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2025 FBG Subscriber Contest (6 Viewers)
- Thread starter TheWinz
- Start date
apalmer
Footballguy
Moody signs with Chicago practice squad. Those 725 may get their kicker back at the expense of 1436 Santos ownersWow! Pretty bad when a $4 kicker gets cut after one game. (Reminds me of the Rodrigo Blankenship fiasco )
The 49ers just waived PK Jake Moody after a missed and a blocked kick this weekend.
$4 wasted by the 725 Moody owners that are still alive.
They are bringing in Eddy Piniero for a tryout at PK.
-----------------------------------------------
Also... PK Younghoe Koo is apparently also on thin ice in Atlanta.
The Falcons are bringing in Parker Romo to compete with him, and will determine which of the two kickers will be kicking this weekend.
1,805 surviving Koo owners might be short a kicker starting this weekend. Koo was also a $4 kicker
I would be a worried Santos shareholder if Moody had a longer leg, but the fact is, they both have weak legs. Santos is more accurate though, so I don't think Moody will overtake him.Moody signs with Chicago practice squad. Those 725 may get their kicker back at the expense of 1436 Santos ownersWow! Pretty bad when a $4 kicker gets cut after one game. (Reminds me of the Rodrigo Blankenship fiasco )
The 49ers just waived PK Jake Moody after a missed and a blocked kick this weekend.
$4 wasted by the 725 Moody owners that are still alive.
They are bringing in Eddy Piniero for a tryout at PK.
-----------------------------------------------
Also... PK Younghoe Koo is apparently also on thin ice in Atlanta.
The Falcons are bringing in Parker Romo to compete with him, and will determine which of the two kickers will be kicking this weekend.
1,805 surviving Koo owners might be short a kicker starting this weekend. Koo was also a $4 kicker
QuizGuy66
Footballguy
Moody signs with Chicago practice squad. Those 725 may get their kicker back at the expense of 1436 Santos ownersWow! Pretty bad when a $4 kicker gets cut after one game. (Reminds me of the Rodrigo Blankenship fiasco )
The 49ers just waived PK Jake Moody after a missed and a blocked kick this weekend.
$4 wasted by the 725 Moody owners that are still alive.
They are bringing in Eddy Piniero for a tryout at PK.
-----------------------------------------------
Also... PK Younghoe Koo is apparently also on thin ice in Atlanta.
The Falcons are bringing in Parker Romo to compete with him, and will determine which of the two kickers will be kicking this weekend.
1,805 surviving Koo owners might be short a kicker starting this weekend. Koo was also a $4 kicker
and also we miss Blankie
-QG
Yes. It's something he will take a look at. Likely won't be possible to add for this year but he'll look.
On Waldman Pond
Footballguy
It's awesome to have your 1st round WR in for about 8 snaps... NOT!!I live less than an hour from Lambeau Field and have been following the Packers since Bart Starr was QB and Boyd Dowler and Carrol Dale were his receivers. I fell victim to the Matthew Golden hype, and broke my cardinal rule this year which is, "Never draft a WR on a team coached by Matt LaFleur!" Nobody to blame but myself!
I'm going to assume his usage will ramp up to 100% snaps by week 4. ***/u/me.
I'd like to assume he's going to see more than 2 targets per game going forward. However, I've learned from mix-it-up-Matt to assume that target counts will vary immensely for all receivers on the roster from one week to the next. I have to wonder how much even the great Don Hutson would have seen the ball thrown his way if he played for LaFleur instead of Lambeau!
Contest Turk
Footballguy
Charles in Houston
Footballguy
And I want to thank them.
Very often it's teams like this that advance with no real shot, and they take the place of an otherwise well built team.
joey
Footballguy
Don’t roster a single one. Phew.
(In any league, as well as this contest)
apalmer
Footballguy
I'll see your Turpin and raise you an Ayomanor
stubby
Footballguy
I got him too!
ZWK
Footballguy
@Contest Turk sent me the roster data, so I've been able to add the ownership numbers to my spreadsheet - this year's player pool is at the bottom of the first tab.
The most-rostered players are:
52% RB Jacory Croskey-Merritt WAS $6
50% WR Emeka Egbuka TB $10
42% WR Ricky Pearsall SF $11
36% RB Chase Brown CIN $26
31% RB TreVeyon Henderson NE $18
30% TE Tyler Warren IND $14
23% WR Matthew Golden GB $12
23% RB Nick Chubb HOU $8
23% RB Jordan Mason MIN $11
22% PK Evan McPherson CIN $4
The average roster size of 20.07 is slightly above the past 2 years (19.89 & 19.99), but below any of the previous years of the past decade (min of 20.30).
Here's the positional breakdown (with a comparison to last year; check out the roster construction tab in the spreadsheet to see how it compares to other years)
QB: 2.5 for $39 (last year: 2.5 for $40)
RB: 5.0 for $80 (last year: 5.2 for $74)
WR: 6.1 for $83 (last year: 5.6 for $88)
TE: 2.4 for $29 (last year: 2.4 for $29)
PK: 2.1 for $9 (last year: 2.1 for $10)
DEF: 2.1 for $10 (last year: 2.1 for $10)
total: 20.1 for $250 (last year: 19.9 for $250)
Last year we had some $2 RBs, this year we have some $2 WRs, so the roster builds compared to last year have shifted towards more cheaper WRs and fewer more expensive RBs. This year is more typical of previous years, though usually the number of RBs is higher.
A typical roster has an average ownership is 13.3%, which is fairly typical across the past decade (avg: 13.4%) but higher than the past 3 years. If the players on your roster average a higher ownership than that, then you went for more common players; if it's lower then you picked rarer players than the typical entry.
The most-rostered players are:
52% RB Jacory Croskey-Merritt WAS $6
50% WR Emeka Egbuka TB $10
42% WR Ricky Pearsall SF $11
36% RB Chase Brown CIN $26
31% RB TreVeyon Henderson NE $18
30% TE Tyler Warren IND $14
23% WR Matthew Golden GB $12
23% RB Nick Chubb HOU $8
23% RB Jordan Mason MIN $11
22% PK Evan McPherson CIN $4
The average roster size of 20.07 is slightly above the past 2 years (19.89 & 19.99), but below any of the previous years of the past decade (min of 20.30).
Here's the positional breakdown (with a comparison to last year; check out the roster construction tab in the spreadsheet to see how it compares to other years)
QB: 2.5 for $39 (last year: 2.5 for $40)
RB: 5.0 for $80 (last year: 5.2 for $74)
WR: 6.1 for $83 (last year: 5.6 for $88)
TE: 2.4 for $29 (last year: 2.4 for $29)
PK: 2.1 for $9 (last year: 2.1 for $10)
DEF: 2.1 for $10 (last year: 2.1 for $10)
total: 20.1 for $250 (last year: 19.9 for $250)
Last year we had some $2 RBs, this year we have some $2 WRs, so the roster builds compared to last year have shifted towards more cheaper WRs and fewer more expensive RBs. This year is more typical of previous years, though usually the number of RBs is higher.
A typical roster has an average ownership is 13.3%, which is fairly typical across the past decade (avg: 13.4%) but higher than the past 3 years. If the players on your roster average a higher ownership than that, then you went for more common players; if it's lower then you picked rarer players than the typical entry.
ZWK
Footballguy
Looking at player pairs (complete data here)
37% of all rostered QBs are stacked with at least 1 WR or TE from the same NFL team (last year: 35%)
12% of entries stacked all of their QBs (last year: 12%)
The average stacked QB had 1.22 WR+TE teammates on the same roster, so stacks are mostly single stacks rather than multistacks.
The average stacked QB had $18 of WR+TE teammates on the same roster, which is slightly more expensive (1.1x) than you'd get from the average price of rostered WR+TE.
Here are the most common QB-teammate pairings (including all positions):
5.1% NE RB TreVeyon Henderson with Maye (+1.4% over expected 3.7%)
4.8% DAL WR George Pickens with Prescott (+2.0% over expected 2.8%)
4.4% WAS RB Jacory Croskey-Merritt with Daniels (+0.1% over expected 4.3%)
3.7% SF WR Ricky Pearsall with Purdy (+1.0% over expected 2.7%)
3.6% GB WR Matthew Golden with Love (+1.3% over expected 2.3%)
2.8% JAX PK Cam Little with Lawrence (+0.6% over expected 2.2%)
2.8% DAL WR CeeDee Lamb with Presott (+1.5% over expected 1.3%)
2.7% HOU RB Nick Chubb with Stroud (+0.2% over expected 2.6%)
2.7% TB WR Emeka Egbuka with Mayfield (-0.1% below expected 2.8%)
2.7% CIN WR Ja'Marr Chase with Burrow (+1.7% over expected 1.0%)
2.4% CAR WR Tetairoa McMillan with Young (+1.0% over expected 1.5%)
2.3% LAC WR Keenan Allen with Herbert (+0.6% over expected 1.7%)
2.3% CIN RB Chase Brown with Burrow (-0.2% below expected 2.6%)
2.3% GB TE Tucker Kraft with Love (+0.9% over expected 1.4%)
2.0% DAL PK Brandon Aubrey with Prescott (+0.1% over expected 1.9%)
2.0% HOU WR Nico Collins with Stroud (+0.8% over expected 1.2%)
2.0% NYJ RB Braelon Allen with Fields (+0.5% over expected 1.5%)
2.0% TEN WR Calvin Ridley with Ward (+0.8% over expected 1.2%)
Expected is based on the overall ownership of each player, e.g. Pickens is on 15% of all rosters, Prescott is on 19% of all rosters, so you'd expect 15%*19% = 2.8% of all rosters to have both if people weren't going out of their way to pair them. Instead 4.8% of rosters have both, which is +2.0% higher than that.
Another way to look at it is that Pickens is on 25.5% of all rosters with Prescott vs. 12.3% of the rosters without Prescott, which averages out to 14.8% of entries overall. So you could look at the gap as +13.2% (or 2.07x) for Prescott rosters vs non-Prescott rosters.
The most commonly owned pairings are basically just the most commonly owned players
32% Jacory Croskey-Merritt + Emeka Egbuka (+6.2% over expected 26.2%)
27% Jacory Croskey-Merritt + Ricky Pearsall (+4.8% over expected 21.9%)
26% Emeka Egbuka + Ricky Pearsall (+5.5% over expected 20.9%)
22% Jacory Croskey-Merritt + Chase Brown (+3.2% over expected 18.9%)
These are also more common than expected - I guess there's an overall tendency to take the obvious highly-owned value plays vs. to avoid them.
37% of all rostered QBs are stacked with at least 1 WR or TE from the same NFL team (last year: 35%)
12% of entries stacked all of their QBs (last year: 12%)
The average stacked QB had 1.22 WR+TE teammates on the same roster, so stacks are mostly single stacks rather than multistacks.
The average stacked QB had $18 of WR+TE teammates on the same roster, which is slightly more expensive (1.1x) than you'd get from the average price of rostered WR+TE.
Here are the most common QB-teammate pairings (including all positions):
5.1% NE RB TreVeyon Henderson with Maye (+1.4% over expected 3.7%)
4.8% DAL WR George Pickens with Prescott (+2.0% over expected 2.8%)
4.4% WAS RB Jacory Croskey-Merritt with Daniels (+0.1% over expected 4.3%)
3.7% SF WR Ricky Pearsall with Purdy (+1.0% over expected 2.7%)
3.6% GB WR Matthew Golden with Love (+1.3% over expected 2.3%)
2.8% JAX PK Cam Little with Lawrence (+0.6% over expected 2.2%)
2.8% DAL WR CeeDee Lamb with Presott (+1.5% over expected 1.3%)
2.7% HOU RB Nick Chubb with Stroud (+0.2% over expected 2.6%)
2.7% TB WR Emeka Egbuka with Mayfield (-0.1% below expected 2.8%)
2.7% CIN WR Ja'Marr Chase with Burrow (+1.7% over expected 1.0%)
2.4% CAR WR Tetairoa McMillan with Young (+1.0% over expected 1.5%)
2.3% LAC WR Keenan Allen with Herbert (+0.6% over expected 1.7%)
2.3% CIN RB Chase Brown with Burrow (-0.2% below expected 2.6%)
2.3% GB TE Tucker Kraft with Love (+0.9% over expected 1.4%)
2.0% DAL PK Brandon Aubrey with Prescott (+0.1% over expected 1.9%)
2.0% HOU WR Nico Collins with Stroud (+0.8% over expected 1.2%)
2.0% NYJ RB Braelon Allen with Fields (+0.5% over expected 1.5%)
2.0% TEN WR Calvin Ridley with Ward (+0.8% over expected 1.2%)
Expected is based on the overall ownership of each player, e.g. Pickens is on 15% of all rosters, Prescott is on 19% of all rosters, so you'd expect 15%*19% = 2.8% of all rosters to have both if people weren't going out of their way to pair them. Instead 4.8% of rosters have both, which is +2.0% higher than that.
Another way to look at it is that Pickens is on 25.5% of all rosters with Prescott vs. 12.3% of the rosters without Prescott, which averages out to 14.8% of entries overall. So you could look at the gap as +13.2% (or 2.07x) for Prescott rosters vs non-Prescott rosters.
The most commonly owned pairings are basically just the most commonly owned players
32% Jacory Croskey-Merritt + Emeka Egbuka (+6.2% over expected 26.2%)
27% Jacory Croskey-Merritt + Ricky Pearsall (+4.8% over expected 21.9%)
26% Emeka Egbuka + Ricky Pearsall (+5.5% over expected 20.9%)
22% Jacory Croskey-Merritt + Chase Brown (+3.2% over expected 18.9%)
These are also more common than expected - I guess there's an overall tendency to take the obvious highly-owned value plays vs. to avoid them.
Last edited:
Down Under
Footballguy
dumb question, but where do we find our entry and the standings?
QuizGuy66
Footballguy
NumberOneFan
Footballguy
Russell Wilson bailing out Hurts this week
QuizGuy66
Footballguy
I got him too!
One of the 14 lucky owners to have those 2 and Tony Franklin as well
-QG
QuizGuy66
Footballguy
So the cut going into this game was 106.85 for reference. Might be the least a cut lines moves on a Sunday Night for quite some time.
These are the 4 double-digit scorers and the number of live roosters with them. Not much there.
Falcons D: 795
Allgaier: 165
Bijan: 544
Jefferson: 190
Anyway my Burrowless roster will advance to week 3. Right now at 151.95 + (Chubb - 4.80) + (Egbuka/K Allen - 15.60/15.30)
Good luck to those sweating The Turk
-QG
These are the 4 double-digit scorers and the number of live roosters with them. Not much there.
Falcons D: 795
Allgaier: 165
Bijan: 544
Jefferson: 190
Anyway my Burrowless roster will advance to week 3. Right now at 151.95 + (Chubb - 4.80) + (Egbuka/K Allen - 15.60/15.30)
Good luck to those sweating The Turk
-QG
Hot Sauce Guy
Footballguy
Comfortably 40+ over the cut line with Egbuka, Carlson, & LAC D/ST YTP
Franklin & Fannin
LFG!
Franklin & Fannin
LFG!
ZWK
Footballguy
I made a new spreadsheet with heatmaps of positional builds. See the cluster of the most common builds at each position, and the weird outliers.
(Not sure if it's better to orient them horizontally or vertically. I currently have rb both ways, and the others just vertical - if you like horizontal better I could redo the others to give them that layout, or add duplicates like I have for rb.)
(Not sure if it's better to orient them horizontally or vertically. I currently have rb both ways, and the others just vertical - if you like horizontal better I could redo the others to give them that layout, or add duplicates like I have for rb.)
Wish my guys would have saved this for later in the contest, but I might break 200 points for the first time ever! Goff, Odunze, and Kraft crushed it this week, and I loved watching my ATL defense come alive last night!
Sitting at 198.6 with Chubb - 7.5, and Egbuka, Tre Tucker, and K. Allen needing above 8.7 to score for WR, or above 13.9 to score for flex.
Sitting at 198.6 with Chubb - 7.5, and Egbuka, Tre Tucker, and K. Allen needing above 8.7 to score for WR, or above 13.9 to score for flex.
You can't. That feature died years ago.
QuizGuy66
Footballguy
Ted Lange as your Bartender
Footballguy
Thank goodness for the Kraft/Warren/Fannin TE build or I’d be out of this thing already.
Also $2 Ayomanor in the running to be the steal of the contest
Also $2 Ayomanor in the running to be the steal of the contest
SeniorVBDStudent
Footballguy
how much will the cut line go up with 2 games tonight?
Depends on the game scoring. Probably 15-18 pts.
