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Who's the 2016 NFL MVP right now? (2 Viewers)

That is not true.  Even a casual fan of baseball knows that wins are an irrelevant stat to use to judge how effective a pitcher is.
Yet people will use a pitchers wins all the time to say how good their season is.  It happens all the time and I think it's more a force of habit than anything else.  The majority of people still use wins as a meaningful stat and it's used as a stat in fantasy baseball.  This doesn't make it right but it's still going on.

 
Agreed, wins and losses has to be the weakest argument for a QBs greatness. 
To clarify, wins and losses do mean something, just not everything. It's no coincidence that over the long haul the best QBs' teams always win a lot of games (Brady, Peyton, Rodgers, etc.).  I just think the playoffs are such a small sample size that you have to look at how a QB performs and not just at Ws and Ls. People love to say, "Flacco has beaten Brady in NE twice in the playoffs," ignoring the fact that he was atrocious in the first win there. Same with Roethlisberger, whom many love to overrate because he has two Super Bowl wins, even though he was awful in the first and merely good in the second (he was mediocre in that one too before the final drive). 

 
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What possible influence does Brady have on QB sneak success? He's a mid-sized, slow, not very strong guy. He happens to have had a great offensive line for almost his whole career.
What possible difference does he have on QB sneak success? Yikes, with all due respect you have no idea what your talking about, but don't take my word for it. 

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/02/01/sports/football/a-tom-brady-sneak-is-the-patriots-unstoppable-play.html?_r=0

Feel free to lookup how many Pro Bowlers have played at guard and center for NE during Bradys career, afaik the number is 3 and only 1 of the 3 went to more than 1 PB (Mankins).

 
I agree for the most part but anarchy didn't really focus on intelligence or leadership,  he mentioned things that people who watch him play game in and game out see all the time. For instance Bradys success rate on 3rd/4th short rushing situations. Not a high profile stat, but a critical one if u want to keep the ball and move the chains. Point being, just because it isn't measured in the stat column doesn't mean its subjective or an intangible or unimportant.
Brady's success on QB sneaks does show up in some of his stats, including Expected Points Added and Total DYAR which I posted here. It also contributes to New England's offensive stats which I posted here.

 
To clarify, wins and losses do mean something, just not everything. It's no coincidence that over the long haul the best QBs' teams always win a lot of games (Brady, Peyton, Rodgers, etc.).  I just think the playoffs are such a small sample size that you have to look at how a QB performs and not just at Ws and Ls. People love to say, "Flacco has beaten Brady in NE twice in the playoffs," ignoring the fact that he was atrocious in the first win there. Same with Roethlisberger, whom many love to overrate because he has two Super Bowl wins, even though he was awful in the first and merely good in the second (he was mediocre in that one too before the final drive). 
FTR, in fairness to my comments on him I started by saying he is fantastic and noting blame for a loss could be right or wrong. Obviously if he plays well and still loses he shouldn't be blamed for it. Whether fair or not, should he lose most people aren't going to look back at the details of each playoff loss as much as they will look at the overall playoff w/l record; thats just the way it typically works. 

 
Brady's success on QB sneaks does show up in some of his stats, including Expected Points Added and Total DYAR which I posted here. It also contributes to New England's offensive stats which I posted here.
Brady is not a running qb and that is reflected in the links; I don't really see anything that reflects on the following. 

"Counting the postseason, Brady has run in those situations 115 times, according to play-by-play data from Pro Football Reference. He has gotten a first down or scored a touchdown on 105 of them, a success rate of 91.3 percent. Over one stretch, spanning more than seven years, he converted 60 of 61, including 37 straight."

I just think those are impressive numbers that many aren't aware of.

Not going to comment further on this in this mvp thread, as previously stated I thought Ryan would win and he did/will (congrats on a great season to him!) so it doesn't seem to make much sense to continue this here.

Shalom

 
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Hard to understate what Carr has meant to Oak.Without him they were shell of team they were during season. NE went 3-1 w/o Brady, using multiple QBs, lack of Gronk & no D stud like Mack. As great as Brady was it is hard to separate him from BB. Hell, BB got Cassel to win 11.

On that level, MVP must go to someone like Rodgers. GB lucky to be .500 w/o him.

 
Another thing that tilts in favor of Ryan is that heading into this season Green Bay had the easiest strength of schedule while Atlanta had the second hardest strength of schedule...as it played out Atlanta had the 7th hardest SOS while Green Bay came in at 20th (or 13th easiest).  Meanwhile New England had the 5th easiest schedule in retrospect while they came into the season with the 9th hardest SOS.  Based on SOS the nod goes to Ryan.

 
raidergil said:
Hard to understate what Carr has meant to Oak.Without him they were shell of team they were during season. NE went 3-1 w/o Brady, using multiple QBs, lack of Gronk & no D stud like Mack. As great as Brady was it is hard to separate him from BB. Hell, BB got Cassel to win 11.

On that level, MVP must go to someone like Rodgers. GB lucky to be .500 w/o him.
My vote would go to Ryan, but I think GB would be a 4 win team with Rodgers on the shelf.

 
Another thing that tilts in favor of Ryan is that heading into this season Green Bay had the easiest strength of schedule while Atlanta had the second hardest strength of schedule...as it played out Atlanta had the 7th hardest SOS while Green Bay came in at 20th (or 13th easiest).  Meanwhile New England had the 5th easiest schedule in retrospect while they came into the season with the 9th hardest SOS.  Based on SOS the nod goes to Ryan.
:goodposting:

Matt Ryan was named AP 1st Team All Pro.  I wonder how many QBs not AP 1st team All Pro named MVP?

 
Another thing that tilts in favor of Ryan is that heading into this season Green Bay had the easiest strength of schedule while Atlanta had the second hardest strength of schedule...as it played out Atlanta had the 7th hardest SOS while Green Bay came in at 20th (or 13th easiest).  Meanwhile New England had the 5th easiest schedule in retrospect while they came into the season with the 9th hardest SOS.  Based on SOS the nod goes to Ryan.
That's something that needs to be considered. It's easy to beat up on the Jets and BUF 4 times a year. Then you add in the Rams and SF and CLE. Jesus, 6 of Brady's opponents were the worst of the worst. They lost to BUF when it was their hack 3rd stringer at QB.

Ryan got about 4 or 5 hack teams to beat up on.

 
My vote would go to Ryan, but I think GB would be a 4 win team with Rodgers on the shelf.
Very good post.  Matt Ryan could be gone on the Falcons and they would still be a very good team.k

I'd say Rodgers is going to get the MVP.

 
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Can't help but think if Le'Veon Bell played 16 games that he would win. He is key to Steelers success. Opens pass game to free Antonio Brown since lacking legit #2 receiver to pull coverage.  Keeps defense off field with more ball control. After 4 game skid that gave on average 10 more touches per game from 16 to 26!   

If he has another big game tomorrow vs.Dolphins, then he deserves consideration. 

In the 13 games he played, he averaged most yards from scrimmage in history for one season.

Recognize the man.

 
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That's something that needs to be considered. It's easy to beat up on the Jets and BUF 4 times a year. Then you add in the Rams and SF and CLE. Jesus, 6 of Brady's opponents were the worst of the worst. They lost to BUF when it was their hack 3rd stringer at QB.

Ryan got about 4 or 5 hack teams to beat up on.
Well no, its not actually easy to beat up on the Jets and Buf every year at least as far as passing def. Both those teams have often been pretty good defending the pass over recent memory. This myth that their division is perennially weak defensively (more so than other divs) for bradys career is imho just that, a myth.

FTR, Brady faced 5 top 10 defenses in 12 games this year while Ryan played 4, Ryan also had the luxury of playing the worst 4 pass defs in the league a whopping 5 times. Taking it a little further the worst pass def Brady faced was cle (12th worst), Ryan played 8 games against lower ranked pass defs.

https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/opponent-passing-yards-per-game?date=2017-01-07

Again, I believe ryan is the mvp, just disagree w the pov that brady had it so easy while ryan had it so hard.

 
Can't help but think if Le'Veon Bell played 16 games that he would win. He is key to Steelers success. Opens pass game to free Antonio Brown since lacking legit #2 receiver to pull coverage.  Keeps defense off field with more ball control. After 4 game skid that gave on average 10 more touches per game from 16 to 26!   

If he has another big game tomorrow vs.Dolphins, then he deserves consideration. 

In the 13 games he played, he averaged most yards from scrimmage in history for one season.

Recognize the man.
playoffs don't matter. voting is done already. while I agree if he played 1y games he'd have a much better case, what Brady and Ryan have done this year statistically, and Rodgers single handedly getting gb to the playoffs, it'd be hard to crack the top even with 4 more games

 
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Well no, its not actually easy to beat up on the Jets and Buf every year at least as far as passing def. Both those teams have often been pretty good defending the pass over recent memory. This myth that their division is perennially weak defensively (more so than other divs) for bradys career is imho just that, a myth.

FTR, Brady faced 5 top 10 defenses in 12 games this year while Ryan played 4, Ryan also had the luxury of playing the worst 4 pass defs in the league a whopping 5 times. Taking it a little further the worst pass def Brady faced was cle (12th worst), Ryan played 8 games against lower ranked pass defs.

https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/opponent-passing-yards-per-game?date=2017-01-07

Again, I believe ryan is the mvp, just disagree w the pov that brady had it so easy while ryan had it so hard.




 




 
Ryan had the toughest schedule in terms of opponent defensive rankings based on DVOA. The same 50 voters for the All-Pro team vote for the MVP and they voted 1st team for Matt Ryan by a large margin over Brady. In Vegas, Ryan is the heavy MVP favorite for voting (1 to 3, you need to bet $300 to win $100). Second place is Rodgers at 7 to 2 (You bet $100 to win $350). It appears Ryan will win it.

 
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I think it's pretty clear the actual vote will come down to Brady and Ryan. However, watching the Raiders fall from a potential 1 seed to 200 yards of offense against the Texans puts a pretty big exclamation point on Carr's relative value to his team. 

 
Ryan had the toughest schedule in terms of opponent defensive rankings based on DVOA. The same 50 voters for the All-Pro team vote for the MVP and they voted 1st team for Matt Ryan by a large margin over Brady. In Vegas, Ryan is the heavy MVP favorite for voting (1 to 3, you need to bet $300 to win $100). Second place is Rodgers at 7 to 2 (You bet $100 to win $350). It appears Ryan will win it.
I think we can both be right, the statistics I referenced were based on the pass defs he faced and my reply was in response to some who were implying ryan had it so much harder than brady (he didn't).

I don't understand the need to bring up the all pro voting and mvp odds re ryan when i have said again and again I think he win it (has won it) and he earned it.

I thought it would be ryan with brady and rodgers a close 2nd/3rd.

 
I think it's pretty clear the actual vote will come down to Brady and Ryan. However, watching the Raiders fall from a potential 1 seed to 200 yards of offense against the Texans puts a pretty big exclamation point on Carr's relative value to his team. 
I agree, but right or wrong the mvp award is usually given to the guy with the best stats on the winning-est teams and often not necessarily the most important player to his team. Unfortunately any chance Carr had went out the window (just like their chances in the playoffs) when he hurt his finger and leg.

 
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I agree, but right or wrong the mvp award is usually given to the guy with the best stats on the winning-est teams and often not necessarily the most important player to his team. Unfortunately any chance Carr had went out the window (just like their chances in the playoffs) when he hurt his finger and leg.
I'm not saying that Carr should be in the running but I'm honestly having a hard time understanding why his injury (and him missing one game) has any relevance on the voting when Brady missed 4 games earlier in the year and is considered in the running.  Brady is ahead of Carr because of stats.  The injury to Carr should have no impact on the voting.

 
Not sure if these have been posted but a betting site just saw has these odds:

Ryan 1 to 4

Rogers 9 to 2

Brady 5 to 1

Noone else even close.  I'm a little surprised Ryan's such an overwhelming favorite.

 
Not sure if these have been posted but a betting site just saw has these odds:

Ryan 1 to 4

Rogers 9 to 2

Brady 5 to 1

Noone else even close.  I'm a little surprised Ryan's such an overwhelming favorite.
My guess is the odds changed drastically after the All-Pro teams were announced. 

 
I'm not saying that Carr should be in the running but I'm honestly having a hard time understanding why his injury (and him missing one game) has any relevance on the voting when Brady missed 4 games earlier in the year and is considered in the running.  Brady is ahead of Carr because of stats.  The injury to Carr should have no impact on the voting.
Maybe I wasn't being clear enuf, all I meant was injuries prevented Carr from padding stats at the end of the season and that put him at a disadvantage vs Ryan, Brady n Rodgers. With such a close race finishing strong was a requirement and unlike the others Carr never even had the chance.

 
Maybe I wasn't being clear enuf, all I meant was injuries prevented Carr from padding stats at the end of the season and that put him at a disadvantage vs Ryan, Brady n Rodgers. With such a close race finishing strong was a requirement and unlike the others Carr never even had the chance.
Gotcha.  That makes sense.

 
Rodgers is better than Ryan, yep.

Ryan is still the MVP this year. 
He will probably win it but he is not more valuable than Rodger is to his team. So yes he will probably win it but he shouldn't. The level at which Rodgers is playing right now is has rarely if ever been seen.

 
Should be Dak. Guy wasn't expected to play as a rookie. Gets thrown in to the mix and leads the team to home field advantage throughout the playoffs. Should be Dak. 

 
Should be Dak. Guy wasn't expected to play as a rookie. Gets thrown in to the mix and leads the team to home field advantage throughout the playoffs. Should be Dak. 
MVP = offensive player of the year from the best team. Zeke would probably be that from Dallas. 

 
MVP = offensive player of the year from the best team. Zeke would probably be that from Dallas. 
Fine, give it to him. To argue in the case of Rodgers or Ryan is foolish, imo. I'd say Dak hands down though. Don't care that he's a rookie either. Could be his only season. Dak it is. 

 
You could read the thread or I could summarize here. Ryan is going to win. 

Based on record: 

First team to look at is NE, Brady is their only option. Some voters will hold his suspension against him, so he won't win. 

Next choice is Dallas. Zeke and Dak somewhat weaken the case of the other. Prescott didn't have huge numbers, two other RB had similar seasons as Elliott, and the real MVP for Dallas is the OL. 

The Chiefs had the next best record and a bye. Hill is their best option, but he's not really an MVP candidate ( based on the history of the voting).

Next up would be the Falcons as a bye team. Ryan put up big numbers, was efficient and consistent. He's going to win. 

The only other team that had a shot was OAK based on their record. Not sure why Carr fell off the map once he got hurt. But his lackluster performance on national tv against KC likey did him in. 

As for Rodgers, QBs from 10-6 teams don't get many votes and never have won. He will get some votes, but I doubt this is the year that he changes the voting pattern. There are plenty of other candidates. Maybe if there were no other people having big seasons or not many teams with great records. 

 
You could read the thread or I could summarize here. Ryan is going to win. 

Based on record: 

First team to look at is NE, Brady is their only option. Some voters will hold his suspension against him, so he won't win. 

Next choice is Dallas. Zeke and Dak somewhat weaken the case of the other. Prescott didn't have huge numbers, two other RB had similar seasons as Elliott, and the real MVP for Dallas is the OL. 

The Chiefs had the next best record and a bye. Hill is their best option, but he's not really an MVP candidate ( based on the history of the voting).

Next up would be the Falcons as a bye team. Ryan put up big numbers, was efficient and consistent. He's going to win. 

The only other team that had a shot was OAK based on their record. Not sure why Carr fell off the map once he got hurt. But his lackluster performance on national tv against KC likey did him in. 

As for Rodgers, QBs from 10-6 teams don't get many votes and never have won. He will get some votes, but I doubt this is the year that he changes the voting pattern. There are plenty of other candidates. Maybe if there were no other people having big seasons or not many teams with great records. 
Yeah I understand but putting aside what normally happens and who you think is going to win. Just thought I'd see if you actually think Matt Ryan is better than Rodgers or if he's been asked to do more with less than Rodgers has been.

On a side note Rodgers just dismantled maybe the best defense in the league without his #1 WR.

 

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