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WR Gabriel Davis, BUF (2 Viewers)

Gabriel Davis failed to catch any of his four targets in the Bills' Divisional Round win over the Ravens.

Davis had a drop in a contested-catch situation in the red zone. On that play, Davis' leg was landed on and he ended up limping away. He seemed to be effected by the minor injury for the rest of the contest, which partially explains his goose egg stat line. The Bills are likely to use four-receiver sets again in the AFC Conference game against the Chiefs or Browns. Davis will be big-play dependent then.

- Rotoworld

 
Gabriel Davis (ankle) did not practice Thursday. 

Davis was seen hobbling during last week's game against the Ravens after suffering an ankle injury in the first quarter. A missed Thursday practice is hardly a good sign that Davis will be available for the AFC title game against the Chiefs this Sunday. Buffalo would likely use fewer four-receiver sets and Dawson Knox could see more run against KC if Davis is inactive. 

SOURCE: Chris Brown on Twitter 

Jan 21, 2021, 3:36 PM ET

 
Bills WR Gabriel Davis (ankle) is active for the AFC Championship Game against the Chiefs. 

As is DT Vernon Butler, the Bills' only other questionable player. Big-play threat Davis should get some opportunities down the sideline, but his snaps figure to be limited after he barely practiced during the week. Inactive for the Bills are QB Jake Fromm, LB Tyrel Dodson, OL Jordan Devey, TE Tyler Kroft, DE Trent Murphy, CB Dane Jackson and WR Kenny Stills. 

Jan 24, 2021, 5:15 PM ET

 
Gabriel Davis failed to catch any of his three targets in the Bills' AFC Championship loss to the Chiefs.

It was a rough finish to what was a flashy rookie season for the fourth-rounder. Davis played 73% of the Bills' snaps and was a regular in three- and four-wide sets with John Brown in and out of the lineup most of the season. Davis appeared in all 16 games and went 35-599-7 on 62 targets, averaging a robust 17.1 yards per catch as a big-play specialist and red-zone threat. Davis is a legit NFL wideout and could be in line for a bigger 2021 role if the Bills decide to move on from Brown in the final year of his contract. Davis' arrow is screaming upward in an aggressive passing offense.

- Rotoworld

 
Bills released WR John Brown.

The move saves the Bills $7.9 million against the cap and comes with just $1.6 million in dead money. The near 31-year-old is a quality role player when healthy, but he spent last season dealing with a nagging ankle injury. He'll likely settle for a No. 3 receiver job elsewhere as a low-volume deep threat. Brown's release immediately puts 2020 fourth-rounder Gabriel Davis into the starting lineup. When Brown missed games last year, Davis averaged 9.8 PPR points. That is Davis' floor for 2021.

RELATED: 

Gabriel Davis

, Buffalo Bills

SOURCE: Jeremy Folwer on Twitter

Mar 10, 2021, 1:10 PM ET

 
Bills OC Brian Dabolls......

“I think it’s really helpful for him to watch guys like Stefon, Beasley and Sanders, and watch their body language and how they get in and out of breaks,” Daboll said. “He does a really good job of watching the guys ahead of him and then can emulate it. So we’re fortunate to have those three guys ahead of him.”


Joe Buscaglia @ the Athletic

Bolded key words seem to indicate he is WR4.

 
Bills OC Brian Dabolls......

“I think it’s really helpful for him to watch guys like Stefon, Beasley and Sanders, and watch their body language and how they get in and out of breaks,” Daboll said. “He does a really good job of watching the guys ahead of him and then can emulate it. So we’re fortunate to have those three guys ahead of him.”


Joe Buscaglia @ the Athletic

Bolded key words seem to indicate he is WR4.


Context matters.

Whenever I see a blurb that tries to frame/decipher a coaches quote, I like to see if I can find that video or transcript so I can decide for myself.

Brian Daboll on Gabe Davis

Sorry, I don’t know how to save the video at a particular time on my tablet (it’s right click on a laptop/MacBook); go to 8:20. He talks about Davis for maybe 1:45. He gets another question about him around 11:24.

In context, what the OC says is here’s a kid we were really fortunate to get in the 4th round. He came in pro ready day one, very mature, he can play any place we line wide receivers up. And now he’s in a situation where he’s got three seasoned pros he can learn from.

Fair warning, that’s paraphrasing / summation on my part, so please listen yourself. But my takeaway is not Gabe’s our WR4 but rather he’s in the room with three guys he can learn a lot from. He gets a Q about Sanders and the answer is one line, glad to have him, he’s gonna contribute. He gets Qs about Davis and he’s animated, he goes on at length, he can’t say enough things about the young man.

:2cents:

 
Gabriel Davis caught 5-of-5 targets for 75 yards and a touchdown in the Bills' preseason finale against the Packers. 

Davis' score was a 31-yard strike from Josh Allen on a 3rd-and-20. Davis was playing every down in three-receiver sets, though it came with Stefon Diggs inactive. Davis was also lining up exclusively outside, with Cole Beasley parked in the slot and Emmanuel Sanders alternating. It would seem Davis actually is the Bills' No. 4 wideout behind Diggs, Beasley and Sanders, but he forced his way onto the field as a fourth-round rookie in 2020 and will probably be undeniable again in 2021. He offers plenty of intrigue as a WR5. 

SOURCE: Nathan Jahnke on Twitter 

Aug 28, 2021, 3:26 PM ET

 
Stud.

We should expect more from him in 2021.
Lots of mouths to feed. Long term he looks great but don't know if he'll get enough touches to be consistent this season. Hope he proves me wrong though.
Agreed.  Tough timing for Davis because without an injury he's never going go get the chance to be alpha.  4 years of playing 2nd fiddle will burn a lot of his prime.  Good news is he's young so will be 25 when he is UFA

 
Lots of mouths to feed. Long term he looks great but don't know if he'll get enough touches to be consistent this season. Hope he proves me wrong though.


Agreed.  Tough timing for Davis because without an injury he's never going go get the chance to be alpha.  4 years of playing 2nd fiddle will burn a lot of his prime.  Good news is he's young so will be 25 when he is UFA


62 tgts - 35 rec - 599 yrds - 7 TD's as a rookie. 

I don't see how he doesn't get at least 75/1000/10 this season.

edit- that would be good for top 19 in yards and top 10 in TD's using last seasons numbers

 
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62 tgts - 35 rec - 599 yrds - 7 TD's as a rookie. 

I don't see how he doesn't get at least 75/1000/10 this season.

edit- that would be good for top 19 in yards and top 10 in TD's using last seasons numbers
Which would not be alpha numbers.  Glad we agree.

 
62 tgts - 35 rec - 599 yrds - 7 TD's as a rookie. 

I don't see how he doesn't get at least 75/1000/10 this season.

edit- that would be good for top 19 in yards and top 10 in TD's using last seasons numbers
Except that Sanders is an upgrade over John Brown and Kumerow has looked good as well. The Bills are a more talented WR room this year than last. Davis is probably WR 3b on this team behind Diggs, Beasley and Sanders. Projecting him with a 67% increase in yards and a 43% increase in TDs in his current situation probably means another huge jump in production for Allen as well. While I don’t think it’s TOTALLY out of the question, I’m just not sure there will be enough to go around for Davis to see a jump like that.

 
Except that Sanders is an upgrade over John Brown and Kumerow has looked good as well. The Bills are a more talented WR room this year than last. Davis is probably WR 3b on this team behind Diggs, Beasley and Sanders. Projecting him with a 67% increase in yards and a 43% increase in TDs in his current situation probably means another huge jump in production for Allen as well. While I don’t think it’s TOTALLY out of the question, I’m just not sure there will be enough to go around for Davis to see a jump like that.
That makes sense, but the one question I have is this: Is Sanders slated for the John Brown role in the offense or the Cole Beasley role?  I suspect we may see Sanders cut into Beasley's output significantly.  

 
GroveDiesel said:
Except that Sanders is an upgrade over John Brown and Kumerow has looked good as well. The Bills are a more talented WR room this year than last. Davis is probably WR 3b on this team behind Diggs, Beasley and Sanders. Projecting him with a 67% increase in yards and a 43% increase in TDs in his current situation probably means another huge jump in production for Allen as well. While I don’t think it’s TOTALLY out of the question, I’m just not sure there will be enough to go around for Davis to see a jump like that.
I'll defer to you since I don't follow the Bills like you but the stuff I've been seeing online stating Davis will likely start opposite of Diggs with Beasley/Sanders rotating in the slot isn't true?  Want as much of the Bills passing game as possible.

 
GroveDiesel said:
Except that Sanders is an upgrade over John Brown and Kumerow has looked good as well. The Bills are a more talented WR room this year than last. Davis is probably WR 3b on this team behind Diggs, Beasley and Sanders. Projecting him with a 67% increase in yards and a 43% increase in TDs in his current situation probably means another huge jump in production for Allen as well. While I don’t think it’s TOTALLY out of the question, I’m just not sure there will be enough to go around for Davis to see a jump like that.


Using percentage numbers makes it sound like a lot.... 401 more yards and 3 more TD's to get to 1000/10 sounds totally doable. Hell, didn't he have 2 or 3 TD's called back last year from penalties? lol. So 10 TD's is not far fetched.

If you check out his game logs, he had 8 games where he had under 20 yards recieving. That's literally half the season. 2 games under 10 yards, and two 0 yard games. 

Throw in the fact that he was a rookie last year, we should expect a jump in Davis's production regardless of Sanders being on the team. Not to mention Sanders is only on a 1 year deal. Davis will be more like a 2, regardless of where the bills put him on the depth chart.

I'm assuming you watched the game the other day, 5/5 75 yards and a TD. He looked like Josh's favorite target not named Diggs.

 
It’s so hard to find “sleepers” in this day and age but this guy is definitely it. An unclear role but if you follow closely you can predict a breakout coming. He’s my must draft player in the late rounds.  

 
I'll defer to you since I don't follow the Bills like you but the stuff I've been seeing online stating Davis will likely start opposite of Diggs with Beasley/Sanders rotating in the slot isn't true?  Want as much of the Bills passing game as possible.
Diggs will be the far and away #1. After that matchup is going to play a big part. Also, the Bills will run tons of 3, 4, and 5 receiver sets, so there’s really not a useful #2/3/4 designation really.

Allen loves Beasley. Absolutely loves him. And for anyone that has paid attention to comments from beat reporters during camp, Allen has gone to Beasley a ton.

Davis has talent and I like him long term, but there’s just not a clear path for him to a lot more touches this year. Not with the level of talent in their WR room right now.

 
Using percentage numbers makes it sound like a lot.... 401 more yards and 3 more TD's to get to 1000/10 sounds totally doable. Hell, didn't he have 2 or 3 TD's called back last year from penalties? lol. So 10 TD's is not far fetched.

If you check out his game logs, he had 8 games where he had under 20 yards recieving. That's literally half the season. 2 games under 10 yards, and two 0 yard games. 

Throw in the fact that he was a rookie last year, we should expect a jump in Davis's production regardless of Sanders being on the team. Not to mention Sanders is only on a 1 year deal. Davis will be more like a 2, regardless of where the bills put him on the depth chart.

I'm assuming you watched the game the other day, 5/5 75 yards and a TD. He looked like Josh's favorite target not named Diggs.
Yeah, he had great numbers. But Diggs didn’t play and the majority of the routes Davis ran and balls he caught were routes and balls that will be for Diggs. Davis is good in the Z-type receiver role but not nearly as good as Diggs, so he won’t be the alpha there. And Davis can play the X and create some mismatch problems from the slot, but again, Beasley is almost undefendable in that role. Sanders is sort of in the same boat as Davis in that he does both of those well, but not really at elite levels anymore. But he’s a wily veteran that can be trusted.

Davis will play a lot because the Bills will use multiple receiver sets and spread teams out a ton.

I’m a huge Josh Allen believer now and I think he can take things to yet another level this year. So it’s possible that Davis’s numbers bump up just based on a rising tide lifts all boats basis, but I think that’s what you’re counting on if you’re predicting a 400+ yard increase in his production.

Obviously injuries to Diggs/Beasley/Sanders definitely changes that calculus as well. But I just don’t see a path to a large jump for Davis outside of injury or a another huge leap for Allen (like adding another 1,000 yards passing to his totals from last year).

ETA: But look, I really would prefer to be wrong on this and you all be right. If Davis takes a big step and becomes a really good #2 WR, that paves a way to cut or trade Cole Beasley next year and save $6M on their salary cap. And while Davis doesn’t have the same short area quickness Beasley has (basically nobody does), Davis is a more well rounded receiver.

 
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Using percentage numbers makes it sound like a lot.... 401 more yards and 3 more TD's to get to 1000/10 sounds totally doable. Hell, didn't he have 2 or 3 TD's called back last year from penalties? lol. So 10 TD's is not far fetched.


He had one memorable (great catch) TD called back October 13, I don't remember any others.

Here is a list of NFL WRs who had at least 10% of their targets go for TDs in 2020:

  • Davonte Adams
  • Tyreek Hill
  • Adam Thielen 
  • Mike Evans
  • AJ Brown
  • Will Fuller
  • Gabe Davis
TDs are the least sticky statistic year over year, but I wonder....how often did the 6 veterans on that list accomplish this before (over 10% of targets go for TDs)

  • Davonte Adams - 0
  • Tyreek Hill - 0
  • Adam Thielen - 1 (6 on 48 targets, 2019)
  • Mike Evans - 0
  • AJ Brown - 0
  • Will Fuller - 1 (7 on 50 targets, 2017)
I'm not sure I would be arguing Davis will see an uptick on his TD production. Given that he got a little lucky with his TD rate last season, there's probably a very good chance he sees regression in 2021. 

 
Yeah, he had great numbers. But Diggs didn’t play and the majority of the routes Davis ran and balls he caught were routes and balls that will be for Diggs. Davis is good in the Z-type receiver role but not nearly as good as Diggs, so he won’t be the alpha there. And Davis can play the X and create some mismatch problems from the slot, but again, Beasley is almost undefendable in that role. Sanders is sort of in the same boat as Davis in that he does both of those well, but not really at elite levels anymore. But he’s a wily veteran that can be trusted.

Davis will play a lot because the Bills will use multiple receiver sets and spread teams out a ton.

I’m a huge Josh Allen believer now and I think he can take things to yet another level this year. So it’s possible that Davis’s numbers bump up just based on a rising tide lifts all boats basis, but I think that’s what you’re counting on if you’re predicting a 400+ yard increase in his production.

Obviously injuries to Diggs/Beasley/Sanders definitely changes that calculus as well. But I just don’t see a path to a large jump for Davis outside of injury or a another huge leap for Allen (like adding another 1,000 yards passing to his totals from last year).


####... If Allen threw for another 1000 yards I'd be ecstatic. I'm not expecting Allen to make another huge jump tbh, He was 5th in TD's and 5th in yards last year. That's good enough for me.

I'm basing it more on Davis being in his 2nd year and already has a great relationship with Allen, so hoping that continues to grow. And Davis getting a share of Diggs(166) and Beasely's(107) targets. I'm looking at Sanders as the #4 WR in 4 WR sets and the guy who'll step in if/when someone gets injured.

 
He had one memorable (great catch) TD called back October 13, I don't remember any others.

Here is a list of NFL WRs who had at least 10% of their targets go for TDs in 2020:

  • Davonte Adams
  • Tyreek Hill
  • Adam Thielen 
  • Mike Evans
  • AJ Brown
  • Will Fuller
  • Gabe Davis
TDs are the least sticky statistic year over year, but I wonder....how often did the 6 veterans on that list accomplish this before (over 10% of targets go for TDs)

  • Davonte Adams - 0
  • Tyreek Hill - 0
  • Adam Thielen - 1 (6 on 48 targets, 2019)
  • Mike Evans - 0
  • AJ Brown - 0
  • Will Fuller - 1 (7 on 50 targets, 2017)
I'm not sure I would be arguing Davis will see an uptick on his TD production. Given that he got a little lucky with his TD rate last season, there's probably a very good chance he sees regression in 2021. 


That's fair. For the record I'm not putting Davis in the same tier as those WR's. Those guys are all #1's who are being doubled half the time. Davis only had 65 targets last year. I could still see it though.

I imagine most Davis owners are probably in favor of Cole Beasley following his heart?

:whistle:


LOL. Yes, I am a Davis owner. But also a Bills fan. Having the Bills win in real life is 1,000,000x more important than FF.

 
Gabriel Davis (ankle) is questionable for Week 2 against the Dolphins.

Davis missed Wednesday's practice after limping off Week 1, but he got in a pair of limited sessions Thursday and Friday and should be good to go as the Bills' big-play No. 4 receiver against Miami.

Sep 17, 2021, 1:46 PM ET

 
Bills WR Gabriel Davis (ankle) is active for Week 2 against Miami.

This was expected after ESPN's Adam Schefter reported Davis would be available Sunday. Davis is playing through a questionable tag after tweaking his ankle in Buffalo's Week 1 loss but likely won't be 100 percent. The Bills' inactives are OT Tommy Doyle, DE Efe Obada, DE Boogie Basham, DT Harrison Phillips, and LB Andre Smith.

Sep 19, 2021, 11:35 AM ET

 
The Sanders signing really sank him. I had high hopes until then but otherwise I'm holding long term where I can. If either of Sanders or Diggs go down he might still be worth having, but pretty tough. He got some 4th quarter run last night and had one endzone target where he drew PI. He is still involved. IDK.

 
barackdhouse said:
The Sanders signing really sank him. I had high hopes until then but otherwise I'm holding long term where I can. If either of Sanders or Diggs go down he might still be worth having, but pretty tough. He got some 4th quarter run last night and had one endzone target where he drew PI. He is still involved. IDK.
I agree.  He's a stash on the bench obviously.  If his situation is the same this time next year as it is today, or worse, I may have to cut bait.

 
ghostguy123 said:
Anything to see here or what?  Sure haven't seen much.  Any hope for long term?
I am contemplating dropping him in Dynasty where I need the roster spot.  Davis has displayed the talent to succeed, and I would love to have a piece of this offense, but he is buried behind Diggs, Sanders, Beasley and Knox for targets.  It is certainly possible that Sanders and/or Beasley do not return next season (Beasley hinted at not playing this season, and Sanders is playing on a one-year deal), but I am not so sure the Bills wouldn't just look to replace them with other veteran receivers.  The path to meaningful playing time just isn't there right now, and roster spots are valuable.  (For reference, I am deciding between Gabriel Davis and Tim Patrick as a potential release.  Patrick is contributing now, but he is not as intriguing long term.)

 
I am contemplating dropping him in Dynasty where I need the roster spot.  Davis has displayed the talent to succeed, and I would love to have a piece of this offense, but he is buried behind Diggs, Sanders, Beasley and Knox for targets.  It is certainly possible that Sanders and/or Beasley do not return next season (Beasley hinted at not playing this season, and Sanders is playing on a one-year deal), but I am not so sure the Bills wouldn't just look to replace them with other veteran receivers.  The path to meaningful playing time just isn't there right now, and roster spots are valuable.  (For reference, I am deciding between Gabriel Davis and Tim Patrick as a potential release.  Patrick is contributing now, but he is not as intriguing long term.)


Who's the guy you're dying to add? 

 
 (For reference, I am deciding between Gabriel Davis and Tim Patrick as a potential release.  Patrick is contributing now, but he is not as intriguing long term.)
I'm starting Patrick in one desperate spot this week. Desperate just in terms of the one WR2 slot in my lineup. But I don't hate it. I think Patrick has a better chance of being a later career bloomer something like a Robert Woods/Doug Baldwin than the chance Gabriel Davis has of doing something. But I still like Davis' possible ceiling better. By Woods and Baldwin examples I just mean in terms of career trajectory, not in terms of the type of WR they are/were.

 
Who's the guy you're dying to add? 
It is not so much related to "who", but with RB injuries piling up and bye week absences looming, I need to add depth at RB.  None of the RBs I am considering are especially exciting dynasty prospects, although perhaps a guy like Penny or Felton could offer some long-term value.  The more exciting RB prospects available offer no short-term value, unfortunately.  My team is loaded with WR prospects similar to Gabriel Davis (longer on potential than immediate production): Donovan Peoples-Jones, Van Jefferson, Rashod Bateman, Brandon Aiyuk, Elijah Moore.  That puts me in the position of having to consider holding WRs who are contributing now, Tim Patrick, Marquez Callaway and Christian Kirk, over Gabriel Davis.

 
Gabriel Davis caught 2-of-4 targets for 30 yards and one touchdown in the Bills' Week 13 loss to the Patriots.

Davis' four looks were fourth on the team, but he did account for the Bills' lone touchdown with a 14-yarder on a slant from Josh Allen in the first quarter. Davis' playing time has been on the rise a bit in recent weeks, but he remains the team's big-play fourth wideout. Davis could be worth a dice-roll as a desperation fantasy play in deeper leagues next week against the Bucs in a potential shootout.

Dec 7, 2021, 12:03 AM ET

 
He was dropped a few weeks ago in one of my leagues.   I though it was surprising and scooped him up hoping for an expanded role next year.  Seems like he is getting more usage lately too

 
He was dropped a few weeks ago in one of my leagues.   I though it was surprising and scooped him up hoping for an expanded role next year.  Seems like he is getting more usage lately too
I think he's a great WTH prospect. Definitely failed my expectations this season, but he certainly showed he belongs last year and is getting enough action for hope this year. Would have had a 2nd TD last night IMHO if the conditions hadn't caused the ball to sail on a nice seam route he ran.

 
Gabriel Davis caught 5-of-8 targets for 43 yards and a touchdown in the Bills' Week 14 overtime loss to the Bucs. 

4/22/1 of Davis' production came as Emmanuel Sanders missed the second half with a knee injury. Davis' four-yard score, his second touchdown in as many weeks, came as he beat Carlton Davis 1-on-1. Davis' season-long target totals have been disappointing, though Sanders is looking doubtful for Week 15. The Panthers are far from a pushover opponent, but Davis will have some big-play WR4 appeal for the first week of the fantasy playoffs if Sanders is forced to sit.  

Dec 12, 2021, 9:00 PM ET

 
TampaMike19 said:
Seems like a nice dynasty buy
He was one of my top dynasty sell highs in the offseason, no ragerts.  He should be the #2 option in that passing offense, but they're overloaded at WR and now Knox looks legit.  He's probably not ever going to amount to more than a WR3/flex option for your fantasy lineup.

 
He was one of my top dynasty sell highs in the offseason, no ragerts.  He should be the #2 option in that passing offense, but they're overloaded at WR and now Knox looks legit.  He's probably not ever going to amount to more than a WR3/flex option for your fantasy lineup.
Could be. Emmanuel Sanders is the biggest obstacle to an expanded role, but Sanders is 34 and on a 1-year contract. That said, he’s looked great so I’m by no means predicting his doom. What they do with Sanders over the off-season will shed significant light.

 
He was one of my top dynasty sell highs in the offseason, no ragerts.  He should be the #2 option in that passing offense, but they're overloaded at WR and now Knox looks legit.  He's probably not ever going to amount to more than a WR3/flex option for your fantasy lineup.
Yeah- just saying Diggs is 28, Knox is ascending, and Beasley / Sanders probably won't even be back. They'll need to invest another pick in the receiving room 

 
Gabriel Davis ran a pass route on 80.6 percent of Josh Allen's Week 14 drop backs against the Bucs. 

It's a season-high mark for Davis, and it came with Emmanuel Sanders sidelined with a sprained knee that will probably knock him out of Buffalo's Week 15 game against Carolina. Davis, who caught five of his eight targets for 43 yards and a touchdown against the Bucs, has high-end WR3 viability if Sanders is indeed out. Davis should have plenty of touchdown upside as one of Josh Allen's go-to red zone targets. 

RELATED: 

Emmanuel Sanders

Dec 14, 2021, 9:28 AM ET

 

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