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WR Quentin Johnston, LAC (1 Viewer)

didn't watch super closely or look at snap counts but it seemed like Tre Harris was playing ahead of him as the game went on including the TD play

Dunno if he reaggravated his injury or if this is the start of something longer term.
 
JohnnyU said:
Footballdaz said:
Gadsden stole his role in offense.
Sorry Johnston owners.It was fun while it lasted
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Things change week to week. Next week it could be Johnston's turn to shine, or both, or neither.
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We all know this is 100% true. We just pretend it isn’t to make ourselves feel smart.

One week a guy is a buy low, two weeks later he’s a sell high, then he has another good week and we’re idiots for selling high, then he crashes for two weeks and we brag about having sold high, then he’s kinda good again and he’s a buy low, then he blows up again and is a buy high, after which he inevitably puts up a dud. Shuffle and repeat.

Factor in the legit possibility that player X is intentionally playing poorly for gambling purposes in any given week and this whole hobby is an absolute joke. Still kinda fun, but not as much as it once was. It’s become a complete roll of the dice, pun intended.
 
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formerfourdigit said:
didn't watch super closely or look at snap counts but it seemed like Tre Harris was playing ahead of him as the game went on including the TD play

Dunno if he reaggravated his injury or if this is the start of something longer term.
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From espn
Johnston was on the field for 38 of 73 offensive snaps, trailing Tre' Harris (43) and Ladd McConkey (42) but finishing well ahead of Keenan Allen (18).
 
This is just my 2cents as a Chargers fan and every week watcher. There was no need (and there remains no time) to go deep, which is where QJ is excels. He will remain big play dependent. There also was not a lot of need for Keenan to play a ton of snaps on a short week. He is older and the season is long. I think both will be fine but there are a lot of mouths to feed here. Keenan will remain in lineups for me as a WR3, I may bench QJ for now until the O-line stabilizes a bit allowing for deeper designed routes.
 
Dataroma
Why has QJ slowed down? Maybe it's partially because of the injury he sustained, but he's also seen a notable shift in route tree these past 2 weeks.

In Week 1-6, he was running horizontal breaking routes at a 32.4% clip, and getting targeted on 27% of those routes. This coincided with a less vertical role, with a 34.6% vertical route rate (0.13 TPRR on those).

In Week 7-8, QJ's horizontal breaker rate dipped down to 22.4%, still getting targeted on 24% of those routes. Even more notable, his vertically-breaking route has spiked up to 64.5% of his total routes (would lead NFL on season-long sample), and he's being targeted on just 2% (!) of these routes.

In layman's terms, QJ has shifted to a field stretching-role after being a key cog in this Chargers down-to-down offense the first month of the season. Unfortunately QJ, while he's able to fulfill this role, he has been much better separating and earning targets on horizontal breakers.

Although the Gadsden emergence is certainly hurting QJ, it's actually been Keenan (46.1%→54.3%) and Ladd (47.4%→57.9%) who have really hurt QJ in the horizontal route aspect.

All data here per the awesome @FantasyPtsData data suite.
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Chris Wecht
What has happened to Quentin Johnston since his return from injury?

- He's running deep routes 16.6% more of the time
- His First Read Target share has fallen from 25.4% to 6.3%
- His Horizontal Route Rate has fallen 11.1%
- He is winning vs. Man only 5% of the time
- His slot rate has fallen 2.6%

Every single one of those things is bad for fantasy

(Data via @FantasyPtsData)
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Faust said:
Chris Wecht
What has happened to Quentin Johnston since his return from injury?

- He's running deep routes 16.6% more of the time
- His First Read Target share has fallen from 25.4% to 6.3%
- His Horizontal Route Rate has fallen 11.1%
- He is winning vs. Man only 5% of the time
- His slot rate has fallen 2.6%

Every single one of those things is bad for fantasy

(Data via @FantasyPtsData)
Click to expand...
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Well this would explain his results lately. I thought the reason (or part of it) he was doing so well early was they were using him on shorter routes and letting him catch the ball in space. Is he basically droppable at this point? I have him in a 10 team league and would not consider starting him until I see something improve. I think Downs, Boutte, or even Christian Watson provide better value now. Of course if they changed his usage back then that would be a huge mistake to drop but with Gadsden coming on and McConkey now moving back to what people expected that seems unlikely.
 
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