Why Betting on a Packer Scoring (other than ARod) is a fools game (1 Viewer)

[smackdaddies]

Today's Milw. Journal

FF owners are always trying to get on the Packer scoring wagon. Will Starks be the man? Which WR is going to step up now that Jennings is out? Does Seine hold any value?

I have always contended that ARod is the only sure thing (and yes, Jordy is having a fine year - but will he next or will he come back to the past three years and be the same as Driver/Jones (and soon to be Cobb?). And Jennings and JFin should have good scoring. But they never seem to score as much as they could, considering how high scoring the Packers offense is.

Great article today which lays out the facts....



There are the numbers that tell the tale of the Green Bay Packers' 2011 season:



35.8 points per game.



13-0.



And 19.



As in, 19 Packers who have scored a touchdown this season - Randall Cobb, Tom Crabtree, Donald Driver, Jermichael Finley, Matt Flynn, Ryan Grant, Greg Jennings, James Jones, John Kuhn, Clay Matthews, Jordy Nelson, Charlie Peprah, B.J. Raji, Aaron Rodgers, James Starks, Ryan Taylor, Erik Walden, Tramon Williams and Charles Woodson.

Takeaway from all of this?

So long as ARod is the QB, expect to be disappointed with drafting another skill position. While this year Jordy has done exceptionally well, I think he is not likely to obtain the same highs next year and as a result will be drafted too high, on average. And why picking any Gbay RB high outside of some rare circumstances is a fools game also.

 

[joffer]

don't bump Finley?

 

[sho nuff]

Jennings was what...WR#5-7 in most leagues scoring (non-ppr)?

Jordy is now WR #6 in scoring in my league. (the obvious with him is play him at home...he has scored in every home game this year)

Finley is TE #7 (though, its based mostly on the one really big game).

Crosby is K #3

Rodgers is obviously the most consistent and they have no real running game or consistent running performer.

But I think people are expecting points out of 3-4 WRs and that is not realistic.

 

[smackdaddies]

don't bump Finley?

any one game a packer wr will hit big - however predicting it is a fools game. With Jennings out, expect passes just to be spread out. One receiver may have one big game - but next week it will be some one else

 

[boom king]

AROD plays baseball, chirf.

 

[Bad_Mo]

A fools game is not playing Nelson in this offense where Rodgers is putting together a great year passing. Sure, Nelson isn't going to blow up each week but not many players do so week after week.

 

[Sabertooth]

AROD plays baseball, chirf.

They still have baseball?? Hmm. Who knew? Which team does he play for?

 

[todisco1]

don't bump Finley?

any one game a packer wr will hit big - however predicting it is a fools game. With Jennings out, expect passes just to be spread out. One receiver may have one big game - but next week it will be some one else

Jordy Nelson has 9 double digit weeks out of 13 so far in ppr leagues. You don't think that's consistent?