Week 1 Sleepers - WR (1 Viewer)

[SameSongNDance]

Danny Amendola @ DET - He's now almost a year removed from a season ending elbow injury and seems to still have a very good connection with Bradford. DET's secondary struggled mightily in five of it's last six games to close out the season last year and is now entering 2012 with essentially the same defensive squad. STL will more than likely end up having to play catch up at some point in this match making him all the more appealing. I'd feel very comfortable flexing him in leagues which reward points per receptions.

Malcom Floyd @ OAK - To be honest, Floyd is pretty underwhelming at this point in his career. You cannot however, disregard match-up and situation. Rivers seasonally torches OAK and I don't see that stopping this year. Couple that with the absence of Mathews and a suspect OAK secondary which finished 30th in the league last year and you have yourself a legitimate sleeper. I don't think there will be a better opportunity for Floyd to put up quality stats this year.

Mike Williams vs. CAR - I'm personally expecting a bounce back year for Tampa Mike and I think it starts with his week 1 match-up vs. CAR. Williams struggled with double teams all year and eventually became content with a minimized role in 2011. With Vincent Jackson now in town to draw attention, and more importantly CB Chris Gamble in this specific match-up, I'm expecting Williams to flash some of what we saw in 2010. CAR's strong suit isn't exactly their secondary either, as they finished 24th against the pass last year.

Braylon Edwards @ ARI - With the recent news of Golden Tate's knee injury that will likely cost him two weeks, Edwards will be getting the nod to line up opposite Sindey Rice for SEA's first game of the season. Edwards showed some unexpected life in the preseason, hooking up with Russel Willson on a handful of catches. Given the opportunity and the nature of this match-up (ARI, although much improved through the second half of last year, still ranked 29th against the pass), Edwards can make for a sneaky play in deeper leagues. Thankfully, he shouldn't be getting any attention from shut down corner Patrick Peterson in this match.

 

[Sarlakticacid]

Nice one! Didnt see the injury to Tate with regards to B Edwards. You would have to think if he does ok P Carrol will keep rolling him out as the starter even after G Tate gets back.

 

[One More Rep]

I would take Rice as the Seahawk wr this week. I like the Amendola and Floyd calls

 

[jvdesigns2002]

I like your mike williams and malcolm floyd picks. Vincent jackson's presence should free things up for Williams--so I agree with you there. I think floyd could be a solid weapon for the chargers with vjax leaving town.

 

[Sarlakticacid]

Not sure how the chargers will do Vs Oak. I think most if not all the CBs from last year are gone. Add to that a completely new Devensive scheme. (I wonder if other teams even watched film on the raiders Dbacks looking at their scheme as it didnt change for a long time.

One other thing is Oaks Dline with a few more healthy guys, compared to last year, VS a beat up o line for the chargers

 

[Ministry of Pain]

Danny Amendola @ DET - He's now almost a year removed from a season ending elbow injury and seems to still have a very good connection with Bradford. DET's secondary struggled mightily in five of it's last six games to close out the season last year and is now entering 2012 with essentially the same defensive squad. STL will more than likely end up having to play catch up at some point in this match making him all the more appealing. I'd feel very comfortable flexing him in leagues which reward points per receptions.

Malcom Floyd @ OAK - To be honest, Floyd is pretty underwhelming at this point in his career. You cannot however, disregard match-up and situation. Rivers seasonally torches OAK and I don't see that stopping this year. Couple that with the absence of Mathews and a suspect OAK secondary which finished 30th in the league last year and you have yourself a legitimate sleeper. I don't think there will be a better opportunity for Floyd to put up quality stats this year.

Mike Williams vs. CAR - I'm personally expecting a bounce back year for Tampa Mike and I think it starts with his week 1 match-up vs. CAR. Williams struggled with double teams all year and eventually became content with a minimized role in 2011. With Vincent Jackson now in town to draw attention, and more importantly CB Chris Gamble in this specific match-up, I'm expecting Williams to flash some of what we saw in 2010. CAR's strong suit isn't exactly their secondary either, as they finished 24th against the pass last year.

Braylon Edwards @ ARI - With the recent news of Golden Tate's knee injury that will likely cost him two weeks, Edwards will be getting the nod to line up opposite Sindey Rice for SEA's first game of the season. Edwards showed some unexpected life in the preseason, hooking up with Russel Willson on a handful of catches. Given the opportunity and the nature of this match-up (ARI, although much improved through the second half of last year, still ranked 29th against the pass), Edwards can make for a sneaky play in deeper leagues. Thankfully, he shouldn't be getting any attention from shut down corner Patrick Peterson in this match.

 

[Diamond]

When did Patrick Peterson become a shutdown corner? Frankly, after seeing Kendall Wright school him this preseason, whoever Peterson is covering is the Seahawk WR I would want.

 

[shadyridr]

When did Patrick Peterson become a shutdown corner? Frankly, after seeing Kendall Wright school him this preseason, whoever Peterson is covering is the Seahawk WR I would want.

last year. HTH

 

[shadyridr]

OK maybe not a sleeper but I like Justin Blackmon to have a good game vs the porous MIN secondary.

 

[finito]

When did Patrick Peterson become a shutdown corner? Frankly, after seeing Kendall Wright school him this preseason, whoever Peterson is covering is the Seahawk WR I would want.

last year. HTH

Nah, he's not there yet. He was extremely impressive as a rookie but I wouldn't put him in elite status just yet, though he could attain it this season.

 

[FDC]

Mike Williams vs. CAR - I'm personally expecting a bounce back year for Tampa Mike and I think it starts with his week 1 match-up vs. CAR. Williams struggled with double teams all year and eventually became content with a minimized role in 2011. With Vincent Jackson now in town to draw attention, and more importantly CB Chris Gamble in this specific match-up, I'm expecting Williams to flash some of what we saw in 2010. CAR's strong suit isn't exactly their secondary either, as they finished 24th against the pass last year.

Mike Williams looks to draw rookie Josh Norman and I wouldn't be surprised if Josh Norman surprises some and plays well. Carolina still is going to have issues stopping the run. I expect to see a lot of Doug Martin and am avoiding the TB passing game until we see something.

 

[rickyg]

Nice post. I'd also ad Kendall wright who is starting vs NE. I hear NE shored up their secondary this offseason but until I see it in a real game I won't believe it.

Same with Nate Washington.

 

[The Jerk]

Malcom Floyd @ OAK - To be honest, Floyd is pretty underwhelming at this point in his career. You cannot however, disregard match-up and situation. Rivers seasonally torches OAK and I don't see that stopping this year. Couple that with the absence of Mathews and a suspect OAK secondary which finished 30th in the league last year and you have yourself a legitimate sleeper. I don't think there will be a better opportunity for Floyd to put up quality stats this year.

Good write up and thread concept.I suppose it depends on your definition of underwhelming...

but I think Floyd suffers from comparison to others due to his inability to stay healthy for a full season. If you look at his production on a per game basis, it might surprise a lot of people, even here in the Shark Pool.

Floyd's per game numbers over the past two seasons (22 games) place him in starting lineup territory at WR in virtually any league (weakest in PPR):

147 targets (6.68 per game, prorated to 107 for 16 games)

80 receptions (3.64 per game, prorated to 58)

1573 yards (71.5 per game, prorated to 1144)

11 TDs (0.5 per game, prorated to 8)

We all know it's not that simple to prorate from past history, for numerous reasons. However, even if you take a nearly 15% deduction, that's still 50-1000-7 or so. It's not going to produce great separation in the WR category, but because he can be drafted much later than many who project the same, it's a very solid value pick, especially for owners who are looking at late WRs after loading up elsewhere.

In my league, Floyd has finished 22nd (2010) and 19th (2011) the past two seasons on a per game basis. But because he has not played all 16 games, he is undervalued in most leagues. I'll take fantasy WR2 production in the 8th round or later even if I will need to have someone else go in a handful of games should Floyd have another of his annual injuries.

 

[Worm]

Floyd put up top 10 WR numbers for the 5 weeks after coming back from his injury last year (PPR).

 

[MAC_32]

Not saying your picks are bad, they're not, but who's starting sleepers week 1?

 

[Raiderfan32904]

Rivers seasonally torches OAK and I don't see that stopping this year. Couple that with the absence of Mathews and a suspect OAK secondary which finished 30th in the league last year and you have yourself a legitimate sleeper. I don't think there will be a better opportunity for Floyd to put up quality stats this year.

Not to discount that Rivers does regularly torch Oakland or even that the defense is suspect. But keep in mind that Oakland GM Reggie McKenzie has wiped the slate clean of each and every CB on the Raider roster from last year. And that there is a new defensive coordinator and head coach with a vastly different defensive scheme than the past 5 decades. Now maybe Floyd does go off on the Raiders on Monday, but it would be for different reasons. HTH

 

[FDC]

Not saying your picks are bad, they're not, but who's starting sleepers week 1?

I'm starting Floyd in a 10 teamer in 1 league and that was a planned strategy.

 

[The Jerk]

Not saying your picks are bad, they're not, but who's starting sleepers week 1?

From the full season perspective, perhaps they are draft sleepers, but I'd say for Week 1, they are more properly termed players who will exceed their normal weekly production.And, if a 12 team league starts 3 WRs, then 36 will be started. We all know certain owners wait longer on WR, so there are very likely some owners sifting through 2-3 WR40-45 type players, which includes a few of the guys in this writeup (although, I would contend, not Floyd, as I wrote earlier).So this thread does a great service to those with a weak WR3, at least to start the season.I'd put Nate Washington in this category in place of Malcom Floyd.

 

[gandalas]

Not saying your picks are bad, they're not, but who's starting sleepers week 1?

From the full season perspective, perhaps they are draft sleepers, but I'd say for Week 1, they are more properly termed players who will exceed their normal weekly production.And, if a 12 team league starts 3 WRs, then 36 will be started. We all know certain owners wait longer on WR, so there are very likely some owners sifting through 2-3 WR40-45 type players, which includes a few of the guys in this writeup (although, I would contend, not Floyd, as I wrote earlier).

So this thread does a great service to those with a weak WR3, at least to start the season.



I'd put Nate Washington in this category in place of Malcom Floyd.

This. Nate Washington should blow up this week.

 

[Steel Dillo]

Rod Streater will be on everyone's radar on Tuesday after his 8/115/1 game against the Chargers.

 

[rct]

Not saying your picks are bad, they're not, but who's starting sleepers week 1?

For some of us in Dynasty leagues, our choices are limited to players in the sleeper category.

 

[donkshow]

This board has forced me to buy into the Rod Streator hype.

Gotta figure out who to cut loose.

 

[MAC_32]

Not saying your picks are bad, they're not, but who's starting sleepers week 1?

For some of us in Dynasty leagues, our choices are limited to players in the sleeper category.

I see that, but wouldn't sleepers be less available in dynasty leagues? Every guy mentioned so far is rostered in both of mine.I can't imagine starting anybody else mentioned in here over the end of my lineup (all 12 team leagues) - Garcon at WR, Vick and Ryan at QB, Tamme and Rudolph at TE, and R Jennings (drafted Mathews early) at RB - next worse option is Sproles. To even roster any of these guys I'd have to cut Ryan Williams, Quizz, Kendall Wright, or Russell Wilson.

 

[SameSongNDance]

When did Patrick Peterson become a shutdown corner? Frankly, after seeing Kendall Wright school him this preseason, whoever Peterson is covering is the Seahawk WR I would want.

To be fair, I should have said "up and coming" shutdown corner. I may be a bit bias because I like his style, the way he gives WRs a cushion and tries to bait them trusting his recovery, but no he's not a pure shutdown corner in the sense of the word. I think Wright burning him on those two plays was a product of A) it being the preseason and B) Peterson giving far too large of a cushion to a big play maker. Not coincidentally I do very much like Wright and Washingting this week vs. NE as several people have pointed out in this thread.

Mike Williams vs. CAR - I'm personally expecting a bounce back year for Tampa Mike and I think it starts with his week 1 match-up vs. CAR. Williams struggled with double teams all year and eventually became content with a minimized role in 2011. With Vincent Jackson now in town to draw attention, and more importantly CB Chris Gamble in this specific match-up, I'm expecting Williams to flash some of what we saw in 2010. CAR's strong suit isn't exactly their secondary either, as they finished 24th against the pass last year.

Mike Williams looks to draw rookie Josh Norman and I wouldn't be surprised if Josh Norman surprises some and plays well. Carolina still is going to have issues stopping the run. I expect to see a lot of Doug Martin and am avoiding the TB passing game until we see something.

I thought about this, seeing as how TB gave up a league high 26 TDs on the ground last year, they'd be crazy not to run. I still think Freeman has to throw at some point in this game and thought I'd take a stab at the best option at the receiving end. I'm really curious as to how Freeman is going to utilize Vjax this year. Freeman boasts a much smaller YPA than Rivers and IMO doesn't really seem best suited to take advantage of Vjax's skill set. He looks like a glorified decoy to me.

Rivers seasonally torches OAK and I don't see that stopping this year. Couple that with the absence of Mathews and a suspect OAK secondary which finished 30th in the league last year and you have yourself a legitimate sleeper. I don't think there will be a better opportunity for Floyd to put up quality stats this year.

Not to discount that Rivers does regularly torch Oakland or even that the defense is suspect. But keep in mind that Oakland GM Reggie McKenzie has wiped the slate clean of each and every CB on the Raider roster from last year. And that there is a new defensive coordinator and head coach with a vastly different defensive scheme than the past 5 decades. Now maybe Floyd does go off on the Raiders on Monday, but it would be for different reasons. HTH

I wasn't aware such a drastic change had been made, thank you for the heads up. At the very least then the opportunity is their and history is on his side. In his last three matches vs. OAK (missed a game due to injury last year), he has averaged an eye-popping 137 yards per contest.

Malcom Floyd @ OAK - To be honest, Floyd is pretty underwhelming at this point in his career. You cannot however, disregard match-up and situation. Rivers seasonally torches OAK and I don't see that stopping this year. Couple that with the absence of Mathews and a suspect OAK secondary which finished 30th in the league last year and you have yourself a legitimate sleeper. I don't think there will be a better opportunity for Floyd to put up quality stats this year.

Good write up and thread concept.I suppose it depends on your definition of underwhelming...

but I think Floyd suffers from comparison to others due to his inability to stay healthy for a full season. If you look at his production on a per game basis, it might surprise a lot of people, even here in the Shark Pool.

Floyd's per game numbers over the past two seasons (22 games) place him in starting lineup territory at WR in virtually any league (weakest in PPR):

147 targets (6.68 per game, prorated to 107 for 16 games)

80 receptions (3.64 per game, prorated to 58)

1573 yards (71.5 per game, prorated to 1144)

11 TDs (0.5 per game, prorated to 8)

We all know it's not that simple to prorate from past history, for numerous reasons. However, even if you take a nearly 15% deduction, that's still 50-1000-7 or so. It's not going to produce great separation in the WR category, but because he can be drafted much later than many who project the same, it's a very solid value pick, especially for owners who are looking at late WRs after loading up elsewhere.

In my league, Floyd has finished 22nd (2010) and 19th (2011) the past two seasons on a per game basis. But because he has not played all 16 games, he is undervalued in most leagues. I'll take fantasy WR2 production in the 8th round or later even if I will need to have someone else go in a handful of games should Floyd have another of his annual injuries.

Thank you for this, I definitely overlooked him because of injury. I said "underwhelming" but clearly that wasn't the best choice of words haha. Since Floyd seems more than capable of producing, he may be great trade bait after this week, before Mathews comes back and/or he suffers an inevitable injury. The list of 30+ year old WRs who've had break out seasons is a very short one.

This board has forced me to buy into the Rod Streator hype.

Gotta figure out who to cut loose.

I've bought into the hype as well. The dude has seemingly caught EVERYTHING thrown his way in the preseason and has looked good doing it. Injuries seem to be a trend with OAK WRs, which will give Streater plenty opportunity, starting with this week. I was originally going to give hum a spot on the sleeper list, but didn't want to prematurely include him without knowing how much Moore and Ford(looking highly unlikely) would play if at all.Anyway, thanks for the comments guys. The traffic on the site is mind boggling, I think I found a new home.

 

[placebo]

Not saying your picks are bad, they're not, but who's starting sleepers week 1?

Someone who went stars & scrubs in an auction, someone who has Peterson/Mathews/Britt/etc. sitting out. I have David Nelson as an unexciting sleeper this week. Went 4/36/1 and 5/47/1 against the Jets last year. Throwing in Streator is pretty tempting though, since he has much more potential value down the road.

 

[rct]

Not saying your picks are bad, they're not, but who's starting sleepers week 1?

For some of us in Dynasty leagues, our choices are limited to players in the sleeper category.

I see that, but wouldn't sleepers be less available in dynasty leagues? Every guy mentioned so far is rostered in both of mine.I can't imagine starting anybody else mentioned in here over the end of my lineup (all 12 team leagues) - Garcon at WR, Vick and Ryan at QB, Tamme and Rudolph at TE, and R Jennings (drafted Mathews early) at RB - next worse option is Sproles. To even roster any of these guys I'd have to cut Ryan Williams, Quizz, Kendall Wright, or Russell Wilson.

Well, yes, sleepers are less available but we have to pick among those we have rostered and threads like are helpful to choose among the meager pickings some of us have.

 

[The Jerk]

Anyway, thanks for the comments guys. The traffic on the site is mind boggling, I think I found a new home.

Fantastic to have you here.Just one more thought on Floyd, and I realize I might be overdoing it. Most likely, Floyd was drafted as a WR3 or WR4 in a redraft -- rarely, he may have been a WR2.He doesn't even need to "breakout" to be a serviceable WR3. All he needs to do is put up the same level of production he has for the past two seasons. And he doesn't even need to stay healthy all year, although of course that would be preferable. Give me 10-11 weeks of high WR3/low WR2 production, and he can have his 4-game injury where I can get someone else to plug in for that month.I don't think anyone sees Floyd as an emerging star, and he's surely a beneficiary of right place, right time, etc. He's probably not even top 50 in talent at WR in the NFL -- and that scares me a little. However, there's a long history of fantasy producers who are more about opportunity and surroundings then just pure talent.

 

[SameSongNDance]

Not saying your picks are bad, they're not, but who's starting sleepers week 1?

Someone who went stars & scrubs in an auction, someone who has Peterson/Mathews/Britt/etc. sitting out. I have David Nelson as an unexciting sleeper this week. Went 4/36/1 and 5/47/1 against the Jets last year. Throwing in Streator is pretty tempting though, since he has much more potential value down the road.

I loved David Nelson last year, he was apart of a similar thread I typed up. He's huge, 6'5 and has good hands. He's now entering the magical "3rd year" and I can definitely see him improving on his numbers. He's flown under the radar in most drafts this year, going largely undrafted. You can probably attribute this to the depth of the position.

 

[Futz]

You can bet that St Louis spent the offseason constructing a plan to limit Calvin. I'm liking Titus this week. 90 1-2.

 

[Wombat x]

Floyd is a solid flex play and I think he will be all year. He is boom or bust for sure, he's going to have his fair share of 2-25 games but he's also going to catch some bombs and often times all it takes is one play for him to have a productive fantasy week. While he's healthy, he's a start for me in 12 team leagues if you play more than just the standard 2 WR.

 

[Two Deep]

Rod Streater will be on everyone's radar on Tuesday after his 8/115/1 game against the Chargers.

I sure hope you are right Steel Dildo....

 

[Clifford]

I just can't buy Edwards. Streater is the only "what the heck" type play I am considering.

 

[Beerguzzler]

I like your first two choices, but I wouldn't touch Mike Williams. That passin offense will not be able to be support two receivers. I compare it to KCs offense where Bowe is really the only guy that has had any consistent success.

Braylon Edwards is also only starting because Tate got injured. He had beaten out Edwards earlier in the week. Compounded with a rookie QB making his first start, it's a pretty damn risky play. He has a higher possibility of ending up with 1/9 than anything else.

 

[Chazzhawk]

You can bet that St Louis spent the offseason constructing a plan to limit Calvin. I'm liking Titus this week. 90 1-2.

It could have been the Ravens, or Texans planning a whole off season to shut down Calvin and I would take Calvin, Titus might still have a good game but not because Calvin got shut down

 

[Chazzhawk]

Danny Amendola @ DET - He's now almost a year removed from a season ending elbow injury and seems to still have a very good connection with Bradford. DET's secondary struggled mightily in five of it's last six games to close out the season last year and is now entering 2012 with essentially the same defensive squad. STL will more than likely end up having to play catch up at some point in this match making him all the more appealing. I'd feel very comfortable flexing him in leagues which reward points per receptions.

Malcom Floyd @ OAK - To be honest, Floyd is pretty underwhelming at this point in his career. You cannot however, disregard match-up and situation. Rivers seasonally torches OAK and I don't see that stopping this year. Couple that with the absence of Mathews and a suspect OAK secondary which finished 30th in the league last year and you have yourself a legitimate sleeper. I don't think there will be a better opportunity for Floyd to put up quality stats this year.

Mike Williams vs. CAR - I'm personally expecting a bounce back year for Tampa Mike and I think it starts with his week 1 match-up vs. CAR. Williams struggled with double teams all year and eventually became content with a minimized role in 2011. With Vincent Jackson now in town to draw attention, and more importantly CB Chris Gamble in this specific match-up, I'm expecting Williams to flash some of what we saw in 2010. CAR's strong suit isn't exactly their secondary either, as they finished 24th against the pass last year.

Braylon Edwards @ ARI - With the recent news of Golden Tate's knee injury that will likely cost him two weeks, Edwards will be getting the nod to line up opposite Sindey Rice for SEA's first game of the season. Edwards showed some unexpected life in the preseason, hooking up with Russel Willson on a handful of catches. Given the opportunity and the nature of this match-up (ARI, although much improved through the second half of last year, still ranked 29th against the pass), Edwards can make for a sneaky play in deeper leagues. Thankfully, he shouldn't be getting any attention from shut down corner Patrick Peterson in this match.

This is wrong, he didn't have a smaller role in the Tampa offense at all last year. He had the same number of catches, and only 3 less targets than his rookie year. The production he had his rookie year was the only thing that couldn't be sustained. 11 touchdowns on only 65 catches is insane.

Plain and simple this is a 60 to 70 a year catch guy that will get around 750 to 1000 yards a year and around 5 or 6 touchdowns.

 

[SameSongNDance]

Danny Amendola @ DET - He's now almost a year removed from a season ending elbow injury and seems to still have a very good connection with Bradford. DET's secondary struggled mightily in five of it's last six games to close out the season last year and is now entering 2012 with essentially the same defensive squad. STL will more than likely end up having to play catch up at some point in this match making him all the more appealing. I'd feel very comfortable flexing him in leagues which reward points per receptions.

Malcom Floyd @ OAK - To be honest, Floyd is pretty underwhelming at this point in his career. You cannot however, disregard match-up and situation. Rivers seasonally torches OAK and I don't see that stopping this year. Couple that with the absence of Mathews and a suspect OAK secondary which finished 30th in the league last year and you have yourself a legitimate sleeper. I don't think there will be a better opportunity for Floyd to put up quality stats this year.

Mike Williams vs. CAR - I'm personally expecting a bounce back year for Tampa Mike and I think it starts with his week 1 match-up vs. CAR. Williams struggled with double teams all year and eventually became content with a minimized role in 2011. With Vincent Jackson now in town to draw attention, and more importantly CB Chris Gamble in this specific match-up, I'm expecting Williams to flash some of what we saw in 2010. CAR's strong suit isn't exactly their secondary either, as they finished 24th against the pass last year.

Braylon Edwards @ ARI - With the recent news of Golden Tate's knee injury that will likely cost him two weeks, Edwards will be getting the nod to line up opposite Sindey Rice for SEA's first game of the season. Edwards showed some unexpected life in the preseason, hooking up with Russel Willson on a handful of catches. Given the opportunity and the nature of this match-up (ARI, although much improved through the second half of last year, still ranked 29th against the pass), Edwards can make for a sneaky play in deeper leagues. Thankfully, he shouldn't be getting any attention from shut down corner Patrick Peterson in this match.

This is wrong, he didn't have a smaller role in the Tampa offense at all last year. He had the same number of catches, and only 3 less targets than his rookie year. The production he had his rookie year was the only thing that couldn't be sustained. 11 touchdowns on only 65 catches is insane.

Plain and simple this is a 60 to 70 a year catch guy that will get around 750 to 1000 yards a year and around 5 or 6 touchdowns.

When I say a minimized role, I'm referring to him not reclaiming the WR1 title he established the year before. He eventually started to settle with underneath routes when he couldn't break coverage."I wasn't getting any more one-on-ones,'' Williams said. "I was facing all Cover 2 (zones) and teams pushing coverage to my side and putting their best corner on me with a safety over the top, and I just didn't adjust to it well enough. My route running wasn't good enough.''

You're right, the volume of targets didn't change but his role in the offense did.

Also, 11 TDs on 65 catches is insane but hardly an outlier. Here's a list of dudes with similar TD to catch ratios last year..

Jordy Nelson 68/15

Laurent Robinson 54/11

Vincent Jackson 60/9

Dez Bryant 60/9

Santonio Holmes 51/8

Lance Moore 52/8

Plaxico Burress 45/8

Eric Decker 44/8

Julio Jones 54/8

James Jones 38/7

Miles Austin 48/7

 

[ROYALWITCHEESE]

You can bet that St Louis spent the offseason constructing a plan to limit Calvin. I'm liking Titus this week. 90 1-2.

Yeah because no one has game planned for him up to now...

 

[SameSongNDance]

The Lions are expected to start rookie Bill Bentley and Jacob Lacey in Week 1 against the Rams, with Drayton Florence in the nickel.

Florence will cover the slot (Danny Amendola) on passing downs. It's got to be the weakest-looking cornerback package in the league, at least for this week, and arguably secondary as a whole with FS Louis Delmas (knee) not playing. Bentley did flash playmaking ability in preseason, but he hadn't won a starting job outright until the Lions lost LCB Chris Houston (ankle).

Just reinforcing just how iffy DET's secondary looks.

 

[Lascelle]

I just can't buy Edwards. Streater is the only "what the heck" type play I am considering.

I'm considering Streater if there's clarity around Denarius Moore's start status by Sunday. If not, I'm rolling the WR3 dice in my 16-team return yardage league with either Randall Cobb or Devery Henderson (who incidentally has scored a TD in Game 1 the past 4 seasons.)Obviously, Henderson becomes a lock if Colston is ruled out.

 

[super sleeper]

Not saying your picks are bad, they're not, but who's starting sleepers week 1?

I have Stevie Johnson and Justin Blackmon, so with the injury reports this week, I'm looking at the possibility of going to my #5 or 6 WR (I have Fitz in, and Britt on suspension/hurt). That means JBaldwin or RMoss.

 

[SameSongNDance]

Not saying your picks are bad, they're not, but who's starting sleepers week 1?

I have Stevie Johnson and Justin Blackmon, so with the injury reports this week, I'm looking at the possibility of going to my #5 or 6 WR (I have Fitz in, and Britt on suspension/hurt). That means JBaldwin or RMoss.

I've already subbed out Stevie for Amendola in one league and Lance Moore/Kendall Wright (can't decide) in another. Although he's never scored less than 11 points in 1PPR against Revis in their past four meetings, I just have this gut feeling he's going to get lost on Revis Island this week.

 

[killrobotkill]

Not saying your picks are bad, they're not, but who's starting sleepers week 1?

I was already planning to start Tampa Mike myself, with Britt on suspension and Denarious Moore questionable in a MNF start.

 

[DevilintheDetail]

Not saying your picks are bad, they're not, but who's starting sleepers week 1?

I have Stevie Johnson and Justin Blackmon, so with the injury reports this week, I'm looking at the possibility of going to my #5 or 6 WR (I have Fitz in, and Britt on suspension/hurt). That means JBaldwin or RMoss.

Blackmon will be fine. If he isn't, I'd bet on Moss. Plays well at Lambeau, should draw single coverage, I'm betting he catches a TD.

 

[nb009]

Donald Jones from the Bills is a deep deep sleeper who no one is talking about.

 

[TwinTurbo]

Jonathan Baldwin seems like a sneaky play this week. I am starting him in one league.

 

[DevilintheDetail]

Jonathan Baldwin seems like a sneaky play this week. I am starting him in one league.

Baldwin isn't even starting for the Chiefs yet, FWIW. I think everyone is getting a little ahead of themselves with him.

 

[G-King]

Rod Streater will be on everyone's radar on Tuesday after his 8/115/1 game against the Chargers.

I sure hope you are right Steel Dildo....

How did this slip by....

 

[tombonneau]

Donald Jones from the Bills is a deep deep sleeper who no one is talking about.

He looks good in person and if Buffalo can ramp up their passing game he could be a low end WR2. Really seems to stand out physically on the field. Love the Edwards call. Seems like the kind of potential second act career arc we've seen before from troubled WRsEta: oops I was thinking of Donald Nelson. Always confuse those two.

 

[SameSongNDance]

Donald Jones from the Bills is a deep deep sleeper who no one is talking about.

I tend to like David Nelson more so, if only because he made much larger strides last year and has a niche format PPR). They are however both in their 3rd years and Jones reportedly turned in a strong camp. BUF loves going five-wide and I think Fitz likes to exploit the match-up. Again though, I think this ultimately favors Nelson, since he can create mismatches at 6'5 and Fitz technically has a noodle arm (Jones is more of a deep threat). None the less he's someone to keep any eye on for players in deeper leagues.

 

[nb009]

Donald Jones from the Bills is a deep deep sleeper who no one is talking about.

I tend to like David Nelson more so, if only because he made much larger strides last year and has a niche format PPR). They are however both in their 3rd years and Jones reportedly turned in a strong camp. BUF loves going five-wide and I think Fitz likes to exploit the match-up. Again though, I think this ultimately favors Nelson, since he can create mismatches at 6'5 and Fitz technically has a noodle arm (Jones is more of a deep threat). None the less he's someone to keep any eye on for players in deeper leagues.

For PPR, maybe Nelson is a safer bet due to his slot work, but I think his ceiling is very low. When I think of sleepers, however, I'm always looking at people who can BLOW UP. I feel like Jones has that capability. In a way, he's similar to Victor Cruz with the quickness and big-play/after-catch ability. He's starting alongside Stevie this year, had a great camp (in which he won the job), and mentioned his goal is to get 1,000 yards (whose isn't, right?). I feel like BUF is somewhat of a pass happy offense and although Fitzpatrick is no Eli or Romo, he does like to lean on his receivers.Also, he somewhat looked like he was on the verge of breaking out last season (NE Patriots game) until he was injured a week later and never fully healthy for the season. With Stevie Johnson still banged up, I think this is the perfect opportunity for someone else to step up and make big plays.