Travdogg's positional rankings from week 3 onward (1 Viewer)

[travdogg]

Boy, it's been a bloodbath these 1st 2 weeks. This is a tougher week to do rankings as I'm making a lot of assumptions about timelines.

QB
Tier 1:
1. Jalen Hurts (2)
2. Josh Allen (1)

Tier 2:
3. Lamar Jackson (3)
4. Patrick Mahomes (4)

Tier 3:
5. CJ Stroud (5)

Tier 4:
6. Jayden Daniels (8), leads the position in carries, and rush TDs. Seems more likely to run in games they are playing from behind, which will be most weeks they aren't playing the Giants. Passing could still improve too.

Tier 5:
7. Kyler Murray (10), had one of the most impressive games I've ever seen from a QB Sunday. Could have had double the stats he had, but Cards spent basically the entire 2nd half running out the clock against a "is the season over yet?" Rams team. Was it the Rams, or is pre-knee Kyler back?
8. Anthony Richardson (6), GB sat on the deep ball, and Richardson was unable to adjust, have to imagine that'll be every team's gameplan going forward.
9. Joe Burrow (7)

Tier 6:
10. Dak Prescott (9)

Tier 7:
11. Tua Tagovailoa (12)
12. Brock Purdy (11)

Tier 8:
13. Jordan Love (13)
14. Trevor Lawrence (14)

Tier 9:
15. Justin Fields (NR), can't imagine they go back to Wilson at this point. Fields has had awful luck and could easily have double the points he has, if not for penalties. A candidate to rise further if the offense takes even a small step forward.

Dropped off: Caleb Williams (15), keeping an eye on him, but right now he's unusable.

 

[travdogg]

RB
Tier 1:
1. Saquon Barkley (1)
2. De'Von Achane (5)
3. Breece Hall (2)
4. Bijan Robinson (3)

Tier 2:
5. James Cook (14), has 100% of the carries inside the 5 through 2 games. That completely changes his value, as even the biggest Cook backers wouldn't have predicted that.
6. Jonathan Taylor (8)
7. Jahmyr Gibbs (6)
8. Kyren Williams (7)

Tier 3:
9. Alvin Kamara (15), I'm sure this will still be considered too low for some, but I'm still not fully on board with this Saints offense (as evidenced by no Carr or Shaheed yet) its clearly better than expected, but I'm not ready to declare this an elite offense yet.
10. Joe Mixon (10)
11. Derrick Henry (9)

Tier 4:
12. James Conner (18), if he hadn't fumbled at the GL (lucky McBride) he'd be a top-5 RB right now. That's probably his ceiling, but I trust this Cards offense more than say, NO. As always with Conner, its all about staying healthy, as he's never played a full season in 7 seasons.
13. Kenneth Walker (12)
14. Josh Jacobs (13)

Tier 5:
15. Rhamondre Stevenson (16)
16. Christian McCaffrey (4), out at least 4 weeks, and seemingly more. Still, he could be a league winner down the stretch, so I hesitate to put him too low.

Tier 6:
17. JK Dobbins (23)
18. David Montgomery (22)
19. Travis Etienne (20)
20. Aaron Jones (17)

Tier 7:
21. Jordan Mason (NR), with CMC on IR, he's gonna have at least 4 more starts, and possibly more. Doesn't seem to offer anything as a pass catcher, so he doesn't have anywhere near CMC's upside, but a quality starter in a run heavy scheme has loads of value. Not sure if Deebo being out helps or hurts, as it almost certainly gives more defensive attention to Mason.
22. Tony Pollard (21)
23. Zack Moss (24)

Tier 8:
24. Rachaad White (19)

Tier 9:
25. Brian Robinson (30)
26. Isiah Pacheco (11), out at least 4 weeks, but timeline seems to suggest a week 10+ return, but he's clearly the #1 there. In the meantime, I like Steele more than Perine, however, I expect that KC just passes more.
27. Devin Singletary (26)
28. Najee Harris (25)
29. Javonte Williams (28)
30. Jaylen Warren (NR), was back up to his normal role another week removed from his hamstring injury.

Dropped off: D'Andre Swift (27), he's not a good enough talent to make it work in this offense without getting GL work, and Herbert was in inside the 5. Raheem Mostert (29), maybe I'm being premature, as it fits my suspected preseason narrative, but I think Mostert is more Achane's handcuff than a standalone guy at this point.

 

[travdogg]

WR
Tier 1:
1. Justin Jefferson (3)
2. Nico Collins (8)
3. CeeDee Lamb (4)
4. Tyreek Hill (1)
5. Amon-Ra St. Brown (6)
6. Ja'Marr Chase (5)

Tier 2:
7. Marvin Harrison (15), truth is somewhere between weeks 1 and 2, and its possible he'll be more boom/bust than people prefer, but nothing stopping him from elite target share on a breakout offense.
8. Davante Adams (10)
9. Mike Evans (7)
10. Garrett Wilson (9)

Tier 3:
11. Malik Nabers (21), its Jaylen Waddle's rookie season all over again. Only real target, gets fed all sorts of short stuff, with occasional deeper shots. Nabers is probably a bigger talent than Waddle (who I think very highly of) and Jones is probably better than rookie Tua was. 39% of targets through 2 weeks.
12. Rashee Rice (17)
13. DeVonta Smith (18)
14. DK Metcalf (25), TD was a coverage breakdown, but still had 9-73 without it. Possible it was just Surtain in week 1.
15. Drake London (13)
16. Chris Olave (14)

Tier 4:
17. AJ Brown (2), gut says this hamstring injury keeps Brown out until week 6. Has elite #1 overall WR upside, but also the type of guys where injuries often linger.
18. Chris Godwin (26)
19. Jaylen Waddle (12)
20. Brandon Aiyuk (19)

Tier 5:
21. Deebo Samuel (16)
22. Zay Flowers (32), all the handwringing about which TE, and the true #1 was here all along. I do have ceiling concerns do to so many of his touches going nowhere, but tough to argue much with 21 targets and 2 rushes through 2 weeks.
23. Stefon Diggs (20)
24. DJ Moore (22)

Tier 6:
25. Xavier Worthy (30)
26. George Pickens (27)
27. Puka Nacua (23)

Tier 7:
28. Jayden Reed (29)
29. Cooper Kupp (11), expecting an IR announcement later in the week. His history worries me more than Puka's. Hope everyone took advantage of that sell-high window.
30. Jaxon Smith-Njigba (36)
31. Tank Dell (31)
32. Michael Pittman (24)
33. Amari Cooper (28)

Tier 8:
34. Jameson Williams (NR), ok, he's not a 1-week wonder. Having said that, I do think they need to scale him back, as Goff is playing his worst football since his rookie season, and I think forcing things to Williams is a part of that. I'm giving it another week, as I still think LaPorta will end up ahead of him in the pecking order.
35. Calvin Ridley (34)
36. Brian Thomas (38)
37. Terry McLaurin (33)
38. Tee Higgins (37)

Tier 9:
39. Keenan Allen (35)
40. Rome Odunze (39)

Dropped off: Hollywood Brown (40), see you in the playoffs...maybe?

 

[travdogg]

TE
Tier 1:
1. Sam LaPorta (1)

Tier 2:
2. Travis Kelce (2)

Tier 3:
3. George Kittle (6), as usual, he gets an upgrade whenever another weapon goes down. Both CMC/Deebo out, likely means this could be his peak this season.
4. Trey McBride (3)
5. Kyle Pitts (4)
6. Dalton Kincaid (5)

Tier 4:
7. Brock Bowers (8)
8. Mark Andrews (7)

Tier 5:
9. Jake Ferguson (9)

Tier 6:
10. Evan Engram (10)

Tier 7:
11. Dallas Goedert (13), didn't totally take advantage of no AJ in week 2, but I think that still happens. Philly needs to cut those bubble screens out, as they were mostly wasted plays, that just resulted in penalties more often than not.
12. Taysom Hill (12)

Tier 8:
13. Isaiah Likely (11), a little concerned his week 1 was almost entirely gamescript related. Still TE is so thin, he's worth hanging onto.
14. David Njoku (14)

Tier 9:
15. TJ Hockenson (15)

 

[zoonation]

My favourite weekly post. Thanks again for the work you put into this.

I am one of those who think Kamara is still way too low. In fact, the only RB I would currently rather have over him is Hall.

 

[VikingFrog]

Here with my Kamara pitchfork and torch to join the riot!

Saquon, Bijan and Kamara are my auction starters… so I like this list.

 

[MrSoup]

You messed up Brock Bowers tier. He’s actually God Tier.

 

[BassNBrew]

TE
Tier Dog Poop:
1. Sam LaPorta (1)
2. Travis Kelce (2)
3. George Kittle (6), as usual, he gets an upgrade whenever another weapon goes down. Both CMC/Deebo out, likely means this could be his peak this season.
4. Trey McBride (3)
5. Kyle Pitts (4)
6. Dalton Kincaid (5)
7. Brock Bowers (8)

Tier Steaming Dog Poop
8. Mark Andrews (7)
9. Jake Ferguson (9)
10. Evan Engram (10)
11. Dallas Goedert (13), didn't totally take advantage of no AJ in week 2, but I think that still happens. Philly needs to cut those bubble screens out, as they were mostly wasted plays, that just resulted in penalties more often than not.
12. Taysom Hill (12)
13. Isaiah Likely (11), a little concerned his week 1 was almost entirely gamescript related. Still TE is so thin, he's worth hanging onto.
14. David Njoku (14)
15. TJ Hockenson (15)

 

[Desert_Power]

Yeah. TE having a brutal season (and shouldn't be a standalone position in all but the largest leagues).

 

[BassNBrew]

WR
Tier 1:
1. Justin Jefferson (3)
2. Nico Collins (8) - Over reaction. As he draws more coverage Diggs and Dell will eat.
3. CeeDee Lamb (4) - Still number IMO.
4. Tyreek Hill (1)
5. Amon-Ra St. Brown (6)
6. Ja'Marr Chase (5)

Tier 2:
7. Marvin Harrison (15), truth is somewhere between weeks 1 and 2, and its possible he'll be more boom/bust than people prefer, but nothing stopping him from elite target share on a breakout offense. - You state the truth is somewhere in between but then rank him based on week 2. Based solely on your write-up he should be tied with Nabers.
8. Davante Adams (10)
9. Mike Evans (7) - Nope. To TD dependant. Godwin maybe the WR to own this year.
10. Garrett Wilson (9) - Getting worried. Who would have thought the trash at QB the last couple of years was better than Rodgers.

Tier 3:
11. Malik Nabers (21), its Jaylen Waddle's rookie season all over again. Only real target, gets fed all sorts of short stuff, with occasional deeper shots. Nabers is probably a bigger talent than Waddle (who I think very highly of) and Jones is probably better than rookie Tua was. 39% of targets through 2 weeks.
12. Rashee Rice (17)
13. DeVonta Smith (18) - Not a chance he should be ahead of Brown. Doubt anyone would swap them straight up right now.
14. DK Metcalf (25), TD was a coverage breakdown, but still had 9-73 without it. Possible it was just Surtain in week 1.
15. Drake London (13)
16. Chris Olave (14)

Tier 4:
17. AJ Brown (2), gut says this hamstring injury keeps Brown out until week 6. Has elite #1 overall WR upside, but also the type of guys where injuries often linger.
18. Chris Godwin (26)
19. Jaylen Waddle (12)
20. Brandon Aiyuk (19) - Don't see how he falls on the CMC and Deebo news.

Tier 5:
21. Deebo Samuel (16)
22. Zay Flowers (32), all the handwringing about which TE, and the true #1 was here all along. I do have ceiling concerns do to so many of his touches going nowhere, but tough to argue much with 21 targets and 2 rushes through 2 weeks.
23. Stefon Diggs (20)
24. DJ Moore (22)

Tier 6:
25. Xavier Worthy (30) - Need to see something out of Mahommes before I move him up.
26. George Pickens (27) - Feels like his time is coming.
27. Puka Nacua (23)

Tier 7:
28. Jayden Reed (29)
29. Cooper Kupp (11), expecting an IR announcement later in the week. His history worries me more than Puka's. Hope everyone took advantage of that sell-high window.
30. Jaxon Smith-Njigba (36)
31. Tank Dell (31)
32. Michael Pittman (24) - Ouch. Not disagreeing but what a mess the Indy WR corps is.
33. Amari Cooper (28) - Always starts off slow. You'll be moving him up.

Tier 8:
34. Jameson Williams (NR), ok, he's not a 1-week wonder. Having said that, I do think they need to scale him back, as Goff is playing his worst football since his rookie season, and I think forcing things to Williams is a part of that. I'm giving it another week, as I still think LaPorta will end up ahead of him in the pecking order.
35. Calvin Ridley (34)
36. Brian Thomas (38)
37. Terry McLaurin (33)
38. Tee Higgins (37) - One week closer to playing, Should be moving up.

Tier 9:
39. Keenan Allen (35) - Three Bears WRs in the top 40. I realize this is a hedge.No one knows the real answer, but three in the top 40 isn't it.
40. Rome Odunze (39)

Dropped off: Hollywood Brown (40), see you in the playoffs...maybe?

Dionte Johnson should be on the list. Panthers D is historically bad and Dalton is a 2x upgrade over Young.

 

[BassNBrew]

Yeah. TE having a brutal season (and shouldn't be a standalone position in all but the largest leagues).

Keeps up like this and they might do away with it in many leagues like K.

 

[Desert_Power]

Yeah. TE having a brutal season (and shouldn't be a standalone position in all but the largest leagues).

Keeps up like this and they might do away with it in many leagues like K.

Fingers crossed.

 

[Deamon]

Boy, it's been a bloodbath these 1st 2 weeks. This is a tougher week to do rankings as I'm making a lot of assumptions about timelines.

QB
Tier 1:
1. Jalen Hurts (2)
2. Josh Allen (1)

Tier 2:
3. Lamar Jackson (3)
4. Patrick Mahomes (4)

Tier 3:
5. CJ Stroud (5)

Tier 4:
6. Jayden Daniels (8), leads the position in carries, and rush TDs. Seems more likely to run in games they are playing from behind, which will be most weeks they aren't playing the Giants. Passing could still improve too.

Tier 5:
7. Kyler Murray (10), had one of the most impressive games I've ever seen from a QB Sunday. Could have had double the stats he had, but Cards spent basically the entire 2nd half running out the clock against a "is the season over yet?" Rams team. Was it the Rams, or is pre-knee Kyler back?
8. Anthony Richardson (6), GB sat on the deep ball, and Richardson was unable to adjust, have to imagine that'll be every team's gameplan going forward.
9. Joe Burrow (7)

Tier 6:
10. Dak Prescott (9)

Tier 7:
11. Tua Tagovailoa (12)
12. Brock Purdy (11)

Tier 8:
13. Jordan Love (13)
14. Trevor Lawrence (14)

Tier 9:
15. Justin Fields (NR), can't imagine they go back to Wilson at this point. Fields has had awful luck and could easily have double the points he has, if not for penalties. A candidate to rise further if the offense takes even a small step forward.

Dropped off: Caleb Williams (15), keeping an eye on him, but right now he's unusable.

When is it time to put Baker and Carr in? They are the #1 and #2 fantasy QB's on the season so far. Yes they will drop down, but gotta think they should be at least in the top 15, or are you predicting a gigantic drop off moving forward for them?

 

[Deamon]

RB
Tier 1:
1. Saquon Barkley (1)
2. De'Von Achane (5)
3. Breece Hall (2)
4. Bijan Robinson (3)

Tier 2:
5. James Cook (14), has 100% of the carries inside the 5 through 2 games. That completely changes his value, as even the biggest Cook backers wouldn't have predicted that.
6. Jonathan Taylor (8)
7. Jahmyr Gibbs (6)
8. Kyren Williams (7)

Tier 3:
9. Alvin Kamara (15), I'm sure this will still be considered too low for some, but I'm still not fully on board with this Saints offense (as evidenced by no Carr or Shaheed yet) its clearly better than expected, but I'm not ready to declare this an elite offense yet.
10. Joe Mixon (10)
11. Derrick Henry (9)

Tier 4:
12. James Conner (18), if he hadn't fumbled at the GL (lucky McBride) he'd be a top-5 RB right now. That's probably his ceiling, but I trust this Cards offense more than say, NO. As always with Conner, its all about staying healthy, as he's never played a full season in 7 seasons.
13. Kenneth Walker (12)
14. Josh Jacobs (13)

Tier 5:
15. Rhamondre Stevenson (16)
16. Christian McCaffrey (4), out at least 4 weeks, and seemingly more. Still, he could be a league winner down the stretch, so I hesitate to put him too low.

Tier 6:
17. JK Dobbins (23)
18. David Montgomery (22)
19. Travis Etienne (20)
20. Aaron Jones (17)

Tier 7:
21. Jordan Mason (NR), with CMC on IR, he's gonna have at least 4 more starts, and possibly more. Doesn't seem to offer anything as a pass catcher, so he doesn't have anywhere near CMC's upside, but a quality starter in a run heavy scheme has loads of value. Not sure if Deebo being out helps or hurts, as it almost certainly gives more defensive attention to Mason.
22. Tony Pollard (21)
23. Zack Moss (24)

Tier 8:
24. Rachaad White (19)

Tier 9:
25. Brian Robinson (30)
26. Isiah Pacheco (11), out at least 4 weeks, but timeline seems to suggest a week 10+ return, but he's clearly the #1 there. In the meantime, I like Steele more than Perine, however, I expect that KC just passes more.
27. Devin Singletary (26)
28. Najee Harris (25)
29. Javonte Williams (28)
30. Jaylen Warren (NR), was back up to his normal role another week removed from his hamstring injury.

Dropped off: D'Andre Swift (27), he's not a good enough talent to make it work in this offense without getting GL work, and Herbert was in inside the 5. Raheem Mostert (29), maybe I'm being premature, as it fits my suspected preseason narrative, but I think Mostert is more Achane's handcuff than a standalone guy at this point.

Jacobs had a great game, I don't think he should drop in rankings. I also think Dobbins is too high and will come down to earth. Edwards is still out touching him every game, I think the gap between them closes a lot moving forward. I think you mean Mason will have at least 3 more starts.

 

[Gally]

Boy, it's been a bloodbath these 1st 2 weeks. This is a tougher week to do rankings as I'm making a lot of assumptions about timelines.

QB
Tier 1:
1. Jalen Hurts (2)
2. Josh Allen (1)

Tier 2:
3. Lamar Jackson (3)
4. Patrick Mahomes (4)

Tier 3:
5. CJ Stroud (5)

Tier 4:
6. Jayden Daniels (8), leads the position in carries, and rush TDs. Seems more likely to run in games they are playing from behind, which will be most weeks they aren't playing the Giants. Passing could still improve too.

Tier 5:
7. Kyler Murray (10), had one of the most impressive games I've ever seen from a QB Sunday. Could have had double the stats he had, but Cards spent basically the entire 2nd half running out the clock against a "is the season over yet?" Rams team. Was it the Rams, or is pre-knee Kyler back?
8. Anthony Richardson (6), GB sat on the deep ball, and Richardson was unable to adjust, have to imagine that'll be every team's gameplan going forward.
9. Joe Burrow (7)

Tier 6:
10. Dak Prescott (9)

Tier 7:
11. Tua Tagovailoa (12)
12. Brock Purdy (11)

Tier 8:
13. Jordan Love (13)
14. Trevor Lawrence (14)

Tier 9:
15. Justin Fields (NR), can't imagine they go back to Wilson at this point. Fields has had awful luck and could easily have double the points he has, if not for penalties. A candidate to rise further if the offense takes even a small step forward.

Dropped off: Caleb Williams (15), keeping an eye on him, but right now he's unusable.

When is it time to put Baker and Carr in? They are the #1 and #2 fantasy QB's on the season so far. Yes they will drop down, but gotta think they should be at least in the top 15, or are you predicting a gigantic drop off moving forward for them?

I also think there should be some Tua concern and drop him down further at this point. The unknown and re-injury risk is frightening.

 

[Deamon]

TE
Tier 1:
1. Sam LaPorta (1)

Tier 2:
2. Travis Kelce (2)

Tier 3:
3. George Kittle (6), as usual, he gets an upgrade whenever another weapon goes down. Both CMC/Deebo out, likely means this could be his peak this season.
4. Trey McBride (3)
5. Kyle Pitts (4)
6. Dalton Kincaid (5)

Tier 4:
7. Brock Bowers (8)
8. Mark Andrews (7)

Tier 5:
9. Jake Ferguson (9)

Tier 6:
10. Evan Engram (10)

Tier 7:
11. Dallas Goedert (13), didn't totally take advantage of no AJ in week 2, but I think that still happens. Philly needs to cut those bubble screens out, as they were mostly wasted plays, that just resulted in penalties more often than not.
12. Taysom Hill (12)

Tier 8:
13. Isaiah Likely (11), a little concerned his week 1 was almost entirely gamescript related. Still TE is so thin, he's worth hanging onto.
14. David Njoku (14)

Tier 9:
15. TJ Hockenson (15)

TE really sucks this year. Every pick I was like "you have him too high!" but then couldn't find anyone else I'd put in their spot lol.

 

[travdogg]

WR
Tier 1:
1. Justin Jefferson (3)
2. Nico Collins (8) - Over reaction. As he draws more coverage Diggs and Dell will eat.
3. CeeDee Lamb (4) - Still number IMO.
4. Tyreek Hill (1)
5. Amon-Ra St. Brown (6)
6. Ja'Marr Chase (5)

Tier 2:
7. Marvin Harrison (15), truth is somewhere between weeks 1 and 2, and its possible he'll be more boom/bust than people prefer, but nothing stopping him from elite target share on a breakout offense. - You state the truth is somewhere in between but then rank him based on week 2. Based solely on your write-up he should be tied with Nabers.
8. Davante Adams (10)
9. Mike Evans (7) - Nope. To TD dependant. Godwin maybe the WR to own this year.
10. Garrett Wilson (9) - Getting worried. Who would have thought the trash at QB the last couple of years was better than Rodgers.

Tier 3:
11. Malik Nabers (21), its Jaylen Waddle's rookie season all over again. Only real target, gets fed all sorts of short stuff, with occasional deeper shots. Nabers is probably a bigger talent than Waddle (who I think very highly of) and Jones is probably better than rookie Tua was. 39% of targets through 2 weeks.
12. Rashee Rice (17)
13. DeVonta Smith (18) - Not a chance he should be ahead of Brown. Doubt anyone would swap them straight up right now.
14. DK Metcalf (25), TD was a coverage breakdown, but still had 9-73 without it. Possible it was just Surtain in week 1.
15. Drake London (13)
16. Chris Olave (14)

Tier 4:
17. AJ Brown (2), gut says this hamstring injury keeps Brown out until week 6. Has elite #1 overall WR upside, but also the type of guys where injuries often linger.
18. Chris Godwin (26)
19. Jaylen Waddle (12)
20. Brandon Aiyuk (19) - Don't see how he falls on the CMC and Deebo news.

Tier 5:
21. Deebo Samuel (16)
22. Zay Flowers (32), all the handwringing about which TE, and the true #1 was here all along. I do have ceiling concerns do to so many of his touches going nowhere, but tough to argue much with 21 targets and 2 rushes through 2 weeks.
23. Stefon Diggs (20)
24. DJ Moore (22)

Tier 6:
25. Xavier Worthy (30) - Need to see something out of Mahommes before I move him up.
26. George Pickens (27) - Feels like his time is coming.
27. Puka Nacua (23)

Tier 7:
28. Jayden Reed (29)
29. Cooper Kupp (11), expecting an IR announcement later in the week. His history worries me more than Puka's. Hope everyone took advantage of that sell-high window.
30. Jaxon Smith-Njigba (36)
31. Tank Dell (31)
32. Michael Pittman (24) - Ouch. Not disagreeing but what a mess the Indy WR corps is.
33. Amari Cooper (28) - Always starts off slow. You'll be moving him up.

Tier 8:
34. Jameson Williams (NR), ok, he's not a 1-week wonder. Having said that, I do think they need to scale him back, as Goff is playing his worst football since his rookie season, and I think forcing things to Williams is a part of that. I'm giving it another week, as I still think LaPorta will end up ahead of him in the pecking order.
35. Calvin Ridley (34)
36. Brian Thomas (38)
37. Terry McLaurin (33)
38. Tee Higgins (37) - One week closer to playing, Should be moving up.

Tier 9:
39. Keenan Allen (35) - Three Bears WRs in the top 40. I realize this is a hedge.No one knows the real answer, but three in the top 40 isn't it.
40. Rome Odunze (39)

Dropped off: Hollywood Brown (40), see you in the playoffs...maybe?

Dionte Johnson should be on the list. Panthers D is historically bad and Dalton is a 2x upgrade over Young.

Johnson was my last WR omission, he would have been tier 9, if I extended past 40. Just think there is more potential upside in the Bears passing game, even with Dalton starting.

On Collins: I think he's proving to be an elite talent. I think he's clearly separated as the #1. Has some Terrell Owens to his game.
On Harrison: I have A LOT more confidence in his offense than Nabers.
On Evans: I think Godwin has been closing the gap, but I also think he's had perfect matchups these 1st 2 weeks. Washington/Detroit are awful secondaries, especially in the middle.
On Wilson: I'm kinda with you. I'm giving it more time, but I'd be lying if I said I was super confident he was going to live up to his draft spot.
On Smith/AJ: Possible overreaction to Brown's injury. I do think Smith is going to be a high-end WR2 all year, regardless of Brown's status.
On Worthy: Totally speculative, I agree. I want to bet on Mahomes, and with Brown out for the year, I expect Worthy to get every chance to succeed.
On Pickens: Top-15 talent, just need the targets/QB to cooperate. Expecting very boom/bust all year due to the offense.
On Cooper: I don't know where the idea he always starts slow comes from. 2017 is the only year in his career, that he started slowly. He's had 90+ yards in week 1 or 2, every other year of his career.
On Higgins: Maybe. I'm not sure Burrow is gonna be the Burrow of old, and I think Tee is light years behind Chase. Higgins needs to prove he can stay on the field at this point.

 

[travdogg]

Boy, it's been a bloodbath these 1st 2 weeks. This is a tougher week to do rankings as I'm making a lot of assumptions about timelines.

QB
Tier 1:
1. Jalen Hurts (2)
2. Josh Allen (1)

Tier 2:
3. Lamar Jackson (3)
4. Patrick Mahomes (4)

Tier 3:
5. CJ Stroud (5)

Tier 4:
6. Jayden Daniels (8), leads the position in carries, and rush TDs. Seems more likely to run in games they are playing from behind, which will be most weeks they aren't playing the Giants. Passing could still improve too.

Tier 5:
7. Kyler Murray (10), had one of the most impressive games I've ever seen from a QB Sunday. Could have had double the stats he had, but Cards spent basically the entire 2nd half running out the clock against a "is the season over yet?" Rams team. Was it the Rams, or is pre-knee Kyler back?
8. Anthony Richardson (6), GB sat on the deep ball, and Richardson was unable to adjust, have to imagine that'll be every team's gameplan going forward.
9. Joe Burrow (7)

Tier 6:
10. Dak Prescott (9)

Tier 7:
11. Tua Tagovailoa (12)
12. Brock Purdy (11)

Tier 8:
13. Jordan Love (13)
14. Trevor Lawrence (14)

Tier 9:
15. Justin Fields (NR), can't imagine they go back to Wilson at this point. Fields has had awful luck and could easily have double the points he has, if not for penalties. A candidate to rise further if the offense takes even a small step forward.

Dropped off: Caleb Williams (15), keeping an eye on him, but right now he's unusable.

When is it time to put Baker and Carr in? They are the #1 and #2 fantasy QB's on the season so far. Yes they will drop down, but gotta think they should be at least in the top 15, or are you predicting a gigantic drop off moving forward for them?

Mayfield and Carr were 16-17. I'm more confident in Mayfield of the 2. I do think QB scoring has been oddly low for the most part and I'm expecting that to regress to the mean. So, the numbers Mayfield/Carr have, are highly unlikely to stay 1/2 even if they keep this up, which I doubt happens.

 

[travdogg]

RB
Tier 1:
1. Saquon Barkley (1)
2. De'Von Achane (5)
3. Breece Hall (2)
4. Bijan Robinson (3)

Tier 2:
5. James Cook (14), has 100% of the carries inside the 5 through 2 games. That completely changes his value, as even the biggest Cook backers wouldn't have predicted that.
6. Jonathan Taylor (8)
7. Jahmyr Gibbs (6)
8. Kyren Williams (7)

Tier 3:
9. Alvin Kamara (15), I'm sure this will still be considered too low for some, but I'm still not fully on board with this Saints offense (as evidenced by no Carr or Shaheed yet) its clearly better than expected, but I'm not ready to declare this an elite offense yet.
10. Joe Mixon (10)
11. Derrick Henry (9)

Tier 4:
12. James Conner (18), if he hadn't fumbled at the GL (lucky McBride) he'd be a top-5 RB right now. That's probably his ceiling, but I trust this Cards offense more than say, NO. As always with Conner, its all about staying healthy, as he's never played a full season in 7 seasons.
13. Kenneth Walker (12)
14. Josh Jacobs (13)

Tier 5:
15. Rhamondre Stevenson (16)
16. Christian McCaffrey (4), out at least 4 weeks, and seemingly more. Still, he could be a league winner down the stretch, so I hesitate to put him too low.

Tier 6:
17. JK Dobbins (23)
18. David Montgomery (22)
19. Travis Etienne (20)
20. Aaron Jones (17)

Tier 7:
21. Jordan Mason (NR), with CMC on IR, he's gonna have at least 4 more starts, and possibly more. Doesn't seem to offer anything as a pass catcher, so he doesn't have anywhere near CMC's upside, but a quality starter in a run heavy scheme has loads of value. Not sure if Deebo being out helps or hurts, as it almost certainly gives more defensive attention to Mason.
22. Tony Pollard (21)
23. Zack Moss (24)

Tier 8:
24. Rachaad White (19)

Tier 9:
25. Brian Robinson (30)
26. Isiah Pacheco (11), out at least 4 weeks, but timeline seems to suggest a week 10+ return, but he's clearly the #1 there. In the meantime, I like Steele more than Perine, however, I expect that KC just passes more.
27. Devin Singletary (26)
28. Najee Harris (25)
29. Javonte Williams (28)
30. Jaylen Warren (NR), was back up to his normal role another week removed from his hamstring injury.

Dropped off: D'Andre Swift (27), he's not a good enough talent to make it work in this offense without getting GL work, and Herbert was in inside the 5. Raheem Mostert (29), maybe I'm being premature, as it fits my suspected preseason narrative, but I think Mostert is more Achane's handcuff than a standalone guy at this point.

Jacobs had a great game, I don't think he should drop in rankings. I also think Dobbins is too high and will come down to earth. Edwards is still out touching him every game, I think the gap between them closes a lot moving forward. I think you mean Mason will have at least 3 more starts.

Yes, 3 more starts with Mason for sure, though likely 4+ will happen.

I think Jacobs big game was more about the Colts than about Jacobs. They are a matchup to target weekly, especially without Buckner. I didn't really move him down, so much as I moved Cook, Kamara, Conner up. He's a high-end RB2 to me.

I think Dobbins workload could get bigger as the season goes on. Its unlikely he stays this efficient, but I think we could see some bigger workloads for him.

 

[Lansdowne]

Yeah. TE having a brutal season (and shouldn't be a standalone position in all but the largest leagues).

It being a standalone position is the only thing giving it value. I would never want to start a TE as a flex for example.

 

[travdogg]

Boy, it's been a bloodbath these 1st 2 weeks. This is a tougher week to do rankings as I'm making a lot of assumptions about timelines.

QB
Tier 1:
1. Jalen Hurts (2)
2. Josh Allen (1)

Tier 2:
3. Lamar Jackson (3)
4. Patrick Mahomes (4)

Tier 3:
5. CJ Stroud (5)

Tier 4:
6. Jayden Daniels (8), leads the position in carries, and rush TDs. Seems more likely to run in games they are playing from behind, which will be most weeks they aren't playing the Giants. Passing could still improve too.

Tier 5:
7. Kyler Murray (10), had one of the most impressive games I've ever seen from a QB Sunday. Could have had double the stats he had, but Cards spent basically the entire 2nd half running out the clock against a "is the season over yet?" Rams team. Was it the Rams, or is pre-knee Kyler back?
8. Anthony Richardson (6), GB sat on the deep ball, and Richardson was unable to adjust, have to imagine that'll be every team's gameplan going forward.
9. Joe Burrow (7)

Tier 6:
10. Dak Prescott (9)

Tier 7:
11. Tua Tagovailoa (12)
12. Brock Purdy (11)

Tier 8:
13. Jordan Love (13)
14. Trevor Lawrence (14)

Tier 9:
15. Justin Fields (NR), can't imagine they go back to Wilson at this point. Fields has had awful luck and could easily have double the points he has, if not for penalties. A candidate to rise further if the offense takes even a small step forward.

Dropped off: Caleb Williams (15), keeping an eye on him, but right now he's unusable.

When is it time to put Baker and Carr in? They are the #1 and #2 fantasy QB's on the season so far. Yes they will drop down, but gotta think they should be at least in the top 15, or are you predicting a gigantic drop off moving forward for them?

I also think there should be some Tua concern and drop him down further at this point. The unknown and re-injury risk is frightening.

Reading the tea leaves, I'm expecting Tua to be starting week 4. They aren't making any real QB moves (signing a PS guy isn't major) and he's with the team and wants to play. Career-wise, I'm nervous about his repeat concussions, but from a season-long standpoint, I'd be more worried if it were a knee or shoulder or something like that.

 

[Deamon]

Reading the tea leaves, I'm expecting Tua to be starting week 4.

Just got placed on IR.

 

[TheWinz]

Reading the tea leaves, I'm expecting Tua to be starting week 4.

Just got placed on IR.

I don't think it's happened yet

 

[TheDirtyWord]

Couple of observations:

QB:
Murray - Yes, it was just one game, but it's clear he's 'running' again and for a QB with his passing skillset and rushing prowess, I'd have him above Stroud, even if you think Stroud is the better QB.

Jayden - Jayden, but he's hasn't thrown a TD as a pro. Certainly wouldn't have him above Murray.

Tua - obviously just announced he's on IR, but I'd hesitate to place him in any tier moving forward. The inability to avoid these head injuries is an every snap experience I want no part of once he;'s back on the field.

Lawrence - I keep waiting for him to pop out of a cake so to speak and show us why he was such a coveted talent...and I just always feel so unimpressed.

RB:

Jahmyr - Jahmyr...but he is in a timeshare with someone also quite effective and even if he is mad effcient, I think hehas less 'he'll win you a week' than alot of guys in and around this area.

CMC/Mason - obviously understanding this is 2 RB's...the value here is if you don't already have them handcuffed, there is much more value than mid-RB2 to the owner of either.

JK - It's funny in that once the season starts, all we have is their on-field. And he's looked dynamite. He has great OT's...I'm sure you're hesitant to move him too far up given the injury history, but he's set-up to kill it.

Kamara - yes, I think WAY too low. This guy is a former league winner type and who else is there in NO?

Jacobs - too low IMO. He's a former RB1 overall and he's in an elite offense once Love returns and being workhorsed in the interim.

WR:

MHJ - WR by it's nature is more boom/bust than other positions but I like him better than Ja'Marr at this juncture. Small quibble.

Deebo - I'm sure his calf is entering into your thinking here, but when he's on the field, he's typically been much better than this and had been in weeks 1-2.

ARSB - I'm trying to reconcile how Jameson affects production across him/LaPorta and even Jahmyr. But this ranking seems to indicate no effect...and I haven't landed on that conclusion.

TE:

Pitts - I just don't get it. And I'm a Falcon fan...but I just don't think he warrants this type of ranking. Brock Bowers has already shown himself to be more impactful.

 

[Deamon]

Reading the tea leaves, I'm expecting Tua to be starting week 4.

Just got placed on IR.

I don't think it's happened yet

I mean, not sure what more you need from it, it's happening whether the official paper work is done or not, they've announced he's going on IR.

Tua Tagovailoa will be placed on IR, per @RapSheet and
@MikeGarafolo The earliest he can return is Week 8. Tagovailoa will meet with outside neurologists while he's out.

 

[BlackCrowes]

Yeah. TE having a brutal season (and shouldn't be a standalone position in all but the largest leagues).

lol. we just brought it back this year because of their apparent renaissance

 

[travdogg]

Reading the tea leaves, I'm expecting Tua to be starting week 4.

Just got placed on IR.

Score one against the tea leaves

 

[Gally]

Reading the tea leaves, I'm expecting Tua to be starting week 4.

Just got placed on IR.

Score one against the tea leaves

Did you use chamomile or earl gray?

 

[Deamon]

Reading the tea leaves, I'm expecting Tua to be starting week 4.

Score one against the tea leaves

Did you use chamomile or earl gray?

I think it was Chamomile Tea & Earlgray... AKA "CTE"

 

[stinkbait]

I have to disagree with how high you have Mahomes ranked. He's a great real life QB but so far he's been just an average FF QB. 3 TD's & 3 picks so far. Averaging only 19 pts per game in my league scoring.

 

[Deamon]

I have to disagree with how high you have Mahomes ranked. He's a great real life QB but so far he's been just an average FF QB. 3 TD's & 3 picks so far. Averaging only 19 pts per game in my league scoring.

I think he has him too low.

Kelce is going to pick it up, Rice is emerging, and without Pacheco, they will be throwing the ball a ton more. Good chance he's QB1 ROS.

 

[TennesseeJed]

Baker Mayfield will be a top-15 QB this season.

 

[travdogg]

Couple of observations:

QB:
Murray - Yes, it was just one game, but it's clear he's 'running' again and for a QB with his passing skillset and rushing prowess, I'd have him above Stroud, even if you think Stroud is the better QB.

Jayden - Jayden, but he's hasn't thrown a TD as a pro. Certainly wouldn't have him above Murray.

Tua - obviously just announced he's on IR, but I'd hesitate to place him in any tier moving forward. The inability to avoid these head injuries is an every snap experience I want no part of once he;'s back on the field.

Lawrence - I keep waiting for him to pop out of a cake so to speak and show us why he was such a coveted talent...and I just always feel so unimpressed.

RB:

Jahmyr - Jahmyr...but he is in a timeshare with someone also quite effective and even if he is mad effcient, I think hehas less 'he'll win you a week' than alot of guys in and around this area.

CMC/Mason - obviously understanding this is 2 RB's...the value here is if you don't already have them handcuffed, there is much more value than mid-RB2 to the owner of either.

JK - It's funny in that once the season starts, all we have is their on-field. And he's looked dynamite. He has great OT's...I'm sure you're hesitant to move him too far up given the injury history, but he's set-up to kill it.

Kamara - yes, I think WAY too low. This guy is a former league winner type and who else is there in NO?

Jacobs - too low IMO. He's a former RB1 overall and he's in an elite offense once Love returns and being workhorsed in the interim.

WR:

MHJ - WR by it's nature is more boom/bust than other positions but I like him better than Ja'Marr at this juncture. Small quibble.

Deebo - I'm sure his calf is entering into your thinking here, but when he's on the field, he's typically been much better than this and had been in weeks 1-2.

ARSB - I'm trying to reconcile how Jameson affects production across him/LaPorta and even Jahmyr. But this ranking seems to indicate no effect...and I haven't landed on that conclusion.

TE:

Pitts - I just don't get it. And I'm a Falcon fan...but I just don't think he warrants this type of ranking. Brock Bowers has already shown himself to be more impactful.

If the Kyler that showed up against the Rams is what we get going forward, he'll be right there with (and maybe above) Stroud next week, I just worry it was just the Rams who seem ready for the season to be over already. Murray has convinced me on the rushing, now I need convincing on the passing. That ties into Harrison not being above Chase as well.

Daniels is only 1.2 points behind Kyler despite 0 TD passes. I'm confident he'll throw some.

Tua (and the Miami WRs) were ranked under the expectation Tua would be playing soon. He won't be on next weel's list, and Hill and Waddle will also be lower barring surprise QB play in Miami. Don't know if Achane is hurt or not, as its likely he is now the centerpiece of the offense, if he wasn't already.

In general, I'm trying not to overreact to the Lions offense, because I can't imagine they are this bad (especially in the redzone) all year. The ranks are a bit of a hedge with them, especially the Gibbs and LaPorta ones, as I think the solution is probably involving more usage for one (or both) of them. No concerns about Amon-Ra though. Some with LaPorta, but TE being what it is I don't want to overreact, same applies to Kelce, and even guys like Pitts and Kincaid, who are teetering on downgrades.

Deebo is almost entirely calf related, and a small assumption that Aiyuk will be more involved than he's been the 1st 2 games.

 

[travdogg]

I have to disagree with how high you have Mahomes ranked. He's a great real life QB but so far he's been just an average FF QB. 3 TD's & 3 picks so far. Averaging only 19 pts per game in my league scoring.

I think he has him too low.

Kelce is going to pick it up, Rice is emerging, and without Pacheco, they will be throwing the ball a ton more. Good chance he's QB1 ROS.

QB1 ROS would be a big surprise to me, I just don't think he has that upside without doing more as a runner. However, I think his current QB12 is very much his floor.

 

[The General]

I enjoy this every week, Tdogg.

My thoughts:

Murray should be up.
CJ over Mahomes.
Rice is too low.
Love the Nico rating - Dude is looking like Andre Johnson with a stud QB.
Kelce and Pitts way too high.

 

[jon_mx]

The Jamo hate is real.

 

[Donnybrook]

I no longer play fantasy football but I fail to see how Alvin Kamara is not in tier 1.

 

[Deamon]

I have to disagree with how high you have Mahomes ranked. He's a great real life QB but so far he's been just an average FF QB. 3 TD's & 3 picks so far. Averaging only 19 pts per game in my league scoring.

I think he has him too low.

Kelce is going to pick it up, Rice is emerging, and without Pacheco, they will be throwing the ball a ton more. Good chance he's QB1 ROS.

QB1 ROS would be a big surprise to me, I just don't think he has that upside without doing more as a runner. However, I think his current QB12 is very much his floor.

Depends on settings but I forgot you use the most popular 4/passing TD. In 6/TD I would argue he could be #1 overall.

 

[Deamon]

Reading the tea leaves, I'm expecting Tua to be starting week 4.

Score one against the tea leaves

Did you use chamomile or earl gray?

I think it was Chamomile Tea & Earlgray... AKA "CTE"

This woulda killed back in the Laugh-Emoji Era.

 

[Runkle]

Reading the tea leaves, I'm expecting Tua to be starting week 4.

Score one against the tea leaves

Did you use chamomile or earl gray?

I think it was Chamomile Tea & Earlgray... AKA "CTE"

This woulda killed back in the Laugh-Emoji Era.

Like reaction

 

[Deamon]

RB
Tier 1:
1. Saquon Barkley (1)
2. De'Von Achane (5)
3. Breece Hall (2)
4. Bijan Robinson (3)

Tier 2:
5. James Cook (14), has 100% of the carries inside the 5 through 2 games. That completely changes his value, as even the biggest Cook backers wouldn't have predicted that.
6. Jonathan Taylor (8)
7. Jahmyr Gibbs (6)
8. Kyren Williams (7)

Tier 3:
9. Alvin Kamara (15), I'm sure this will still be considered too low for some, but I'm still not fully on board with this Saints offense (as evidenced by no Carr or Shaheed yet) its clearly better than expected, but I'm not ready to declare this an elite offense yet.
10. Joe Mixon (10)
11. Derrick Henry (9)

Tier 4:
12. James Conner (18), if he hadn't fumbled at the GL (lucky McBride) he'd be a top-5 RB right now. That's probably his ceiling, but I trust this Cards offense more than say, NO. As always with Conner, its all about staying healthy, as he's never played a full season in 7 seasons.
13. Kenneth Walker (12)
14. Josh Jacobs (13)

Tier 5:
15. Rhamondre Stevenson (16)
16. Christian McCaffrey (4), out at least 4 weeks, and seemingly more. Still, he could be a league winner down the stretch, so I hesitate to put him too low.

I think you have CMC just about right. I am very very surprised that FBG has CMC ranked as RB4 in their Rest Of Season Rankings. Anyone else think that is incredibly too high?

 

[cheese]

You messed up Brock Bowers tier. He’s actually God Tier.

Yes. Not exaggerating that he’d be TE1 for me if I was drafting today. The Raiders decided they are going to pass this year and this dude is incredible. My only concerns coming in were if this was going to be a boomer offense or just plain bad. Neither through 2 weeks and Bowers is honestly might be the best TE in the nfl already with a massive target share.

Kyle Pitts has had 4 seasons, 3 qbs, 2 coaches, etc to show what Bowers has already shown.

 

[wlwiles]

You messed up Brock Bowers tier. He’s actually God Tier.

Yes. Not exaggerating that he’d be TE1 for me if I was drafting today. The Raiders decided they are going to pass this year and this dude is incredible. My only concerns coming in were if this was going to be a boomer offense or just plain bad. Neither through 2 weeks and Bowers is honestly might be the best TE in the nfl already with a massive target share.

Kyle Pitts has had 4 seasons, 3 qbs, 2 coaches, etc to show what Bowers has already shown.

Pitts already showed it in his rookie season. >1000 yards his rookie year, 2nd most yards by any rookie TE in history.
Then he was injured in Year 2.
Then he had Ridder in Year 3, and he still wasn't fully healthy.
Now he has two games so far with (a clearly not 100% healthy) Cousins and a whole new coaching staff.

Pitts is not TE1, nor is he TE5, but you guys act like he's chopped liver and doomed to be a fantasy TE2 the rest of his career.

He's still only 23 years old. Kelce was 26 before he ever broke 1000 yards. And then he did it for 7 more years after that.

 

[wgoldsph]

Can someone explain Olave and London? I just don't know what they do to keep being ranked as top guys. I honestly might play Shaheed (not listed) or Shakir (also not listed) over both these guys.

 

[zoonation]

You messed up Brock Bowers tier. He’s actually God Tier.

Yes. Not exaggerating that he’d be TE1 for me if I was drafting today. The Raiders decided they are going to pass this year and this dude is incredible. My only concerns coming in were if this was going to be a boomer offense or just plain bad. Neither through 2 weeks and Bowers is honestly might be the best TE in the nfl already with a massive target share.

Kyle Pitts has had 4 seasons, 3 qbs, 2 coaches, etc to show what Bowers has already shown.

He looks like a young Kelce.

 

[Gally]

Can someone explain Olave and London? I just don't know what they do to keep being ranked as top guys. I honestly might play Shaheed (not listed) or Shakir (also not listed) over both these guys.

I think FF has many cases where people rely on the name rather than the output. This comes across a lot in trade negotiations. It's almost better to take the names out of the equation and just look at the stats week to week and base your start/sit decisions that way.

 

[travdogg]

Can someone explain Olave and London? I just don't know what they do to keep being ranked as top guys. I honestly might play Shaheed (not listed) or Shakir (also not listed) over both these guys.

In Olave's case, he's an ascendent 24 year old former 1st rounder, who has gone from 1000-5 to 1100-6 and is now in a better (though not likely as good as these 1st 2 weeks) offense. I think he's clearly ahead of Shaheed in the NO pecking order, Shaheed has just hit some long TDs.

London has always been a bit of a projection, with the idea that Cousins has always fed his #1 target. That wasn't just a Jefferson thing, but extended back to Thielen, and all the way back to Jordan Reed.

Shakir isn't really on my radar (Shaheed very much is for reference's sake he and Diontae Johnson were my last 2 omissions) as I typically go about 10-15 guys over what I list, and then sort of eliminate guys as I get down to the number I list. Shakir wasn't in my list to come down from, which means he'd be no higher than about WR55 for me. I'm taking Coleman if I'm taking a Bills WR.

 

[Tau837]

 

[BlackCrowes]

please rank my guys higher. TIA

 

[BassNBrew]

WR
Tier 1:
1. Justin Jefferson (3)
2. Nico Collins (8) - Over reaction. As he draws more coverage Diggs and Dell will eat.
3. CeeDee Lamb (4) - Still number IMO.
4. Tyreek Hill (1)
5. Amon-Ra St. Brown (6)
6. Ja'Marr Chase (5)

Tier 2:
7. Marvin Harrison (15), truth is somewhere between weeks 1 and 2, and its possible he'll be more boom/bust than people prefer, but nothing stopping him from elite target share on a breakout offense. - You state the truth is somewhere in between but then rank him based on week 2. Based solely on your write-up he should be tied with Nabers.
8. Davante Adams (10)
9. Mike Evans (7) - Nope. To TD dependant. Godwin maybe the WR to own this year.
10. Garrett Wilson (9) - Getting worried. Who would have thought the trash at QB the last couple of years was better than Rodgers.

Tier 3:
11. Malik Nabers (21), its Jaylen Waddle's rookie season all over again. Only real target, gets fed all sorts of short stuff, with occasional deeper shots. Nabers is probably a bigger talent than Waddle (who I think very highly of) and Jones is probably better than rookie Tua was. 39% of targets through 2 weeks.
12. Rashee Rice (17)
13. DeVonta Smith (18) - Not a chance he should be ahead of Brown. Doubt anyone would swap them straight up right now.
14. DK Metcalf (25), TD was a coverage breakdown, but still had 9-73 without it. Possible it was just Surtain in week 1.
15. Drake London (13)
16. Chris Olave (14)

Tier 4:
17. AJ Brown (2), gut says this hamstring injury keeps Brown out until week 6. Has elite #1 overall WR upside, but also the type of guys where injuries often linger.
18. Chris Godwin (26)
19. Jaylen Waddle (12)
20. Brandon Aiyuk (19) - Don't see how he falls on the CMC and Deebo news.

Tier 5:
21. Deebo Samuel (16)
22. Zay Flowers (32), all the handwringing about which TE, and the true #1 was here all along. I do have ceiling concerns do to so many of his touches going nowhere, but tough to argue much with 21 targets and 2 rushes through 2 weeks.
23. Stefon Diggs (20)
24. DJ Moore (22)

Tier 6:
25. Xavier Worthy (30) - Need to see something out of Mahommes before I move him up.
26. George Pickens (27) - Feels like his time is coming.
27. Puka Nacua (23)

Tier 7:
28. Jayden Reed (29)
29. Cooper Kupp (11), expecting an IR announcement later in the week. His history worries me more than Puka's. Hope everyone took advantage of that sell-high window.
30. Jaxon Smith-Njigba (36)
31. Tank Dell (31)
32. Michael Pittman (24) - Ouch. Not disagreeing but what a mess the Indy WR corps is.
33. Amari Cooper (28) - Always starts off slow. You'll be moving him up.

Tier 8:
34. Jameson Williams (NR), ok, he's not a 1-week wonder. Having said that, I do think they need to scale him back, as Goff is playing his worst football since his rookie season, and I think forcing things to Williams is a part of that. I'm giving it another week, as I still think LaPorta will end up ahead of him in the pecking order.
35. Calvin Ridley (34)
36. Brian Thomas (38)
37. Terry McLaurin (33)
38. Tee Higgins (37) - One week closer to playing, Should be moving up.

Tier 9:
39. Keenan Allen (35) - Three Bears WRs in the top 40. I realize this is a hedge.No one knows the real answer, but three in the top 40 isn't it.
40. Rome Odunze (39)

Dropped off: Hollywood Brown (40), see you in the playoffs...maybe?

Dionte Johnson should be on the list. Panthers D is historically bad and Dalton is a 2x upgrade over Young.

Johnson was my last WR omission, he would have been tier 9, if I extended past 40. Just think there is more potential upside in the Bears passing game, even with Dalton starting.

On Collins: I think he's proving to be an elite talent. I think he's clearly separated as the #1. Has some Terrell Owens to his game.
On Harrison: I have A LOT more confidence in his offense than Nabers.
On Evans: I think Godwin has been closing the gap, but I also think he's had perfect matchups these 1st 2 weeks. Washington/Detroit are awful secondaries, especially in the middle.
On Wilson: I'm kinda with you. I'm giving it more time, but I'd be lying if I said I was super confident he was going to live up to his draft spot.
On Smith/AJ: Possible overreaction to Brown's injury. I do think Smith is going to be a high-end WR2 all year, regardless of Brown's status.
On Worthy: Totally speculative, I agree. I want to bet on Mahomes, and with Brown out for the year, I expect Worthy to get every chance to succeed.
On Pickens: Top-15 talent, just need the targets/QB to cooperate. Expecting very boom/bust all year due to the offense.
On Cooper: I don't know where the idea he always starts slow comes from. 2017 is the only year in his career, that he started slowly. He's had 90+ yards in week 1 or 2, every other year of his career.
On Higgins: Maybe. I'm not sure Burrow is gonna be the Burrow of old, and I think Tee is light years behind Chase. Higgins needs to prove he can stay on the field at this point.

.