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Will Belichick win AP Coach Of The Year? (1 Viewer)

Lord Lucan

Footballguy
So are the gentlemen of the AP going to vote for Belichick, or McCarthy (or maybe Phillips, but I doubt it)?

Whether Belichick should be COTY or not has been done to death on here - just want to know if people think he will now they've got the 16-0? Pure self-interest on my part as I have a 50-1 voucher on Belichick (placed just after Spygate).

I know we'll know tomorrow, but I read the piece below and wasn't sure which way the wind might blow.

Again, I'm looking for insights on how the AP guys might vote, not how they should vote. Please don't turn this into another haters/lovers thread.

McCarthy earns strong consideration for coach of the year

By Rob Demovsky

rdemovsk@greenbaypressgazette.com

In less than two years, Mike McCarthy has gone from obscure to renowned.

Panned by some as a questionable hire when the Green Bay Packers made him their head coach on Jan. 12, 2006, McCarthy had just completed his only season as offensive coordinator for the San Francisco 49ers, who ranked last in the NFL in total offense under his watch. In five previous seasons, McCarthy had only moderate success as offense coordinator of the New Orleans Saints.

Thirty-one games into his head-coaching career, McCarthy sports a 20-11 record, including 12-3 this season heading into Sunday’s regular-season finale against the Detroit Lions at Lambeau Field. Since starting 4-8 last season, the Packers have gone 16-3 under McCarthy’s watch. Regardless of what happens Sunday, the Packers will be the No. 2 seed in the NFC playoffs and have a first-round bye for the first time since the 1997 season.

The remarkable turnaround has not been lost on longtime observers of the NFL. Late Sunday night or early Monday, 50 veteran NFL writers will cast their ballots for Associated Press NFL coach of the year, and indications are McCarthy has a legitimate shot at the honor, which hasn’t been won by a Packers coach since Lindy Infante in 1989.

In a sampling of nine voters earlier this week, three said they planned to vote for McCarthy regardless of what happens during the final weekend of the regular season. One said he would vote for New England coach Bill Belichick and two others said they planned to vote for Belichick if the Patriots won their finale today against the New York Giants to finish the regular season with a 16-0 record. Two voters said they were trying to decide between Belichick and McCarthy and one other said he was considering Belichick, McCarthy and Dallas Cowboys coach Wade Phillips.

Voting must be completed by Monday. Voters are instructed to make just one choice, although the AP said voters have split their choice in previous years. The winner will be announced on Jan. 12.

Perhaps no candidate will be more scrutinized than Belichick, given the Patriots were caught using video cameras to record an opponent’s defensive coaching signals, which is against league rules. The NFL fined Belichick $500,000 and the Patriots another $250,000 and took away their first-round draft pick in 2008.

“I would not vote for Belichick because of Spygate,” said CBS Sportsline.com’s Clark Judge, one of the voters who planned to pick McCarthy. “The NFL already weighed in with its thoughts on the subject, which was a stiff fine and severe penalty. Obviously, they thought the Patriots were cheating. I don’t believe we should hold Belichick to a lesser standard. Therefore, he was never considered.”

One voter, John Clayton of ESPN, said he is considering Belichick in spite of the spying issue, which was uncovered during their Week 1 game against the New York Jets.

“He was caught before he could use anything for any game in the 2007 season,” said Clayton, who said he was deciding between Belichick, McCarthy and Phillips. “They nabbed his cameraman before the half of the first game. From that standpoint, he was clean of having use of the info for 16 games this season.”

Larry Weisman of USA Today said the spying scandal would not be a deciding factor for him.

“Spygate bothers me a little,” Weisman said. “But I think there is an awful lot of sneakiness in the NFL, and it is surprising to me that someone as smart as Belichick would get nabbed doing something like this.”

Peter King of Sports Illustrated said factoring in the spying issue was “a very tough call for me.”

“I think, in the end, I believe Belichick should be marked down for Spygate but not eliminated from contention because I don’t think what he did tilted the field in any season, and certainly not this one, so much to make much of a difference in who won and lost games,” said King, who said he will decide between Belichick and McCarthy. “That’s just my opinion, and I realize evidence in the future could make me wrong.”

Adam Teicher of the Kansas City Star said he was leaning toward Belichick with McCarthy a close second and didn’t believe the spying mattered.

“In any other year, McCarthy would have been my gut, but New England is so far ahead of the rest of the league that I feel Belichick is the only real option here,” Teicher said. “Whether they beat the Giants or lose, that won’t change my pick.”

Pete Prisco of CBS Sportsline.com, one of the three who had decided to vote for McCarthy, said he didn’t downgrade Belichick for the violation but passed him over because “people expected him to win.” Ed Bouchette of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette also picked McCarthy because he “has done more with less than anyone else.”

Oftentimes, that’s the deciding factor in the award. Last year, New Orleans Saints coach Sean Payton was the winner after going 10-6 as a rookie coach with a team that went 3-13 the previous season. In 2005, Lovie Smith was the winner after going from 5-11 to 11-5.

“(McCarthy) took the youngest team in the league and has it in the No. 2 seed in the NFC,” said Prisco, who considered Belichick, Jacksonville’s Jack Del Rio and Tampa Bay’s Jon Gruden. “Nobody thought he could do that.”

In addition to the two voters — Rick Gosselin of the Dallas Morning News and John McClain of the Houston Chronicle — who said they would pick Belichick if the Patriots went 16-0, Weisman said a perfect record could entice him to vote for Belichick over McCarthy.

“My head is telling me to vote for Belichick; my heart is telling me to vote for McCarthy,” said Weisman, who also considered Gruden. “I think Bill does an amazing job getting and keeping his team’s attention on the immediate task. But I am still very much swayed by Mike’s work, with the faith in the system and discipline Brett Favre has shown and the way the Packers labored at creating a ground game from nothing.”

 
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Maybe if it was called the "Blockbuster Video" Coach of the Year Award.

The Pats were favored to win every game this year just based upon the talent gap between them and the rest of the league. He basically did his job. That typically does not win you coach of the year honors.

 
Maybe if it was called the "Blockbuster Video" Coach of the Year Award.The Pats were favored to win every game this year just based upon the talent gap between them and the rest of the league. He basically did his job. That typically does not win you coach of the year honors.
LOL. So the fact that he helped assemble and coach that talent doesn't give him a legitimate shot? He didn't gameplan for each of those 16 victories? They didn't come from behind with his play calls in a few games late in the season when every team was giving it their all? Puuuulease!
 
It is a no-brainer that he wins it. McCarthy has done a nice job, but has 2 more losses and plays in a weaker conference.

 
I think Belichick all but locked up the award last night in NY in front of a national audience. Having a great team expected to win every week is one thing. There are other teams in the league that are favored to win almost every week. None of those other teams are still unbeaten. But to be trailing by 12 in the 2nd half of that game last night on the road vs the league leaders in sacks, and then answer with 22 straight to cap an undefeated season? Are you kidding me? How can writers possibly give it to another coach? How many other 16-0 teams have any of us seen? MM has done a tremendous job in Green Bay this year. And Id expect he'll have more great seasons there. But this year, the award will go to Belichick. Not a doubt in my mind.

 
There's no Earthly reason why he shouldn't win it. If he doesn't, it basically neuters the integrity of the voters.

My $0.02

 
I do not think he will recieve the award. Getting caught cheating is getting caught cheating. No if ands and buts.

Congrats on his perfect regular season; and making the New England Pats look like the Indy Colts. Funny, how they are a cold weather city, ask Indy how playing in the cold and in bad weather has worked out for them the past three years.

If he recieves coach of the year, and loses in the playoffs, would you then consider this the biggest choke in NFL history?

 
Maybe if it was called the "Blockbuster Video" Coach of the Year Award.The Pats were favored to win every game this year just based upon the talent gap between them and the rest of the league. He basically did his job. That typically does not win you coach of the year honors.
LOL. So the fact that he helped assemble and coach that talent doesn't give him a legitimate shot? He didn't gameplan for each of those 16 victories? They didn't come from behind with his play calls in a few games late in the season when every team was giving it their all? Puuuulease!
How many times in ALL sports do sportswriters give the coach with the best talent "coach of the year." They almost always go with the guy that took a team from out of nowhere. Throw in the fact that most writers detest BB, the answer is no he will not be Coach of the Year.
 
Maybe if it was called the "Blockbuster Video" Coach of the Year Award.The Pats were favored to win every game this year just based upon the talent gap between them and the rest of the league. He basically did his job. That typically does not win you coach of the year honors.
Yep, because if you're favored to win in the NFL you always do? I think your logic is a bit flawed. He coached a team to 16-0. Lot's of teams have been favored in every game, and not got it done. He did. If it weren't for BB, it would be a virtual dead heat between the Baby Bum in Dallas and McCarthy. Who has done the better job? I think bringing in a new OC and HC and getting the #1 seed is more impressive. But, in the end, I do believe BB wins Coach of the Year, and Pioli gets Exec of the year again. Without the Welker and Moss signings this team likely doesn't get to 16-0.
 
Had a good look at this at the beginning of the season, having gone through last 10 years of this award - these were the dominant trends

1. The winning coach's team is likely to have had a losing record the previous season ( 8 times out of 10 ).

2. The winning coach's team is likely to have come last in their division the previous season ( 7 times out of 10 )

3. The winning coach's team will win their division ( 10 times out of 10 )

4. The winning coach's team is likely to come from the NFC ( 8 times out of 10 ).

5. The winning coach will be in the first 4 years of his tenure with his team ( 10 times out of 10 ).

Gruden the most likely candidate out of them although he is in his 5th year at Tampa and McCarthy also ticks most of the boxes - although he's taking an 8-8 team which was 2nd to be division winners.

Seems like everyone is taking about Belichick and McCarthy though.

 
He should win it, but I would be surprised if he does. It will be hard for voters to look past the videotaping earlier this year. He will have no one to blame but himself.

 
Reminds me of the year Gladiator won Best Picture and Best Actor (both atrocities, but I'm jaded from working in the business) and Ridley Scott was given the finger and lost Best Director. It seemed like Hollywood wanted to give him the finger so much they gave awards all around him but snubbed him on purpose. Belichick is the football version of Ridley Scott, who has waged war against actors and crews his whole career (read "Future Noir" for a great account of the horror of making Blade Runner). Working for him is a lot like having your hand in a garbage disposal, without the upside. I can easily see Brady get MVP, Moss get Comeback (though I don't think he deserves it since he created his hardships) and BB get snubbed for CoY. I am firmly in the camp of cheating=no award at the end of the season. Just like Taylor's points last year about PEDs and the Pro Bowl, the same standard should apply. So no, I don't think he'll get it. But he does have the perfect record, the big player award guys on his team and NO asterisk on this season's wins. As much as I'm against him getting CoY, to be fair the cheating didn't affect any of his wins this year (although I'm of the opinion they helped in the past more than most care to envision but don't want to start that up again).

So I not only think he shouldn't, I think he won't. Especially considering, as pointed out above, the award usually goes to a team that does more with less. The Pats are supremely talented this season and obviously he deserves some consideration. But I think the job others have done is more impressive.

 
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So I not only think he shouldn't, I think he won't. Especially considering, as pointed out above, the award usually goes to a team that does more with less. The Pats are supremely talented this season and obviously he deserves some consideration. But I think the job others have done is more impressive.
I agree that he will not win and probably shouldn't because of the taping, but I disagree with the last point. How can anything be more impressive than coaching a team that went 16-0 during the regular season? It is hard for me to imagine anything harder for a coach than keeping a team focused through weeks of undefeated talk, winning on the road against the SB champions and a SB favorite from the NFC, and then actually finishing undefeated.
 
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I don't know how you can vote in a coach who caused his team to be fined a 1st round draft pick by cheating. If that mar wasn't there it would be a slam dunk.

 
There's no Earthly reason why he shouldn't win it. If he doesn't, it basically neuters the integrity of the voters.My $0.02
My feeling is you "can't" use integrity in a sentence about BB and use it against someone else. Know what I mean? It's the voters feelings of Bill's integrity after being caught cheating that could harm his ability to get votes.
 
Why not Jack Del Rio? I noticed the OP didn't say anything about him. How does he not even get mention? Its another case of the Big Names and the Big Media brainwashing people into forgetting about the working class guy!

I WILL NEVER SURRENDER TO THEM! I WILL NOT BE BRAINWASHED!

 
So I not only think he shouldn't, I think he won't. Especially considering, as pointed out above, the award usually goes to a team that does more with less. The Pats are supremely talented this season and obviously he deserves some consideration. But I think the job others have done is more impressive.
I agree that he will not win and probably shouldn't because of the taping, but I disagree with the last point. How can anything be more impressive than coaching a team that went 16-0 during the regular season? It is hard for me to imagine anything harder for a coach than keeping a team focused through weeks of undefeated talk, winning on the road against the SB champions and a SB favorite from the NFC, and then actually finishing undefeated.
Because he's got so many veterans and on field coaches to help him out. Harrison, Seau, Bruschi, Vrabel, Brady, his OL, Faulk, and a host of others who have been in and won superbowls, who have 10+ years experience etc.... Again, I'm not arguing that his coaching job isn't top notch or deserving (turning Moss into not only a TD machine again but retooling Moss' entire attitude is a feat in itself), but McCarthy has done extremely well with a whole host of guys who've never even been in the playoffs, much less gone all the way. Obvioulsy Favre is an on-field coach as are Harris and Woodson very experienced, but on the whole the Packers are nowhere near the Patriots in experience.
 
IMO, it should be a 2 way race between Belichick and Romeo. And if they gave an award for 2nd half of the season only, Gibbs.

 
Had a good look at this at the beginning of the season, having gone through last 10 years of this award - these were the dominant trends1. The winning coach's team is likely to have had a losing record the previous season ( 8 times out of 10 ).2. The winning coach's team is likely to have come last in their division the previous season ( 7 times out of 10 )3. The winning coach's team will win their division ( 10 times out of 10 )4. The winning coach's team is likely to come from the NFC ( 8 times out of 10 ).5. The winning coach will be in the first 4 years of his tenure with his team ( 10 times out of 10 ).Gruden the most likely candidate out of them although he is in his 5th year at Tampa and McCarthy also ticks most of the boxes - although he's taking an 8-8 team which was 2nd to be division winners.Seems like everyone is taking about Belichick and McCarthy though.
Good research there..... :thumbup:
 
So I not only think he shouldn't, I think he won't. Especially considering, as pointed out above, the award usually goes to a team that does more with less. The Pats are supremely talented this season and obviously he deserves some consideration. But I think the job others have done is more impressive.
I agree that he will not win and probably shouldn't because of the taping, but I disagree with the last point. How can anything be more impressive than coaching a team that went 16-0 during the regular season? It is hard for me to imagine anything harder for a coach than keeping a team focused through weeks of undefeated talk, winning on the road against the SB champions and a SB favorite from the NFC, and then actually finishing undefeated.
Because he's got so many veterans and on field coaches to help him out. Harrison, Seau, Bruschi, Vrabel, Brady, his OL, Faulk, and a host of others who have been in and won superbowls, who have 10+ years experience etc.... Again, I'm not arguing that his coaching job isn't top notch or deserving (turning Moss into not only a TD machine again but retooling Moss' entire attitude is a feat in itself), but McCarthy has done extremely well with a whole host of guys who've never even been in the playoffs, much less gone all the way. Obvioulsy Favre is an on-field coach as are Harris and Woodson very experienced, but on the whole the Packers are nowhere near the Patriots in experience.
Well, those are fair points but I still think he should and would win it if not for Spygate. I don't care how many veterans you have; coaching any team to 16-0 is worthy of the award.
 
Everyone forgets that this one is voted on by writers. Even the NE writers don't like Belichick. Look elsewhere.

 
Everyone forgets that this one is voted on by writers. Even the NE writers don't like Belichick. Look elsewhere.
And with that in mind, I think it would serve the writers well to consider how foolish they'll look NOT voting for a coach who led his team to an NFL first 16-0 undefeated season and an NFL record 19 straight regular season wins. Many of these are probably the same writers who voted for Tim Tebow as the first sophomore winner of the Heisman trophy. Despite his class and the fact that it would have been unprecedented, they did the right thing there, too. Sometimes the answers are simply too obvious to ignore.
 
It is hard to argue against a perfect season. I think he will win it.

Everyone forgets that this one is voted on by writers. Even the NE writers don't like Belichick.
Yeah, but even some of the Boston writers I have seen on television over the past few months have that snobby arrogance about them, similar to some of their fans here, so I'd bet that they would vote for Belichick just so another Boston area sports persona wins another award or title.
 
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It is hard to argue against a perfect season. I think he will win it.

Everyone forgets that this one is voted on by writers. Even the NE writers don't like Belichick.
Yeah, but even some of the Boston writers I have seen on television over the past few months have that snobby arrogance about them, similar to some of their fans here, so I'd bet that they would vote for Belichick just so another Boston area sports persona wins another award or title.
I don't think it is that cut and dry. There is a pretty strong contingent of Boston writers that cannot stand him.
 
There's no Earthly reason why he shouldn't win it. If he doesn't, it basically neuters the integrity of the voters.My $0.02
Integrity of the voters? What about the integrity of the coach?
:shock: And that's why he won't win it. With some of these people, BB's integrity isn't a factor, but with the writers it will be. They have already written their "Why I didn't vote for BB." articles for the local fish-wrap.
 
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