Travieso
Footballguy
First - FBG/Dodds do a GREAT/Thorough job of projections; I couldn't comprehend doing this for every game/player.
The purpose of this thread is to share information/insight on why you might disagree with the rankings/projections...
We all follow certain players/teams; Many of us have an idea of rankings before we look.
There are times where I look and say player a should be higher or player b should be lower (plenty of times I change players TO these rankings)
Again, no disrespect intended - to post, you must come up with reasons you think the player will under/over perform FBG projections (similiar to the thread discussing Bloom's ranking of CJ this week).
Maybe we can learn/help each other (or never do this again).
I arbitrarily (sp) set 25% as the difference - we can discuss raising it if this thread lasts til next week (Ideally your belief is based on carries, receptions, yards per rec/carry and NOT touchdowns as that is a littler harder to predict)
OVER Perform projections by 25% (My scoring is 1 pt per 10 yards and ppr (.5 for rb):
Chris Johnson (13.7)
Cincy gave up long runs to a wr and qb last week; I just see him breaking of 2+ long runs that will exceed yardage projections
CPortis (9.8)
NO = bad def and they are missing 3
CP may not be the best, but no one runs harder; his ypc will be higher than projections and at some point they throw more to him
Those are my strongest, others:
Sammy (9.8)
I THINK NE will run more this week; game should be close and he gets 50% of carries + goal line
MJD (11.5)
If Fred is king of running up the middle and Jax has no OL middle - I think MJD gets a few more carries and some extra receptions
EarnestG (15.0)
TB should control/lead game throughout; I would think they would rely on EG vs. new starting quarterback. I think Gruden makes
up for not giving him more carries last week. 1+ td's
Marvin H (13.9)
Nit picking here. If you can't run on Minny, you throw it. Marvin should get more catches than projected and his ypc will be higher than last week.
What are you insights??
The purpose of this thread is to share information/insight on why you might disagree with the rankings/projections...
We all follow certain players/teams; Many of us have an idea of rankings before we look.
There are times where I look and say player a should be higher or player b should be lower (plenty of times I change players TO these rankings)
Again, no disrespect intended - to post, you must come up with reasons you think the player will under/over perform FBG projections (similiar to the thread discussing Bloom's ranking of CJ this week).
Maybe we can learn/help each other (or never do this again).
I arbitrarily (sp) set 25% as the difference - we can discuss raising it if this thread lasts til next week (Ideally your belief is based on carries, receptions, yards per rec/carry and NOT touchdowns as that is a littler harder to predict)
OVER Perform projections by 25% (My scoring is 1 pt per 10 yards and ppr (.5 for rb):
Chris Johnson (13.7)
Cincy gave up long runs to a wr and qb last week; I just see him breaking of 2+ long runs that will exceed yardage projections
CPortis (9.8)
NO = bad def and they are missing 3
CP may not be the best, but no one runs harder; his ypc will be higher than projections and at some point they throw more to him
Those are my strongest, others:
Sammy (9.8)
I THINK NE will run more this week; game should be close and he gets 50% of carries + goal line
MJD (11.5)
If Fred is king of running up the middle and Jax has no OL middle - I think MJD gets a few more carries and some extra receptions
EarnestG (15.0)
TB should control/lead game throughout; I would think they would rely on EG vs. new starting quarterback. I think Gruden makes
up for not giving him more carries last week. 1+ td's
Marvin H (13.9)
Nit picking here. If you can't run on Minny, you throw it. Marvin should get more catches than projected and his ypc will be higher than last week.
What are you insights??
