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What do you need on MNF? Week 9 edition (1 Viewer)

BobbyLayne

Footballguy
my Alvin Kamara vs villain's Taysom Hill

Up 31.47 points

99% win probability

Gus Edwards and Mark Andrews doubtful

Isaiah Likely, coming off a monster TNF game, wil make his first start. Kenyan Drake will likely be the Ravens lead RB. 35 year old Desean Jackson will probably be active for the first time this year. On a ppg basis, Lamar Jackson was QB18 for the month of October. First game as a Raven for newly acquired Roquan Smith, the leading tackler in the NFL.

Kamara has averaged 7.5 targets per game in 2022, second only to the Chargers’ Austin Ekeler this season. In his last three games, Kamara has been targeted a total of 28 times, and he hauled in 22 passes for 177 yards. Baltimore has allowed 6.25 receptions per game to running backs, the sixth-worst mark in the NFL, and 45.6 receiving yards per game, seventh worst in the league. Andy Dalton will continue to check down to AK. In 18 career games (8-10) vs the Ravens he has 25 TDs and 19 INT. Rookie WR Chris Olave is the WR15 on the season in PPR ppg.

2022 NFL season: Four things to watch for in Ravens-Saints game on 'Monday Night Football'
 

efactor

Footballguy
Only game up in the air, I need Olave and T Hill to get less than 21 in full PPR. If one of them scores, I'm toast

Don't really like watching MNF for fantasy sake when I'm rooting against players doing well. Much more fun when you're rooting for your players.
'
 

FGITLOTR

Footballguy
Non PPR—I’m down by less than a point and have Tucker, while he has Duvernay—with no other weapons, I expect DD to be busy
 

fightingillini

Footballguy
I play in a doubleheader so I have two opponents. I have coin flips in both
First opponent - up 14 with Drake, opponent has Jackson and Tucker.
Second opponent, up 8 with Drake, opponent has Kamara
 

kylechoffman

Footballguy
Down 41.4 in .5 ppr, 6 pt tds unless over 40 yards at which point they are 8 each. He's done and I have Olave and Likely. A few 40+ yard tds will give me a chance.
 

Ministry of Pain

Footballguy
We have 1 tight game, incredibly low score for most redraft leagues, avg in ours is around 140-150 a week if you want to win. Not sure why we love these basketball triple digit scores but it's always been this way since I started.

106-99 and the Ravens Defense set for the team -7 right now.
Sacks 1 pt
T/O 2 pt
Usual TDs on Defense and S/T
Can earn a few more points by limiting the Saints to under 10-14 scoring but basically sacks and turnovers.
Baltimore has hit the needed number in 5 of their 8 games this season
62.5% chance to win tonight?
 
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Gally

Footballguy
I am down 65 pts and have Lamar, LIkely and Pete Werner going against Justin Houston.

It's 6 pts for all TD's, -3 pts for a turnover, 1/2 PPR, 9 pts for a sack, 1 pt for a tackle. 5 pt bonus for TE at 20 yds. 1 pt 15 yds rushing/receiving, 1 pt 50 yds passing.

I probably need two TD's to Likely (that's 25 pts when factoring in the 2 receptions plus yds) and another 2 TD's for Lamar plus a sack and 8-ish tackles from Werner all while Houston does nothing. Possible but not probable.
 

Team Smokin'

Footballguy
In a basic Yahoo non-ppr league, and an extremely high scoring affair our team is down by 6.12.

Smokin' 146.12 (has Fields and Kamara going tonight)
KingPin 152.24 (has Mixon and is done after Mahomes also going off)

Says 75% favorite. Just need Kamara to get his and stay healthy.
 
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Gottabesweet

Footballguy
My kicker to actually produce double digits for the first time this year. (Using Lutz this week) I'm up like 3.5 and Lutz vs. Drake. Assuming I have a 15% chance, even though the website says it'll be closer. I think they are grossly under projecting Drake without any WR's
 

Payne

Footballguy
T Hill and Duverney to combine for 8 points in one league. Feel good about that.

8 points out of Raven defense. Not so sure about that one.
 

BobbyLayne

Footballguy
craZy how banged up the Ravens are rn

Ravens projected offensive skill positions at Saints:

QB: Lamar Jackson
RB: Kenyan Drake/Justice Hill
WR: Devin Duvernay
WR: James Proche/Tylan Wallace/DeSean Jackson
TE: Isaiah Likely
 

wlwiles

Footballguy
Most likely to win #1: Under 26 from Tucker.

Should win as long as crazy stuff doesn't happen: Need 11 from Kamara + Lutz.

Likely to happen? Need 13.3 from Likely in half PPR. 5/50/1 should be doable, no?

Still in the hunt: Need Lamar to outscore Drake + Taysom by 7.

So you're telling me there's a chance: Need 33.5 from Tre'Quan Smith in 1PPR
 

VikingFrog

Footballguy
Lamar and Taysom to go for 25.

Sounds pretty easy but stranger things have happened to my teams all year when I needed it.
 

ignatiusjreilly

Footballguy
Full PPR, need Olave and Likely to outscore Juwan by 36. Yahoo says that my chances are about as good as 538's odds that the Democrats keep the House (not to get political)
 

BobbyLayne

Footballguy
wow - guy in my league was a huge dog with Tucker (10.00) and Kenyan Drake (25.50) - but was still losing 114.50-113.39 after his second TD.

After the Saints TD pass to Juwan Johnson, 4:10 left.
  • 2 LJax runs, FD, Saints TO, 3:23 left
  • Drake stuffed for no gain, Saints TO, 3:19 left
  • Drake 9 yard run, Saints TO, 3:14 left, 3rd and 1 - 114.50-114.29
  • Drake 2 yard run - now it's 114.50-114.49
  • Drake 5 yard run, two minute warning - there it is 114.50-114.99
  • Drake 4 yard run, 3rd & 1, that should cover any stat corrections, 1:15 left - 114.50-115.39.
  • Drake 7 yard loss 114.50-114.69
Brutal. Optimal lineup/bestball it would have been 130.80-114.79.
 

BobbyLayne

Footballguy
wow - guy in my league was a huge dog with Tucker (10.00) and Kenyan Drake (25.50) - but was still losing 114.50-113.39 after his second TD.

After the Saints TD pass to Juwan Johnson, 4:10 left.
  • 2 LJax runs, FD, Saints TO, 3:23 left
  • Drake stuffed for no gain, Saints TO, 3:19 left
  • Drake 9 yard run, Saints TO, 3:14 left, 3rd and 1 - 114.50-114.29
  • Drake 2 yard run - now it's 114.50-114.49
  • Drake 5 yard run, two minute warning - there it is 114.50-114.99
  • Drake 4 yard run, 3rd & 1, that should cover any stat corrections, 1:15 left - 114.50-115.39.
  • Drake 7 yard loss 114.50-114.69
Brutal. Optimal lineup/bestball it would have been 130.80-114.79.

Epilogue

1 stat correction in the NFL this week:

Nov 10Chicago Chi - DEFTFL10.25

114.50-114.69 changed to
114.75-114.69

ouch
 

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