Wheelhouse
Footballguy
Statistic per Colin Cowherd... Nearly 80% of the time the home team wins in this round of the playoffs coming off a bye week. (51 of last 64 games in this round have been won by the home team coming off the playoff bye) 
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Which road team has the best chance at a win this weekend? (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter Wheelhouse
- Start date
Gr00vus
Footballguy
I like all the home teams this week, and the statistic backs that up.
If I had to rank which home teams were most likely to lose it would be:
1) Saints
2) Chargers
3) Ravens
4) Bears
In my opinon the Saints are the "weakest" of the four home teams, and the Eagles are red hot right now, otherwise I'd say it would be a toss up between the Saints and the Chargers.
If I had to rank which home teams were most likely to lose it would be:
1) Saints
2) Chargers
3) Ravens
4) Bears
In my opinon the Saints are the "weakest" of the four home teams, and the Eagles are red hot right now, otherwise I'd say it would be a toss up between the Saints and the Chargers.
jurb26
Footballguy
Agreed. But I would rank them more like:1. Saints....2. Chargers3. Ravens4. Bears
Gr00vus
Footballguy
I'm truly afeared of the Pats mystique - maybe more objective people can see things more clearly than I, but right now I find the Pats extremely threatening.
Snotbubbles
Footballguy
All 4 home teams have won only 5 times '04, '02, '98, '94, '91). I think 1 road team will win this year and wouldn't be surprised at 2. Only the Seahawks winning would surprise me. The other three games could go either way.
Bearshomer54
Footballguy
Chicago has 2 of those home losses.
Couch Potato
Footballguy
A case could be made for any of the road teams.
Seattle's experience, Grossman imploding.
Brady/Belichik vs. inexperienced Rivers and Marty's horrible playoff 'ostrich' tendencies.
Eagles' experience vs. Saints 1st-timers.
Manning's ability to put points up on anyone.
Which do I think will happen? I hate to say it because it's not what I want, but I think the one road team that wins is New England.
Seattle's experience, Grossman imploding.
Brady/Belichik vs. inexperienced Rivers and Marty's horrible playoff 'ostrich' tendencies.
Eagles' experience vs. Saints 1st-timers.
Manning's ability to put points up on anyone.
Which do I think will happen? I hate to say it because it's not what I want, but I think the one road team that wins is New England.
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Wheelhouse
Footballguy
Surprised at how low Seattle is in this poll. Correct me if I'm wrong, but if Grossman underperforms drastically can the Bears really win? So now the question really is - Will Grossman rise to the occasion or fall?
roadkill1292
Footballguy
Though all the advantages are lining up on their side in tomorrow's game, Ray Ray and company still haven't beaten Peyton Manning yet. He counters what the Ravens do better than anybody else.
You're kidding, right? They're playing a mediocre team -- who doesn't deserve to be still alive -- at home, in the snow. Grossman can have 3 INT and a fumble and Chicago would still win by 10.Anyway, I wanted to pick Philly, but the Sheppard injury and the short week is turning me against them. I don't see Baltimore or Chicago losing, so that leaves NE by default.
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Statorama
Footballguy
Big thanks to all you haters keeping the Saints number at -5
Edit to add: Brady and Coach Bells are 11-1 in the playoffs, and a lot of weird crap had to happen in that Denver game to give them that one loss. Patriots are the one team I wouldn't want to play this postseason.
Edit to add: Brady and Coach Bells are 11-1 in the playoffs, and a lot of weird crap had to happen in that Denver game to give them that one loss. Patriots are the one team I wouldn't want to play this postseason.
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Borat
Footballguy
Why are you convinced that people "hate" the Saints? Isn't it possible that they honestly believe the Saints have a better chance of losing than some of the other teams?
chris1969
Footballguy
I picked Philly over the Saints, but The Seahawks matchup really good against the Bears. Expect Grossman to be rushed like crazy this week and expect alot of short passes by the Seahawks and a lot of 4 and 5 receiver sets. If the Seahawks wanna win, they'll have to dink and dunk on the passing game to set up the run at try to suprise them with the deep pass.
Couch Potato
Footballguy
they didn't match up well in the blowout earlier this year. That isn't to say they can't win this game - anyone can beat anyone in this league in any given week, as is proven with upsets throughout the season.
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Statorama
Footballguy
Maybe I'm just too close to the subject matter. I think the general impression that the common sports fan has is that these are "the same old Saints". I've been a Saints fan for nearly 30 years, and I don't ever remember a Saints team being this focused or this professional. These are not the "same old Saints".I think the concensus that the Saints are the likeliest first round loser among home teams is a reflection of that misconception.Why are you convinced that people "hate" the Saints? Isn't it possible that they honestly believe the Saints have a better chance of losing than some of the other teams?
Borat
Footballguy
So how does all of that equate to "hating" the Saints?Maybe I'm just too close to the subject matter. I think the general impression that the common sports fan has is that these are "the same old Saints". I've been a Saints fan for nearly 30 years, and I don't ever remember a Saints team being this focused or this professional. These are not the "same old Saints".I think the concensus that the Saints are the likeliest first round loser among home teams is a reflection of that misconception.Why are you convinced that people "hate" the Saints? Isn't it possible that they honestly believe the Saints have a better chance of losing than some of the other teams?
Jack Burton
Footballguy
For me the obvious choice is New England. I know San Diego are a great team but I always see the Pats as a favorite around this time of year.
boubucarow
Footballguy
If he is playing like that, he will be pulled early. Obviously, an early pick will not force Lovie to take him out but if he looks like he has at his worst over the first few possesions, I don't think there will be any question that Lovie will bench him.However, Grossman has shown that he bounces back from bad performances. In addition, he feels like he let his team down against the Packers so I think everything points to him having a good game. Now, as for the NFC title game, who knows? As a Bears fan, I especially fear the Eagles and Jim Johnson's defense whether it is Grossman or Griese. I just don't think the Seahawks or Saints generate the kind of pressure that will rattle Grossman.
boubucarow
Footballguy
Seattle gave up 4.6 yards per carry on the season. In their last 4 games, they gave up 4.5, 5.2, 5.1, and 6.0 ypc respectively to Dallas, Tampa Bay, San Diego, and San Fransisco. And while the Bears only averaged 3.8 ypc on the season, they averaged 4.6 ypc during the last four games of the year (stl, tb, det, and gb allowed around 4.1 ypc combined this year) and two of those games were without John Tait.It would be very surprising if Seattle could stop the Bears from getting consistent yardage on the ground. The Seahawk defense just isn't that good and the Bears running game improved significantly over the course of the season.
Statorama
Footballguy
"Haters" is urban slang. People see the Saints rollin, and they be hate'n. That kind of thing. It's probably just a terminology issue between us. I forget that not everyone is from the streets, like I am. My apologies for not putting it in the proper venacular (edit: vernacular? sp).So how does all of that equate to "hating" the Saints?Maybe I'm just too close to the subject matter. I think the general impression that the common sports fan has is that these are "the same old Saints". I've been a Saints fan for nearly 30 years, and I don't ever remember a Saints team being this focused or this professional. These are not the "same old Saints".I think the concensus that the Saints are the likeliest first round loser among home teams is a reflection of that misconception.Why are you convinced that people "hate" the Saints? Isn't it possible that they honestly believe the Saints have a better chance of losing than some of the other teams?
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chris1969
Footballguy
I was actually talking about their pass rush. Statorama made it sound like he didn't think they could pressure Grossman.
Despyzer
Lousy Attention Whore
You should have seen how many waited until after week 17 to vote for the "Which is the Crappiest team in the NFL" poll that I started in week 4 with the week 4 records listed in the poll.
boubucarow
Footballguy
Both the Bears and Seahawks have rushed the QB effectively this year (about 2.5 sacks per game). However while the Bears have only given up 25 sacks on the year, the Seahawks have given up 49 sacks. Unless you have a schematic theme to back up your thoughts, there is no reason to think the Hawks will dominate the Bears OL in either the run or pass game. In fact, there is a much better reason to think the Bears will be the team to put consistent pressure on the QB and also that the Bears OL will be successful in both phases of the offense.
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purestrength
Footballguy
Well, you're 1 for 2 so far, clearly underestimating the Colts..500 would be a great average if you were a baseball batter.It is what it is said:
Statorama
Footballguy
I thought they did a great job today, especially Wistrom.
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