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Week 10 who should I start thread **OFFICIAL** (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter Chaka
- Start date
Chaka
Footballguy
I guess it depends if you are looking for ceiling or floor? Sutton has been quiet the past three weeks, heck he's been downright anemic. But you can't deny that he has the talent to have a monster week at some point. The question is if you want to roll the dice that this is the week?
Ingram has the safe floor but I don't know how high that really is. I could see anywhere between 3-7 receptions for him. I know that's a big range my gut says 4-5 is probably where he lands. I wouldn't expect great rushing totals but if he gets volume, which he should he could approach 100 total yards. Maybe he falls into the endzone for a short score? I doubt he breaks a long one.
Ingram if you're risk averse, Sutton if your not.
And the Pats said Harris is out this week but they have not declared anything on Rhomadre yet. If Rhomadre is out I could see Bolden over Gordon. Gordon has been playing really well this season, with 15 opportunities per game, 71 yards with 2 receptions pretty consistently. He also seems to be the preferred option at the goal line with a TD in 5 of 9 games. So there is a strong safe floor argument for Gordon. The thing I guess people should like about Bolden is that New England has a deserved reputation for scoring a lot of rushing TDs and they are tied for 5th most in the league with 11. If Bolden is the lead back he has a better opportunity than most RBs to get a short score. He is also has quietly stepped into the James White receiving back role and leads Pats RBs with 24 targets & 22 receptions (White is still second in both).
So yeah if Rhomadre is out
Bolden>Gordon but not by a huge margin
Chaka
Footballguy
Definitely D'Ernest with Chubb out. We will find out if he is a fluke this week because the Browns are going to run. That's what they do and I doubt it changes significantly. Gibson, who I like a lot, simply hasn't been what we thought and cannot be trusted for volume or production ATM.
Roberts Woods is done for the year with an ACL so your other choices are easy.
Chaka
Footballguy
Despite the weird Rams game Bernard is a 3 target max kinda guy and doesn't get goal line touches. It's a great matchup and all but I think you have to go with AARDP even though it's a tough matchup and a three headed committee. Judging by last week ADP is their goal line back and maybe with another week to get his game legs under him his production all around may improve.
ADP>Bernard
ignatiusjreilly
Footballguy
A concussion is pretty much binary. Either you’re able to play or you’re not. It’s not like an ankle sprain where you may be limited. So there’s no reason to think Singletary will have any more value than usual this week (other than the matchup). I get the Ingram concern, but he and Collins are the only guys on your list who are clear RB1s with little competition for touches
PPR league. Pick one:
* C. Godwin @WASH -- Various sources now saying Godwin should play. Assuming active and no other negatives such as "on a pitch count" or "we'll see how it goes" indicating he could be pulled or re-injury, this is a sweet matchup. Also no AB or Gronk.
OR
* M. Ingram @TN -- Will get the volume. On paper a tough matchup, but have a feeling Payton will figure out a way to have an effective running game. Could be a slugfest though since both teams want to run.
Note: I'm an 8 point favorite but the seas seem to be parting for my opponent -- Has J. Conner (Edmunds out), has R. Stevenson (D. Harris now out), has C. Kirk (and Murray looks to play while DHop, RMoore out)...guy is lucking out with his bench.
Which?
Thanks!
* C. Godwin @WASH -- Various sources now saying Godwin should play. Assuming active and no other negatives such as "on a pitch count" or "we'll see how it goes" indicating he could be pulled or re-injury, this is a sweet matchup. Also no AB or Gronk.
OR
* M. Ingram @TN -- Will get the volume. On paper a tough matchup, but have a feeling Payton will figure out a way to have an effective running game. Could be a slugfest though since both teams want to run.
Note: I'm an 8 point favorite but the seas seem to be parting for my opponent -- Has J. Conner (Edmunds out), has R. Stevenson (D. Harris now out), has C. Kirk (and Murray looks to play while DHop, RMoore out)...guy is lucking out with his bench.
Which?
Thanks!
Chaka
Footballguy
Collins seems like the smart choice.
Zack Moss cleared the concussion protocol so Singletary's other vulture is back. And, I simply know nothing about Eno or how he is going to step into Edmonds's role, which incidentally amounted to 12.5 opportunities per game. Does Eno gobble up all those opportunities or do the get distributed between Conner, Eno & maybe a couple more short passes to Moore? Too many unknowns.
Collins>Singletary>Eno
Chaka
Footballguy
Collins if Rhomadre plays, Bolden if Rhomadre is out. Unfortunately they will not likely announce about Stevenson until tomorrow. Dillon is a fine player but he doesn't get the volume that the other two stand to see and he is clearly not the Packers goal line back.
Chaka
Footballguy
I believe Chubb & Harris are out, Zack Moss cleared the concussion protocol and unless something happened to Darrell Henderson that I am not aware of Michel is a distant second fiddle in the Rams backfield.
Ingram & Collins are boring as watching frozen molasses flowing downhill but they are probably your best bets.
Chaka
Footballguy
I am not in a position where I am comfortable making a comment on Eno one way or the other, if your gut tells you to roll him out then listen to it.
I agree that McKissic makes a ton of sense this week and in that regard you probably want to spread out your risk and roll with Hines.
Between Hines & Eno I am trying to assume more risk in my own decision making so I like taking a shot on a guy line Eno. The only downside is he is likely a three week rental and not a season winner.
ignatiusjreilly
Footballguy
This is more of a philosophical thing about how you approach fantasy, but I have Godwin and my feeling is, if he plays I’m starting him, especially in a PPR and especially with this matchup
Chaka
Footballguy
That is a totally valid concern. Ingram is strictly a volume play. Singletary looks very explosive and seems like a threat to break one off at any time but he has to deal with two goal line rushing vultures so he has to make his own opportunities to score. And he doesn't get many opportunities per game to do that.
Chaka
Footballguy
New England could still swing your way, Rhomadre is still in the concussion protocol and his status may not be determined until tomorrow.
If Rhomadre is out I do like Bolden.
If Rhomadre plays Bolden should still be an option, he is the clear receiving back in their offense and that always has some value.
IMO your other option is Gage. I have written about him a couple times in this thread but the bottom line is he is the #1 WR in Atlanta and defenses cannot focus on him because of Cordarrelle & Pitts. He should get around 8 targets with double digit upside. He definitely isn't a burner but he has been around long enough to make the right reads and move the chains. He seems like the safest floor and highest ceiling of your other options.
If Rhomadre plays
Gage>Bolden
If Rhomadre is out
Bolden>Gage
Chaka
Footballguy
Quick aside: I have seen people post about being an X point favorite or underdog in any given week. Has anyone ever gone back and seen how accurate the algorithm is in predicting these outcomes? Just curious.
I hate your options.
Godwin is probably a good option but I have serious concerns he is going to be a decoy more than anything and this will end up being a Fournette game. Still in that offense, with no AB & no Gronk it really makes sense to consider rolling him out.
Ingram is going to get volume. He's not terribly efficient, he is very unlikely to break off a long TD and his mama dresses him funny. But he's going to get volume. He can catch and should see around 6 targets (and that may be a gross underestimation with Kamara out) which has legitimate safe floor value for you. Sean Payton is a great offensive coach and will scheme the Saints to some points even with the dearth of talent so a goal line score is a legitimate possibility.
I guess Godwin should be considered your high upside choice and Ingram your safe floor choice.
While I am trying to be more risk forward in here I think I would roll with
Ingram>Godwin but it really is a gut call surrounding Godwin.
ETA: I didn't see that Rondale Moore was out, last news I have is he is questionable.
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Chaka
Footballguy
@JIslander
With the news about Robert Woods I may have changed my opinion about this week. Jefferson has a small window to establish himself as more than a deep threat this week before OBJ is fully on board. The assumption is OBJ will slide into the Woods role as it probably suits his game better than being a deep threat but on Monday, I think Van gets his shot to be more than just the field stretcher.
Jefferson>Renfrow>Hilton
Actually, I've found that some projection engines aren't bad. I take it as more directional in nature, but it definitely gives you sense of what's more probably vs. not.
Hate is a strong word! I don't love my decision here, but as a 2nd flex I certainly think M. Ingram under normal circumstances would be seen as solid. Certainly I'd rather see Godwin in my WR2 slot, but for now I'm sticking M. Pittman in there.
I'd feel a lot better about this if my L. Jackson didn't crap the bed Thursday. M. Andrews certainly did his part. My remaining lineup seems pretty strong, just feel like my opponent has luck on his side. Starters (not including LJack and Andrews):
* RBs: A. Ekeler vs MN, L. Fournette @WASH
* WRSs: S. Diggs vs NYJ, M. Pittman vs JAX
* Flex1: Darrel Williams @ LV
* Flex 2: TBD above
* Defense: Pit vs Det
* K: M. Gay @SF
Really hoping more concrete info comes out tmrw morning on Godwin. Any sniff of negativity and he's out.
Come on Shefty. Get to it.
Chaka
Footballguy
I hate your choices because I hate having to predict Godwin this week. He's probably fine but I just didn't like Arians's comments earlier in the week and that he missed W-F practices.
Chaka
Footballguy
I like Jefferson over both but I think Meyers is the right choice. 19 more targets, 9 more receptions, 114 more yards and far less competition for looks. He hasn't had a huge game yet, heck he hasn't found the end zone yet but he gets a good deal more opportunity.
Fant has had a fine season and maybe he has another Raider game in him but good luck predicting it and he also has a significant downside.
Meyers>Fant
themeistersinger
Footballguy
Choice 2, pretty much have to start Ingram with Kamara out.
Sanders>Jones>Drake in my opinion.
Moore for sure. He's been a solid WR the last couple weeks, and its easy to see Washington seeing 3-4 targets even without Claypool.
If Godwin is playing, I'd have a hard time sitting him, as he's got by far the highest ceiling of the bunch. Godwin>Ingram>Williams in my opinion.
Collins for sureTedyBruschi said:
I'd go Collins here.
I'd go with Ingram and Gordon.
I think Cousins is the call here. I think Vikings/Chargers could be a high scoring game, and while LA is much weaker against the run, that should open up the PA game for Cousins.
Johnson(easily over Gibson) Cooper and Moore
Peterson>Drake>Bernard, Peterson has the best shot at a TD.
Collins>Singletary>Eno
Collins, by a pretty good amount in my opinion.
Ingram and Collins are the right calls for sure.
I'd actually go with Gibson and Hines here. Its possible McKissic is used as a receiver against TB, but I don't see Washington being a team that abandons the run like so many others have against TB. Not with Heinicke. Gibson has a decent shot at a TD in my opinion.
I'd go Ty Johnson(Jets RB) I'd love to say Jones, but he's been an afterthought the last 2 weeks, and as you said, injuries don't seem to have gone your way in regards to Bolden/Tyler.
I prefer Godwin here. He's active he plays.
I like Meyers over Fant or Jefferson. Last week was fluky for Meyers, as NE basically just squatted on the ball knowing the Panthers had nothing on offense, that shouldn't be the case against Cleveland.
Diontae for sure. Honestly, I'm not sure Big Ben being out isn't addition by subtraction.
I think the Steelers are arguably the #1 defense this week. So I'd go with them.
kylechoffman
Footballguy
League 1 - Lockett, Allen or Jacobs at flex .5 ppr. 40 plus yd ts are worth 8 pts otherwise 6 pts.
League 2 - Full PPR. Need a flex from Jeudy, OBJ, TY or C Davis
League 2 - Full PPR. Need a flex from Jeudy, OBJ, TY or C Davis
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Probably go with Carter if I want to play it safe even though he has a tough matchup. You might have better risk/reward with Van Jefferson because of the Woods injury so he might be worth a gamble. I don't trust Walker at QB throwing to Moore and.
BearDown54
Footballguy
Ok guys can use some help on my other team that is badly in need of a win to stay alive in playoff race
this is PPR
Darrel williams or Ingram, leaning Ingram here I am thinking
have Christian Kirk, do I use him in place of either jerudy or thielen? Will probably stick with jerudy but can make a case for thielen
finally do I stick with jalen hurts or go pick up someone like wentz?
this is PPR
Darrel williams or Ingram, leaning Ingram here I am thinking
have Christian Kirk, do I use him in place of either jerudy or thielen? Will probably stick with jerudy but can make a case for thielen
finally do I stick with jalen hurts or go pick up someone like wentz?
I would probably go Jones slightly over Gage but it is close. Stevenson is probably playing so Bolden won't get as many touches.
Stevenson has a tough matchup but he has been running hard and should get the majority of the touches. He also catches passes so I would go with him based on volume.
I am starting both Williams and Ingram in 1 league but would go with Ingram if I was forced to choose.
I personally like Thielen over Jeudy. I wouldn't use Kirk with the uncertainty at QB in Arizona
I would be tempted to pick up Wentz based on the matchup but they might run the ball down the Jags throats so he might not put up as good of numbers so I would stick with Hurts. If you are worried about the Denver D than maybe go for it but I personally give a slight edge to Hurts.
kylechoffman
Footballguy
I forgot to answer that but would go with Allen. All 3 options are good but Lockett is a little too inconsistent and we don't know how effective Wilson will be coming back from an injury. Jacobs is close but the 1/2 point PPR makes me prefer Keenan.
Tough call. If your league were PPR this would be easy. I would still go with Moore because I expect a negative game script so he might see lots of targets. Maybe a change of QBs might benefit him. I don't fully trust Howard but he might get into the end zone.
If anybody says Metcalf than ask them for a hit of whatever they are smoking. I would probably bench Moore based only on the uncertainty of the new QB play and Jeudy seems like he is getting healthy. Williams has such a high ceiling that I wouldn't bench him and hope this is one of his good weeks.
greenmountaingoat
Footballguy
Mark Ingram vs TEN
James Robinsion at IND
PPR format- Ingram had 5 catches last week in 42% of snaps.
I've been waiting on the Robinson news all week. They've removed the Q tag but this seems very much like a managed workload type of situation, whereas Ingram's going to be a bellcow and probably get targeted a ton.
James Robinsion at IND
PPR format- Ingram had 5 catches last week in 42% of snaps.
I've been waiting on the Robinson news all week. They've removed the Q tag but this seems very much like a managed workload type of situation, whereas Ingram's going to be a bellcow and probably get targeted a ton.
Judge Smails
Footballguy
Alex Collins or Jordan Howard?
urbanhack
Fight The Power!
I’m not feeling great about Robinson. on the verge of benching him for Collins.
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