Thanks. What about league 2? Do you like Walker over McKinnon and Dillon? D Watson or Heinicke?
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Week 15 2022 who should I start thread **OFFICIALLY UNOFFICIAL** (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter Chaka
- Start date
LionOfGosforth
Footballguy
Foreman doesn't catch and Dillon is not really reliable. Dobbins catches and has a great matchup.
Jayded
Footballguy
I need 2 of these 3 for my playoff flex:
Dynasty, PPR, TE premium (2x PPR points)
Cam Akers @ GB
Jahan Dotson vs NYG
*Chig Okonkwo @ LAC
*He’s currently on my taxi squad but I do have one bench spot open with Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah moving to IR this week. If I promote him, I can’t put him back and he’ll count on my bench spots going forward. Off-season I’ll have to clear room for 5 clear cut starters on IR currently.
Dynasty, PPR, TE premium (2x PPR points)
Cam Akers @ GB
Jahan Dotson vs NYG
*Chig Okonkwo @ LAC
*He’s currently on my taxi squad but I do have one bench spot open with Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah moving to IR this week. If I promote him, I can’t put him back and he’ll count on my bench spots going forward. Off-season I’ll have to clear room for 5 clear cut starters on IR currently.
Chaka
Footballguy
It's a big risk but, yes I do kind of like Dillon more than Walker tonight. There is a strong argument for McKinnon too but between the two I like
Dillon>Walker>McKinnon>>Mostert
For QB, I mean, you have to go upside, right? Watson looked better last week so maybe he's on the right path and what is Heinicke's ceiling? 275 & 2, while his floor is 200 & 0. Watson came close to that ceiling last week against a good Cinci pass D so, yeah I have to go with the potential here.
Watson>Heinicke
Chaka
Footballguy
It could be a mistake but I agree. Talent + Opportunity + Matchup
Dillon is an interesting option because it's PPR but he could also easily floor with Jones back. I am not sure I would start him over Foreman either.
Dobbins>Foreman>Dillon
Chaka
Footballguy
I think I roll Walker over Jamaal and I can see over Thielen too but it's definitely closer. I just think Walker has much better TD upside.
FairWarning
Footballguy
My other WRs? Chase and Adams. Making a hard run for 1st, outside chance.
QB: I'd go Goff over Brady. Its very close, but I actually think Goff might have the better matchup. Jets/Lions feels like a sneaky shootout to me.
RB: Taylor is a lock, but I'd go Walker as my RB2. Not really worried about his injury, and he has a good shot at a TD. Safer workload than the other guys in my opinion.
WR: I agree with Evans/Pittman/DPJ.
Flex: I'd go Jamaal here. He's been more trustworthy and should be in a higher scoring game than Foreman.
I'd go with NO against a 1st time starter.
I think Driskel is very much fool's gold. Everett is an easy call for me.
Close call, but I'd go Goff. Should be a higher scoring game in my opinion.
Stevenson is a bit of a wildcard here. If he practices Friday and looks likely to play, I think he's a must start, if not I'd pivot to Dobbins. I'd start Barkley/Etienne regardless, despite their recent cold spells.
I'd go Walker and Knight at RB. They aren't splitting work anywhere near as much as White is.
I'd go Kittle at TE, he's clearly the best one, has a good matchup, and should see more work with Deebo out.
I think its possible Goedert gets eased in a but, so I'd keep Smith in the lineup, in a great matchup. I'd also go with Olave, against a very broken Falcons secondary indoors. I agree with Watson as the other starter.
I'd go DK. He's a better WR who is in a better offense right now, and the matchup may not be as daunting as it seems. Geno may be the best QB SF has played in long time, arguably since Mahomes.
RB: Robinson, easily the best option in this group.
WR: Zay and Hodgins
Flex: Singletary and Kmet
RB: I'd go Walker, just as a much more talented player.
WR: I'd go Parris Campbell here. Colts might be point chasing against Minnesota, and he's still ahead of Pierce.
TE: I'd go Dulcich against the worst TE defense in the league.
I think Fields is an easy call here. Fields hasn't been lower than QB8 since week 5.
I'd sit Hopkins with no Murray. I doubt St. Brown sees much, if any, of Sauce.
I'd go with the 2 RBs, who both have solid matchups.
I'd go Walker at flex. Best player and doesn't lose as much work as White.
I actually prefer Denver on defense. Cards OL is awful, and McCoy isn't escaping sacks like Murray was.
League 1:
RB: Henry and Walker
WR: St. Brown and Cooper
TE: Njoku
Flex: Stevenson if active, pivot to Devonta if not.
League 2:
QB: Watson
RB: Walker
Jamaal for sure, 2nd one is closer, but I lean Dulcich against the leagues worst TE defense.
Dobbins>White>JuJu>Aiyuk
I'd go Cooper and Olave.
I'd sit Williams and Lockett.
Huntley and Etienne would be my calls.
need2know
Footballguy
Connor and williams
need2know
Footballguy
Herbert and eagles def
I'd roll Walker over either of them for sure. Not really all that worried about Walker. Its a bad matchup, but I think 15+ touches is very doable.
I'd agree with sitting Walker and Waddle. Great depth to have those options.
Chaka
Footballguy
I think you have to go with Cam simply for usage coming off 19 & 13 look games with at least one TD in each. The Packers have had a terrible rush defense giving up 155 per game with a 5.0 average and 15 rush TDs against.
Dotson had an interesting game vs the Giants last time with 9 targets but he had four total targets in his previous three games combined. Maybe 9 is the new normal but I imagine the Giants are going to mix up their coverages enough to make whatever the Commodores saw last game a bit more difficult.
And I had no earthly idea who Chig Okonkwo was so it's difficult for me to recommend him. Looking at his stats the past few games he does seem interesting and with the 2x TE premium it is even more intriguing. If Burks is out you may want to go that direction, but I can't really handicap if it is a good idea with your IR situation. But I think I still like:
Cam>Chig>Dotson
Chaka
Footballguy
Yeah, it's hard to argue with that. I would make the same choices.
Chaka
Footballguy
I wouldn't anticipate a shoot out, in fact I highly discourage people from giving much weight to perceived game script (Cowboys 27 Texans 23). But I would monitor the status of Corey Davis. If Davis is out I think you go with Moore because he should see good volume and he has proven to by a dynamic player in the past.
I do like Palmer, his six targets last week were encouraging but it was still only good for a tie with Williams for 3rd on the team. But this week, against that defense is a nice option if you do not like Moore.
The forecast in Orchard Park is 25 degrees, cloudy with 9mph winds but there is a Lake Effect warning. Gabe Davis is the guy you play if you need a homerun or think you can withstand a bad game.
Moore>Palmer>Davis
DropKick
Footballguy
Thanks... slight underdog
Chaka
Footballguy
Yeah...about that...Why not risk it with Driskel?Kittle or Driskel …
Kittle is the far better player and the Seattle defense isn't very good so he is the logical choice but I am still not sold on Purdy.
At least Houston seems to be throwing #### against the wall to see if it will stick.
Driskel>Kittle
About the catches part, Dobbins only has 6 targets so far this year and 0 in his last 3 games. It's a small number of games, sure, but I don't know that I would count on it. Have they just been conserving his snaps coming back from injury? If you look at his splits this year, he has 1 rush and 0 targets on 3rd downs. Is he just a 2-down back this year as they ease him back?
I think especially in PPR St. Brown should never be benched.
I agree with Monty, but I'd go Etienne over Foreman. Etienne has been unlucky the last couple weeks, but his role is still amazing. No other RB touches the ball there, and I expect defenses to focus on him less, now that Lawrence has been playing well. Rushing is also the weakness of the Dallas D.
Assuming Corey Davis is out, and that seems likely, I think I'd go with Elijah Moore. He's been steadily improving since being moved to the slot, and the Lions are an excellent matchup.
-OZ-
Footballguy
I picked up Chris Moore. Guessing he’s the better start for upside if cooks is out?
Opponent had CMC going yesterday and a couple IDP who performed well, so I’m already at a disadvantage.
Jamal's pretty much automatic --
Chaka
Footballguy
I mean... relative to your other options? Sure, I guess. I seldom hold my breath on 29 year old, 7th year veterans to break out but your other options are hardly inspiring and you can't argue with 12 targets last week, right? And no team has allowed more TD passes against than the Chiefs.
Just keep your expectations low.
-OZ-
Footballguy
It’s a dart throw.
Curse Kupp for getting injured!
Chaka
Footballguy
Diontae apparently missed practice with a hip, and he wasn't doing much prior to that. It surprises me that neither Diontae or Pickens has seen any kind of bump in five games since Claypool was traded. I did read that Diontae openly lobbied for Rudolph to start if Pickett can't go but, it's tough for me to view that as any kind of panacea.
I have been fading the Lions offensive skill players this week. I just worry because Goff has been a different QB on the road than at home. At least when it comes to his efficiency. Or, if you look at the splits maybe it's Ben Johnson's play calling. He completes 65% home & road, his y/a is 7.6 to 7.4 He averages 277 yards at home and 227 on the road but he also averages 5 fewer attempts on the road. He has 20 TD & 3 INT at home and 2 TD & 4 INT on the road. The bottom line is I worry about how Goff & the team will respond after the Jets strong defense stymies them for the first time. The good news for the Lions run game is Quinnen Williams was DNP both Wed and Thurs. And Williams should see 13-16 rushing attempts but he is 100% TD dependent. And the Jets just announced, as I was typing this, Zach Wilson is starting this week, which, I think gives the Lions an advantage.
I admit I favor versatility and Gibson has that but he also has been limited with a foot injury but he was limited with a foot injury prior to the last game against the Giants. But, I think unless he gets a TD he's probably capped around 13 looks for 55-60 yards with maybe 3 receptions.
Yeah, there isn't much to go on here. Ultimately Diontae is the most talented and a 5-60-0 line (very reasonable against that defense 26th in fantasy scoring to WRs) is probably the safest floor of your group.
But, if Quinnen Williams is inactive, with Zach Wilson starting... IDK
Diontae>Jamaal>Gibson
But monitor the practice reports on both Diontae and Quinnen Williams just in case l.
5-ish Finkle
Footballguy
Matt Canada is basically running a H.S. offense that only seems to have about 6 plays in the playbook.
Wow, your responses are just so well thought out. Thanks again. I had not considered the Quinnen piece of the puzzle. Will monitor that as we get close to early Sunday games.
TripleThreat
Footballguy
fightingillini
Footballguy
I agree with you
Got an interesting one, full point PPR, 6pt passing touchdowns.
I’m leaning Goedert if he plays as he’s about as safe as it comes but I’ve been going back and forth between all 3 with Engram having 22 targets in the last 2 weeks. And Driskel is a wildcard but I may not need to risk it since I’m favored currently. Any thoughts are appreciated
Goedert(if active) @ CHI
Evan Engram vs DAL
Jeff Driskel(in TE slot) vs KC
I’m leaning Goedert if he plays as he’s about as safe as it comes but I’ve been going back and forth between all 3 with Engram having 22 targets in the last 2 weeks. And Driskel is a wildcard but I may not need to risk it since I’m favored currently. Any thoughts are appreciated
Goedert(if active) @ CHI
Evan Engram vs DAL
Jeff Driskel(in TE slot) vs KC
packer_junkie
Footballguy
Trying to pick 2 RBS
.5 ppr 2 bonus points @ 100 yards
Etienne vs Dal
Pollard @ Jax
Dobbins @ Cleveland
Leaning top two but curious others opinions.
.5 ppr 2 bonus points @ 100 yards
Etienne vs Dal
Pollard @ Jax
Dobbins @ Cleveland
Leaning top two but curious others opinions.
need2know
Footballguy
Goedart
need2know
Footballguy
Top 2
Chaka
Footballguy
All I can say is in 7 games with Zach Wilson starting, Garrett Wilson had 38 targets for 26-319-0, again that is a 7 (SEVEN) game cumulative total. It averages to 5.4-3.7-45.6-0.0
To be fair, and quite surprisingly, in weeks 7 against New England G.Wilson went 7-6-115-0 and in week 8 against Buffalo he went 9-8-92-0 so there is some upside at home but...yeah. In 3 games with White at QB he averaged 10-6-112-0.67 that's no brainer territory but now...
The great news is you have the other hottest WR in the NFL as a backup so:
Watson>G.Wilson
I think I would do that yes
I guess Goedert, but maybe Engram is safer if you are favored and need some points
Chaka
Footballguy
Brian Robinson IMO and it really isn't close.
It's a volume play IMO. The Commodores are going to ride Robinson & Gibson as much as they can with Robinson being the clear lead back. He doesn't catch a lot, which is a bummer, but they let him grind. And, over the last two games he's running a lot stronger then he had been earlier in the season, and he does have five targets over those two games.
I don't like White with Fournette practicing in full. It's really as simple as that, I worry that White's floor is low and his ceiling, relative to Robinson's, isn't particularly worth the risk.
B.Robinson>R.White
Chaka
Footballguy
Engram had 15 targets last week, 7 the week before and 1 the week before that. He's had under 4 or fewer targets 6 times this season and 6 or more 7 times. He is the definition of a crap shoot. Maybe this is his week, again, maybe it's another 4-3-27-0 week. I have no idea how to suss that out.
The Eagles haven't committed to Goedert being back this week. If he hasn't been declared available which, I find concerning. If he is activated without an injury designation today then I would probably risk it, but if he's a limited participant GTD type situation I would avoid.
Driskel? Honestly, no idea. I told @Ray Barboni to start him over George Kittle last night so... but, IDK maybe he'll get some work throwing the ball and catch a few passes so, sure why not?
Bottom line is you have a buncha random number generators so my W.A.G. is:
Goedert*>Driskel>Engram
Chaka
Footballguy
Personally I'm benching Etienne out of this group.
Baltimore is committed to the run and Dobbins should be in line for 15 or so carries against a terrible rush defense. He should also get some goal line looks (no guarantee with both Gus, who also looked good last week) and Huntley but, still the Ravens run.
And I'm not benching Pollard because he is doing everything we were hoping he would do when we drafted him.
Etienne is good and could outproduce both the other guys, but he's got the matchup nightmare and that offense goes in all sorts of directions whether they're winning, losing or tied.
Pollard>Dobbins>Etienne
FairWarning
Footballguy
Goedert
FairWarning
Footballguy
Huntley
Huntley -- I think with Dobbins in, Huntley will be able to manage the game better
Ray Barboni
Footballguy
Haha … all good brother. I went with Kittle after all.Yeah...about that..Why not risk it with Driskel?
Kittle is the far better player and the Seattle defense isn't very good so he is the logical choice but I am still not sold on Purdy.
At least Houston seems to be throwing #### against the wall to see if it will stick.
Driskel>Kittle
Maybe you could suggest a DST though?
DAL @ JAX
GB v LAR
I have GB slotted in at the moment. Like the MNF aspect, as well as them having had the bye to “prepare” for Baker
Perhaps a thought or 2 on:
Tua @ BUF (Tyreek owner as well)
Or
Fields v PHI
Chaka
Footballguy
Yeah, I get that. Essentially defenses are random number generators so I always look at these factors.Haha … all good brother. I went with Kittle after all.Yeah...about that..Why not risk it with Driskel?
Kittle is the far better player and the Seattle defense isn't very good so he is the logical choice but I am still not sold on Purdy.
At least Houston seems to be throwing #### against the wall to see if it will stick.
Driskel>Kittle
Maybe you could suggest a DST though?
DAL @ JAX
GB v LAR
I have GB slotted in at the moment. Like the MNF aspect, as well as them having had the bye to “prepare” for Baker
Perhaps a thought or 2 on:
Tua @ BUF (Tyreek owner as well)
Or
Fields v PHI
Dallas: PPG allowed 17.6 Sacks 48 Takeaways 23
Green Bay: PPG allowed 23.2 Sacks 24 Takeaways 15
Jacksonville PPG 22.6 Sacks allowed 23 Giveaways 15
Rams PPG 16.8 Sacks allowed 49 Giveaways 20
Dallas away
Green Bay home and it's supposed to be cooooooooold AF.
Normally I am open and shut with start the best defense and that's the Cowboys by a mile. But the difference between the Rams ineptitude and Jacksonville is about the same as that between the Cowboys & Packers.
In this situation I have no problem with you taking the home cooking in the cold. BUT I will say that Baker Mayfield, playing for his NFL future makes this an unpredictably dangerous Rams team.
Chaka
Footballguy
Oh, PRAISE BABY JEEBUS!
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