Where the heck . . . (1 Viewer)

[32 Counter Pass]

At some point this offseason I read an article about applying actual scoring averages to projections. Can anyone point me in the direction of this info and possibly the 3 years positional averages?

TIA!!!

 

[SmoovySmoov]

PM moderated. He's "The Nostradamus of FF". He should know.

 

[Lott's Fingertip]

PM moderated. He's "The Nostradamus of FF". He should know.

 

[49erBamBam52]

PM moderated. He's "The Nostradamus of FF". He should know.

WOW!!!!(off topic) Absolutely LOVE your name!!! and the avatar!!!!KICK A**BAM

 

[John Mamula]

At some point this offseason I read an article about applying actual scoring averages to projections. Can anyone point me in the direction of this info and possibly the 3 years positional averages?

TIA!!!

You're talking about AVT (Average Value Theory) where you use a historic average of fantasy scoring and apply it to RB1, RB2, RB3..., QB1, QB2, QB3...Once you do this you use whatever ranking methodology you want to rank your players and then you are able to use tiering, VBD, or other analyses to draft based on "value".

Many here will point out the flaws of using that system as a method of bypassing doing actual projections. Personally I like to have that number next to my projections as a quick check to see how far off my projection is for the player that is in that particular positional slot.

It may be saved somewhere in the FBG archives on the website, or someone like Dodds or Drinen may know of the link...not sure.

I have 8 years worth of data in my projections app but it is for my main league's scoring system so it wouldn't necessarily be apples to apples for your league, so I doubt it would be of much use.

 

[32 Counter Pass]

At some point this offseason I read an article about applying actual scoring averages to projections. Can anyone point me in the direction of this info and possibly the 3 years positional averages?

TIA!!!

You're talking about AVT (Average Value Theory) where you use a historic average of fantasy scoring and apply it to RB1, RB2, RB3..., QB1, QB2, QB3...Once you do this you use whatever ranking methodology you want to rank your players and then you are able to use tiering, VBD, or other analyses to draft based on "value".

Many here will point out the flaws of using that system as a method of bypassing doing actual projections. Personally I like to have that number next to my projections as a quick check to see how far off my projection is for the player that is in that particular positional slot.

It may be saved somewhere in the FBG archives on the website, or someone like Dodds or Drinen may know of the link...not sure.

I have 8 years worth of data in my projections app but it is for my main league's scoring system so it wouldn't necessarily be apples to apples for your league, so I doubt it would be of much use.

YES! That is exactly what I am talking about.And that is exactly how I was hoping to use the information, if someone can point me to it.

TIA!

 

[John Mamula]

Go nuts dude.

click me

BTW, it is rumored that the FBG poster Kid C created this system and that a former FBG moderator! stole it from him. However history has gone on to show that since it is such a crappy methodology for projections, nobody cares.

 

[Bri]

Go nuts dude.

click me

BTW, it is rumored that the FBG poster Kid C created this system and that a former FBG moderator! stole it from him. However history has gone on to show that since it is such a crappy methodology for projections, nobody cares.

neither are correct

 

[Bri]

Bagger,

check out "google groups"(log out of gmail) and search for rec.sport.football.fantasy

search for avt or vbd, you'll probably find it interesting and possibly be surprised at all the names you recognize 10-12-14 years later. FanEx's drafts stirred up some of the best discussions if you feel like searching for something else interesting

 

[Clayton Gray]

Go nuts dude.

click me

BTW, it is rumored that the FBG poster Kid C created this system and that a former FBG moderator! stole it from him. However history has gone on to show that since it is such a crappy methodology for projections, nobody cares.

The rumor was the other way around.Anyway, here's the original article.

 

[GregR_2]

At some point this offseason I read an article about applying actual scoring averages to projections. Can anyone point me in the direction of this info and possibly the 3 years positional averages?

TIA!!!

You're talking about AVT (Average Value Theory) where you use a historic average of fantasy scoring and apply it to RB1, RB2, RB3..., QB1, QB2, QB3...Once you do this you use whatever ranking methodology you want to rank your players and then you are able to use tiering, VBD, or other analyses to draft based on "value".

Many here will point out the flaws of using that system as a method of bypassing doing actual projections. Personally I like to have that number next to my projections as a quick check to see how far off my projection is for the player that is in that particular positional slot.

It may be saved somewhere in the FBG archives on the website, or someone like Dodds or Drinen may know of the link...not sure.

I have 8 years worth of data in my projections app but it is for my main league's scoring system so it wouldn't necessarily be apples to apples for your league, so I doubt it would be of much use.

YES! That is exactly what I am talking about.And that is exactly how I was hoping to use the information, if someone can point me to it.

TIA!

I think a much better way of using historical numbers is on a leaguewide basis than on a player by player basis. You should expect your projection for how many yards the league will rush and pass to be in the realm of historical numbers, adjusted up or down as you see fit based on the exact situation this year. On the other hand, you should probably expect that your projection for your Xth ranked RB should NOT match the Xth ranked RB using historical results.