to do the last few years against NE), that could open things up when Gronk, Amendola, Vereen come back.
Because there is so much we can learn from 11 quarters of football from 3 seasons ago when the first two games were when Brady was returning from a year long absence.From the other thread
http://sports.espn.go.com/boston/news/story?id=4794467
Is Welker better than he was ever given credit for?
Is Brady worse?
Because there is nothing we can learn.....Because there is so much we can learn from 11 quarters of football from 3 seasons ago when the first two games were when Brady was returning from a year long absence.From the other threadhttp://sports.espn.go.com/boston/news/story?id=4794467
Is Welker better than he was ever given credit for?
Is Brady worse?
My point being that if you watched the games that they are describing, in the early going in 2009 Brady was both rusty and terrified and looked like a deer in the headlights His performance most of that season was shaky at best.Because there is nothing we can learn.....Because there is so much we can learn from 11 quarters of football from 3 seasons ago when the first two games were when Brady was returning from a year long absence.From the other threadhttp://sports.espn.go.com/boston/news/story?id=4794467
Is Welker better than he was ever given credit for?
Is Brady worse?
I don't know if Brady was pouty but the broadcast booth seemed to think so or kept highlighting that.So I came here to see the activity in the now locked Kenbrell Thompkins thread, but I came there to actually post about Brady, then stumbled across this thread.
My $0.02 - Brady looks bad. You can blame it on the rookie WR's, you can say that he'll get better when the big targets come back, but I think the simple truth is Brady is a guy who now has to make a living off of passes under 15 yards, and I really don't see him going through progressions well. I don't see him as a deep ball guy anymore. As someone in another thread said, he hasn't had a deep-ball guy since Moss. Everyone has said that's been a WR thing, but I'm wondering if it's Brady. He's the common thread. He looks unwilling to go deep very often.
He basically looks for the 5-10 yard in route on nearly every play. What is as perplexing is why the Jets couldn't stop it, but that's a different story. Brady has inexperienced rookie WR's...fact. But you can't just stand there and scream at them all game. At some point, Brady and/or Belichick has to adjust their play calling to adjust to the FACT that they have inexperienced rookie WR's. Less read routes. Brady needs to realize this as well and stop being such a prim a-donna. He flat out missed a few guys last night, and you didn't see his WR's yelling at him and acting like a 4-year olds. When great QB's get dealt a bad supporting cast, they make the best of it. Great QB's make those around them better. At this point, I think Brady needs to learn to adjust his game to the fact that he doesn't have the weapons he's previously had, instead of complaining about it visibly after every play.
thru one game. Manning welker are not even gonna come close to that reg production on a weekly basis... Manning will end up with 5000 and 35 tds... he will be top 3 qb but these astranomical figures like 7 tds and over 400 yards passing are going to come way down 60 percent decrease in tds on avg basis.My point being that if you watched the games that they are describing, in the early going in 2009 Brady was both rusty and terrified and looked like a deer in the headlights His performance most of that season was shaky at best.Because there is nothing we can learn.....Because there is so much we can learn from 11 quarters of football from 3 seasons ago when the first two games were when Brady was returning from a year long absence.From the other threadhttp://sports.espn.go.com/boston/news/story?id=4794467
Is Welker better than he was ever given credit for?
Is Brady worse?
People can try to connect whatever dots they want to draw conclusions. Like Peyton Manning is suddenly a much better QB playing with Welker, as he's average 450 yds passing and 7 TD a game with Welker.
Why did Welker drop the pass in the SB, then?From the other thread
http://sports.espn.go.com/boston/news/story?id=4794467
Is Welker better than he was ever given credit for?
Is Brady worse?
That was my point. Manning and Welker have played one game together. To draw any conclusions would be silly. In the linked article, the analysis was based on 2 games Brady played with Welker when Brady had not played in an entire year . . . and the final 3/4 of a game when Welker got injured. So I agree, the sample size for either made the analysis mostly worth very little.thru one game. Manning welker are not even gonna come close to that reg production on a weekly basis... Manning will end up with 5000 and 35 tds... he will be top 3 qb but these astranomical figures like 7 tds and over 400 yards passing are going to come way down 60 percent decrease in tds on avg basis.My point being that if you watched the games that they are describing, in the early going in 2009 Brady was both rusty and terrified and looked like a deer in the headlights His performance most of that season was shaky at best.Because there is nothing we can learn.....Because there is so much we can learn from 11 quarters of football from 3 seasons ago when the first two games were when Brady was returning from a year long absence.From the other threadhttp://sports.espn.go.com/boston/news/story?id=4794467
Is Welker better than he was ever given credit for?
Is Brady worse?
People can try to connect whatever dots they want to draw conclusions. Like Peyton Manning is suddenly a much better QB playing with Welker, as he's average 450 yds passing and 7 TD a game with Welker.
What do you think would happen if a team's top receiver got hurt and only had a week to prepare against a playoff team? Do you think the QB's numbers would go up, stay the same, or drop?What about the playoffs that year with no Welker. Under 200 yards, three INTs, one and done.
My only point is that if I was asked before the season, can Brady be a top 5 fantasy QB without Welker I would say yes with 100% confidence.
Watching his play, my confidence that he can be top 5 when his weapons return has dipped and others should take note of this info and make their own opinion.
The bolded was the best analogy I could come up with to finding a similar elite QB and stripping him of similar weapons. And then, instead of normal Saints WRs, replace them with a couple draft picks in Week 2 on a short week of NO PRACTICES! and then play half the game in a monsoon. Oh, and then play the game vs a division rival who in the past has game planned and shut down much better offenses.What do you think would happen if a team's top receiver got hurt and only had a week to prepare against a playoff team? Do you think the QB's numbers would go up, stay the same, or drop?What about the playoffs that year with no Welker. Under 200 yards, three INTs, one and done.
My only point is that if I was asked before the season, can Brady be a top 5 fantasy QB without Welker I would say yes with 100% confidence.
Watching his play, my confidence that he can be top 5 when his weapons return has dipped and others should take note of this info and make their own opinion.
As others have mentioned, 3 of Brady's main targets right now are injured . . . Gronk, Amendola, and Vereen. Temporarily take away Graham, Colston, and Sproles and let's see how Brees performs.
This week and maybe next week Brady has guys banged up so don't expect great numbers. If his main guys remain hurt, then he will continue to produce so so numbers.
I saw that. However, that injury occurred last week, I think. He has been inaccurate all year.They showed his hand really banged up during the game yesterday. It must be affecting him.