WR Adonai Mitchell, IND (1 Viewer)

[rockaction]

Downs 7 full games with AR: 41 targets, 23 receptions, 328 yards, 3 TD's. 10.54 PPR a game. 42.8% of his production came on 3 plays, almost 20% on one long play which was a busted coverage. He turned Downs from a consistent PPR cheat code type to a TD/big play dependent sort. In short with AR down I considered Downs a must start, with AR in the lineup I was trying hard to not use Downs and if I did mainly praying for a TD.

He had 6 full games without AR and one game where AR played 13 snaps, got injured late in their second drive and before he left AR had targeted and completed one pass of 11 yards to Downs. I'll remove that target catch and say this is Downs in 7 almost full games without AR(even though he's losing almost two full drives so I'm lowballing him a little)

64 targets, 49 receptions, 457 yards, 2 TD's. 15.24 fantasy points a game and doing it in a way you prefer to see which is consistently with only one those games being a sub 12 PPR fantasy game and not needing a TD or big play to reach those numbers.

That is significant. Thanks for the stats.

By the time rookie drafts roll around I wouldn't be surprised if people are selling him for a 3rd round pick and take their loss.

Interesting. I'd certainly be interested in acquiring him for that.

 

[wgoldsph]

This guy is going to be good. He's a hold. I didn't watch enough, but drops are bound to happen and aren't sticky year in and year out, although I get why people think they are sticky. And that might not be the case any longer given the landscape of college football, unions, and how much these guys can practice. Used to be they got coached out of bad technique. Now, I'm not so sure.

But he gets open when they let him run routes. That's for certain. I'm almost thinking I'd like to acquire him on the cheap, but I don't think he's available in the particular league I'd want him for.

By the time rookie drafts roll around I wouldn't be surprised if people are selling him for a 3rd round pick and take their loss.

I got him as a throw in. Small rosters in that league though, so he might end up getting dropped before the season.

 

[Faust]

James Boyd
#Colts WR AD Mitchell has had a rough camp so far. Two more drops today on back-to-back plays in 11-on-11. By my count, he has four drops in 11-on-11 through four camp practices

https://x.com/romeovillekid/status/1949244754413109568?s=61

#Colts HC Shane Steichen on WR AD Mitchell’s struggles:

“Guys are going to have good plays. Some guys are going to have bad plays at times. And we got a lot of confidence in him. He's a hell of a route runner. Everyone's development is different and so we’re working ...”

https://x.com/romeovillekid/status/1949255232472461653?s=61

 

[Ministry of Pain]

Has a lot of talent, might need to land on a different team than the Colts to showcase all of it

 

[DonFue]

The Texas Longhorns have a long history of slow-to-no-developing offensive skill position players.

I don't think there is much discipline in that program systemically.

 

[Faust]

Colts WR Adonai Mitchell feeling comfortable in Year 2: 'I knew it would eventually come together'

 

[Faust]

@SleeperNFL
Here’s the video of Adonai Mitchell just absolutely obliterating the Ravens defense during their joint practice

https://x.com/sleepernfl/status/1953139766922494385?s=61

 

[Faust]

Colts WR Adonai Mitchell ready to capitalize on strong camp

 

[menobrown]

Even he kept this up is there any path to him to be fantasy relevant in a non-BB format this year?

Seems like he could absolutely ball out and best he could do is surpass Pierce as the 4th option in a weak passing game.

 

[King of the Jungle]

Even he kept this up is there any path to him to be fantasy relevant in a non-BB format this year?

Seems like he could absolutely ball out and best he could do is surpass Pierce as the 4th option in a weak passing game.

A little similar to the Packers receiving room where there are a plethora of potential receiving targets. More questions at question marks at QB in Indy as well.

 

[Jacob's Ladder]

Even he kept this up is there any path to him to be fantasy relevant in a non-BB format this year?

Seems like he could absolutely ball out and best he could do is surpass Pierce as the 4th option in a weak passing game.

His talent/ceiling puts him at WR1 on the team, but it's what's between the ears and who is throwing the ball that makes him a giant question mark. There is a lot that needs to happen to get there, but he and Warren are the most talented pass catchers on the team. Chances are slim no doubt, Pittman is no slouch and he's a pro's pro. He gets it, he knows how to play the position. Pierce is a proven deep threat, and could become much more. Downs is a prototypical slot guy that probably loses targets to Warren.

If Mitchell's there late in any draft, I'm still grabbing him. He's a cheap flyer that could become a league winner. Things change quickly in the NFL. It's not hard to imagine a situation where Richardson looks better and Pittman gets hurt or Mitchell just takes over. I guess what I'm saying is that his path to success probably isn't as crazy as it might appear on the surface. The same can be said for a lot of freakish players in the NFL. Most flame out, but for some, the light bulb comes on and it's magical.