Trading in the preseason (1 Viewer)

[bshell27]

Why are there so many trades happening in the preseason? None in my league yet, but I see guys on here trading left and right. Don't you want to wait and see how the games turn out this weekend before you trade on gut feelings alone? I would be tempted to trade Edge for a WR in one of my leagues, but I am waiting to find out what happens first. Won't you be sick to your stomach when you watch a guy you just traded play out of his ####? What is the strategy behind this? Guys get drafted for a reason. It seems like a waste of trade until you see them perform on Sunday.

 

[sterjs]

Uncertainty=Value

 

[Sanboy]

is this a serious post ?

you really dont understand why people trade before the season starts

1. watching a single game in the first week says nothing ... on how the entire season is going to " play " out ..... using your strategy you should watch the entire season and then do trades .. LOL ..

2. it gambling ... you make a trade for a guy like M.Colston before the season starts a couple years back and you get him for what would have been nothing ... you try and trade for him after a couple weeks .. no way the owner who had him trades him for the value he was before he BLEW UP .. you gamble and try and get VALUE before the VALUE EITHER GOES UP OR DOWN

this kind of post reminds me of someone who is scared to trade ....

enjoy the FREE YAHOO TYPE LEAGUES !

 

[bshell27]

Uncertainty=Value

How is that value when both players being traded back and forth are uncertain? Like I stated it is based on gut feelings only. Why not let it ride? I can see filling a need, but you may not know if it is a need or not. It just seems like, in most redraft leagues, a (ridiculous(too harsh)) questionable thing to do.

 

[bshell27]

is this a serious post ? you really dont understand why people trade before the season starts 1. watching a single game in the first week says nothing ... on how the entire season is going to " play " out ..... using your strategy you should watch the entire season and then do trades .. LOL .. 2. it gambling ... you make a trade for a guy like M.Colston before the season starts a couple years back and you get him for what would have been nothing ... you try and trade for him after a couple weeks .. no way the owner who had him trades him for the value he was before he BLEW UP .. you gamble and try and get VALUE before the VALUE EITHER GOES UP OR DOWN this kind of post reminds me of someone who is scared to trade .... enjoy the FREE YAHOO TYPE LEAGUES !

Thanks Sanboy. That was a very insightful and well thought out post. Obviously from reading that post you could very well make the assumption that I am a rube who knows nothing of fantasy football. I understand that you are trading based on gut feelings, but your gut and strategy drafted the team right? I have a need for WR on my team in a 12 man league, but I find it hard to trade due to the fact that my gut tells me the guys I drafted will work out. Maybe the guy you are trading turns out to be the Colston his rookie year. You can never capitalize on that now you already traded him away due to short sighted comments you just made. Keep buying into what the herd tells you, but I am going to stick with my guys until at least two weeks into the season!! Enjoy posting irrelevant comments.

 

[Bolted]

I trade before the first game sometimes and it isn't all the unusual. I look for the following situations and pounce....

I often look for trade value especially in picks 8 and beyond. I tend to to end up with wealth at a position. Then I look for the guys that weren't paying attention to what they were doing. For example in 1 leauge, a guy had Burress, Curtis, and Bruce at WR. I happen to have some nice WR's and want to upgrade at a position like RB. He has a couple of decent RBs on his bench, so I offer a trade. Since he is under pressure, he is forced to trade a RB he took in the 6th for a WR I took in the 9th. Great deal for me.

I also look for guys I thought would drop further but didn't. For example one trade this year was for my backup TE. I thought LJ Smith would be there in the 16th but wasn't. He went in the 12th. I traded a late pick WR to the owner for him. Sure, had I known he would go in the 12th, I would have took him, but I gambled and lost. This gives me the guy I want even though I missed him in the draft.

Honestly some guys don't really know what they have, and prior to the first game is the perfect time to try and upgrade. If LJ Smith gets 80 yards and a TD because the other WRs are hurt in game 1, I got zero shot at getting him.

Doesn't always work, but thinking you can't upgrade from who you drafted prior to week one is just loser think.

 

[sterjs]

Uncertainty=Value

How is that value when both players being traded back and forth are uncertain? Like I stated it is based on gut feelings only. Why not let it ride? I can see filling a need, but you may not know if it is a need or not. It just seems like, in most redraft leagues, a (ridiculous(too harsh)) questionable thing to do.

Do you think you're worse at valuing players than the other owners? If you have an edge, it is most apparent in trades involving uncertain players. There's little value trading known quantities for known quantities, since people don't make big mistakes in trades like that.

 

[gbill2004]

I've made 3 pre-season trades so far, and am pretty happy

Trade 1 - I got Jake Delhomme and Calvin Johnson for Jay Cutler

Trade 2 - I got Anquan Boldin for Derrick Mason and Brodie Croyle

Trade 3 - I got Darren McFadden, Chad Pennington and John Kasay for Chris Perry, Rudi Johnson and Trent Edwards

Thats why I like pre-season trades!!

 

[bucsbaby]

Why does it matter what time of year it is? If you can make a trade that improves your team, do it. You should always have a set of projections you are working from and if you believe you can get value based on those projections, then make the trade. By the time you wait to see if you are right in your projections then the other owner also now knows the value of that player and you can no longer get as good of a deal. Yes, you could lose out on the deal, but if you are always waiting on a sure thing then you are always going to be paying max value for every player you acquire in trade (or overpaying in many cases!).

 

[amphibianbri]

I only trade if I'm getting what I feel is a sure thing. I traded Chris Perry to a guy in my league auction who currently had Leon Washington as his #2 behind LT (oops) for Torry Holt

 

[Abstract]

I had a guy offer me Clinton Portis and all he wanted was Jerricho Cotchery. I took it!

I also traded Felix Jones for the Bears DST......

 

[tomarken]

Why are there so many drafts happening in the preseason? None in my league yet, but I see guys on here drafting left and right. Don't you want to wait and see how the games turn out this weekend before you draft on gut feelings alone? I would be tempted to draft Edge or a WR in one of my leagues, but I am waiting to find out what happens first. Won't you be sick to your stomach when you watch a guy you just drafted poop out of his ####? What is the strategy behind this? It seems like a waste of draft until you see them perform on Sunday.

 

[Moniker]

Why does it matter what time of year it is? If you can make a trade that improves your team, do it. You should always have a set of projections you are working from and if you believe you can get value based on those projections, then make the trade.