I realize it's really early, but for those able to make trades or waiver wire pickups during the week for their playoffs, this could be useful. It's not getting much hype in the news yet, but the computer models are showing a pretty good chance of heavy snow and high wind for the Min-Phi game on Sunday night. Based on discussion I'm seeing on the weather equivalents of FBG, I'd say it's somewhere between 25-50% likely at this point.
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Week 16 Weather (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter zoobird
- Start date
thehornet
Footballguy
200 yards rushing for vick please
Captain Fantastic
Footballguy
My fears for ADP continue to build.
The CLAIM is that the field/weather conditions last week had no bearing on the decision to sit him, but you have to wonder (and wonder some more about THIS week).
Hmmm...
The CLAIM is that the field/weather conditions last week had no bearing on the decision to sit him, but you have to wonder (and wonder some more about THIS week).
Hmmm...
Yep, surely a blizzard would keep anyone from blowing out the vikings.
Doesn't look too bad to me. 14 MPH winds is not that bad. Wind is the thing you worry about and I hear anything less than 20 MPH is no big deal.
http://www.weather.com/weather/wxdetail/USPA1276?dayNum=4
http://www.weather.com/weather/wxdetail/USPA1276?dayNum=4
gethugefast1
Footballguy
Sunday 12/26/10 
Can't hit the beach, but not a Blizzard.
Day
Snow Shower
High
33°F
Precip
40%
Wind: From NE at 9 mph
Humidity: 62%
UV Index: 1 Low
Night
Snow Shower Overnight
Low
25°F
Precip
60%
Wind: From NNE at 14 mph
Humidity: 62%
Sunrise: 7:21 AM ET
Avg. High: 41°F
Record High: 68°F (1964)
Sunset: 4:41 PM ET
Avg. Low: 28°F
Record Low: 3°F (1983)
Can't hit the beach, but not a Blizzard.Day
Snow Shower
High
33°F
Precip
40%
Wind: From NE at 9 mph
Humidity: 62%
UV Index: 1 Low
Night
Snow Shower Overnight
Low
25°F
Precip
60%
Wind: From NNE at 14 mph
Humidity: 62%
Sunrise: 7:21 AM ET
Avg. High: 41°F
Record High: 68°F (1964)
Sunset: 4:41 PM ET
Avg. Low: 28°F
Record Low: 3°F (1983)
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The Man With No Name
Footballguy
You don't know what a blizzard is.
delusional
Footballguy
id say people in philly know what one is after getting 6ft dumped on us last year
Those links to weather.com are garbage this far out. They're generated automatically from one computer model - in this case the one that is least "optimistic" about the storm hitting the Northeast/Mid-Atlantic. They also always seem to have a significant lag behind when the models are published.
Crusaderfan
Footballguy
First off - it is way too early to tell BUT the weather models I saw last night said we could have anywhere from a large amount of snow to NOTHING!! I will get my snowblower out of the shed on Sunday morning and start it up and let it run for a few minutes to make sure it's ready to go. Up until last winter that ALWAYS guaranteed we would not get snow. Last winter was strange.
Billy Bats
Footballguy
"Some" snow being predicted for Sunday. Nothing major...yet. But that's how these things usually happen, it starts out as nothing much, each day it gets bigger, then by they day of we're getting 3ft. So ya never know....
Fast forward to :55
Fast forward to :55
SaintsInDome2006
Footballguy
@0.55 the guy says "some snow" in Philly, but the heavy stuff staying south in Jersey.//////////
Otherwise, this is what ya got:
Sun, Dec 26 2010 01:00 PM EST
Lincoln Financial Field
"Partly Sunny
Temperature: 25/39f"
http://www.nflweather.com/game/2010/week-1...kings-at-eagles
Zoomanji
Footballguy
pretty much
Not good for those starting Joe Webb at WR
Why do you say that? I think in some ways it could be very good for that very reason. Broken plays seem more likely but his athleticism seems like that could be a good thing. I am interested in why you think not?
Not trying to fool anyone at all. Different computer models were showing anything from a complete miss (storm going offshore way south) to a 2 foot storm with the worst in Philly around Sunday night. At the moment, most of the models have the storm going off shore without doing much of anything (total miss for Philly), but a pretty small shift in the early part of the storm's track could completely change that. Keep in mind that this is the same storm that dumped close to a foot of rain in parts of California. It's looking increasingly likely that it will NOT impact the mid-atlantic states, but if it does hit it would likely be pretty major.
southeastjerome
Footballguy
8:20 ESTgethugefast1 said:
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50ydfieldgoal
Footballguy
Would like to chime in here.
Looking at the computer models it now appears that there is a chance that the game between the Eagles and the Vikings could be played in near blizzard conditions. This has been one of the craziest weather systems that I have ever followed. The models have been all over the place all week. Now that we are getting closer to the event, models are beginning to coverge on a snowier solution. The heaviest snow still might be NE of Philly, but this is now a real threat and people should be paying attention.
Looking at the computer models it now appears that there is a chance that the game between the Eagles and the Vikings could be played in near blizzard conditions. This has been one of the craziest weather systems that I have ever followed. The models have been all over the place all week. Now that we are getting closer to the event, models are beginning to coverge on a snowier solution. The heaviest snow still might be NE of Philly, but this is now a real threat and people should be paying attention.
Weather.com states that there are "a few snow showers possible" for Sunday night, chance of percipitation at 30%. I wouldn't call these "blizzard conditions," lol.
50ydfieldgoal
Footballguy
Could care less what weather.com says. This is my prediction based on my knowledge of weather and ability to read computer models.
The Man With No Name
Footballguy
I would say your knowledge and ability need work. There isn't gonna be a blizzard in Philadelphia Sunday. Guaranteed.
Dinsy Ejotuz
Footballguy
The people who actually do know what they're talking about are being super polite to the people who don't in this thread. Merry Christmas, I guess.
Possibly monster storm winding up for the I-95 corridor (esp Philly and north) right now. If it misses it will only be a few miles too far out to sea. Forecasters have been struggling for five days to nail the track and they still don't have it 36 hours out.
Possibly monster storm winding up for the I-95 corridor (esp Philly and north) right now. If it misses it will only be a few miles too far out to sea. Forecasters have been struggling for five days to nail the track and they still don't have it 36 hours out.
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Jeff Tefertiller
Footballguy
What other games could be effected by weather?
Kenny Powers
Footballguy
:blizzard:
50ydfieldgoal
Footballguy
Nothing I said warranted that kind of response. No reason to be that bitter/ nasty towards me. I felt it was in my best interest to alert the board of the potential since many people will have Vick and Co in their championship game. If you can't handle that, then that is your issue and I truly feel sorry for you.
Dez
Footballguy
So your telling me I can't trust the weather channel ?
I just looked it up and it said snow tapers off ending around 6 PM and from 8 PM - 12 PM the game time hours the wind is going to be 6-8 mph with 10% chance of precip approx 27 deg F.
So who do we believe this weather channel site or people coming on here claiming the biggest blizzard in the history of man kind is coming to town ?
http://www.weather.com/weather/hourbyhour/...&begDay=360
Sunday, December 26
8 pm
27°F
Mostly Cloudy
10% chance of precip
NNW 6 mph
I just looked it up and it said snow tapers off ending around 6 PM and from 8 PM - 12 PM the game time hours the wind is going to be 6-8 mph with 10% chance of precip approx 27 deg F.
So who do we believe this weather channel site or people coming on here claiming the biggest blizzard in the history of man kind is coming to town ?
http://www.weather.com/weather/hourbyhour/...&begDay=360
Sunday, December 26
8 pm
27°F
Mostly Cloudy
10% chance of precip
NNW 6 mph
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50ydfieldgoal
Footballguy
I never said the biggest blizzard in man kind or whatever you think. All I am saying is that this is a snowstorm that will catch many people by surprise. The Weather Channel forecast is mainly computer driven+ it hasn't been updated since the latest model runs.All of the latest forecast models: NAM, GFS, RGEM, EURO to name a few have trended further west and bring heavy snow to much of the I-95 corridor especially from PHL-BOS.
Listen to whoever you would like. I feel no need to prove anything, but don't be surpised come Sunday. And if this were to fall apart then I would have no shame coming back and saying that I was wrong, etc...
Jeff Pasquino
Footballguy
Thank you for sharing your thoughts.It sounds like you've been studying meteorology for quite a while. Are the other source(s) just behind the curve here, or is this a unique type of system?
BTW - here in Maryland they're just saying flurries at best.
50ydfieldgoal
Footballguy
A big reason for this is that this is a very unique situation unlike most other storms we've seen through the years. This type of system involves the phasing of 3 seperate pieces of energy. One over the Gulf, another over the Midwest and a third in Canada. It requires the perfect timing of the phase to produce a major snowstorm. So in theory good timing=blizzard, bad timing= flat wave out to see. Timing is very key and will determine if the entire east coast sees this or if it's more of a PHL-BOS threat.The computer models have been a mess this week and have been waffling back and forth. In addition, our Gov't NOAA/HPC claimed that there were errors in todays model runs. However, since they said this all of the models have trended towards a more snowier solution, which could hurt the credibility of our gov't forecasters.
With regards to the local forecasters- Many are gun-shy, but I feel that many are gonna be caught off guard with this one and it will catch many people by surprise.
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Billy Bats
Footballguy
50ydfieldgoal
Footballguy
But the key with the NAM is the trend over the past 3-4 model runs. Compare the recent 0Z run to the prior 18Z and 12Z run. You will notice a gradual shift west. There is still time left. Another key is that some of the other models that showed it out to sea have trended west. Today will be a very interesting day.Looks like NAM has it blowing up off the coast, with little effect to Philly.
But this is cool ####, I love a good blizzard. Especially when the local yocals get it completely wrong.
Billy Bats
Footballguy
Wow you said a whole lotta stuff there that I don't quite understand or know where to find.But the key with the NAM is the trend over the past 3-4 model runs. Compare the recent 0Z run to the prior 18Z and 12Z run. You will notice a gradual shift west. There is still time left. Another key is that some of the other models that showed it out to sea have trended west. Today will be a very interesting day.Looks like NAM has it blowing up off the coast, with little effect to Philly.
But this is cool ####, I love a good blizzard. Especially when the local yocals get it completely wrong.
But I'm interested, and you sound like you know what you're talking about, keep it updated. I'll be following.Winter Storm Watch for Philadelphia. Here's the text:
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* PRECIPITATION TYPE: SNOW
* ACCUMULATIONS: POSSIBILITY OF SIX INCHES OR MORE
* TIMING: SPREADING NORTH ON SUNDAY FROM SOUTH TO NORTH. ENDING ON
MONDAY FROM SOUTH TO NORTH.
* IMPACTS: TRAVEL MAY BE HAZARDOUS DUE TO SIGNIFICANT
ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW. BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW POSSIBLE IN
STRONG WIND GUSTS. VISIBILITIES MAY BE GREATLY REDUCED.
* NORTHERLY WINDS INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS
POSSIBLE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* PRECIPITATION TYPE: SNOW
* ACCUMULATIONS: POSSIBILITY OF SIX INCHES OR MORE
* TIMING: SPREADING NORTH ON SUNDAY FROM SOUTH TO NORTH. ENDING ON
MONDAY FROM SOUTH TO NORTH.
* IMPACTS: TRAVEL MAY BE HAZARDOUS DUE TO SIGNIFICANT
ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW. BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW POSSIBLE IN
STRONG WIND GUSTS. VISIBILITIES MAY BE GREATLY REDUCED.
* NORTHERLY WINDS INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS
POSSIBLE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.
I have Akers picked up Hartley..indoors mon night....good offense CAN WAIT TO SWITCH if your league allows
crowe1130
Footballguy
Both Monday night kickers are already rostered in my league, so I'll have to make the decision early. Right now it looks like I'm putting in J Brown (STL). With 90% of my lineup playing outside in cold weather, it will be nice to have a dome kicker.
Billy Bats
Footballguy
RalphMouth
Footballguy
Buehler ? Buehler ??
thinking I better be safe and replace Akers w/Ferris
thinking I better be safe and replace Akers w/Ferris
southeastjerome
Footballguy
I don't know how it is in the rest of the country, but weather.com is usually off on their forecasts for here in the Boston area. I always watch the local news forecasts. Not that they are always correct, but they seem to be more on top of things here. I checked a local philly station, watch the video about 1/2 way down the page. http://www.nbcphiladelphia.com/weather/ at around 3:45 in, he specifically mentions that it does look like there will be snow and increasing wind for the Eagles game.
Power Monster
The Midnight Stalker
Well after watching the weather forcasts for the last two Bear games- it appears to me that it was all hype. In the first game Brady just tore it up- they ran the ball and he was throwing it at will. The FG kickers were fine in that game- which has gusts up to 55 MPH and snow coming down in 20 degree weather. In the game at Minny- the Bears scored in numbers. Cutler was not fazed by the conditions. Farve was knocked out but he entered the game with multiple injuries. The repoprts in Chicago at 2 pm CST had snow coming down and the field being as hard as ice with the players union ready to file major grievances. Then the game started and it was just fun old time football in the snow. The Eagles are going to run their game plan and pound the Vikings and if the Bears win in the early game they will have to keep pouring it on.
SuperGreen
Footballguy
well thankfully i have matt ryan as my back-up so if it looks really ridiculous i can throw him in before the sun night game starts.
still i would have a hard time sitting vick for anything other than, well, the word being thrown around here..."blizzard".
still i would have a hard time sitting vick for anything other than, well, the word being thrown around here..."blizzard".
Jeff Pasquino
Footballguy
Graham missed an extra point in Chicago and Brady is just that good - but deep throws were definitely affected.I think Vick's long throws will be a problem as will any long FG attempts. McCoy and Vick should do well, especially in the short passing game. Maclin and DeSean will get their grabs but maybe not the deep ball.
Billy Bats
Footballguy
The latest from the local yocals....ETA: 5oyardfg and zoobird owned this tread!
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the spanker
Footballguy
Oh oh if this is true, I'm starting to get a little worried. We have any data with Vick playing in blizzard like conditions before?
ETA: 5oyardfg owns this tread!
