heckmanm
Footballguy
RIght? At least Aiyuk put up a stinker in my opponent's lineup on Thursday. Appreciate the input.
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums
This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!
Week 15 2022 who should I start thread **OFFICIALLY UNOFFICIAL** (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter Chaka
- Start date
ghostguy123
Footballguy
Id easily go with Tee if I knew he was gonna play
Chaka
Footballguy
Wish I could help more but, to me, practiced in full is a good enough sign. I assume you don't have options you like if he's a late scratch (late game window for Cin @ TB).
Chaka
Footballguy
Forecast models I see still indicates 8-10mph winds but depending on the model anywhere from 12-25 mph gusts.Might need to sit Tua this week. Fortunately I have Carr waiting in the wings
Webcam from Highmark Stadium
Ray Barboni
Footballguy
One last grasp at some help this week ChakaBro ..
STD league. 6pt TD NO ppr
Pretty set with Pacheco … but need 2 more of:
Rhamondre @ LV (if he’s healthy)
Kirk v DAL
Cordarrel @ NO
STD league. 6pt TD NO ppr
Pretty set with Pacheco … but need 2 more of:
Rhamondre @ LV (if he’s healthy)
Kirk v DAL
Cordarrel @ NO
Last edited:
Pip's Invitation
Footballguy
I was hoping to use Goedert at flex in my first playoff game but that's not happening. PPR league. Who should I start instead?
Michael Carter vs. DET
Jarvis Landry vs. ATL
Hunter Henry @ LVR
Michael Carter vs. DET
Jarvis Landry vs. ATL
Hunter Henry @ LVR
Peak
Footballguy
No worries. Pittman was fine.
But similar question in a PPR lg with same scoring above with 1pt/reception.
Godwin vs CIN
Hopkins vs Den
Hilton is out for Cincy, so that bodes well for Godwin. Hopkins again with a tough matchup.
Who gets the start?
Down Under
Footballguy
I've been dithering over these for days, so I'll ask here.
Half ppr, need 1 flex, match this week is a pick-em:
B. Robinson v NYG
Kamara v Atl
Kirk v Dal
Godwin v Cin
M. Williams v Ten
Also, 1 TE:
Dulcich v Ari
Kmet v Phi
Chiggy @ LAC
TIA!!
Half ppr, need 1 flex, match this week is a pick-em:
B. Robinson v NYG
Kamara v Atl
Kirk v Dal
Godwin v Cin
M. Williams v Ten
Also, 1 TE:
Dulcich v Ari
Kmet v Phi
Chiggy @ LAC
TIA!!
FairWarning
Footballguy
Hopkins
ghostguy123
Footballguy
He was active last week remember
FairWarning
Footballguy
M Williams
TE, i have the bottom 2 also. I would go Dulchic because the Cards are awful vs TE’s.
Chaka
Footballguy
Sure, it's a risk I absolutely get that. I never suggest my opinions are better than anyone else's. I always tell people to go with their guts. Ultimately we're all just guessing in a game of very incomplete information.
Unfortunately it's a little late to debate Gabe v Tee at this point.
Did you roll Gabe?
heckmanm
Footballguy
Ended up starting Tua but left Mostert on my benchForecast models I see still indicates 8-10mph winds but depending on the model anywhere from 12-25 mph gusts.Might need to sit Tua this week. Fortunately I have Carr waiting in the wings
Webcam from Highmark Stadium
davidwb
Footballguy
RB question (standard scoring):
Rhamondre Stevenson (looks like he'll play, but won't know for sure until before game time later this afternoon and he could tweak the ankle again at any time...but a great matchup)
Jamaal Williams (terrible matchup but Jackson is out, and he'll get many of the RZ carries, if any)
Cordarrelle Patterson (stable, if unattractive, points every week since he's been back, but is this the week they "unleash" him with a rookie QB in his first game)
Also have Pierre Strong as my only other option for the late slate of games.
So, go with RS (with Strong in reserve just in case), or the more certain Williams or Patterson in the early slate?
Thanks
Rhamondre Stevenson (looks like he'll play, but won't know for sure until before game time later this afternoon and he could tweak the ankle again at any time...but a great matchup)
Jamaal Williams (terrible matchup but Jackson is out, and he'll get many of the RZ carries, if any)
Cordarrelle Patterson (stable, if unattractive, points every week since he's been back, but is this the week they "unleash" him with a rookie QB in his first game)
Also have Pierre Strong as my only other option for the late slate of games.
So, go with RS (with Strong in reserve just in case), or the more certain Williams or Patterson in the early slate?
Thanks
rockaction
Footballguy
Full PPR WDIS
Cordarrelle Patterson, D'Onta Foreman, Chris Moore, Allen Lazard, or DJ Chark
I'm right now leaning Chris Moore > D'Onta Foreman > Cordarrelle Patterson > Lazard > Chark
Who really knows? It's very tight
Cordarrelle Patterson, D'Onta Foreman, Chris Moore, Allen Lazard, or DJ Chark
I'm right now leaning Chris Moore > D'Onta Foreman > Cordarrelle Patterson > Lazard > Chark
Who really knows? It's very tight
davidwb
Footballguy
Moore will likely get a lot of passes thrown to him, but will he get any TDs? I'd switch Foreman with Moore, as Foreman is more likely to find the end zone. The rest of your ratings are probably right,
OrganizedChaos
Footballguy
0.5 PPR need one of the following RBs:
L. Murray (home against ARI) - Seems to be the best RB matchup (although DEN among the worst for scoring). With backup QB might he check down more to the RB?
Montgomery (home against PHI) - PHI held Saquon and DHenry in check the last two weeks but maybe worrying about Fields opens things up a little?
JWilliams or DSwift (at NYJ) - Splitting carries/targets with each other and possibly Justin Jackson. If Q. Williams is out does that change the outlook for these two and if so who?
L. Murray (home against ARI) - Seems to be the best RB matchup (although DEN among the worst for scoring). With backup QB might he check down more to the RB?
Montgomery (home against PHI) - PHI held Saquon and DHenry in check the last two weeks but maybe worrying about Fields opens things up a little?
JWilliams or DSwift (at NYJ) - Splitting carries/targets with each other and possibly Justin Jackson. If Q. Williams is out does that change the outlook for these two and if so who?
Chaka
Footballguy
First off I suggest you go get a shot of penicillin and hope that clears up.
Rhamondre is a tough call, particularly as this isn't a PPR league. If it were it's easier to take the risk IMO. But, Damien Harris is already ruled out so if Rhamondre plays he is probably a solid rusk in a plus matchup.
Kirk is better than Cordarrelle IMO but, again you're in an STD league (penicillin!! Get it?!?!?) where his floor is lower. 4-45-0 is a nicer floor in a full PPR and about the same as Cordarrelle's in a 0.5 PPR. The question is what is his ceiling in this game? And I honestly have no idea. The Cowboys are the #2 defense against the pass. #2 in sacks, #2 in takeaways & #2 in scoring. The Jags have a good enough offensive line to overcome that but they are too inconvenient to have confidence it.
Patterson is probably impacted with Ridder under center. It's not like Mariota was causing defenses to lose sleep. He should get his usual 12 or so looks and exit with somewhere around 60 yards. The lack of TDs over the last four games is concerning but I'm not certain his TD upside is less than Kirk's this week.
It's a tough call. Your two best talents are Rhamondre and Kirk, so if that is where you think you should go then 100% do it.
Because it's not PPR I'm thinking:
Rhamondre>Cordarrelle>Kirk
Chaka
Footballguy
Ooooofff...
Landry hasn't had more than 3 catches since week 2. Why would we expect that to change now?
I have no idea how to handicap a TE but I guess maybe he has a plus matchup and if it were FFPC scoring I might even like Henry out of this group.
But I think it has to be Carter. With Zach Wilson under center 1) I anticipate the plan is to run more & 2) I also expect more dump offs. Carter isn't exciting, particularly as Detroit is the #1 fantasy defense against RBs since week 9, but he's in line for the most opportunities out of this group.
Carter>Henry>Landry
Chaka
Footballguy
They are virtually identical target hogs with limited TD upside. So, because Godwin has the better QB (arguably???) and is playing at home. And only for those reasons:
Godwin>Hopkins
Chaka
Footballguy
Congrats on having great options.
My impulse is to go with Mike Williams in a great matchup at home. He's talented, has a great QB, is a red zone target and the Titans have been awful against the pass. I wish he was a consistent 9 target guy, but he has that upside and probably has a floor around 6. He's a good start IMO.
I don't like Kirk because of the matchup.
Kamara has been flat out disappointing and has arguably gotten worse as the season has progressed.
Robinson is a fine option and is a solid volume play. He's even getting a couple targets now. He is likely their first option on first and goal but if they fail to convert all bets are off and they probably put the ball in Heinicke's hands.
Godwin is also a great volume play but we all know how limited the Bucs offense has been this season so I question his TD upside.
It's very close between the top three options IMO. And any of the five options could lead this field. ATM I lean:
Williams>Robinson>Godwin>Kirk>Kamara
Chaka
Footballguy
No idea. It's a ceiling floor question. McCoy is a reasonable bet for 220 yards & a TD (maybe). He has a better group of supporting talent too. But what's his ceiling? Also 220 & a TD?
We have no idea what to expect from Ridder, however if they deploy him similar to Mariota he may see some rush TD opportunities. I think he has the higher ceiling and maybe not a terrible floor but I am not confident on the latter.
Still I might take the risk and roll with the mobility in the better matchup:
Ridder>McCoy
ghostguy123
Footballguy
Rex burkhead home against the chiefs.
Or
Jamaal Williams at the jets
Or
Jamaal Williams at the jets
Chaka
Footballguy
Is Jackson out? Even if he is Reynolds was activated yesterday and will likely fill that role.
I like Jamaal, even more in standard scoring, but he's almost 100% TD dependent and this looks like a tough matchup on paper. Not loving him today.
Cordarrelle is almost a clone of Jamaal. A little more versatile and a better matchup but he's on a lesser offense.
Rhamondre is simply too dynamic IMO, with D.Harris already out and having Strong as a fallback it just seems like the right call in a plus matchup.
Rhamondre>Jamaal>Cordarrelle
ETA: @davidwb been thinking about this one and the Jamaal>Cordarrelle part of this is a 100% coin toss IMO. Still like Rhamondre most (best player, best matchup)
Last edited:
PPR League. TE question:
* G. Dulchich vs AZ -- the best TE matchup in the land. That said, backup QB throwing (although Rypien has targeted Dulcich heavily in previous games). With Sutton banged, he could be targeted.
OR
* G. Everett vs TN -- Not a great matchup, but not terrible. He's been fairly consistent although underwhelming. He'll get targeted but he's like the #4 option behind Mike Williams, K. Allen, and Ekeler.
Which?
Thanks
* G. Dulchich vs AZ -- the best TE matchup in the land. That said, backup QB throwing (although Rypien has targeted Dulcich heavily in previous games). With Sutton banged, he could be targeted.
OR
* G. Everett vs TN -- Not a great matchup, but not terrible. He's been fairly consistent although underwhelming. He'll get targeted but he's like the #4 option behind Mike Williams, K. Allen, and Ekeler.
Which?
Thanks
Chaka
Footballguy
I'm no going to try and talk people off the Chris Moore ledge because he does have a great opportunity and should have a stable floor in a full PPR.
Personally I would roll D'Onta because he's in line for around 20 opportunities in a winnable, important game for the Panthers. But he isn't a factor in the passing game and the Panthers aren't that good, even if they are playing well.
Foreman>Moore>Cordarrelle>Chark>Lazard
Courtjester
The Town Drunk
PPR league--RB help
B. Robinson vs the Giants
Z. Knight vs Detroit
R.Stevenson at LV
R White vs Cin.
I am pretty locked in at Robinson as my #1 choice. I worry Knight's success was due to the QB play. I don't trust Stevenson--l think he will
play, but I worry about how effective he will be and he could tweak that ankle and end up with 5 points. Finally White, I like the pass-catching upside, but
sharing the backfield with Fournette limits his ceiling.
B. Robinson vs the Giants
Z. Knight vs Detroit
R.Stevenson at LV
R White vs Cin.
I am pretty locked in at Robinson as my #1 choice. I worry Knight's success was due to the QB play. I don't trust Stevenson--l think he will
play, but I worry about how effective he will be and he could tweak that ankle and end up with 5 points. Finally White, I like the pass-catching upside, but
sharing the backfield with Fournette limits his ceiling.
Chaka
Footballguy
Quinnen Williams is officially out.
I roster three of these options (not Montgomery) and ATM I have Swift & Latavius in my lineup. Probably ranked Latavius>Swift because Swift is a dangerous spec play with lots of downside and Latavius has a plus matchup and should see stable volume running and receiving.
You play Swift if you like to gamble a bit and are looking for the home run. That's kind of how I like to manage my team.
If you were full PPR I would almost certainly roll with Montgomery because he should see 4-5 targets to go along with 14 or so carries. He is probably the smartest play just from a volume perspective.
Jamaal is 100% TD dependent, without it he'll probably give you 15-60-0 with no receptions. I love that Q.Williams is out but that defense is strong no matter what and I don't want to let it influence me too much.
If I had Montgomery at this point I would believe the stable "smart" play is:
Latavius>Montgomery>Swift>Jamaal
rockaction
Footballguy
I really came away with a sort of scared feeling about Moore after I posted that. He's going to possibly have two quarterbacks splitting snaps and throwing to him. Why? Because neither has won the job. That's not good. I think KC wins going away.
As for Foreman, it's between him and Patterson now. NOS have 21st DVOA rush, Pittsburgh around 13th, but Pittsburgh has had back-to-back games where they haven't been able to stop the run.
But Foreman is getting an average of 19+ carries a game since McCaffrey left. Patterson is averaging around 12 since he came back from injury.
Nod goes to Foreman.
Chaka
Footballguy
davidwb
Footballguy
Jackson is Q with an illness...not out (yet). I regret the error.
And Jackson is active.
Chaka
Footballguy
Rypien targeted Dulcich heavily In previous "game" not "games". Rypien did not target him in limited action last week. But, hair splitting aside I agree that Dulcich should see 8 and that may be his floor. It's a terrible offense but a great matchup and Rypien is auditioning for the new coaching staff (or any coaching staff), maybe the Broncos surprise and score 17 points instead of 14.
Everett has a great matchup too, on a far better offense with a far better QB. He was also #2 in targets on the Chargers last week with 8, so don't discount him here as simply the 4th-5th read, Lombardi will dial him up regularly if he sees something he likes. That being said I think his target floor is lower than Dulcich.
Dulcich>Everett
Chaka
Footballguy
I am fine with B.Robinson>Zonovan. The only reason I would suggest considering Stevenson is because you are in a full PPR league. Prior to getting injured he had 8, 7, 7, 6, 10 & 8 targets to go along with his rushing opportunities. Dude is money in a PPR. If you are, understandably averse to the risk then absolutely roll Robinson. Being a late game and, I assume you don't have access to Strong or K.Harris as an option if Rhamondre is a late scratch or gets hurt again. But you can pivot to White if Rhamondre gets scratched.
But if Rhamondre is on the field in a PPR?
Rhamondre>Robinson>Zonovan>White
Chaka
Footballguy
I would go Foreman over Patterson 10 times out of 10. I don't put much stock in DVOA, some but not a lot, and I imagine the difference between 13th & 21st is not significant.
But you shouldn't be scared away from Moore entirely. He is the last man standing, the volume should be there and in a full PPR he isn't a terrible play. Not sure he has much TD upside but another 12 targets could lead to 6-8 receptions for 40-90 yards (big spread, sorry but it's tough to nail down in that offense).
Chaka
Footballguy
No worries. And, again I think he is almost 100% interchangeable with Reynolds so it wouldn't be a factor anyway.
themeistersinger
Footballguy
I started Hockenson, so now down to only the Flex question:
WR/TE Chris Moore vs Chiefs - 1:00 PM Start (Brandin Cooks, Nico Collins and Dameon Pierce all Out)
RB Rhamondre Stevenson at Raiders - Ankle Injury - DNP Wed, DNP Thu, LP Friday - 4:05 PM Start
RB Rachaad White vs Bengals - 4:25 PM Start
Damien Harris is Out and they did not call up another RB from the PS. But Stevenson is expected to play, but still really a GTD.
Chaka
Footballguy
I get it man. This may be one of those calls where "start your studs" thinking is counter productive.
But, I can't bench Rhamondre for Moore, particularly in a full PPR. I just can't do it.
R.White, IMO, is a decent enough backstop (with legit upside) if Rhamondre is a late scratch.
Rhamondre>Moore>R.White
BladeRunner
Footballguy
@davidwb : I hope you learned an important lesson yesterday - always do the opposite of my suggestions. I hope you started Waddle anyways.
Chaka
Footballguy
Pollard. Good matchup, he's playing lights out and Barkley's productivity has dipped precipitously over the last four games.
Pollard>Saquon
efactor
Footballguy
Go with the hot hand...Engram
Ever Present Lurker
Footballguy
Flex PPR - Najeh Harris or Garrett Wilson??
Wilson in what is going to be a shoot out...
Similar threads
