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Week 15 2024 who should I start thread **OFFICIALLY [s]UN[/s]OFFICIAL** (2 Viewers)

PPR I have to play 4 these 6 WR's which 2 sit - Chase, Puka, Nico, Kupp, McLaurin, Addison
PPR I have start only 1 of these 3 RB's - Guerendo, Conner, Pollard
PPR I have to start only 4 of these 5 WR's who sits - Chase, Puka, Kupp, Higgins, Jennings
 
PPR- 6 per all TDs. Bonus for 40+ yard TDs

Kyler Murray vs NE
Anthony Richardson at Denver

Kelce at Browns
Laporta vs Buffalo

Pick 1- DJ Moore at Vikings, Laporta vs Buffalo, Hopkins at Cleveland, B. Allen at Jacksonville

Get cute at kicker or just stick with Aubrey who FBG hates this week. Tucker, Moody, Reichard, McManus, Lutz
I probably risk it with Richardson at this point. The Cardinals offense isn't very dynamic.

Kelce 100%

DJ Moore for me because the opportunities are there and it's a plus matchup.

Kickers are random number generators.
 
Mahomes or Bo Nix? 6 pt passing TDs

JSN or James Cook in flex? Non-PPR but bonus of +3 for over 100 yards.
I kinda want to say Nix. The Chiefs seem to love playing 20-17 games.

James Cook for me pretty clearly. The opportunity share in a high scoring offense is too big.
 
Squeezed into the playoffs...

Standard scoring + PPR

Starting Justin Jefferson at WR but need to select another WR and FLEX so need to pick two from the following three:

Nabers - beat up + Devito + BAL D
McConkey - beat up + late game (I do have Palmer on reserve if I gamble and "hope" he plays then does not)
Kupp - Thursday night game

**leaning Kupp/McConkey (assuming he practices Thurs and/or Friday)

Also,
Warren or Bigsby?
I'd go Kupp easily.

I probably go with Bigsby because I think he has bigger upside.
 
Standard scoring, already starting Collins and Monty, so I need TWO from the following options

J.Jennings vs Rams - great matchup, playing well with Ayiuk out
C.Brown @ Titans - almost un-benchable
D.Achane @ Texans - ditto
J.Meyers vs Falcons - soft matchup and 36 targets through 3 weeks makes him viable
A.Thielen vs Cowboys - similar to Jennings, lots of targets lately

I guess I have to lean Brown and Achane but Jennings is making me pause. Anyone start Jennings over those two is what it comes down to?
Brown & Achane and I'm not thinking twice about it.
 
PPR
Need 2 (1 RB and Flex)
Guerendo Vs LAR (Not sure if risk/reward is worth it because of health issues. Started Irving last week)
Dowdle @ Car
Walker or Charbonnet vs GB
Bucky Irving @ LAC (Still worried about health issues)
Garrett Wilson @ JAX
Smith-Njigba Vs GB
TIA for your advice!!
Dowdle & Garrett Wilson for me. Mostly because of opportunities and the question about Guerendo's health.
 
Chase Brown
Montgomery
Cook
Guerendo
Pacheco

Need 2...Brown is in for sure. Deciding between Montgomery and Guerendo.

Also starting Purdy and Kittle so maybe Guerendo puts me too invested in SF???
 
Full PPR league. Dare I risk starting Guerendo tonight? He says he playing, but even if he does, we don't know how many snaps he'll get vs his backup. And he could go out and re-injure himself just like Bucky Irving last week. Here are my current starters. I can swap Guerendo in for anybody:

Brian Robinson @ NO
James Cook @ DET

AJ Brown vs PIT
Jameson Williams vs BUF
Jakobi Meyers vs ATL
Malik Nabers vs BAL

If I start Guerendo, I think Nabers would be the one to sit. Even though he's dinged up, he played almost every snap last week. Tommy DeVito at QB doesn't inspire confidence, but they're going against Baltimore who has a bad pass D and should have the lead all day, keeping NYG passing.

I might consider sitting Cook, as well. As crazy as that sounds, if Buffalo ignores the run game like they did last week, Cook could have another clunker. But I don't think I can risk leaving Cook on the bench, and I have to hope he's involved in the pass game during what should be a high-scoring game.

The simple answer is: don't risk it with Guerendo's injury, and stick with what I have. But I welcome any other opinions! Thank you.
I would consider sitting Jameson if you love Guerendo tonight.

Jameson's usage is so low volume/big play dependent.
 
Full PPR league. Dare I risk starting Guerendo tonight? He says he playing, but even if he does, we don't know how many snaps he'll get vs his backup. And he could go out and re-injure himself just like Bucky Irving last week. Here are my current starters. I can swap Guerendo in for anybody:

Brian Robinson @ NO
James Cook @ DET

AJ Brown vs PIT
Jameson Williams vs BUF
Jakobi Meyers vs ATL
Malik Nabers vs BAL

If I start Guerendo, I think Nabers would be the one to sit. Even though he's dinged up, he played almost every snap last week. Tommy DeVito at QB doesn't inspire confidence, but they're going against Baltimore who has a bad pass D and should have the lead all day, keeping NYG passing.

I might consider sitting Cook, as well. As crazy as that sounds, if Buffalo ignores the run game like they did last week, Cook could have another clunker. But I don't think I can risk leaving Cook on the bench, and I have to hope he's involved in the pass game during what should be a high-scoring game.

The simple answer is: don't risk it with Guerendo's injury, and stick with what I have. But I welcome any other opinions! Thank you.
I would consider sitting Jameson if you love Guerendo tonight.

Jameson's usage is so low volume/big play dependent
 
This one is almost too disgusting to post, but I gotta ask. 32-team league where we start one RB. Need to pick one, so let's just assume for argument's sake that they are all active this week.

Mattison LVR vs ATL
R Johnson CHI @ MIN
Rodriguez WAS @ NOS
Brooks GB @ SEA

Obviously, if Mattison and/or Johnson are inactive, it makes the decision easier. That said, there is a good chance both play. Mattison has been relegated to backup duty, however. Thinking Johnson if he plays, just based on goal-line opportunities, with Rodriguez a close second (given he did so well in Week 13, and the likelihood that WAS gets out to an early lead again). Or, maybe that's enough of a possibility to make Rodriguez the front-runner regardless (since Ekeler is gone)?
I might go with Rodriguez and hope the Commanders destroy the Saints. Otherwise Mattison is probably the "safe" play.
 
This one is almost too disgusting to post, but I gotta ask. 32-team league where we start one RB. Need to pick one, so let's just assume for argument's sake that they are all active this week.

Mattison LVR vs ATL
R Johnson CHI @ MIN
Rodriguez WAS @ NOS
Brooks GB @ SEA

Obviously, if Mattison and/or Johnson are inactive, it makes the decision easier. That said, there is a good chance both play. Mattison has been relegated to backup duty, however. Thinking Johnson if he plays, just based on goal-line opportunities, with Rodriguez a close second (given he did so well in Week 13, and the likelihood that WAS gets out to an early lead again). Or, maybe that's enough of a possibility to make Rodriguez the front-runner regardless (since Ekeler is gone)?
I might go with Rodriguez and hope the Commanders destroy the Saints. Otherwise Mattison is probably the "safe" play.
Another Rodriguez vote here. He’s good for TD this week. Plus garbage time
 
This league is the opposite of the one I posted above (too many choices here). Full PPR.

Pick 3 of these RB. If Walker plays, Charbs is the obvious choice to sit. If not?

- Charbs SEA vs GB
- Conner ARI vs NE
- Robinson ATL @ LVR
- Robinson WAS @ NOS

Also, pick 3 of these WR.

- Adams NYJ @ JAC
- Brown PHI vs PIT
- Higgins CIN @ TEN
- Reed GB @ SEA
- Shakir BUF @ DET
- Smith PHI vs PIT

I think Adams and Brown are probably obvious starts, especially with all of the talk about Brown wanting more targets this week. Reed is probably a sit after last week's dud (too risky, even though I think he bounces back). And, I can't see myself starting both PHI WR's given their inclination to run first. That leaves Higgins or Shakir for my WR3. Leaning slightly towards Shakir, just because BUF is going to need to put up points to keep up with DET. At least that is what I'm thinking at the moment.
Agree about Charbonet.

Agree about Davante and AJ.

Agree about Shakir too. Games rarely play out the way we expect but this one presents as a track meet.
 
I'm projected to win my matchup by a few points but we all know how unreliable the apps' projections are.

Cousins at LVR - love the matchup although he's been absolutely terrible lately

Winston at KC - he throws no matter what and they'll have to keep up with the KC O

AR5 at DEN - matchup isn't the best but he runs and this is an important game for both squads

Maye at ARI - could be higher-scoring?

I *MAY* be without Breece Hall too, so may need a "swing for the fences" option at QB.

And, if Hall *IS* out, I have these options:

Abdullah vs. LVR - gets a few catches, not much else

Homer at MIN - like Abdullah, will probably get a couple catches, meh

Tucker at LAC - would be a good play if Irving's back keeps him out

Miller vs. WAS - If Kamara is out (unlikely) he's definitely the play... he may be the play regardless if Hall is out
I have been on the Jameis bandwagon and still am. I sincerely believe the Browns are going to continue to run the offense through him to help determine if they're going to bring him back and possibly make him the starter next year.

I think Tucker is the play if Irving is out... probably if Irving plays too just because you don't have anything with bigger upside.
 
Full PPR, Superflex 12 Team, No kicker

Trying to decide between Kraft and Jonnu at TE and Rachaad White and QJ in flex. I finally made the playoffs and I want to get this right! lol.

TE: Currently leaning Jonnu because I feel like Kraft has too much variation in target share with the talent in that WR room, but I feel like he might have more upside than Jonnu this week (but a much lower floor). Jonnu also hasn’t let me down yet.

Flex: Leaning White but I am starting to think maybe Quentin is the better play here because Tampas defense is so bad.

Here is my current starting lineup if anyone interested:
QB: J. Allen
RB: C. Hubbard
RB: K. Williams
WR: D. Adams
WR: C. Kupp
TE: J. Smith
Flex: C. Sutton
Flex: R. White
OP: D. Henry
DST: Vikings
Definitely Jonnu IMO. Tua seems to love him.

I guess I lean White too but QJ does seem to have a nose for the end zone.
 
Apologies, but this is a combo "Who do I start/drop?" question.

14-team non-PPR, start 2 RB/3 WR/no flex. With Njoku's injury I have to pick up a TE. Here are the options:

Schultz vs Mia
JJohnson vs Was
JSanders vs Dal
Calcaterra vs Pit
Smartt vs TB

The correct answer is "Who the hell knows?" since I'm basically just hoping for a TD. But I'm leaning Smartt based on the matchup, LA's use of the TE this year, and the fact that he showed something last week after Dissly went down.

The bigger question is who I drop. There are no obvious candidates, and whoever I drop will very likely get picked up. But it has to be someone.

Starters
QB: Nix
RB: Bijan, BRob
WR: Nico, Evans, Jennings
TE: Njoku
K: Bates
DST: Denver

Bench
QB: Jameis
RB: Kamara, Guerendo
WR: Higgins, Adams

First step is probably to see what happens tonight with Guerendo. Maybe his injury is worse than we've heard, or he reinjures it. Or maybe he stinks and they decide Taylor is the new starter. Point is, I have very little to lose by waiting. Stone Smartt ain't going anywhere, and even if he does, I'll take a flier on someone else.

But let's assume the takeaway coming out of the game is that Guerendo is still the guy to own in SF's backfield. What do I do then? I could still end up dropping him, since it's unlikely he'll end up starting for me in the next two weeks. I could drop Kamara, who I'm benching this week over concerns with NO's offense. But that seems crazy.

I could drop Jameis and just roll with Nix the rest of the way. But he has a dream matchup with Cinci next week (and Nix has the same matchup in Week 17), so I was kind of depending on that platoon.

Even though I have five WRs for three slots, I can't imagine dropping any of them. They're all too good.

I could drop Njoku. I already know he's missing one of the three playoff games, and the nature of hamstring injuries means he could miss more. But I'll be really bummed if he's back next week, on someone else's roster, and I'm stuck with a replacement-level TE
Since it's not super-flex I guess dropping the QB is the right move.

Not much opinion on the TE but isn't Goedert on IR? If so I lean Calcutta.
 
Freakin' Guerendo...

Need to decide between rolling the dice with him tonight vs. waiting to see if Pollard is a full go Sunday...and if he isnt, then having to go with Tracy vs. Baltimore. :sick:
Sorry, I was on the road the last eight hours. Hope you chose well.
 
Same game dilemma, full PPR

Nabors v BAL

Tracy v BAL

Tommy Cutlets scares me.

Thanks dudes
I think you have to go with Nabers in PPR because Tracy is running into the teeth of Baltimore's strength on defense. You have to imagine the Giants are going to be forced to pass a lot more than they want to.
 
PPR I have to play 4 these 6 WR's which 2 sit - Chase, Puka, Nico, Kupp, McLaurin, Addison
PPR I have start only 1 of these 3 RB's - Guerendo, Conner, Pollard
PPR I have to start only 4 of these 5 WR's who sits - Chase, Puka, Kupp, Higgins, Jennings
Probably would have sat Kupp & Addison.

I would have said Conner but I'm not sure if that is relevant as the Niners game kicked off already.

Looks like I'm too late on the last question too. Sorry. Hope it works out.
 
Chase Brown
Montgomery
Cook
Guerendo
Pacheco

Need 2...Brown is in for sure. Deciding between Montgomery and Guerendo.

Also starting Purdy and Kittle so maybe Guerendo puts me too invested in SF???
Agree on Brown.

I would go with Cook personally. He's the entire run game for the Bills and he's having a great year.
 
Need to sit one from each group, 12 team 1 PPR.

Bijan
Conner
Kamara
A. Jones

Puka
ARSB
Ridley
Addison
With Derek Carr out I probably risk benching Kamara. He was really ineffective in the three games Carr missed in October.

I bench Ridley, it is a great matchup but his QB play is just not good. If you want to play the matchup with Ridley, I bench Addison.
 
Full PPR need a TE and FLEX

TE Options

Muth @ PHI (PIT may not have GP again, but PHI pass D is nuts)
Henry @ AZ (Solid PPR TE)
LaPorta vs BUF (FWIW I have and always start Monty from DET too)

Flex Pick 1

MHJ vs NE (spotty but could go off, might be shadowed by Gonzalez)
Smith vs PIT (same as MHJ, spotty, playing against good defense too)
I like LaPorta quite a bit more than the other 2, much more upside, and probably a better matchup, also not a bad pairing with Monty.

I guess Harrison, though I can't say I love him this week. If this is the same league, I'd consider flexing Henry, just to get that safer floor.
Standard non ppr, 3 of these 5.... Harrison vs NE, Garrett Wilson vs Jax, Kupp vs SF, Thielen vs Dallas, Addison vs Chicago.
Kupp is a lock as he's a TD threat weekly. I think Wilson against the Jags is also a lock. I'm hesitant to fully trust Thielen, and don't love Harrison's matchup (could see a run heavy Cards gameplan) so I lean Addison for that 3rd spot.

Do or die week

0.5 PPR

Pick 3:
Brian Thomas Jr vs Jets
Drake London at Raiders
JSN vs Packers
AJ Brown vs Steelers
Odunze at Vikes
100% on board with squeaky wheel AJ Brown vs weak CBs. I think London against the Raiders is too good of a matchup to sit, especially given his targets. 3rd spot is tough, I don't see Odunze as a real option among these guys, so its between JSN and Thomas, and I give a slight lean toward JSN, as the Packers aren't great against slot WRs, and that game feels more likely to be a shootout than Jags/Jets.

2pt per Rec / 1pt per 10yd rec / 6pt TD

Njoku vs KC
Henry vs AZ

Playoffs? PLAYOFFS?
Njoku if he's playing.

My team is in shambles with injuries. I have to start Sincere at RB2 with Bucky injury. If Bucky plays I will flex Sincere. But if Bucky doesnt play which one of these scrubs do I play at flex:

Patrick Taylor vs Rams
Jaylen Warren vs Eagles
TJ Hockenson vs Bears
Tank Dell vs MIA
I think TJ Hockenson is my pick here, and to be honest, I like him more than Bucky too.

0.5 PPR, 6 pts all TD's

QB - Need 1 - turned into a lot harder decision of late
Daniels at Saints
Darnold vs Bears
Nix vs Colts

Flex - Need 1
Downs at Broncos
McLaughlin vs Colts
McCormick vs Falcons
ETN vs Jets
I don't sit Daniels. I think he's in that always start category already.

I like McCormick the most of that group. Most involved, and its not like ATL is a bad matchup.

Richardson at denver
Goff v bills

All tds are 6 points
Especially with 6 pts for all TDs, I think Goff is the call here.

Need 1 RB in a PPR league, and with 1 pt per 10 return yards

Najee @ PHI
Warren @ PHI
McCormick vs ATL

Also I'm an underdog, so could use some upside

Is it crazy to think McCormick is my best choice? He might even have both a higher floor and higher ceiling than Najee

Warren might have the highest floor, especially if he returns a kick or two, but his ceiling seems limited
I get the temptation to sit Najee, but I think he's still you best option.

It is the same league. I could also flex Braelon Allen in a good matchup against the Jags instead of MHJ or Smith?
 
Tough week for me here.

PPR

I need two RBs:
Chase Brown @ TEN (#20 v RBs)
Jahmyr Gibbs v BUF (#30 v RBs)

David Montgomery v BUF (#30)
Jonathan Taylor @ DEN (#14)

I need two WRs:
Mike Evans @ LAC (#16 v WRs)
CeeDee Lamb @ CAR (#28)
Terry McLaurin @ NOS (#24)
Malik Nabers @ BAL (#30)
Courtland Sutton v IND (#11)

I need one Flex from the above options.

It's a Super Flex league and I have been rolling with Jared Goff & Jordan Love but am seriously considering benching Love at this point. Would anyone bench Love for any of the options not selected?

My Logic-ish:
Using week 9 as a cutoff (I don't like to use full season stats at this point in the year as it ignores trends) Montgomery has nearly identical PPG to Jahmyr (13.3 ppg to 13.5 PPG) making them RBs #8 & #9 over that span. Chase Brown is RB#2 at 18.2 PPG. Montgomery seems like a great flex option against the run funnel Bills defense.

At WR both CeeDee and Nabers are going to get 10 targets and has a great matchup but they really feels like all floor and no ceiling. CeeDee is WR #23 (12.2 PPG) since week 9 & Nabers is WR #32 (11 PPG).

Sutton OTOH is WR #4 at 17.6 PPF and hasn't had a down game. McLaurin is relatively low volume but has been incredibly productive as the WR #11 at 14.8 PPG and that includes a week 11 one point dud. That was McLaurin's first dud game since week 2. And can you discount Mike Evans?
I almost want to tell you to start both Lion RBs
 
Well….thanks to Kupp’s goose egg last night, I’m in slight panick mode and ready to make some high risk changes.
Was going to use KC D (even though they are actually mediocre for FF) but now using Atlanta and hope they get some turnovers from Ridder.
I cut that D to sign Rodgers. 4 pt TDs passing
So,
Darnold versus Chicago
Richardson versus Denver
Rodgers versus Jax in a a smash spot

TIA
 
Hopefully this isn't the last question by me for the year :<_<:

Standard

Cook @ Det (losing snaps / Allen / Det D)
Dowdle @ Car (chasing 1000 yards)
Shakir @ Det (Chasing points? / Kinkaid and Coleman will be back / should be high scoring affair)
Higgins @ Ten (last week's stinker / Burrow health / 2025 chatter)

Need to sit 1 (also have McCormick / Waddle, but ruled them out)

Thx
 
Well….thanks to Kupp’s goose egg last night, I’m in slight panick mode and ready to make some high risk changes.
Was going to use KC D (even though they are actually mediocre for FF) but now using Atlanta and hope they get some turnovers from Ridder.
I cut that D to sign Rodgers. 4 pt TDs passing
So,
Darnold versus Chicago
Richardson versus Denver
Rodgers versus Jax in a a smash spot

TIA
Is Rodgers a smash anything?

You can make an argument for each of these guys and they probably finish very close to each other.

Personally I go with Darnold's hot hand. He has multiple TD passes in 10 of 13 games, including a 330-2 game three weeks ago at Chicago. The Minnesota offense runs through him and it's been very effective. If his name wasn't Sam Darnold people would be talking about him among the league MVP candidates not simply debating if he qualifies for Comeback Player.
 
Hopefully this isn't the last question by me for the year :<_<:

Standard

Cook @ Det (losing snaps / Allen / Det D)
Dowdle @ Car (chasing 1000 yards)
Shakir @ Det (Chasing points? / Kinkaid and Coleman will be back / should be high scoring affair)
Higgins @ Ten (last week's stinker / Burrow health / 2025 chatter)

Need to sit 1 (also have McCormick / Waddle, but ruled them out)

Thx
Cook may be losing a few snaps but he's still good for 15+ opportunities and he plays for the #2 scoring offense in the league in what looks to be a high scoring game. I know he had a dud against the Rams in the highest scoring game of the season but that looks more like an aberration than anything, IMO.

Dowdle is probably the best option.

To me it comes down to Shakir v Higgins. I think Higgins has monster game upside that we haven't seen from Shakir, despite a large target share over the last 7 games (8.6/game). It may be a somewhat tougher matchup but Higgins sees just as many targets (slightly more variance) and has much higher TD upside. Despite everything the Bengals still look like they're playing hard and, IMO Joe Burrow is the best passer in the league.

I bench Shakir.
 
0.5 PPR:
  • Is there a world where you'd sit Jayden Daniels vs. Saints for a red hot Darnold vs. Chicgago?
  • Sitting Adams for Thielen would be insane, correct?
  • Jakobi Meyers vs. Falcons, Devonta Smith vs. Steelers or Amari Cooper vs. Lions
  • If KW3 and Hall are out, pick 2: Charbonnet vs. Packers, Braelon Allen vs. Jags or Pacheco vs. Browns
 
Hopefully this isn't the last question by me for the year :<_<:

Standard

Cook @ Det (losing snaps / Allen / Det D)
Dowdle @ Car (chasing 1000 yards)
Shakir @ Det (Chasing points? / Kinkaid and Coleman will be back / should be high scoring affair)
Higgins @ Ten (last week's stinker / Burrow health / 2025 chatter)

Need to sit 1 (also have McCormick / Waddle, but ruled them out)

Thx
I agree with Chaka. Sit Shakir.
 

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