what argument? and how are his numbers fluky?
Sando
explains in this post.
perhaps those numbers reflect the playcalling as opposed to the abilities of any one player...on third and two the still mildly conservative offensive phillosiphy of the niners, will not call a 30 yard bomb (which perhaps they should according to those numbers, and what i saw on the field).
opposing teams know that nine times out of ten the niners are going to call plays that try and get the first down (3-5 yards) in that situation and play tighter to the line, making the field much shorter for Troy.
this is completely unsubstantiated on my part... i did not rewatch the game to see if this was the case and i have no proof to back it up...
just a thought that ran through my head whilst reading the linked article.
BAM