FFPC scoring:
Need 2 flex plays:
J.Jacobs @ LAC
R.Stevenson @ Mia
M.Gesicki vs NE
C.Kirk @ Wash
D.Smith @ Det
H.Henry @ Mia
I don't play FFPC but I believe it's 1.5 PPR for TEs, yes.
I have been fading all Patriots this week, probably too much at this point but I am truly skeptical about what we're going to see from them with Patricia & Judge handling the game plan & play calling. I think the loss of McDaniels is going to hurt more than probably any player or coaching loss of this off-season. However Rhamondre may be the only guy I might be interested in this week, although probably not with your other options.
I don't like Davonta so much either. This team turned around their season when they fully committed to the run around week 8 when they played @Detroit. I know they signed AJ Brown but I don't think the game plan strays too far from what worked so very well last year. I don't see them suddenly telling Hurts to throw the ball 35 times per game. They averaged 27 attempts per game on the season but just under 24 from week 8 on. Hurts needs to show that he can the kind of low volume, high efficiency guy like Lamar Jackson before I buy into his #2 WR. Pass on Davonta this week.
I'm as high on Josh Jacobs as anyone. I don't think the Raiders will be a high volume rushing attack because their offensive line is bottom 5 in the league, but I do believe that Jacobs is the lead back in this committee. He will catch some passes, get maybe 13-15 carries and, because it is McDaniels offense he will have a higher chance of scoring a goal line TD than many backs in the league. I don't see Zamir being a threat to Jacobs early in the season, he's a rookie and McDaniels is a perfectionist, rookies need to earn their time just ask Rhamondre. Bolden & Abdullah will probably see more action in the passing game but they aren't threats to Jacobs #1 status. The problem this week, and likely many weeks for Jacobs, is it's a tough as nails matchup that could see 40+ pass attempts from each team. But putting too much faith in predicting game scripts is a fools errand.
I am not sure what to expect from Gesicki considering, by all accounts the Dolphins really tried to trade him as late as August. He doesn't fit the Kittle model of in-line blocking TE that can run and catch, he's a large slot receiver and I am not sure where that fits into McDaniel's offense, particularly when they have Tyreek and Waddle. I'm very tempted to suggest rolling the dice with him, especially with the FFPC premium on TEs, but...not sure yet.
I like Kirk in this scenario. I think he is in line for #1 WR volume and I think Lawrence really takes a step forward this year. I don't have much more to say about him.
I think you need to rely on your gut for these but my gut says:
Kirk>Jacobs>Gesicki>Rhamondre>Davonta>Henry