Chaka
Footballguy
Nice structuring of your league.
Super-flex & 2 QB are still better but if someone is offering you that you are doing something right.
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums
This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!
Week 12 Buy Low/ Sell High (Week 14-16) PLAYOFF targets (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter Gottabesweet
- Start date
Super-flex & 2 QB are still better but if someone is offering you that you are doing something right.
modogg
Footballguy
Yeah, his schedule so far can't be understated. I am a Hogan owner and we had the SB on in the background during our draft and you can see the upside with Hogan. Seeing his utilization and his upside in that game I thought we would have seen more, and am tempted to move him. He certainly looks good when he is utilized, but that is the biggest question of how many targets will he reasonably get going forward.In fairness, that was the Hell schedule (Houston and Jacksonville), his outlook the next few was going to be the breakout but thanks to Garbage time, he got big points vs. the Jags. If you told me I could sell Hogan for a Matt Brieda or Gio Bernard, I'd do it. Look at some of these Yahoo! deals for Hogan; not everyone is savvy.
I for one am not overly confident that Gordon plays a significant role, so I am not overly concerned about it. I will believe it when I see it.
SaintsInDome2006
Footballguy
Just to echo what Chaka has been pounding the table on... buy lows are actually hard. You hear the chatter so does everyone else. Few people in FF are low information these days. It's obviously harder to pluck someone that owners are down on, hear opposite chatter on which is different than how you feel about the player, and then deal for them. Now who that is right now, I don't know. It's just that things don't go as they seem they will and that's what you want to identify.
Last edited by a moderator:
rockaction
Footballguy
abbottjamesr
Footballguy
Bloom said it best on the most recent "Couch" episode. Its more about buying high on guys where the market still hasn't caught up with how high they can go or selling low on on guys where the floor is over estimated.
Now is the time to sell low on D. Johnson. People still think he is a high end RB2, but there is a good chance he is barely a flex play this year.
Now is the time to buy high on A. Jones if you are a believer cause he could be a RB1 if you are right, but it probably only costs you RB2/3 value.
Now is the time to sell low on D. Johnson. People still think he is a high end RB2, but there is a good chance he is barely a flex play this year.
Now is the time to buy high on A. Jones if you are a believer cause he could be a RB1 if you are right, but it probably only costs you RB2/3 value.
NeverEnough
Footballguy
A. Collins or A. Jones?
notoriousbill
Footballguy
I offered Dion Lewis to an 0-2 team (who has Kamara and a bunch of JAGs) for Ingram. Hoping he bites but highly doubt it...
Gordon really kills any value Dorsett had. But, I am certainly concerned as a Hogan owner what his future in Week#5 and beyond is. Edelman's return scares me just as much as Gordon. Realistically, if Gordon does stick then Hogan is 5th in line for targets. Behind, Gronk,Edelman,Gordon and White. The Pats throw to their Rb's a lot and I dont think that is going to change. It seems Hogan is on the field a lot but is primarily a blocker/decoy on most plays.
All that being said, Hogan should have a good week vs Detroit minus Slay. Perhaps hold him a week and then sell? Or is this the last chance you can get anything for him?
LeSean McCoy finished RB #7 in 0.5 PPR last year with the high-powered Bills.
DJ staying healthy is the key...his stats won't be epic by any means but will regress back up just fine over the course of the season.
abbottjamesr
Footballguy
I'm not going to say your wrong because I don't know what the right answer is, but if I were a DJ owner I would hope I could sell him some one like you for a solid RB2.
cloppbeast
Footballguy
I highly doubt Gordon produces immediately. Part of the value of Hogan and Dorsett results from having played in the system. For another thing, he offers a completely different skill set.
abbottjamesr
Footballguy
Im talking week 5 and beyond. Gordon's arrival is bad news for Dorsett but Edelman's return is bad news for Hogan IMO. Hogan has actually been playing the slot quite a bit every since Edelman has been out but that role will be taken away from him. I am not saying Hogan will completely disappear but I don't think he is anything more that a WR4 starting in week 5.
Last edited by a moderator:
cloppbeast
Footballguy
Last edited by a moderator:
Yes. I would trade any of those for DJ.
One caveat is that I would need to have someone on my bench that I drafted late or picked up on WW that I could plug in for the next 2-3 weeks for while DJ and AZ work themselves out of their funk. Like Gio Bernard or Tevin Coleman.
The thing DJ has not lost is talent and bell cow status and therefore represents upside none of these others can match.
Birdie048
Footballguy
Is OBJ a "Buy Low"? I have gotten 2 offers for him today!
12 Team PPR Keeper (2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE & 2 Flex)
1) Melvin Gordon for OBJ & W Fuller
2) DJ & J Cook for OBJ & Ajayi
Not sure if the Gordon owner is looking to "Sell High" and the DJ owner sell before too late on ARZ offense?
Not looking for trade advice, just view on OBJ value right now.
12 Team PPR Keeper (2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE & 2 Flex)
1) Melvin Gordon for OBJ & W Fuller
2) DJ & J Cook for OBJ & Ajayi
Not sure if the Gordon owner is looking to "Sell High" and the DJ owner sell before too late on ARZ offense?
Not looking for trade advice, just view on OBJ value right now.
Last edited by a moderator:
The Frankman
Footballguy
A guy really wanted a TE upgrade and I decided to bail out on Trey Burton and his cratering aDOT. Standard League, dealt Burton and Kenny Stills for Matt Brieda and Jack Doyle. Should I have tried to get more for Burton a.k.a did I sell low? Trubisky just started scaring me with his scattershot throws and unwillingness to throw to him on deeper routes. Even AR15 worked less deep routes, and that too many guys running in the same area now. To me Doyle isn't terrible and he's an every down player, the TDs will come for him.
Gottabesweet
Footballguy
Noticed Landry was banged up. Owner 0-2 and it’s a short bench and Landry plays tomorrow. He countered an offer I sent and now offered Funchess/Lockett for Landry. It’s PPR and small return yards. I posted it in the AC forum. If accepted could pick up Clement or Aaron Jones.
Also wanted the Broncos D to “get it done”
Also wanted the Broncos D to “get it done”
wiersface
Footballguy
Funchess did well when Olsen was hurt last year, but Lockett loses a lot of value when Baldwin returns. If you clear up a roster spot for one of those RBs, that's fair imo. Landry should benefit from Gordon being gone and Haley also has a history of high end WR1 production. Broncos defense .. who cares.
#2 is awful. I don't see DJ doing much in that putrid AZ offense. Ajayi has a great opportunity to outscore him this year.
#1 he would need to throw in another piece. Fuller's splits with Watson are WR1ish.
After the trade:
Brees / David Johnson / AJ Green / Hopkins / Cooper / Golladay / Reed / Gio / Carson
Yea, I'm doing fine in that league. 2-0 and now have a killer lineup for the playoffs. Conner could be worthless in as little as two weeks.
Hot Sauce Guy
Footballguy
As a M.Gordon owner there’s no way I’d take Fuller & OBJ for him.
i was so relieved when the 1.10 team took OBJ, leaving me Gordon.
But then, I thought Eli is in serious decline & thought OBJ was vastly overdrafted as a 1st rounder this year.
So yeah - I guess if soneone’s high on Beckham it’s on ok deal.
You'd have to pry Gordon from my cold dead fingers a this point.
Elevencents
Footballguy
Do you only start one RB? You could be down to 1 when Mixon returns and Penny takes over.
Birdie048
Footballguy
I agree that NYG OL is a disaster and I don't see Eli as a Top 15 QB this year with that offense. The guy offering Gordon still has Zeke, Mixon, Lindsay & Penny/Carson but his top WR's are GB A Geronimo & LAC R Woods so he is in dire need of WR upgrade. He is a die hard Giants fan! You can start 2 RB & 5 WR.As a M.Gordon owner there’s no way I’d take Fuller & OBJ for him.
i was so relieved when the 1.10 team took OBJ, leaving me Gordon.
But then, I thought Eli is in serious decline & thought OBJ was vastly overdrafted as a 1st rounder this year.
So yeah - I guess if soneone’s high on Beckham it’s on ok deal.
You'd have to pry Gordon from my cold dead fingers a this point.
Maybe it's an emotional move?
solorca
Footballguy
I have Gordon, CMC, Mixon, Conner, Crowell, Barber, and Ekeler and have been thinking about moving one of them. No one wants Crowell or Barber, who I would prefer trading along with a WR for an upgrade. I have had some interest in Conner, but am not sure how to value him.
Any trades involving him lately?
Any trades involving him lately?
Short Corner
Footballguy
Not liking your RB's going forward. DJ could be to low RB2 in that train wreck in AZ.
DreamTheater
Footballguy
I've offered him up and got no bites. Not even a crappy offer. I think people are afraid of when / if Bell comes back. Also, no one trades in this league...very boring..
SaintsInDome2006
Footballguy
I thought I might try something here - what are opinions on Amari Cooper? Is he a buy or sell? This seems like a perpetual debate but last week was a hell of a performance in case anyone didn't notice.
I see Cooper and I think there's an owner who will be spinning his wheel this year. But then actually he's the only primary receiver they have, except maybe Cook if his role continues. And Gruden said he would get AC the ball and lo and behold he did, 10 targets, 10 catches. And the division and schedule seem not too challenging (the Rams are behind him in the NFCW).
So I think some will be looking to sell, some will be looking to buy, or is this the same old game? I just think this week is a window. This Sunday is a nice matchup and he either falls and confirms what people learned from last year or he rises and his price is way up.
I see Cooper and I think there's an owner who will be spinning his wheel this year. But then actually he's the only primary receiver they have, except maybe Cook if his role continues. And Gruden said he would get AC the ball and lo and behold he did, 10 targets, 10 catches. And the division and schedule seem not too challenging (the Rams are behind him in the NFCW).
So I think some will be looking to sell, some will be looking to buy, or is this the same old game? I just think this week is a window. This Sunday is a nice matchup and he either falls and confirms what people learned from last year or he rises and his price is way up.
Last edited by a moderator:
shadyridr
Footballguy
abbottjamesr
Footballguy
I personally have never owned Cooper because the price was always too high for a midling WR2. I get that he is supposed to be a WR1 but he really hasn't ever been for FF purposes. I don't disagree with your analysis or that the arrow is pointing up potentially but I wouldn't take a chance on him unless he was going to be my WR3 and I could get him for something that doesn't hurt my lineup.
My guess is that the Cooper owner has drunk the cool-aid and they are in for the long haul.
Hot Sauce Guy
Footballguy
Oh, you’re getting Gordon?
Definitely an emotional move. Giants fan who still believes. That’s gold, Jerry.
Accept that deal immediately.
Hot Sauce Guy
Footballguy
He’s a buy for sure - but it’s tricky.
rock bottom price was after week 1.
After week 2, a couple things could happen:
1. Owner wants to sell-high
2. Owner thinks “finally I can recoup on my investment!” - especially if they got burned last year but reinvested.
3. Buyer doesn’t trust AC enough to buy-high. Offers low-to-medium value - likely rejected (see #1)
Tricky spot to buy on Cooper. Best bet is probably to wait & see if he lays an egg in Miami (possible since Raiders have never really travelled to Miami well) - but then you’ll likely cool on buying.
value-wise AC is all over the map right now.
NeverEnough
Footballguy
I would not even try to buy him unless it's super low. In my 1 league, I own DJ Moore & Kupp as the last WRs on my bench. I would rather keep them.
jdoggydogg
Footballguy
My buy low / sell high for week 2:
Buy low:
Andrew Luck, David Johnson, Kenyan Drake, Kareem Hunt, Jordan Howard, Odell Beckham, Kyle Rudolph
Sell high:
Josh Gordon, Desean Jackson, Will Dissly, Jared Cook
Buy low:
Andrew Luck, David Johnson, Kenyan Drake, Kareem Hunt, Jordan Howard, Odell Beckham, Kyle Rudolph
Sell high:
Josh Gordon, Desean Jackson, Will Dissly, Jared Cook
Birdie048
Footballguy
I had OAK WR A Cooper as 1 of my Keepers.... (with OBJ & Kamara). I was targeting B Cook and they offered Cook & D Walker (after injury) plus a mid-round pick for AC & K Rudolph. I did not trust AC as a consistent producer so I accepted. I am happy with Brandon Cook as my WR2 but have to settle for Hooper to replace Rudolph.SaintsInDome2006 said:
Cooper scored 30% of his total points in 1 game last year (Week 7 vs KC). Yeah, I know it's a new coach, new WR2 (Jordy Nelson), new TE (J Cook) and O-scheme in OAK, but he is not consistent IMO. Statistically 2017 (ppr league) - 11.2 pts per game with a Std Dev of 11.6 and in 2016 - 13.0 pt/gm and Std Dev 9.4 (due to Week 8 vs TB)
So, if you can afford to take the several busts along with rare good game, by all means. However, If you believe all the change will directly benefit AC, then he is a good target. I just could not risk it
oddsbodkins
Footballguy
I bought very low on Cooper and have him as my WR3. All that upside and all he cost me was Robby Anderson.
jtp1982
Footballguy
I’m trying to sell high on James White to guys in my league looking for RB depth. Just the general vagueness of NE RBs plus it really looked to me like they wanted Michel to handle the load running AND CATCHING from the backfield last week, but gameflow made White the best option in the second half.
It doesnt' really matter. This is a 2/3/1/2 ... that's two flex, in PPR. I can start nothing in RB and dominate all year with stud QB/WRs.
Done it a million times. Starting 5 stud WR in thsi format is unstoppable.
Last edited by a moderator:
SaintsInDome2006
Footballguy
Didn't think about it but Mayfield taking over in Cleveland will have positive benefits for Hyde, Landry, Njoku. That was a short window and it's closed now.
jdoggydogg
Footballguy
So Gronk not a buy low candidate anymore
Traded ADP for Mixon from a team desperate for an RB short-term (he has Bell, Ingram, and McCoy). Win for me, I think. Long story to say that you might be able to pry Mixon from someone because he’s injured. From what I’ve read, I’m pretty confident that he’ll be back soon...
Chaka
Footballguy
I would consider selling high on Crowell. I worry that the league has already figured out Darnold and Enunwa and the supporting cast still doesn't appear that strong. Plus Crow is in a full blown timeshare so he is dependent on big plays and TDs (which may be sparse on this team).
I am a big fan of Crowell, not sure why the Browns preferred Hyde to be honest, but IMO he may have peaked in 2018.
I am a big fan of Crowell, not sure why the Browns preferred Hyde to be honest, but IMO he may have peaked in 2018.
rockaction
Footballguy
I can't get anything for Crowell. Word is out about being touchdown-dependent. He went for 102 the first game, but one of those was a sixty yarder that he broke. Otherwise, he's even averaging under 3 a carry.
DreamTheater
Footballguy
Chaka
Footballguy
I guess it depends on your needs and what you consider to be a fair return for him. Perhaps you are overvaluing him.
Chaka
Footballguy
Good move by you obviously.
Did someone honestly think that was a fair deal or do they just think you are stupid?
rockaction
Footballguy
True. I put them (he and Powell) on the block waiting for a nibble, so I have nothing concrete to speak of about what I'd take for him/them.
Part of me also thinks rostering the entire backfield is an advantage, but they're a true timeshare right now and taking up a valuable roster spot in a shorter bench, standard league (we shaved from sixteen teams to twelve and kept the same benches, for some reason). I may just hold and wait until one wears down or gets dinged up, which could very well happen at some point.
Another issue is that Powell is running a little better than Crowell right now and they're both seeing stacked boxes, from what I can tell. Cleveland was able to basically dare Darnold to beat them, and the coaching staff of the Jets refused to loosen the leash even a little. It was bad. SSND, I think, said they might break the record that game for horizontal yards in the air, which kind of cracked me up.
In addition to all of that, our league is also not that active a league in terms of trades. The people in the league that were really active got a bit frustrated and left, leaving the inactive owners. So...there's also that to factor in.
But I agree with you, Crowell is a sell high even though he's averaging 14.267 standard.
Last edited by a moderator:
